Dawson Knox

Knox’s 2022 season was similar to his 2021 campaign, except for a noticeable drop in touchdowns from nine to six. He once again dressed for 15 games, finishing six targets, one catch and 70 yards short of his previous year’s totals. The 6-foot-4 tight end has red zone chemistry with star quarterback Josh Allen, but since Knox has yet to break 50 catches or 600 yards in any of his four NFL seasons, his fantasy value is tied primarily to his touchdown total. His 2022 red zone target total was disappointing in that regard, as Knox dropped from 19 such looks in 2021 to just 11, which is only one more red zone target than he saw as a part-time player in 2020. Another production dip seems likely in 2023 after the Bills spent their first-round pick on TE Dalton Kincaid, who had 1,400 yards and 16 TDs over his final two seasons at Utah. The rookie may not take over the starting job but probably won't need long to cut into Knox's snaps/routes/targets. Even if Kincaid mostly plays in two-TE sets, his presence could mean more blocking snaps and fewer routes run for Knox.