Joe Musgrove
Joe Musgrove
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Pittsburgh Pirates
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Musgrove was limited by injuries but performed at a high level between DL stints, creating some excitement heading into 2019. After turning the page on a shoulder issue, Musgrove made his Pirates debut May 20 and blanked the Cardinals over seven innings. A finger infection sidelined Musgrove again in July, but he returned to post an even 1.0 BB/9 in 62.1 innings after the break, lowering his walk rate to just 4.7% for the season. His 20.6 K% was underwhelming, though an 11.4% swinging-strike rate and an excellent 68.3% first-pitch-strike rate hint at room for growth in that department. The Pirates were forced to shut Musgrove down early and sent him for surgery to repair his right abdominal wall and to heal a stress reaction in his pelvic bone, but he was expected to have a relatively normal offseason. There's no doubt that Musgrove will have a rotation spot when healthy. The command is there for him to take his performance to the next level. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Pirates in March of 2018.
Start moved to Saturday
PPittsburgh Pirates
July 19, 2019
Musgrove will start Saturday's game against Philadelphia.
ANALYSIS
Trevor Williams was scratched from his scheduled start Saturday due to flu-like symptoms, so Musgrove will move up a day. The right-hander will aim to bounce back after surrendering five runs over 4.2 innings during his last start against the Cardinals on Monday.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-16%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .278 638 127 32 163 38 8 17
Since 2017vs Right .246 750 161 45 169 36 1 24
2019vs Left .289 202 33 7 55 18 3 4
2019vs Right .219 238 57 19 47 15 0 7
2018vs Left .277 223 38 13 56 12 2 6
2018vs Right .233 263 62 10 57 7 1 6
2017vs Left .268 213 56 12 52 8 3 7
2017vs Right .285 249 42 16 65 14 0 11
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-3%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-13%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-8%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-12%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 4.43 1.28 182.2 10 15 2 8.2 2.3 1.4
Since 2017Away 4.31 1.20 146.1 9 10 0 7.4 1.8 0.8
2019Home 4.62 1.18 50.2 3 3 0 7.8 1.6 1.6
2019Away 4.02 1.27 53.2 3 5 0 7.7 2.9 0.3
2018Home 4.21 1.27 66.1 4 5 0 8.1 2.2 0.9
2018Away 3.86 1.06 49.0 2 4 0 7.3 1.3 0.9
2017Home 4.52 1.36 65.2 3 7 2 8.6 3.0 1.6
2017Away 5.15 1.28 43.2 4 1 0 7.2 1.2 1.2
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Stat Review
How does Joe Musgrove compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.46
 
K/9
7.8
 
BB/9
2.2
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
91.9 mph
 
ERA
4.31
 
WHIP
1.23
 
BABIP
.308
 
GB/FB
1.39
 
Left On Base
62.2%
 
Exit Velocity
89.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.3%
 
Spin Rate
2375 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
39.6%
 
Swinging Strike
11.7%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
For some, it is a tale of two halves. For Musgrove, it was a tale of two roles. As a starter, Musgrove posted a 6.12 ERA with a 1.51 WHIP. After being demoted to the bullpen, he registered a sparkling 1.44 ERA with a stingy 0.86 WHIP. Sometimes, this is just happenstance, with regression occurring after the role change, not because of it. However, in this instance, Musgrove increased the use of his fastball (adding three mph), slider and cutter while barely throwing his sinker and curveball. The results were astounding, as Musgrove's swinging-strike rate gained three percentage points, while his walks and homers dropped significantly. Focusing on homers, as a starter, Musgrove surrendered 16 in just 78 innings compared to only two in 31.1 frames out of the bullpen. Just when it seemed he was poised to become one of the useful non-closer fantasy relievers in the Chris Devenski or Chad Green mold, Musgrove was dealt to the Pirates as part of the Gerrit Cole trade. He will return to starting in Pittsburgh, and more growing pains should be expected.
Musgrove excelled at the upper levels of the minor leagues in 2016, earning a look in the Astros' rotation over the final two months. Aside from one eight-run blowup at Baltimore, Musgrove was mostly impressive as he was able to maintain a good walk rate against more advance hitters while continuing to miss bats at a strong clip. His 4.23 FIP suggests he may have overachieved slightly in the ratio categories, but command and control give Musgrove a nice floor as he enters his age-24 season and continues along the major-league learning curve. The Astros' signing of Charlie Morton and a potential role change for Chris Devenski cloud Musgrove's status somewhat, but there are health concerns at the top of the rotation, and Musgrove should serve as the top fill-in if he misses out on a rotation spot out of camp. He's more than an AL-only consideration.
Musgrove, Toronto's first pick in the compensation round of the 2011 draft (46th overall), was acquired by the Astros in 2012 and has spent the past four years in the lower levels of their minor league system. His stock has finally started to rise, however, as he opened 2015 with Low-A Quad Cities and finished the year at Double-A Corpus Christi. Between three levels last season, he appeared In 19 games (14 starts) and went 12-1 with a 1.88 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 99:8 K:BB ratio over 100.2 innings. The 23-year-old right-hander sports a mid-to-low 90s fastball, plus slider and plus-plus command, but his future as a big league starter or reliever is unclear. He's likely to return to Corpus Christi or open 2016 with Triple-A Fresno.
More Fantasy News
Falls to 6-8
PPittsburgh Pirates
July 15, 2019
Musgrove (6-8) took the loss against the Cardinals on Monday, giving up five runs (four earned) on five hits over 4.2 innings, striking out seven and walking three as the Pirates fell 7-0.
ANALYSIS
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Two homers lead to no-decision
PPittsburgh Pirates
July 7, 2019
Musgrove allowed three runs on five hits with one walk and five strikeouts across six innings during a no-decision against the Brewers on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Takes no-decision because of rain
PPittsburgh Pirates
July 3, 2019
Musgrove allowed zero runs on one hit with no walks and four strikeouts across three innings during a no-decision against the Cubs on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up second straight win
PPittsburgh Pirates
June 27, 2019
Musgrove (6-7) picked up the win against the Astros on Thursday, scattering nine hits over six scoreless innings while striking out five and walking none as the Pirates cruised to a 10-0 victory.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out eight in win
PPittsburgh Pirates
June 21, 2019
Musgrove (5-7) allowed one run on five hits with eight strikeouts and no walks across seven innings to earn a victory against the Padres on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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