Marcus Stroman
Marcus Stroman
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Toronto Blue Jays
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Stroman had his worst professional season in a 2018, a year marred by two trips to the disabled list (shoulder fatigue and a blister on his pitching hand). The extreme groundballer (62.1 GB% in 2018) endured miserable results when on the field, though the peripherals and estimators point to a lot of bad luck. His ERA-minus-FIP came in at 1.63, one of the highest among starters with 100-plus innings, and his 3.91 FIP nearly matched what he did in 2017, when he had a 3.09 ERA. Considering all the contact Stroman allows -- he has never posted a K/9 higher than 7.7 (2014) -- it's only natural that the results would fluctuate more than they do for most pitchers. Determine whether you can buy this volatility with the hope of him repeating 2017 and 2014, not 2016 and 2018. The best part about his 2019: expectations will be subterranean, so fantasy players in position to take on risk could snatch him at a clearance rate. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $7.4 million contract with the Blue Jays in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Avoids arbitration with Blue Jays
PToronto Blue Jays
January 11, 2019
Stroman signed a one-year, $7.4 million contract with the Blue Jays on Friday, avoiding arbitration, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports.
Stroman had a $6.5 million salary in 2018 after losing his arbitration hearing, so he'll avoid arbitration this time around. The 27-year-old had a rough year battling injuries, and posted a 5.54 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 77:36 K:BB over 102.1 innings, by far the worst performance of his major-league career. The 27-year-old still enters 2019 as the Blue Jays' top starter as he looks for a bounce-back year.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .263 1060 189 85 252 51 4 19
Since 2016vs Right .273 1078 218 67 273 47 3 32
2018vs Left .272 234 35 19 58 12 3 4
2018vs Right .295 215 42 17 57 9 0 5
2017vs Left .251 389 71 34 87 15 0 4
2017vs Right .275 445 93 28 114 18 1 17
2016vs Left .268 437 83 32 107 24 1 11
2016vs Right .260 418 83 22 102 20 2 10
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA on Road
Since 2016Home 3.86 1.26 267.0 13 13 0 7.0 2.6 0.7
Since 2016Away 4.36 1.42 239.1 13 15 0 7.5 2.8 1.1
2018Home 5.29 1.34 47.2 2 4 0 6.4 3.0 0.9
2018Away 5.76 1.59 54.2 2 5 0 7.1 3.3 0.7
2017Home 2.63 1.23 116.1 7 6 0 7.3 2.6 0.7
2017Away 3.72 1.42 84.2 6 3 0 7.3 3.0 1.3
2016Home 4.59 1.26 104.0 4 3 0 6.8 2.3 0.7
2016Away 4.14 1.32 100.0 5 7 0 7.9 2.4 1.2
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Stat Review
How does Marcus Stroman compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
92.4 mph
Strand %
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Stroman built on a strong finish to 2016 to become the Blue Jays' staff ace last season after Aaron Sanchez battled persistent blister problems. Rather than leaning on his cutter as an out pitch as he had earlier in his career, Stroman instead increased the usage of his fastball and slider, with both pitches yielding favorable results. Stroman's diverse arsenal kept hitters off balance and generated plenty of weak contact, with his 62.1 percent GB% pacing all qualified pitchers. His ability to induce groundouts and avoid the home-run ball offers optimism that Stroman will remain an asset in ERA, despite his meager strikeout rate and the 3.90 FIP he posted in 2017 pointing to some regression in that area. Since Stroman is just 26 years old, it wouldn't be unprecedented if he added more strikeouts to his ledger to stave off an ERA decline, but his approach worked so well for him last season, it seems unlikely he would deviate from a successful formula.
Stroman entered 2016 with high expectations, and in hindsight, those expectations were probably unfair for a 25-year-old who made just four starts in 2015 following ACL surgery. It took Stroman time to get his bearings, but he demonstrated growth as the season wore on, managing a 3.68 ERA post All-Star break versus a 4.89 ERA in the first half. He also saw a significant uptick in strikeout rate after the break, from 16.9 percent to 22.7 percent, as he used his cutter more as an out pitch. Of course, it's all about the groundball with Stroman, and indeed his 60.1 percent groundball rate was the highest among qualified starters. Stroman has immense talent and could take a leap forward if he can continue to increase his strikeout rate.
When Stroman tore his ACL in early March, his season was declared over before it ever began and no one seemed to quibble with that. . . except Stroman. He made the best of a bad break. He went back to Duke to finish off his degree, but also got with the medical staff there for an aggressive rehab on the knee. All of a sudden there were reports that he could contribute late in the season, maybe as a reliever. Not only did he start, but he was really good. His swing-and-miss stuff wasn’t quite there, but he ramped the groundball rate up to 64 percent to cover. The strikeouts might be more of a slow climb as he uses the command of his deep arsenal (5 pitches all w/at least 10% usage) to keep the ball down and mow down hitters, but the swing-and-miss upside is definitely there. With all of 158 MLB innings on his arm, the Jays might not be ready for 200-plus-inning season, but even 180 from him has big potential.
The 5-foot-9 right-hander spent most of his age-23 season as the most effective starter in the Blue Jays’ rotation. After graduating from Triple-A Buffalo and Toronto’s bullpen, Stroman compiled a 3.29 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 103:27 K:BB ratio in 120.1 innings as a starter in his debut season in the big leagues. Were it not for Jose Abreu, Stroman would have had a legitimate case to be the American League Rookie of the Year. He relied heavily on his mid-90s fastball, and only used his deadly 88-mph slider roughly 7.5% of the time. That plus-plus offering generated a 17.6% whiff rate and a 63.2% groundball rate and could be a major weapon if he unleashes it more often in his second season. Considering his fielding independent numbers (2.84 FIP, 3.17 xFIP) and the addition of defensive wiz Russell Martin behind the plate, there was reason to expect an even better 2015 out of Stroman, but he suffered a torn ACL during fielding drills in March and is expected to miss the entire season as a result.
A first-round pick in the 2012 MLB Draft, Stroman put together a fantastic 2013 campaign for Double-A New Hampshire after serving a 50-game drug suspension to start the season. His 3.30 ERA was backed by 10.4 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 rates, and he even finished on a high note with an 11-strikeout gem in his final start. The 5-foot-9 Stroman boasts a mid-90s fastball with plus command, and he is one of the top prospects in the Toronto organization, despite murmurs that he may eventually wind up in the bullpen. Having already proven his merit at the Double-A level, Stroman will likely join the starting rotation at Triple-A Buffalo to open 2014. Don't be surprised if he earns his first call-up before the end of the year.
Stroman was selected 22nd overall by the Blue Jays in the 2012 draft and the general thought was that he would move quickly through the Jays’ system. After 19 minor league relief innings, posting a 3.26 ERA over two levels, Stroman was suspended 50 games for violating baseball’s minor league drug program. After the completion of his suspension, he will start 2013 in the minors, but could find his way into Toronto’s bullpen if he pitches well.
More Fantasy News
Probably done for year
PToronto Blue Jays
September 11, 2018
Stroman (finger) will probably not pitch again this season, Ben Nicholson-Smith of reports.
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Could miss rest of season
PToronto Blue Jays
September 5, 2018
Manager John Gibbons said Wednesday that Stroman (finger) will not take the hill against Cleveland on Sunday and may not return again this season, Ben Nicholson-Smith of reports.
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Hampered by blister yet again
PToronto Blue Jays
September 3, 2018
Stroman (4-9) allowed four runs on six hits while striking out one over 1.2 innings as he took the loss Monday against Tampa Bay. After the game, manager John Gibbons stated Stroman's blister is "clearly affecting him," Ben Nicholson-Smith of reports.
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Activated ahead of start
PToronto Blue Jays
September 3, 2018
Stroman (finger) returned from the disabled list as expected Monday and is starting against the Rays.
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Cleared for Monday's start
PToronto Blue Jays
September 3, 2018
Stroman (finger) will be activated from the 10-day disabled list to start Monday's game against the Rays.
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