Amed Rosario
Amed Rosario
23-Year-Old ShortstopSS
New York Mets
2019 Fantasy Outlook
A second-half stolen-base surge has propelled Rosario up the already-loaded shortstop rankings. After the break, the 23-year-old speed merchant swiped 18 bases in 24 attempts while also chipping in five homers. As impressive as this stint was, Rosario carries a lot of risk as his plate skills need work for a player of this ilk, especially since he's not a power or batting-average asset. He walked only 5% of the time while punching out at a 20% clip. Both need work for Rosario to be assured of a spot at the top of the Mets' order, where he can put his wheels to use. There's reason for optimism as his contact skills improved over the second half, often telling for young players. Still, the range of outcomes is wide as a slide could push Rosario low in the order where his opportunities to run would suffer. It comes down to your risk profile. How much do you want to pay for speed upside from a player with middling power and batting-average potential? Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#142
ADP
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$Signed a one-year, $548,940 contract with the Mets in March of 2018.
Pops fourth homer
SSNew York Mets
May 21, 2019
Rosario went 1-for-3 with a walk, a solo home run and a second run scored in Monday's win over the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
The shortstop took Patrick Corbin deep in the first inning for his fourth homer of the year. Strikeouts remain the biggest obstacle between Rosario and a true breakout at the plate -- he fanned twice Monday, leaving him with a 26.6 percent strikeout rate on the year -- but he continues to make incremental progress overall, slashing .265/.311/.410 through 43 games.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
7
1
2
20
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
2
4
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+7%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+34%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .748 223 32 5 19 5 .274 .309 .439
Since 2017vs Right .662 716 75 12 67 30 .251 .289 .373
2019vs Left .682 37 7 1 4 0 .206 .270 .412
2019vs Right .731 140 8 3 21 4 .280 .321 .409
2018vs Left .743 148 22 2 11 4 .284 .318 .426
2018vs Right .654 444 54 7 40 20 .247 .288 .366
2017vs Left .829 38 3 2 4 1 .297 .316 .514
2017vs Right .617 132 13 2 6 6 .234 .258 .359
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+19%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+24%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+32%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+24%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .617 418 43 8 35 13 .220 .266 .350
Since 2017Away .735 521 64 9 51 22 .285 .316 .419
2019Home .823 63 7 3 10 1 .281 .349 .474
2019Away .666 114 8 1 15 3 .257 .289 .376
2018Home .579 279 33 4 22 9 .204 .252 .327
2018Away .763 313 43 5 29 15 .303 .334 .429
2017Home .588 76 3 1 3 3 .230 .250 .338
2017Away .727 94 13 3 7 4 .264 .287 .440
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Stat Review
How does Amed Rosario compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 100 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.23
 
BB Rate
6.0%
 
K Rate
25.8%
 
BABIP
.342
 
ISO
.140
 
AVG
.263
 
OBP
.308
 
SLG
.404
 
OPS
.711
 
wOBA
.315
 
Exit Velocity
89.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
35.3%
 
Barrels/PA
4.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Amed Rosario
The Z Files: Second Chances
12 days ago
Todd Zola looks at the pre and post-Memorial Day hitting leaderboards from 2018 to examine how much fortunes can change over the rest of the season, as they did last year for Max Muncy.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
17 days ago
Jan Levine delivers this week's top NL FAAB picks, including Reds prospect Nick Senzel, who was called up Friday from Triple-A Louisville.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
29 days ago
Jesse Siegel is back to update us on the latest prospect talk, including Padres' Hudson Potts and his lack of success early on at Double-A.
NL FAAB Factor - Waiver Pickups of the Week
38 days ago
Jan Levine returns with the latest crop of available NL players, including an injured Nick Senzel primed to return to Cinci in the next month.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
50 days ago
Chris Bennett checks out Tuesday's slate and sees some stacking possibilities with the Mets, anchored by hot-hitting rookie Pete Alonso.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2015
For all the hype surrounding Rosario as a prospect and buzz around his arrival to the big leagues, his debut sure was a disappointment. He walked at a meager 1.8 percent clip while striking out nearly 29 percent of the time, and when he did make contact, it typically ended with a whimper. Rosario drove the ball into the ground half the time (50.9 percent groundball rate) and posted an 84.3 mph average exit velocity, which ranked 328th among 387 players with at least 100 at-bats. He showed an ability to hit at the upper levels of the minors and he can run, but the 22-year-old may be a near-zero in the power department in the coming seasons, and there's no guarantee he'll hit major-league pitching for a high average. The pedigree will entice some to gamble on a bounce-back, but the upside for 2018 isn't all that high.
Patience is often preached when analyzing toolsy high-pedigree prospects who are not producing in the lower levels, and with good reason. Rosario posted a 97 wRC+ with zero home runs and 12 steals as a 19-year-old at High-A St. Lucie in 2015, but he broke out in a major way last year, as the production finally started to match the talent. A 132 wRC+ and 36:21 K:BB in 66 games at High-A earned him a midseason promotion to the Eastern League, and that is when things started to get a little absurd. His numbers as a 20-year-old with Double-A Binghamton can almost be thrown out, considering his .433 BABIP. However, even when accounting for luck, that kind of success means something, given his age, level and defensive home. Scouts agree, as there are few players in the minors who receive the rave reviews that follow whenever Rosario's name gets brought up. He should offer across-the-board production in his prime years, with batting average, steals and runs being his top contributions. He could take over at shortstop for the Mets as early as this summer.
Rosario was signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2012, and has emerged as the organization’s token toolsy shortstop who is a long way from the big leagues. He only has seven games in a full season league on his resume. In 290 plate appearances at short-season Brooklyn last season, he slashed .289/.337/.380 with one home run and seven steals. At 6-foot-2, 170 pounds, he has some filling out to do, but there is little doubt that he will be able to stick at shortstop. Owning Rosario in a dynasty league requires extreme patience, but the payoff could be huge down the line. He has the most upside of any hitter in the Mets’ system, but the risk is equally high. If everything clicks, he will be a top-10 shortstop with offensive contributions across the board, but he may not reach the majors until 2018.
More Fantasy News
On bench Sunday
SSNew York Mets
May 19, 2019
Rosario is not in the lineup for Sunday's game against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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On base three times in win
SSNew York Mets
May 15, 2019
Rosario went 2-for-4 with a walk in Tuesday's win over the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Clubs grand slam
SSNew York Mets
May 10, 2019
Rosario went 1-for-4 with a grand slam and a walk in Friday's victory over the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Hitting second
SSNew York Mets
May 8, 2019
Rosario is starting at shortstop and hitting second Wednesday against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Heads to bench
SSNew York Mets
May 6, 2019
Rosario isn't starting Monday's game against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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