Amed Rosario
Amed Rosario
23-Year-Old ShortstopSS
New York Mets
2019 Fantasy Outlook
A second-half stolen-base surge has propelled Rosario up the already-loaded shortstop rankings. After the break, the 23-year-old speed merchant swiped 18 bases in 24 attempts while also chipping in five homers. As impressive as this stint was, Rosario carries a lot of risk as his plate skills need work for a player of this ilk, especially since he's not a power or batting-average asset. He walked only 5% of the time while punching out at a 20% clip. Both need work for Rosario to be assured of a spot at the top of the Mets' order, where he can put his wheels to use. There's reason for optimism as his contact skills improved over the second half, often telling for young players. Still, the range of outcomes is wide as a slide could push Rosario low in the order where his opportunities to run would suffer. It comes down to your risk profile. How much do you want to pay for speed upside from a player with middling power and batting-average potential? Read Past Outlooks
Likely hitting eighth
SSNew York Mets
February 19, 2019
Manager Mickey Callaway said Rosario will likely hit eighth, Matt Ehalt of The Bergen Record reports.
ANALYSIS
Rosario spent most of his time hitting either first or last for the Mets in 2018. Following the offseason addition of veteran Jed Lowrie, it sounds like the youngster will begin the season situated near the bottom of New York's lineup, which could cut into his stolen base total -- he managed 16 of his 24 steals from the top of the order last season. Rosario made 22 starts from the eight hole in 2018, slashing .260/.333/.425 with two stolen bases in those appearances.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+18%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+34%
OPS vs LHP
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .761 186 25 4 15 5 .287 .317 .444
Since 2016vs Right .645 576 67 9 46 26 .244 .281 .364
2018vs Left .743 148 22 2 11 4 .284 .318 .426
2018vs Right .654 444 54 7 40 20 .247 .288 .366
2017vs Left .829 38 3 2 4 1 .297 .316 .514
2017vs Right .617 132 13 2 6 6 .234 .258 .359
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+30%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+32%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+24%
OPS on Road
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .581 355 36 5 25 12 .210 .251 .329
Since 2016Away .755 407 56 8 36 19 .294 .323 .431
2018Home .579 279 33 4 22 9 .204 .252 .327
2018Away .763 313 43 5 29 15 .303 .334 .429
2017Home .588 76 3 1 3 3 .230 .250 .338
2017Away .727 94 13 3 7 4 .264 .287 .440
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Amed Rosario compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.24
 
BB Rate
4.9%
 
K Rate
20.1%
 
BABIP
.310
 
ISO
.125
 
AVG
.256
 
OBP
.295
 
SLG
.381
 
OPS
.676
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Amed Rosario
The Z Files: Historical Top 200
105 days ago
Todd Zola takes a look at the end-of-season top-200 performers over the last five years and thinks Charlie Blackmon's being discounted too heavily in early drafts given his track record.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
153 days ago
Jan Levine's final FAAB article of the season spotlights a trio of Mets -- including an emerging Amed Rosario -- who could help in the final fantasy week.
DraftKings MLB: Monday Picks
159 days ago
Christopher Olson looks over Monday's DraftKings slate, turning to Mets righty Zack Wheeler on the road in Philly.
FanDuel MLB: Friday Value Plays
162 days ago
Mike Barner tees up Friday's FanDuel slate, rolling with Giants third baseman Evan Longoria against visiting Colorado.
DraftKings MLB: Thursday Picks
163 days ago
Chris Olson previews Thursday's DraftKings slate, rolling with Oakland's Matt Olson on the road against lowly Baltimore.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2015
For all the hype surrounding Rosario as a prospect and buzz around his arrival to the big leagues, his debut sure was a disappointment. He walked at a meager 1.8 percent clip while striking out nearly 29 percent of the time, and when he did make contact, it typically ended with a whimper. Rosario drove the ball into the ground half the time (50.9 percent groundball rate) and posted an 84.3 mph average exit velocity, which ranked 328th among 387 players with at least 100 at-bats. He showed an ability to hit at the upper levels of the minors and he can run, but the 22-year-old may be a near-zero in the power department in the coming seasons, and there's no guarantee he'll hit major-league pitching for a high average. The pedigree will entice some to gamble on a bounce-back, but the upside for 2018 isn't all that high.
Patience is often preached when analyzing toolsy high-pedigree prospects who are not producing in the lower levels, and with good reason. Rosario posted a 97 wRC+ with zero home runs and 12 steals as a 19-year-old at High-A St. Lucie in 2015, but he broke out in a major way last year, as the production finally started to match the talent. A 132 wRC+ and 36:21 K:BB in 66 games at High-A earned him a midseason promotion to the Eastern League, and that is when things started to get a little absurd. His numbers as a 20-year-old with Double-A Binghamton can almost be thrown out, considering his .433 BABIP. However, even when accounting for luck, that kind of success means something, given his age, level and defensive home. Scouts agree, as there are few players in the minors who receive the rave reviews that follow whenever Rosario's name gets brought up. He should offer across-the-board production in his prime years, with batting average, steals and runs being his top contributions. He could take over at shortstop for the Mets as early as this summer.
Rosario was signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2012, and has emerged as the organization’s token toolsy shortstop who is a long way from the big leagues. He only has seven games in a full season league on his resume. In 290 plate appearances at short-season Brooklyn last season, he slashed .289/.337/.380 with one home run and seven steals. At 6-foot-2, 170 pounds, he has some filling out to do, but there is little doubt that he will be able to stick at shortstop. Owning Rosario in a dynasty league requires extreme patience, but the payoff could be huge down the line. He has the most upside of any hitter in the Mets’ system, but the risk is equally high. If everything clicks, he will be a top-10 shortstop with offensive contributions across the board, but he may not reach the majors until 2018.
More Fantasy News
Stationed on bench Sunday
SSNew York Mets
September 30, 2018
Rosario is not in the lineup Sunday against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Swipes two bags in extra-innings win
SSNew York Mets
September 30, 2018
Rosario went 1-for-3 with a walk and two stolen bases in Saturday's 1-0 extra-innings win over the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Hits bench Saturday
SSNew York Mets
September 29, 2018
Rosario is not in the lineup for Saturday's game against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Eclipses 20 stolen bases
SSNew York Mets
September 19, 2018
Rosario went 3-for-4 with a pair of stolen bases in Wednesday's loss to the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Doubles, plates run vs. Boston
SSNew York Mets
September 16, 2018
Rosario went 2-for-4 with a double, an RBI and a run scored Sunday against the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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