Jeimer Candelario
Jeimer Candelario
27-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Detroit Tigers
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Candelario has teased us in the past with flashes for the Tigers. We're ready to be hurt again. The improvement he showed in 2020 was extraordinary; Candelario hit just a shade under .300, up nearly 100 points from 2019, with 21 extra-base hits over 206 PA. In total, his offensive contributions added up to a 137 wRC+. Statcast says he overachieved by 20 points in the BA department, which makes sense given his BABIP was .372, though in fairness to Candelario he was in the 86th percentile in hard-hit rate, so a lot of those base hits were deserved. He's routinely sat around a 25% strikeout rate and improved upon that mark in 2020 even while adding power. His supporting cast is not good, but the team context means Candelario should have an ultra-secure role. Throw in dual eligibility (1B and 3B) in leagues with a 10-game minimum and Candelario looks like a nice corner-infield pick with upside. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#264
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2.85 million contract with the Tigers in January of 2021.
Arrives at camp
1BDetroit Tigers
February 20, 2021
Candelario arrived at Tigers camp Saturday and participated in fielding drills, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Candelario was one of several Detroit position players to arrive early, as full-squad workouts don't start until Monday. The 27-year-old might be preparing for increased competition at first base with the Tigers adding Renato Nunez on a minor-league deal this month. Candelario performed well in a shortened 2020 season, finishing with a career-best .872 OPS along with seven home runs and 29 RBI in 52 games, so he should get the first crack at first base, though Nunez and his 43 home runs the past two years looms as a threat to his playing time.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
1
25
6
5
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
6
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+16%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+37%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+27%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .797 302 40 9 37 0 .277 .351 .446
Since 2018vs Right .689 909 101 25 78 7 .214 .312 .377
2020vs Left 1.105 44 7 2 8 0 .400 .455 .650
2020vs Right .808 162 23 5 21 1 .269 .346 .462
2019vs Left .572 95 8 1 8 0 .193 .295 .277
2019vs Right .666 291 25 7 24 3 .206 .309 .357
2018vs Left .842 163 25 6 21 0 .291 .356 .486
2018vs Right .661 456 53 13 33 3 .199 .303 .358
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+21%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .730 582 72 17 53 2 .229 .328 .402
Since 2018Away .709 617 69 17 61 5 .234 .316 .393
2020Home .809 95 15 3 10 0 .264 .326 .483
2020Away .976 99 15 4 18 1 .348 .414 .562
2019Home .693 176 15 4 16 1 .208 .324 .369
2019Away .602 210 18 4 16 2 .199 .290 .312
2018Home .724 311 42 10 27 1 .228 .331 .393
2018Away .695 308 36 9 27 2 .221 .302 .393
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Stat Review
How does Jeimer Candelario compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.41
 
BB Rate
9.7%
 
K Rate
23.8%
 
BABIP
.372
 
ISO
.205
 
AVG
.297
 
OBP
.369
 
SLG
.503
 
OPS
.872
 
wOBA
.388
 
Exit Velocity
84.5 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
36.0%
 
Barrels/PA
7.8%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jeimer Candelario
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Yesterday
Erik Halterman analyzes the top job battles on every major league team, including a look at the Mets' closer situation. Will Edwin Diaz regain the job this season?
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2 days ago
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8 days ago
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16 days ago
Jeff Erickson ranks the players at each position for the 2021 RotoWire Fantasy Baseball Guide.
The Z Files: Hot Tracks at the Hot Corner
65 days ago
Todd Zola spins the hits at third base, where his tiers approach leaves Jose Ramirez in a class all by himself.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
Candelario opened 2019 as the Tigers' third baseman, often entrusted at leadoff. He failed to take advantage and was sent to Triple-A Toledo after posting a .192/.285/.288 line through 28 games. Candelario righted the ship and was recalled in late May. This pattern continued throughout the season. Candelario would struggle with the Tigers and sent down to the Mudhens where he'd rake -- lather, rinse, repeat. To be fair, Candelario's .203 average was a bit lower than his .229 xBA, but even the expected mark is poor; he's overmatched by MLB pitching. Candelario makes frequent contact on four-seamers, but it's weak, with the lowest average exit velocity of all pitches. His strikeout rate on curves, sliders and cutters was 42%. The Tigers will give Candelario the chance to break camp at first base, but unless he learns to square up heat and improve contact on movement, he will be on a Quad-A path.
Defense gets prospects to the major leagues while offense keeps them there. Candelario had a strong sophomore season defensively after barely losing his rookie status in 2017. The counting stats show mostly a repeat of his efforts at Triple-A, as he has been working on getting more loft to his swing over the past two seasons. He has improved a 1.5 groundball-to-flyball ratio down to around 1:1. That said, his pull tendencies (46.6%), high strikeout rate (25.8%) and below-average speed led to batting average challenges. It is tough to have a sub-.225 average with an 11% walk rate, but Candelario pulled it off last season. His switch-hitting abilities are rather lopsided as he is 15% below the league average for his career against righties while being 30% above league average against lefties. The batting average struggles will continue as long as his splits remain that stark.
Blocked by Kris Bryant during his time as a member of the Cubs, Candelario's path to become a big-league regular improved following a midseason trade to the Tigers. After the trade, Candelario spent his first month in his new organization at Triple-A, but he has little left to prove at that level with a career .292/.373/.507 line and 24 homers in 767 plate appearances over two seasons. At age 24, he should get a chance to hold down the everyday job at third base for Detroit, thanks to his steady glove, and the ability to switch-hit, which makes him less susceptible to falling into a platoon. Candelario has shown a discerning eye at the plate in the upper levels of the minors, and that skill has held up during his limited exposure to major-league pitching. At this stage, he looks like a good hitter with developing power, making him an intriguing corner-infield option now that he has a chance to play regularly.
Candelario took a step back at the plate at the Double-A level in 2016, whiffing at an increased clip and seeing his OPS drop from .841 in the second half of 2015 to .690 at the start of 2016. He was promoted anyway to Triple-A Iowa, where he saw a significant spike across the board in his overall offensive performance in the hitter-friendly environments of the Pacific Coast League. A brief five-game taste of the big leagues in early July answers little about his ability to handle big league pitching, and the greater obstacle for Candelario is that he's currently behind Kris Bryant on the organizational depth chart. A path to regular playing time in the majors may require a deal to another organization, and his advanced eye at the plate (12.3 percent walk rate at Triple-A, 17.2 percent strikeout rate) will help fuel interest from other clubs. Assuming that he remains with the Cubs, the switch-hitting Candelario will likely return to Iowa to begin 2017.
More Fantasy News
Avoids arbitration
1BDetroit Tigers
Back
January 15, 2021
Candelario (back) and the Tigers reached a one-year, $2.85 million deal Friday, avoiding arbitration, Jon Heyman of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Placed on injured list
1BDetroit Tigers
Back
September 25, 2020
Candelario landed on the 10-day injured list with a lower-back strain Friday.
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Leaves with back tightness
1BDetroit Tigers
Back
September 24, 2020
Candelario left Thursday's game against the Royals with lower-back tightness and is considered day-to-day.
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Stays hot
1BDetroit Tigers
September 15, 2020
Candelario went 3-for-5 with two runs scored during Tuesday's 6-0 victory over the Royals.
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Big power display in twin bill
1BDetroit Tigers
September 10, 2020
Candelario hit home runs in both ends of Thursday's doubleheader against the Cardinals, going a combined 5-for-6 with a walk, a double, two homers and five RBI.
ANALYSIS
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