Billy McKinney
Billy McKinney
26-Year-Old OutfielderOF
New York Mets
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Though he drew hype as a prospect in the Yankees' organization, McKinney failed to command regular playing time in the Blue Jays' outfield. As a result, McKinney was DFA'd by the Blue Jays and joined his third organization after being claimed by the Brewers. Due to Milwaukee's lack of offseason moves, McKinney could be called into a relatively large role as an outfielder or first baseman in 2021. However, even if he manages to fall into playing time, McKinney has given little indication that he'll produce anything worthwhile in fantasy. Across 411 plate appearances in the big leagues, he's posted just a .231/.291/.437 line. With a 25.8 K%, he's failed to make consistent contact. More problematic, even when he does get the bat on the ball, McKinney has posted below-average exit velocity and hard-hit rates. Entering his age-26 season, McKinney is running out of chances to prove he's a viable major-leaguer. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#601
ADP
$Traded to the Mets in May of 2021.
Sitting again Monday
OFNew York Mets
June 21, 2021
McKinney is out of the lineup for the first game of Monday's doubleheader with Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
Atlanta hasn't announced whether lefty Kyle Muller or righty Ian Anderson will serve as its starting pitcher for Game 1, but the lefty-hitting McKinney will nonetheless find himself on the bench for the third game in a row. McKinney has sat against a pair of southpaws (Jon Lester and Patrick Corbin) the past two days, so he would still seem to have a hold on a strong-side platoon role in the corner outfield for now. McKinney will presumably shift into a reserve role when Michael Conforto (hamstring) and Brandon Nimmo (finger) are likely reinstated from the injured list by the end of the week.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
1
1
1
7
11
6
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
5
1
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+17%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+17%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
-100%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .627 95 15 4 8 1 .202 .245 .382
Since 2019vs Right .733 354 43 15 38 1 .225 .289 .444
2021vs Left .637 41 5 1 2 1 .211 .268 .368
2021vs Right .748 129 15 6 16 1 .222 .287 .462
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 1.333 3 1 0 0 0 .667 .667 .667
2019vs Left .619 54 10 3 6 0 .196 .226 .392
2019vs Right .715 222 27 9 22 0 .220 .285 .430
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+1%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
-100%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+15%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .684 201 28 8 20 0 .219 .285 .399
Since 2019Away .731 248 30 11 26 2 .221 .275 .456
2021Home .724 76 11 1 6 0 .265 .342 .382
2021Away .717 94 9 6 12 2 .184 .234 .483
2020Home 1.333 3 1 0 0 0 .667 .667 .667
2020Away .000 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2019Home .641 122 16 7 14 0 .179 .240 .402
2019Away .740 154 21 5 14 0 .245 .301 .439
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Stat Review
How does Billy McKinney compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.33
 
BB Rate
8.2%
 
K Rate
24.7%
 
BABIP
.252
 
ISO
.219
 
AVG
.219
 
OBP
.282
 
SLG
.439
 
OPS
.721
 
wOBA
.311
 
Exit Velocity
80.5 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
35.1%
 
Barrels/PA
6.1%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Billy McKinney
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
McKinney has done little with his major-league opportunities so far, and his spot on the Blue Jays' 40-man roster should be considered tenuous, at best. The 25-year-old amassed just a .696 OPS with 12 home runs in 84 games in 2019. Although McKinney is still only 25, the 2013 first-round pick is already onto his fourth different major-league organization. The outfielder recorded a 26.4 K% while his walk rate dropped to 6.9%, showing a decline in plate discipline from an already-shaky level. His below-average power and lack of speed make him a weak fantasy outfielder even when he is getting the playing time. If he doesn't tear it up in Dunedin this spring, McKinney could find himself on the outs in favor of Derek Fisher or someone else who can play center field, which McKinney cannot.
With the trade from New York to Toronto at the deadline, McKinney moved onto his fourth different major-league organization in six years since he was drafted with the 24th overall pick by the A's in 2013. It's not a great sign when three teams throw in the towel on you before your 23rd birthday. It's not like McKinney is a total scrub, but he can't play center field and the bat is light for a corner spot. McKinney got his first real look in the majors down the stretch and the results were respectable, as McKinney slugged .470 and posted a .338 wOBA in 128 plate appearances with the Blue Jays. However, he also struck out a quarter of the time and went just 3-for-21 (.143 AVG) against left-handed pitching. On a rebuilding Blue Jays team, McKinney will likely get a chance to prove himself further, but if he's not hitting for average he will need to keep up a similar homer pace to maintain steady playing time.
The Yankees have so much position player depth that McKinney, who is 23 and was 40 percent better than the average International League hitter last year, has no obvious path to make the big-league roster this spring. After dominating Triple-A pitching over the second half of the season, McKinney slashed .279/.373/.426 in the Arizona Fall League, where he was playing first base, as the Yankees have more outfielders than they know what to do with. If Greg Bird were to struggle significantly or get hurt, McKinney could take over the strong side of a first base platoon with Tyler Austin. He could also be called upon to DH against righties if injuries strike the big-league roster, but those are the only two obvious paths to 2018 at-bats. While he excelled at Triple-A, his performance over 269 games at Double-A was rarely inspiring, so this will serve as a prove-it year against Triple-A pitching. While he may never get the chance in New York, McKinney could provide 20-homer pop and a .260 or .270 average over a full season.
McKinney was acquired by the Yankees from the Cubs as part of the Aroldis Chapman deal, but he has seen his prospect luster fade over the last two seasons. Perhaps McKinney's best tool is his strike-zone judgment, as he drew 59 walks in 123 games in 2016 at Double-A Tennessee and Trenton. However, he hit just .246 with four home runs and four steals over that span. The 22-year-old lefty has never stolen more than eight bases in a season, while clubbing just 11 home runs combined over the past two seasons. If McKinney cannot hit closer to .300, as he did in 2015, his upside is extremely limited, as he does not possess plus power or plus speed on the basepaths. McKinney may be a better real-life player than fantasy contributor, but the Yankees can afford to send him back to Double-A to begin 2017 with the hope that he will push his way to Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre over the course of the year.
Addison Russell was the big prize from Oakland in the Jeff Samardzija trade in 2014, but McKinney's no second banana. The numbers don't jump off the page, but they were still very good for a 20-year-old, including a .976 OPS for High-A Myrtle Beach and 26 doubles in 274 at-bats for Double-A Tennessee, and he may be the Cubs' best prospect at this point. Unfortunately, a hairline fracture in his knee ended his 2015 season prematurely. He's shown good contact in his three years in the minors, topping 75 percent contact rate at every stop and drawing walks at a decent clip. If those doubles turn into home runs, look out. One area of concern, however: after stealing 14 bases over his first two years in the minors, he had zero (in just two attempts) last year. While the future is bright, a lack of stolen bases limits his fantasy upside.
Though Addison Russell was the big prize in the July trade for Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel, savvy dynasty leaguers noted the change of scenery for McKinney, a first-round draft pick in 2013. Still just 20, McKinney already has almost 800 plate appearances in the minors and has a good power/speed combination. Coupled with a decent batting eye (61:100 BB:K ratio in High-A last year), he has the potential to be a star for the Cubs if they can find room for him.
McKinney was the A's first-round draft pick in 2013 out of high school in Plano, Texas. The 18-year-old outfielder amassed 215 at-bats across Rookie Ball and Low-A and hit .326 with three homers and eight steals. Most scouts' take on McKinney is that his quick and short swing will translate well to professional baseball and while he does not truly excel in any particular area, he is a very complete and well-rounded player. McKinney only turned 19 in August, so he is a long ways from the majors, but he will be watched closely this year in High-A and could progress through the system fairly rapidly, especially for a player drafted out of high school.
More Fantasy News
Idle versus lefty
OFNew York Mets
June 20, 2021
McKinney is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Nationals, Mike Puma of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Takes seat for Game 2
OFNew York Mets
June 19, 2021
McKinney isn't starting Game 2 of Saturday's doubleheader against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Returning, as expected
OFNew York Mets
June 14, 2021
Mckinney (knee) will start in right field and bat fifth Monday against the Cubs, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expected back in lineup Monday
OFNew York Mets
Knee
June 13, 2021
McKinney (knee) remains out of the lineup for Sunday's series finale against the Padres, but the Mets expect him to start in the outfield Monday against the Cubs, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Day-to-day with knee soreness
OFNew York Mets
Knee
June 12, 2021
Manager Luis Rojas said Saturday that an MRI on McKinney's sore right knee came back clean, leaving the outfielder day-to-day for the time being, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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