Tyler O'Neill
23-Year-Old OutfielderOF
St. Louis Cardinals AAA
2019 Fantasy Outlook
O'Neill split his time in 2018 between Triple-A Memphis and St. Louis, and certainly flashed his big-league potential with nine home runs in only 142 at-bats while showing off an impressive outfield glove. The 23-year-old has little else to prove after posting a 1.078 OPS at Triple-A, but it remains to be seen if that success will translate to the majors. The big issue is his plate discipline. He posted a 40.1 K% and 4.9 BB% with the Cardinals. It was obviously a small sample size, but his strikeout rate ranked third worst in MLB among hitters with 100-plus PA, behind only Drew Robinson and Brett Phillips. Players like Aaron Judge have famously overcome similarly rough debuts, and O'Neill won't turn 24 until June 22. He will certainly get a chance to showcase himself come spring training, and has as much raw power as anyone on the roster. However, the Cardinals' outfield depth means he may be ticketed for Triple-A again to start the season. Read Past Outlooks
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Solid since return to Redbirds
OFSt. Louis Cardinals  AAA
May 13, 2019
O'Neill is hitting .293 (12-for-41) with five home runs, 11 RBI, three walks, a stolen base and 12 runs in 10 games since returning to Triple-A Memphis.
ANALYSIS
O'Neill was optioned to the Redbirds on May 4 following a solid 21-game stint at the big-league level to open the season. The slugging outfielder did continue struggling with contact (46.2 percent strikeout rage) during that stint, but his work with the Redbirds since being sent down is certainly encouraging. The big-league club's outfield remains crowded at the moment with Jose Martinez keeping himself in the lineup due to his red-hot bat, but O'Neill is likely to be back up at some point in the season.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+216%
OPS vs RHP
2018
Even Split
2017
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .687 41 11 2 6 1 .237 .293 .395
Since 2017vs Right .800 140 22 8 21 1 .262 .300 .500
2019vs Left .250 8 1 0 0 0 .125 .125 .125
2019vs Right .789 31 3 1 4 0 .300 .323 .467
2018vs Left .800 33 10 2 6 1 .267 .333 .467
2018vs Right .804 109 19 7 17 1 .250 .294 .510
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+27%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+29%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+40%
OPS at Home
2017
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .859 98 17 6 17 2 .284 .337 .523
Since 2017Away .678 83 16 4 10 0 .225 .253 .425
2019Home .571 14 2 0 1 0 .286 .286 .286
2019Away .738 25 2 1 3 0 .250 .280 .458
2018Home .913 84 15 6 16 2 .284 .345 .568
2018Away .652 58 14 3 7 0 .214 .241 .411
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Tyler O'Neill compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.06
 
BB Rate
2.6%
 
K Rate
46.2%
 
BABIP
.474
 
ISO
.132
 
AVG
.263
 
OBP
.282
 
SLG
.395
 
OPS
.677
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Cardinals Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Tyler O'Neill
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
21 days ago
Jan Levine returns to survey the National League free-agent landscape, with Carter Kieboom looking good because of a strong path to regular playing time.
The Z Files: Early Playing Time Beneficiaries
23 days ago
Todd Zola looks at players who are well ahead of their preseason playing time projections and doesn't think Luke Voit is coming out of the Yankees' lineup any time soon.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
28 days ago
Among his selections, Ryan Rufe singles out Cole Tucker as a must-add due to his promising power and speed potential.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
42 days ago
Jan Levine surveys the free-agent landscape, including the Diamondbacks presenting a few prime add-ons at the plate and an analysis of the Brewers' bullpen battle.
SXM Highlights: Who Gets ABs if Marcell Ozuna Misses Time?
45 days ago
Liss & Jeff debate who on the Cardinals benefits if Marcell Ozuna's injury forces a trip to the IL.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
The Cardinals netted O'Neill from Seattle for a soft-tossing southpaw (Marco Gonzales) who brings a 5.47 MLB ERA into his age-26 season. That's a good way of contextualizing how valuable the 22-year-old slugger is. He has posted isolated power figures above .200 at every stop above rookie ball, but his .293 average (.364 BABIP) at Double-A in 2016 now looks like an extreme outlier. The power is very legitimate, but so are his swing and miss issues. He has kept his strikeout rate below 30 percent over the past two seasons, but he is the type of a player who gets to the majors and immediately strikes out roughly 35 percent of the time because there are fewer mistakes to crush and big-league pitchers will exploit the holes in his swing. Throw in the fact that the Cardinals have a heap of young big-league-ready outfielders, and it's hard to see where he fits in. If he appears in line to get regular at-bats, he will be worth rostering in deeper formats, but not before then.
O'Neill does not look the part of a top-50 prospect. He looks like he could be the body-building nephew of Ty Wigginton or Casey McGehee. Right or wrong, scouts factor in physical appearance, which is one reason why it took so long for the 5-foot-11, 210-pound corner outfielder to emerge as someone prospect hounds took seriously. Another factor that limited O'Neill's value heading into 2016 was the amount of swing-and-miss in his game. However, for the first time since he was 18 and playing in the Arizona League, he posted a strikeout rate south of 30 percent (26.1 percent). He also walked at a career-best 10.8 percent clip and sported a 152 wRC+ while playing in the neutral hitting environments of the Southern League, putting to rest any concerns that his 2015 numbers were buoyed by the thin air of the Cal League. The power is plus, the hit tool is average, and the bandwagon is starting to fill up.
After hitting 13 homers in 57 games at Low-A in 2014, O’Neill exploded for 32 big flies in 106 games with High-A Bakersfield last season. There are some flaws in his game -- namely a dubious hit tool, an abundance of swing-and-miss and uncertainty about where he is best suited to play in the field. O’Neill’s 30.5-percent K rate last season was not completely irresponsible given his game power, but if his home run production dips then that K rate would quickly become more unsavory. His .260/.316/.558 slash line can also be downgraded a bit due to the extreme hitting environments of Bakersfield and the California League in general. He stole 16 bases on 21 attempts, but at 5-foot-11, 205, double-digit steals seem unlikely. O’Neill’s overall value will ultimately hinge on his hit tool. If he can hit .240 or .250, then he could be an everyday player in left field or DH.
More Fantasy News
Sent to Triple-A
OFSt. Louis Cardinals  AAA
May 4, 2019
ANALYSIS
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Pinch hits in return
OFSt. Louis Cardinals  AAA
April 27, 2019
O'Neill (elbow) was retired as a pinch hitter in a loss to the Reds on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Returns from injury
OFSt. Louis Cardinals  AAA
April 26, 2019
O'Neill (elbow) was activated off the 10-day injured list Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Another hitless rehab outing
OFSt. Louis Cardinals  AAA
Elbow
April 24, 2019
O'Neill (elbow) went 0-for-4 in Double-A Springfield's loss to Amarillo on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Hitless in first rehab game
OFSt. Louis Cardinals  AAA
Elbow
April 23, 2019
O'Neill (elbow) went 0-for-3 with two strikeouts in Double-A Springfield's loss to Amarillo on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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