Tyler O'Neill
25-Year-Old OutfielderOF
2020 Fantasy Outlook
O'Neill was slowed by a number of injuries during the 2019 campaign, and as a result, he was limited to 60 major-league contests. During that span, he hit .262 with five home runs and 16 RBI, though he struck out at an alarming rate (35.1 K%) and finished with a 91 wRC+. He also walked in just 6.6% of his plate appearances. Oddly enough, O'Neill showcased more power against right-handed pitching, as all five of his long balls came against right-handers. O'Neill's sample size in the big leagues is still relatively small at this point, but he continues to struggle with plate discipline along with maintaining good health over the course of a major-league season. Taking into consideration the depth that the Cardinals currently have in the outfield, the 24-year-old appears to have his work cut out for him in spring training if he's to make the Opening Day roster. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#458
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Candidate for cleanup duties
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
August 6, 2020
O'Neill was mentioned by manager Mike Shildt on Wednesday as a candidate for cleanup hitter duties with Paul DeJong (illness) out of action for the time being, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The young outfielder has already slugged two home runs over his first 17 plate appearances, and although he's hitting only .200 overall in that small sample, O'Neill does have the power to fill the No. 4 spot in the lineup in the short term. The one other positive aspect of O'Neill's early season performance has been an almost complete absence of strikeouts -- a frequent problem for him in the past -- as the 25-year-old has whiffed only once.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2018
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+13%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
-100%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+13%
OPS vs RHP
2018
Even Split
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .696 65 13 2 6 1 .254 .323 .373
Since 2018vs Right .787 245 36 14 37 2 .256 .302 .485
2020vs Left .000 3 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2020vs Right 1.107 14 2 2 4 0 .250 .357 .750
2019vs Left .653 29 3 0 0 0 .269 .345 .308
2019vs Right .738 122 15 5 16 1 .261 .303 .435
2018vs Left .800 33 10 2 6 1 .267 .333 .467
2018vs Right .804 109 19 7 17 1 .250 .294 .510
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+59%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+11%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+90%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+40%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .945 157 25 11 30 2 .305 .363 .582
Since 2018Away .593 153 24 5 13 1 .207 .248 .345
2020Home .856 10 1 1 2 0 .222 .300 .556
2020Away .952 7 1 1 2 0 .167 .286 .667
2019Home 1.000 63 9 4 12 0 .345 .397 .603
2019Away .527 88 9 1 4 1 .205 .250 .277
2018Home .913 84 15 6 16 2 .284 .345 .568
2018Away .652 58 14 3 7 0 .214 .241 .411
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Stat Review
How does Tyler O'Neill compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
1.00
 
BB Rate
5.9%
 
K Rate
5.9%
 
BABIP
.083
 
ISO
.400
 
AVG
.200
 
OBP
.294
 
SLG
.600
 
OPS
.894
 
wOBA
.382
 
Exit Velocity
83.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
35.7%
 
Barrels/PA
11.8%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Tyler O'Neill
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14 days ago
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26 days ago
Chris needs Clayton Kershaw to do some heavy lifting on his hitting-heavy NFBC team.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
O'Neill split his time in 2018 between Triple-A Memphis and St. Louis, and certainly flashed his big-league potential with nine home runs in only 142 at-bats while showing off an impressive outfield glove. The 23-year-old has little else to prove after posting a 1.078 OPS at Triple-A, but it remains to be seen if that success will translate to the majors. The big issue is his plate discipline. He posted a 40.1 K% and 4.9 BB% with the Cardinals. It was obviously a small sample size, but his strikeout rate ranked third worst in MLB among hitters with 100-plus PA, behind only Drew Robinson and Brett Phillips. Players like Aaron Judge have famously overcome similarly rough debuts, and O'Neill won't turn 24 until June 22. He will certainly get a chance to showcase himself come spring training, and has as much raw power as anyone on the roster. However, the Cardinals' outfield depth means he may be ticketed for Triple-A again to start the season.
The Cardinals netted O'Neill from Seattle for a soft-tossing southpaw (Marco Gonzales) who brings a 5.47 MLB ERA into his age-26 season. That's a good way of contextualizing how valuable the 22-year-old slugger is. He has posted isolated power figures above .200 at every stop above rookie ball, but his .293 average (.364 BABIP) at Double-A in 2016 now looks like an extreme outlier. The power is very legitimate, but so are his swing and miss issues. He has kept his strikeout rate below 30 percent over the past two seasons, but he is the type of a player who gets to the majors and immediately strikes out roughly 35 percent of the time because there are fewer mistakes to crush and big-league pitchers will exploit the holes in his swing. Throw in the fact that the Cardinals have a heap of young big-league-ready outfielders, and it's hard to see where he fits in. If he appears in line to get regular at-bats, he will be worth rostering in deeper formats, but not before then.
O'Neill does not look the part of a top-50 prospect. He looks like he could be the body-building nephew of Ty Wigginton or Casey McGehee. Right or wrong, scouts factor in physical appearance, which is one reason why it took so long for the 5-foot-11, 210-pound corner outfielder to emerge as someone prospect hounds took seriously. Another factor that limited O'Neill's value heading into 2016 was the amount of swing-and-miss in his game. However, for the first time since he was 18 and playing in the Arizona League, he posted a strikeout rate south of 30 percent (26.1 percent). He also walked at a career-best 10.8 percent clip and sported a 152 wRC+ while playing in the neutral hitting environments of the Southern League, putting to rest any concerns that his 2015 numbers were buoyed by the thin air of the Cal League. The power is plus, the hit tool is average, and the bandwagon is starting to fill up.
After hitting 13 homers in 57 games at Low-A in 2014, O’Neill exploded for 32 big flies in 106 games with High-A Bakersfield last season. There are some flaws in his game -- namely a dubious hit tool, an abundance of swing-and-miss and uncertainty about where he is best suited to play in the field. O’Neill’s 30.5-percent K rate last season was not completely irresponsible given his game power, but if his home run production dips then that K rate would quickly become more unsavory. His .260/.316/.558 slash line can also be downgraded a bit due to the extreme hitting environments of Bakersfield and the California League in general. He stole 16 bases on 21 attempts, but at 5-foot-11, 205, double-digit steals seem unlikely. O’Neill’s overall value will ultimately hinge on his hit tool. If he can hit .240 or .250, then he could be an everyday player in left field or DH.
More Fantasy News
Blasts second homer
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
July 28, 2020
O'Neill went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run in Tuesday's 6-3 loss to the Twins.
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Kicks off season with home run
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
July 24, 2020
O'Neill went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in Friday's win over the Pirates.
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Clear favorite for starting job
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
July 17, 2020
O'Neill is expected to begin the season as the Cardinals' starting left fielder, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.
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Still a main contender for LF job
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
June 30, 2020
O'Neill will begin the team's summer camp as a primary contender for the starting left field job, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
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Lauded by coach for speed
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
May 4, 2020
O'Neill was recently cited by assistant coach Willie McGee for, among other traits, his underrated speed, Rick Hummel of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports. "He can run, man," McGee said. "I didn't know he was that quick. He's right up there in the league with all the rest of them from home to first."
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