Tyler O'Neill
23-Year-Old OutfielderOF
2018 Fantasy Outlook
The Cardinals netted O'Neill from Seattle for a soft-tossing southpaw (Marco Gonzales) who brings a 5.47 MLB ERA into his age-26 season. That's a good way of contextualizing how valuable the 22-year-old slugger is. He has posted isolated power figures above .200 at every stop above rookie ball, but his .293 average (.364 BABIP) at Double-A in 2016 now looks like an extreme outlier. The power is very legitimate, but so are his swing and miss issues. He has kept his strikeout rate below 30 percent over the past two seasons, but he is the type of a player who gets to the majors and immediately strikes out roughly 35 percent of the time because there are fewer mistakes to crush and big-league pitchers will exploit the holes in his swing. Throw in the fact that the Cardinals have a heap of young big-league-ready outfielders, and it's hard to see where he fits in. If he appears in line to get regular at-bats, he will be worth rostering in deeper formats, but not before then. Read Past Outlooks
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Clubs pinch-hit homer
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
September 12, 2018
O'Neill went 1-for-1 with a walk and a three-run home run in Tuesday's 11-5 win over the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
O'Neill really put the game out of reach when he clubbed a pinch-hit, three-run homer -- his eighth of the year -- off Nick Burdi in the eighth inning to give the Cardinals an eight-run lead. Prior to the blast O'Neill had gone hitless over his last 11 at-bats, striking out seven times against no walks.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2017
No Stats
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .877 28 8 2 5 1 .280 .357 .520
Since 2016vs Right .774 102 17 6 16 1 .245 .284 .489
2018vs Left .877 28 8 2 5 1 .280 .357 .520
2018vs Right .774 102 17 6 16 1 .245 .284 .489
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+33%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+33%
OPS at Home
2017
No Stats
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .885 79 13 5 15 2 .286 .342 .543
Since 2016Away .664 51 12 3 6 0 .204 .235 .429
2018Home .885 79 13 5 15 2 .286 .342 .543
2018Away .664 51 12 3 6 0 .204 .235 .429
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Tyler O'Neill compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.13
 
BB Rate
5.3%
 
K Rate
41.2%
 
BABIP
.367
 
ISO
.242
 
AVG
.250
 
OBP
.298
 
SLG
.492
 
OPS
.789
 
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
O'Neill does not look the part of a top-50 prospect. He looks like he could be the body-building nephew of Ty Wigginton or Casey McGehee. Right or wrong, scouts factor in physical appearance, which is one reason why it took so long for the 5-foot-11, 210-pound corner outfielder to emerge as someone prospect hounds took seriously. Another factor that limited O'Neill's value heading into 2016 was the amount of swing-and-miss in his game. However, for the first time since he was 18 and playing in the Arizona League, he posted a strikeout rate south of 30 percent (26.1 percent). He also walked at a career-best 10.8 percent clip and sported a 152 wRC+ while playing in the neutral hitting environments of the Southern League, putting to rest any concerns that his 2015 numbers were buoyed by the thin air of the Cal League. The power is plus, the hit tool is average, and the bandwagon is starting to fill up.
After hitting 13 homers in 57 games at Low-A in 2014, O’Neill exploded for 32 big flies in 106 games with High-A Bakersfield last season. There are some flaws in his game -- namely a dubious hit tool, an abundance of swing-and-miss and uncertainty about where he is best suited to play in the field. O’Neill’s 30.5-percent K rate last season was not completely irresponsible given his game power, but if his home run production dips then that K rate would quickly become more unsavory. His .260/.316/.558 slash line can also be downgraded a bit due to the extreme hitting environments of Bakersfield and the California League in general. He stole 16 bases on 21 attempts, but at 5-foot-11, 205, double-digit steals seem unlikely. O’Neill’s overall value will ultimately hinge on his hit tool. If he can hit .240 or .250, then he could be an everyday player in left field or DH.
More Fantasy News
Heads to bench
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
September 2, 2018
O'Neill is out of the lineup Sunday against the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Clubs two-run homer
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
August 28, 2018
O'Neill went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in a win over the Pirates on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Another homer in win
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
August 27, 2018
O'Neill went 2-for-5 with a two-run home run and two runs overall in a win over the Rockies on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Homers, drives in two
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
August 25, 2018
O'Neill went 2-for-5 with a home run, a double, two RBI and two runs in Friday's win over the Rockies.
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Cracks pinch-hit homer
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
August 22, 2018
O'Neill hit a game-tying, pinch-hit solo homer in Wednesday's win over the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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