Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Washington Nationals
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Schwarber continued to hit the ball out of the park in 2020, but his overall numbers took a tumble. The slugger suffered from some bad luck during the condensed slate, as his .219 BABIP came in well below his career .267 mark. Schwarber's SLG fell from .531 in 2019 to .393 last year, with only six doubles in 59 games, despite 95th percentile exit velocity. The 27-year-old has always been a bit of a slow starter, with his career OPS lowest in April and May, and in 2020 he did not have time to heat up. The Cubs should have taken advantage of the DH more with Schwarber as his defense was so poor in 48 starts in left field that it washed away most of his offensive contributions. While Chicago did not bring him back, there should still be plenty of suitors for Schwarber's bat in 2021. He figures to get back near an .800 OPS and 30 home runs, with plenty of strikeouts and a sub-.250 batting average mixed in. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#194
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $10 million contract with the Nationals in January of 2021.
Making adjustments at plate
OFWashington Nationals
February 26, 2021
Schwarber has worked this offseason to adjust his batting stance in an effort to better handle balls low in the zone, Jesse Dougherty of The Washington Post reports.
ANALYSIS
In college, Schwarber had more of a pronounced squat to his stance, but in the majors he's gradually straightened up to deal with high heat. After signing with the Nats in January, he met up with hitting coach Kevin Long and worked on a swing that attempted to balance the two approaches while also staying back a touch longer. Schwarber's power has never been in question, but an improved ability to make hard contact on the edges of the strike zone could get his batting average back into a palatable range without sacrificing home runs.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
1
30
11
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
3
6
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+25%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+25%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+19%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+31%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .689 274 26 9 29 1 .219 .318 .371
Since 2018vs Right .861 1065 149 66 148 6 .240 .346 .515
2020vs Left .596 59 3 2 4 0 .192 .288 .308
2020vs Right .746 160 26 9 20 1 .191 .313 .434
2019vs Left .756 124 17 6 18 0 .229 .306 .450
2019vs Right .900 486 65 32 74 2 .255 .348 .552
2018vs Left .654 91 6 1 7 1 .224 .352 .303
2018vs Right .859 419 58 25 54 3 .241 .356 .503
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+21%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+23%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .848 662 93 34 80 3 .248 .352 .496
Since 2018Away .805 662 81 40 96 4 .225 .328 .477
2020Home .645 119 15 5 11 0 .175 .286 .359
2020Away .781 85 13 5 12 1 .219 .329 .452
2019Home .962 300 45 18 45 1 .283 .377 .585
2019Away .783 310 37 20 47 1 .218 .303 .480
2018Home .806 243 33 11 24 2 .240 .355 .451
2018Away .838 267 31 15 37 2 .237 .356 .482
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Stat Review
How does Kyle Schwarber compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.45
 
BB Rate
13.4%
 
K Rate
29.5%
 
BABIP
.219
 
ISO
.204
 
AVG
.188
 
OBP
.308
 
SLG
.393
 
OPS
.701
 
wOBA
.313
 
Exit Velocity
84.3 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
41.0%
 
Barrels/PA
8.9%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Players who saw their 2019 homer total built off opposite-field home runs will suffer if the ball is dejuiced this season. Schwarber led all players with 15 homers to the opposite field in 2019, so that is a concern for the big bat. Last season marked the second time in three years Schwarber hit 30 homers, but 2019 was the first time he was truly an everyday player and fulfilled the run production expectations that have followed him for the past few seasons. Schwarber's Statcast metrics are littered with spots in the 90th percentile or above, highlighted by an average exit velocity in the 97th percentile and a hard-hit rate in the 99th percentile. Those numbers should help you feel better about a drop in homers with a new baseball potentially in play. Strikeout rate improving, batting average improving...good signs entering his age-27 season.
Most major-league hitters would be thrilled to smack 72 homers before their 26th birthday, especially after missing an entire season due to injury. However, expectations for Schwarber are higher than most, so thus far, he's deemed a disappointment. Two hurdles remain before he loses the label. First, Schwarber needs to make more contact, even in this era of increasing strikeouts. More importantly, the slugger needs to figure out how to handle southpaws better or he'll be saddled with platoon playing time, aiding his average but limiting overall production. In his favor: he's still young and possesses a good eye, posting a career 14% walk rate. In addition, his outfield defense is improving, so the gains versus lefties don't need to be that major, just better than the 85 wRC+ posted in 2018. Even with his faults, Schwarber is a threat to hit 30 long balls with a solid OBP. In leagues using average, be sure to have a buffer.
While Schwarber hit 30 home runs last season, his campaign has to be categorized as a major disappointment. He was excellent in the 2016 World Series after missing almost the entire year with a torn ligament in his knee, but failed to build on that momentum, batting just .171 over the first two and a half months of the season. Those prolonged struggles earned Schwarber a trip to the minors, and though the reset seemed to be beneficial, the swing and miss was still a problem after his return, with Schwarber striking out in one-third of his plate appearances the rest of the way. His struggles against left-handed pitching continued -- Schwarber now has a .159/.270/.312 career line against southpaws -- but to his credit Schwarber's defense in left field was better than most expected. The soon-to-be 25-year-old will have some appeal at a reduced cost given his power, but he's a batting-average liability, and his confinement to a platoon role means his run and RBI totals will continue to lag behind his everyday counterparts.
An outfield collision with Dexter Fowler in his second game of the season resulted in a torn ACL and MCL for Schwarber. Much to everyone's surprise, Schwarber was cleared to DH in the World Series, and it was like he'd never been away. Schwarber went 7-for-17 in the Fall Classic with three walks to four strikeouts, even adding a stolen base for good measure in Game 7. The fact that he was able to jump right back in against high-level pitching after nearly seven months away (and only a couple games in the Arizona Fall League to shake the rust) speaks to Schwarber's immense talent at the plate. Unfortunately, he lost catcher eligibility and it's uncertain how often he'll man the backstop in 2017. Chances are, he will play primarily in the outfield coming off such a serious knee injury, and with the emergence of Willson Contreras. Regardless, Schwarber remains a highly appealing option as he's among the best young hitters in the game.
All Schwarber does is hit, and the Cubs had no choice but to promote him last year when it appeared that no minor league level could hold him. His .246 batting average was a bit disappointing, but he made up for it with 16 home runs and 36 walks in limited regular-season action and five more homers in the postseason. Even better, though he moved to the outfield he still managed to catch 21 games in the majors, earning him valuable multi-position eligibility. It's doubtful that he can be an everyday catcher, but it's possible he could play enough behind the plate to continue to stay eligible there in the coming years. How does a catcher-eligible player who hits 25 home runs and bats .290 sound?
The Cubs drafted Schwarber with the fourth pick in the 2014 draft and he made an immediate impression in his three-level stint, hitting a combined 18 home runs in 262 at-bats with an on-base percentage north of .400. Though he played a lot of outfield in his first year as a pro, he's expected to be a full-time catcher in 2015, either at High-A Myrtle Beach or Double-A Tennessee. If he can prove himself there, he'll be on the fast track to Chicago, where he won't have many catchers to beat out.
More Fantasy News
Signs with Nationals
OFWashington Nationals
January 9, 2021
Schwarber signed a one-year, $10 million contract with the Nationals on Saturday, Jesse Dougherty of The Washington Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Non-tendered by Cubs
OFFree Agent
December 2, 2020
Schwarber was non-tendered by the Cubs on Wednesday, Jesse Rogers of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hits 11th home run
OFChicago Cubs
September 25, 2020
Schwarber went 2-for-3 with a solo home run in Friday's 10-0 win over the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Solid effort Monday
OFChicago Cubs
September 21, 2020
Schwarber went 2-for-4 with two doubles, two RBI and a run scored in Monday's 5-0 win over the Pirates.
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Starting Monday
OFChicago Cubs
September 21, 2020
Schwarber is starting in left field and batting cleanup in Monday's game against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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