Hector Neris
Hector Neris
31-Year-Old PitcherRP
Philadelphia Phillies
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Neris was one of the Phillies' best bullpen arms in 2020, though that's saying incredibly little, as the unit produced an awful 7.06 ERA. His 4.57 ERA looks outstanding by those standards, though it wouldn't have been enough to keep him in a high-leverage role long enough to earn his five saves on many other teams. A .381 BABIP and 59.5% strand rate inflated his ERA, though his 0.0% HR/FB rate mostly cancelled out that bad luck. In the areas where he had more direct control, he regressed, as his K% fell from 32.4% to 26.2% while his BB% jumped from 8.7% to a career-high 12.6%. Neris was a fairly unconvincing closer at the best of times, and the Phillies can't be feeling too confident having him in that role this year. If his ERA rebounds to the range of his career-long 3.38 mark, he'll be a solid mid-tier option at the position, but it's also possible he regresses even more in his age-32 campaign. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#291
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $5 million contract with the Phillies in December of 2020.
Records first save of season
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 4, 2021
Neris was credited with the save after tossing a scoreless inning Sunday against the Braves. He walked two and struck out one.
ANALYSIS
Neris has made three appearances already this season and has yet to allow a run while fanning five. His two walks created a stressful situation, as the Phillies were holding a one-run lead in the ninth, but the veteran right-hander eventually closed the door to earn his first save of the campaign.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
16
Last 10 Games
16
Last 5 Games
16
How many pitches does Hector Neris generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Hector Neris generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-100%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-20%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-14%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .197 182 50 28 30 3 0 5
Since 2019vs Right .200 203 67 11 37 5 0 5
2021vs Left .143 8 1 1 1 1 0 0
2021vs Right .000 7 4 1 0 0 0 0
2020vs Left .297 49 12 12 11 0 0 0
2020vs Right .239 47 11 1 11 1 0 0
2019vs Left .167 125 37 15 18 2 0 5
2019vs Right .195 149 52 9 26 4 0 5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-2%
ERA on Road
2021
No Stats
2020
 
 
-48%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-38%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 3.21 1.16 56.0 4 5 20 11.4 3.7 1.1
Since 2019Away 3.13 1.18 37.1 1 3 14 12.1 3.9 0.7
2021Home 0.00 0.75 4.0 0 0 1 11.3 4.5 0.0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home 3.38 1.58 13.1 2 1 4 11.5 5.4 0.0
2020Away 6.48 1.92 8.1 0 1 1 10.8 5.4 0.0
2019Home 3.49 1.06 38.2 2 4 15 11.4 3.0 1.6
2019Away 2.17 0.97 29.0 1 2 13 12.4 3.4 0.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Hector Neris compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.50
 
K/9
11.3
 
BB/9
4.5
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
92.9 mph
 
ERA
0.00
 
WHIP
0.75
 
BABIP
.137
 
GB/FB
0.75
 
Left On Base
100.0%
 
Exit Velocity
80.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
0.0%
 
Spin Rate
1836 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
10.5%
 
Swinging Strike
12.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Hector Neris
Mound Musings: Bullpens With Unanswered Questions
10 days ago
Brad Johnson writes about seeking value in bullpens with possible question marks, like in Philadelphia, where Hector Neris might have closer potential, if he can work on his meltdowns.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
14 days ago
The start of the season is upon us and Paul Martinez is here to recommend a few NL players who could produce right away.
Spring Training Job Battles: Final Update
15 days ago
Erik Halterman takes a final look at this spring's job battles and examines the fallout from the Nationals' demotion of Carter Kieboom.
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
20 days ago
Erik Halterman analyzes players rising and falling this spring, including the Brewers' Freddy Peralta, whose stock is soaring.
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the NL East
24 days ago
Brad Johnson recaps the National League East, where he envisions Phillies ace Aaron Nola will fit in nicely atop most fantasy rotations.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Neris entered the year looking like the third option for saves in Philadelphia behind Seranthony Dominguez and David Robertson. That pair recorded a combined zero saves while elbow injuries limited them to just 31.1 innings. Meanwhile, Neris rebounded from a shaky 2018 campaign to save 28 games while recording a 2.93 ERA and a 32.4% strikeout rate. He also dramatically increased his groundball rate, which came in at 45.5% after sitting at 30.8% in 2018. Neris is a step down from the league's elite relievers, and fears of his 2018 struggles returning are understandable, but he should begin the season with a clear hold on the closer role with Robertson recovering from Tommy John surgery and Dominguez's status questionable. He should be able to pick up most of the Phillies' saves while striking out a high number of batters, provided he doesn't lose feel for his splitter like he did in 2018.
Neris entered 2018 as the Phillies' closer following a campaign that featured 26 saves and a 3.01 ERA. Much of that success came via his excellent splitter, a pitch he seemed to lose feel for early in 2018. He was optioned to Triple-A in mid-July after posting a 6.00 ERA through his first 30 appearances. The demotion seemed to help. He recorded a 2.04 ERA from Aug. 15 onward, though he didn't regain his closing job, earning just one save from that point on. The emergence of Seranthony Dominguez and the addition of David Robertson make even a revitalized Neris' value murky for the 2019 season. It's unclear which pitcher will have the edge in save chances. It's possible manager Gabe Kapler will decide to go without a dedicated closer. Kapler spent large stretches of last season without one, deploying his most trusted relievers in the highest-leverage spots, with the save going to whomever was left over when the game got to the ninth.
The Phillies refused to formally name Neris the closer early on, but he eventually emerged as the clear-cut option after the Phillies traded veterans Joaquin Benoit and Pat Neshek at the deadline. Following a blown save on June 21, Neris converted 20 straight opportunities, striking out 52 batters with a 2.49 ERA in his final 42 games. The right-hander's spike in flyball percentage to 44.4 is worrisome considering his homer-friendly digs, but relievers can typically work around this if they boast his dominance (career 10.5 strikeouts per nine and 16.6 percent swinging-strike rate). Also, Neris carries one of baseball's best split-fingered fastballs, and that pitch could help limit big flies with more refinement. Even on a 66-win club, Neris churned out 26 saves. Unlike last offseason, he won't come cheaply, but he could still pay off handsomely at his increased price point.
Neris came out of nowhere last season to become one of the most dominant relievers in baseball. It started with a decision by the Phillies' brass to have him focus primarily on throwing his splitter, which had always been his best pitch. Neris went from throwing the split 21 percent of the time in 2015 to throwing it nearly 50 percent of the time in 2016 while curtailing use of his slider. The move paid off as his strikeout rate rocketed to 11.4 K/9, more than two points higher than his 2015 rate. He did see his walk rate creep up but avoided blow-ups thanks in part to an 82.5 percent strand rate. Neris managed just two saves last season despite having the best stuff in the Phillies' pen. However, Jeanmar Gomez lost the closer role late last season, which opens the door for Neris to earn the job this spring. He likely won't cost as much as established closers, but he has the skill set to be one of the most dominant options in baseball as long as he keeps having success with his splitter.
Neris shuttled between Triple-A and the majors last season. He was pretty tough against the 101 right-handed batters he faced with a .232 batting average against, 26 strikeouts and just two walks. Neris' fastball is about 93 mph, and he throws a slider and changeup. He will compete for a bullpen job this spring.
Neris got a brief, one-game look from the Phillies last season when the team needed an extra arm for their bullpen. He spent the majority of his season at Triple-A, where he posted a 9.0 K/9 ratio and 2.9 BB/9 ratio in 58 innings including one start. Neris sits around 93 mph with his fastball and throws a slider and changeup. He will have an opportunity to compete for a middle-relief job this spring.
More Fantasy News
Confirmed as closer
PPhiladelphia Phillies
March 31, 2021
Manager Joe Girardi said Neris would open the season as the Phillies' closer, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Working on slider
PPhiladelphia Phillies
March 9, 2021
Neris worked on a slider over the offseason and has been trying it out in spring games, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
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Role for 2021 not yet defined
PPhiladelphia Phillies
March 8, 2021
Neris' role in Philadelphia's bullpen is uncertain heading into the 2021 season, Kerry Kauffman of Fansided reports.
ANALYSIS
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Reaches deal for 2021
PPhiladelphia Phillies
December 2, 2020
Neris signed a one-year, $5 million deal with the Phillies on Wednesday to avoid arbitration, Jim Salisbury of NBC Sports Philadelphia reports.
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Option declined but still a Phillie
PPhiladelphia Phillies
October 30, 2020
Neris' option was declined by the Phillies on Friday, though he remains with the team as he's still arbitration eligible, Meghan Montemurro of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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