Hector Neris
Hector Neris
30-Year-Old PitcherRP
Philadelphia Phillies
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Neris entered 2018 as the Phillies' closer following a campaign that featured 26 saves and a 3.01 ERA. Much of that success came via his excellent splitter, a pitch he seemed to lose feel for early in 2018. He was optioned to Triple-A in mid-July after posting a 6.00 ERA through his first 30 appearances. The demotion seemed to help. He recorded a 2.04 ERA from Aug. 15 onward, though he didn't regain his closing job, earning just one save from that point on. The emergence of Seranthony Dominguez and the addition of David Robertson make even a revitalized Neris' value murky for the 2019 season. It's unclear which pitcher will have the edge in save chances. It's possible manager Gabe Kapler will decide to go without a dedicated closer. Kapler spent large stretches of last season without one, deploying his most trusted relievers in the highest-leverage spots, with the save going to whomever was left over when the game got to the ninth. Read Past Outlooks
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$Signed a one-year, $1.8 million contract with the Phillies in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Earns 21st save
PPhiladelphia Phillies
August 13, 2019
Neris allowed one walk, hit a batter and struck out one in a scoreless ninth inning to earn the save Tuesday against the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
Neris made things interesting, hitting the first batter he faced prior to walking Victor Caratini with two outs. Nevertheless, he managed to earn his 21st save of the season, in part due to a generous strike-three call against Tony Kemp. Since a couple rocky performances in the middle of July, Neris has turned things around by stringing together nine consecutive scoreless appearances. For the season, he owns a 3.44 ERA and 1.01 WHIP with 68 strikeouts across 49.2 innings.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-17%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .246 355 103 34 78 15 0 14
Since 2017vs Right .204 375 128 25 68 9 2 14
2019vs Left .177 90 27 10 14 2 0 4
2019vs Right .175 117 42 7 18 3 0 4
2018vs Left .267 102 34 10 24 5 0 7
2018vs Right .234 101 42 6 22 4 1 4
2017vs Left .270 163 42 14 40 8 0 3
2017vs Right .204 157 44 12 28 2 1 6
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-4%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-35%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-19%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.76 1.09 103.0 5 7 32 12.1 2.4 1.7
Since 2017Away 3.60 1.34 70.0 2 5 26 12.0 4.0 1.2
2019Home 3.94 1.04 29.2 1 2 13 11.5 2.7 1.8
2019Away 2.57 0.90 21.0 1 2 8 13.3 3.4 0.9
2018Home 4.30 0.95 29.1 0 1 8 16.0 1.8 2.1
2018Away 6.38 1.85 18.1 1 2 3 11.8 4.9 2.0
2017Home 3.27 1.20 44.0 4 4 11 9.8 2.7 1.2
2017Away 2.64 1.34 30.2 0 1 15 11.2 3.8 0.9
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Stat Review
How does Hector Neris compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 20 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.06
 
K/9
12.3
 
BB/9
3.0
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
94.4 mph
 
ERA
3.38
 
WHIP
0.99
 
BABIP
.253
 
GB/FB
1.35
 
Left On Base
77.3%
 
Exit Velocity
87.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.7%
 
Spin Rate
1764 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
32.7%
 
Swinging Strike
17.8%
 
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Hector Neris
Mound Musings: The Trade Winds Are Gently Blowing
30 days ago
Brad Johnson discusses the latest pitching trades and speculates on possible future moves, including in San Francisco, where Madison Bumgarner’s days could be numbered.
The Z Files: First Half Fantasy All-Stars
49 days ago
Todd Zola looks at the top first-half players by earnings and profit and finds that few players have provided a better return on investment than Mariners slugger Daniel Vogelbach.
Mound Musings: Some Random Predictions Going Forward
79 days ago
Brad Johnson busts out his crystal ball to make a few predictions, starting with the Nationals finishing with a record under .500 thanks to a woeful bullpen.
Mound Musings: Checking the NL Bullpens
93 days ago
Brad Johnson looks at National League closer situations, where in San Francisco closer Will Smith is doing so well, he may be a target in trade talks later this season.
The Z Files: Oh, What a Relief It... Isn't?
106 days ago
Todd Zola takes another look at the value of high-strikeout middle relievers, such as the Mets' Seth Lugo, in the current run-scoring environment.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
The Phillies refused to formally name Neris the closer early on, but he eventually emerged as the clear-cut option after the Phillies traded veterans Joaquin Benoit and Pat Neshek at the deadline. Following a blown save on June 21, Neris converted 20 straight opportunities, striking out 52 batters with a 2.49 ERA in his final 42 games. The right-hander's spike in flyball percentage to 44.4 is worrisome considering his homer-friendly digs, but relievers can typically work around this if they boast his dominance (career 10.5 strikeouts per nine and 16.6 percent swinging-strike rate). Also, Neris carries one of baseball's best split-fingered fastballs, and that pitch could help limit big flies with more refinement. Even on a 66-win club, Neris churned out 26 saves. Unlike last offseason, he won't come cheaply, but he could still pay off handsomely at his increased price point.
Neris came out of nowhere last season to become one of the most dominant relievers in baseball. It started with a decision by the Phillies' brass to have him focus primarily on throwing his splitter, which had always been his best pitch. Neris went from throwing the split 21 percent of the time in 2015 to throwing it nearly 50 percent of the time in 2016 while curtailing use of his slider. The move paid off as his strikeout rate rocketed to 11.4 K/9, more than two points higher than his 2015 rate. He did see his walk rate creep up but avoided blow-ups thanks in part to an 82.5 percent strand rate. Neris managed just two saves last season despite having the best stuff in the Phillies' pen. However, Jeanmar Gomez lost the closer role late last season, which opens the door for Neris to earn the job this spring. He likely won't cost as much as established closers, but he has the skill set to be one of the most dominant options in baseball as long as he keeps having success with his splitter.
Neris shuttled between Triple-A and the majors last season. He was pretty tough against the 101 right-handed batters he faced with a .232 batting average against, 26 strikeouts and just two walks. Neris' fastball is about 93 mph, and he throws a slider and changeup. He will compete for a bullpen job this spring.
Neris got a brief, one-game look from the Phillies last season when the team needed an extra arm for their bullpen. He spent the majority of his season at Triple-A, where he posted a 9.0 K/9 ratio and 2.9 BB/9 ratio in 58 innings including one start. Neris sits around 93 mph with his fastball and throws a slider and changeup. He will have an opportunity to compete for a middle-relief job this spring.
More Fantasy News
Records 20th save
PPhiladelphia Phillies
August 9, 2019
Neris tossed a perfect inning with two strikeouts to earn the save against the Giants on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Dropping suspension appeal
PPhiladelphia Phillies
Suspension
July 31, 2019
Neris will drop his appeal and serve the three-game suspension handed down by MLB in mid-July, Matt Breen of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Records 18th save
PPhiladelphia Phillies
July 18, 2019
Neris allowed one earned run on one hit and struck out one to record the save Thursday against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Handed three-game suspension
PPhiladelphia Phillies
July 17, 2019
Neris was suspended three games for intentionally hitting David Freese in Tuesday's win over the Dodgers, Meghan Montemurro of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Blows another save
PPhiladelphia Phillies
July 16, 2019
Neris was charged with a blown save after surrendering three runs on two hits and one walk over one-third of an inning in Tuesday's win versus the Dodgers. He had one strikeout.
ANALYSIS
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