Triston McKenzie

Triston McKenzie

24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cleveland Guardians
2022 Fantasy Outlook
McKenzie had risks coming into 2021 which, in hindsight, played out as expected. The long-and-lanky righty had but one full season of development work on the farm, but flashes of brilliance in 2020 elevated his fantasy stock last year, setting many up for disappointment. McKenzie maintained his ability to strike hitters out with a 27.5 K% and held the opposition to a .194 batting average, but an 11.7 BB% along with a 1.6 HR/9 tipped the scales to an unsightly 4.95 ERA. It isn't often we see a 4.95 ERA associated with a pitcher that has a high strikeout rate and a sub-.200 opponents' average, but McKenzie's mistakes were command-driven, and his mistakes got punished. The upside is still there, but so is his thin frame, so temper any expectations of him exceeding 150 innings this season. There will still be bumps in the road, but the pieces for success are here. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#229
ADP
$Signed a $2.31 million contract with the Indians in June of 2015.
Dominant against Astros
PCleveland Guardians
May 23, 2022
McKenzie (3-3) picked up the win Monday after he tossed seven innings, surrendering one run on three hits and a walk while striking out six versus the Astros.
ANALYSIS
McKenzie dominated in this one, firing six scoreless innings before Alex Bregman took him deep for a solo shot in the seventh frame, providing the only blemish on his line. It was the second straight outing that the right-hander pitched seven innings and his fourth consecutive quality start. The streak of dominant outings has lowered his ERA from 3.71 to 2.70 while his WHIP has shrunk to an impressive 0.90 over 43.1 innings through eight starts in 2022. McKenzie will look to continue his hot streak in his next start, which tentatively lines up for this weekend against the Tigers.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
84
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
96
How many pitches does Triston McKenzie generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Triston McKenzie generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-51%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-39%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .192 355 91 37 60 16 0 11
Since 2020vs Right .188 429 123 42 72 16 0 20
2022vs Left .109 64 15 7 6 0 0 0
2022vs Right .223 101 22 5 21 9 0 4
2021vs Left .203 237 63 28 42 12 0 8
2021vs Right .186 258 73 30 42 7 0 13
2020vs Left .235 54 13 2 12 4 0 3
2020vs Right .143 70 28 7 9 0 0 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-6%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-4%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-8%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-39%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 4.33 1.09 81.0 3 4 0 11.0 4.0 1.1
Since 2020Away 4.05 1.06 115.2 7 9 0 9.0 3.3 1.6
2022Home 2.61 1.06 10.1 1 0 0 8.7 5.2 0.0
2022Away 2.73 0.85 33.0 2 3 0 7.4 1.6 1.1
2021Home 5.17 1.24 55.2 1 4 0 10.7 4.5 1.3
2021Away 4.76 1.13 64.1 4 5 0 9.8 4.2 1.8
2020Home 2.40 0.53 15.0 1 0 0 13.8 1.2 1.2
2020Away 3.93 1.20 18.1 1 1 0 9.3 3.4 2.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Triston McKenzie compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.08
 
K/9
7.7
 
BB/9
2.5
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
92.4 mph
 
ERA
2.70
 
WHIP
0.90
 
BABIP
.213
 
GB/FB
0.68
 
Left On Base
77.8%
 
Exit Velocity
81.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.3%
 
Spin Rate
2264 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.2%
 
Swinging Strike
11.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Triston McKenzie
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Decision Time
5 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as we've reached the point where fantasy owners must decide whether to continue to stream pitchers.
The Z Files: Sometimes, Crime Does Pay
6 days ago
Todd Zola examines the league-wide stolen-base environment and identifies some speedy players who could be valuable as streaming options, including Andres Gimenez.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Sunday Picks
11 days ago
Chris Morgan picks the Yahoo Sunday baseball slate as Nestor Cortes looks to continue his s surprising start.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Mercury Rising
12 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as warming weather is contributing to more scoring. Sugar Shane McClanahan only has one start, but still tops the AL rankings.
Collette Calls: Still Chasing Wins
13 days ago
Wins have been hard to come by this season. Jason Collette examines early run-support numbers and notes pitchers that have enjoyed good fortune in that regard, and those that have not, like Corbin Burnes.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
McKenzie missed all 2019 (back injury) and two months in 2018 (forearm injury), so it was stunning to see him skip over Triple-A completely and strike out 10 while allowing one run in six innings in his late-August MLB debut. He hadn't even teased us with any big-league spring training starts. That celebrated debut proved to be the rail-thin righty's high water mark, as his innings per start, fastball velocity and effectiveness all trended down before a move to the bullpen at the end of the season. Durability remains a long-term concern, and the fact he has thrown 35 innings (including the postseason) in the past two years makes it hard to project close to a full season's worth of starts in 2021. Unless he regains the mid-90s velocity he showed in his first start, he might not have a plus pitch (his curveball is close), but he has a strong four-pitch mix and throws enough strikes to stick as a starter.
When McKenzie went down in early March with an upper-back strain, it was expected that he would be able to ramp back up in about six weeks. He never ended up pitching in a competitive setting in 2019. McKenzie also missed the first two months of 2018 with a forearm injury, so that leaves him with a total of 90.2 innings pitched over the past two years. The missed time obviously dings his shine, but the Indians were never going to lose McKenzie to the Rule 5 draft -- his addition to the 40-man roster in November was elementary. His fastball and curveball have both shown tremendous potential, McKenzie can change speeds and he gets good marks for command. The Indians will just be hoping for better health in 2020.
There were some minor developments in 2018, but for the most part the story with McKenzie has not changed. No. 2/3 starter upside is still apparent and he is still capable of hiding behind a light pole. Forearm soreness sidelined him for the first two months, but once he built up his workload to 90-plus pitches on July 3, he was his dominant self over his final 11 starts (2.09 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 65 strikeouts in 64.2 innings). McKenzie's strikeout rate dipped below 32% (to 24%) for the first time since he was in short-season ball in 2016, but he threw a lot of strikes and held opposing batters to a .191 AVG. While his wiry 6-foot-5, 165-pound frame leaves many questioning whether he can handle a starter's workload, his length allows him to get excellent extension on his high-spin 92-94 mph fastball. He also boasts a plus curveball and improving changeup. The Indians have impressive rotation depth, but McKenzie will be waiting at Triple-A if a need arises.
On paper, McKenzie looks like a future frontline starter. His 186 strikeouts ranked second in the minors behind Alec Hansen, who is three years older than McKenzie and did a lot of his stat padding at Low-A. While he has a legitimate chance to actualize his No. 1 starter potential, McKenzie needs to add strength to his slender frame in order to maintain plus velocity on his fastball deep into outings. His curveball is a true putaway pitch, and his changeup shows signs of getting there as well. He also has a chance to have plus command by the time he reaches the majors, so there are a lot of future 60s on his scouting report. McKenzie will be inhaling calories this offseason in an attempt to show up to camp with a sturdier build. There are those who won't buy into his frontline potential until he shows it over a full season in the majors, and he is at least a year away from getting that opportunity.
It is hard to watch McKenzie pitch or look at his production relative to age and level and not get a little hyperbolic when projecting what he will be in five or six years. He pitches with a grace and precision that is uncommon for young pitchers with his long levers and high-end stuff. The fastball is more of a low-90s mph offering presently, but his 6-foot-5, 165-pound frame screams projection, and most evaluators anticipate a velocity jump as he matures. As with most 19-year-old hurlers, his changeup is still a work in progress, but his curveball is already a weapon, and both pitches have the potential to be plus offerings in time. Perhaps even more impressive than his arsenal is how well he harnesses it, surrendering just 62 hits and 25 walks through 95.1 innings of professional ball. He could spend most of his age-19 season pitching at High-A Lynchburg, and with another big year he will be poised to enter 2018 as one of the top five pitching prospects in the game.
More Fantasy News
Yields three runs in loss
PCleveland Guardians
May 15, 2022
McKenzie (2-3) allowed three runs on three hits and two walks over seven innings Sunday, striking out four and taking a loss against Minnesota.
ANALYSIS
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Nabs second win
PCleveland Guardians
May 8, 2022
McKenzie (2-2) picked up the win in the second game of Saturday's doubleheader against the Blue Jays, allowing two runs on four hits and two walks over six innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Tosses 6.1 shutout innings
PCleveland Guardians
May 1, 2022
McKenzie (1-2) got the win during Sunday's 7-3 victory over Oakland, allowing four hits and one walk with seven strikeouts in 6.1 scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Shows improvement in loss
PCleveland Guardians
April 26, 2022
McKenzie (0-2) took the loss during Tuesday's 4-1 defeat at the hands of the Angels, allowing four runs on seven hits with six strikeouts in 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles with control
PCleveland Guardians
April 20, 2022
McKenzie allowed one earned run on one hit and four walks while striking out four across 4.1 innings in the second game of Wednesday's doubleheader against the White Sox. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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