Matt Manning

23-Year-Old PitcherSP
2021 Fantasy Outlook
It was odd when Casey Mize and Tarik Skubal got the call last summer without Manning, as he is the team's best pitching prospect and was no less advanced. It quickly became clear why Manning was passed over: he suffered a mild forearm strain at the alternate site. By November, the 6-foot-6 righty claimed to be 100 percent healthy, but not in time to pitch in games during fall instructs. He was still able to work on his mechanics during instructs and has made strides with his diet and workout regimen. One of the most athletic pitching prospects in the minors, Manning's fastball and curveball have been plus offerings dating back to his prep days, and he has made major strides with a changeup that can now flash plus. He is a strike thrower, but with his long levers, command is something he can still improve on. If the forearm injury doesn't resurface (a big if), Manning could spend most of 2021 in the majors. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#529
ADP
$Signed a $3.51 million contract with the Tigers in June of 2016.
Shines in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
October 3, 2021
Manning pitched five scoreless innings against the White Sox on Saturday, allowing two hits and one walk while striking out seven. He did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
Manning's final start of his rookie campaign was arguably his finest, as the right-hander yielded a season-low two hits while tossing his first scoreless outing. He also notched a season-high seven strikeouts, but a late-game collapse by Detroit's bullpen cost him a victory. Manning enjoyed some bright moments throughout the season, though he wraps up the campaign with a 5.80 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 4-7 record. He should be a key part of the Tigers' rotation in 2022.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
79
Last 10 Games
82
Last 5 Games
78
How many pitches does Matt Manning generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Matt Manning generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
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9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
2020
No Stats
2019
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .253 178 24 17 40 10 2 5
Since 2019vs Right .301 207 33 16 56 13 0 5
2021vs Left .253 178 24 17 40 10 2 5
2021vs Right .301 207 33 16 56 13 0 5
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-22%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-22%
ERA at Home
2020
No Stats
2019
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 5.18 1.60 48.2 3 3 0 5.4 4.8 0.9
Since 2019Away 6.63 1.39 36.2 1 4 0 6.9 1.7 1.2
2021Home 5.18 1.60 48.2 3 3 0 5.4 4.8 0.9
2021Away 6.63 1.39 36.2 1 4 0 6.9 1.7 1.2
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Matt Manning compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.73
 
K/9
6.0
 
BB/9
3.5
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
93.7 mph
 
ERA
5.80
 
WHIP
1.51
 
BABIP
.319
 
GB/FB
1.48
 
Left On Base
60.9%
 
Exit Velocity
84.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.5%
 
Spin Rate
1991 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.1%
 
Swinging Strike
7.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
Manning was so consistently dominant at Double-A that his season lacked the severe peaks that typically fuel prospect hype. A 21-year-old with great size (6-foot-6) and athleticism, Manning has three plus or better pitches (fastball, curveball, changeup) and excellent command for his age and size. His 7.2 BB% was his best mark above rookie ball and he held hitters to a .192 average. He logged a 3.71 ERA in June, but his ERA was below 3.00 in every other month and he finished strong with a 2.28 ERA and 33:3 K:BB in 27.2 August innings. Manning has the stuff, he has the command and he seemingly has the size and durability to handle a MLB starter's workload. Aces who throw 200-plus innings are a dying breed, but Manning has a chance to be one. The Tigers won't be competitive anytime soon, so his team context isn't great, but he should reach the majors sometime this summer.
Manning had a plus fastball and hammer curveball even as an amateur, but in the middle of last season his stock took off when he started showing a plus changeup. His 2018 was similar in a lot of ways to Forrest Whitley's 2017 -- pitching at three levels of the minors while continuing to put up monster numbers against more advanced competition. Unlike Whitley, Manning didn't get notably better as he climbed the ladder, but he was consistently dominant as he went from Low-A (3.07 FIP, 20.3 K-BB%) to High-A (3.13 FIP, 22.4 K-BB%) to Double-A (2.30 FIP, 19.6 K-BB%). With two borderline 70-grade offerings and a 60-grade changeup, he won't need pinpoint command to carve up big-league hitters. The 6-foot-6 righty's control improved, logging an 11.8 BB% at Low-A, a 9.3 BB% at High-A and an 8.7 BB% in two starts at Double-A. Top-of-the-rotation upside is apparent, and he should make his MLB debut in late 2019 or early 2020.
Reports on Manning were incredibly inconsistent in 2017. Everyone agrees that there is a plus fastball and plus curveball in there somewhere, but he doesn't always have them from start to start or even inning to inning. If it weren't for his final three starts for the Whitecaps when he gave up one run with a 25:6 K:BB in 16 innings, he would have been an easy fade this offseason. It's possible he unlocked something down the stretch. A top-10 pick in 2016 with excellent size (6-foot-6, 190 pounds) and athleticism, Manning will understandably be given the benefit of the doubt by many prospect ranking services for a couple more years. However, for dynasty-league purposes, there is a different calculus for these types of pitching prospects. There is a never-ending stream of high-risk/high-reward pitchers in the lower levels, so it's worth exploring if Manning can be dealt for something more tangible. He will likely return to Low-A at the start of his age-20 season, where improving his command, changeup and overall consistency will be big points of emphasis.
The son of a former NBA player, Manning was a two-sport star in high school. Not surprisingly, he was among the most athletic pitchers taken in the 2016 draft. That helps him on the mound, as he shows better control and a more repeatable delivery than the typical 6-foot-6 teenager. He did not start pitching until his junior year, but his repertoire, headlined by a double-plus fastball, shows a lot of promise. His spike curveball is already a weapon that can serve as an out pitch inside and outside of the zone, while his changeup lags behind as a potential average offering. After giving up seven runs in his first 5.1 innings in the Gulf Coast League, Manning posted a 2.25 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 36:6 K:BB across eight three-inning starts to close out his season. He is a tier below Jason Groome and Riley Pint in terms of pure stuff, but a case could be made that he has the third-highest ceiling among the prep pitchers taken in last year's draft.
More Fantasy News
Ineffective through 3.1
PDetroit Tigers
September 27, 2021
Manning (4-7) got the loss Monday after pitching 3.1 innings and giving up six runs to the White Sox. He allowed four hits, walked five and struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Looks sharp in win
PDetroit Tigers
September 15, 2021
Manning (4-6) tossed six innings of one-run ball to pick up the win Wednesday against the Brewers. He allowed two hits and three walks while striking out six.
ANALYSIS
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Ready to start Wednesday
PDetroit Tigers
September 14, 2021
The Tigers list Manning (knee) as their starting pitcher for Wednesday's game against the Brewers, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
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X-rays confirm bruise
PDetroit Tigers
Knee
September 8, 2021
Manning (knee) had X-rays come back negative after leaving Wednesday's start against the Pirates, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
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Exits with knee contusion
PDetroit Tigers
Knee
September 8, 2021
Manning was removed from Wednesday's start at Pittsburgh with a left knee contusion.
ANALYSIS
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