Gavin Lux

Gavin Lux

23-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Los Angeles Dodgers
2021 Fantasy Outlook
What a disappointing season for Lux. Considered a top prospect and having performed capably enough in his 23-game debut in 2019, the young infielder appeared set for a significant role in one of the strongest lineups in the league and was drafted as such for most of the offseason, despite the occasional whisper that his role and even roster spot were hardly secure. As it turns out, a consequence of the Dodgers having one of the league's best lineups is that they didn't need to give many at-bats to unproven youngsters, no matter how talented. Lux failed to crack the Opening Day roster and went on to receive just 69 plate appearances over 19 games. The Dodgers claimed that was for performance rather than service-time reasons, something his .175/.246/.349 line backs up. Lux's talent is presumably still there, but role and readiness questions remain, and the depths of his struggles add new risk to his profile. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#223
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $566,000 contract with the Dodgers in March of 2020.
On bench for start of playoffs
2BLos Angeles Dodgers
October 6, 2021
Lux is out of the lineup Wednesday for the Dodgers' wild-card game against the Cardinals, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
ANALYSIS
After missing three consecutive games with a neck stinger, Lux was available off the bench for Sunday's regular-season finale against the Brewers, going 0-for-1 with a walk while seeing action in right field. Prior to developing the injury, Lux had started six consecutive games in center field, but Cody Bellinger will patrol that spot in the wild-card contest while being flanked by AJ Pollock and Mookie Betts. The trio of Pollock, Betts and Bellinger is expected to form the Dodgers' primary outfield combination against right-handed pitching throughout the postseason, though Lux or Chris Taylor could replace Bellinger against left-handed starters.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
7
7
10
26
21
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
5
9
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+45%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+40%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+89%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+81%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .508 119 11 2 7 1 .171 .261 .248
Since 2019vs Right .735 411 58 10 56 6 .251 .331 .404
2021vs Left .533 98 7 1 5 1 .188 .286 .247
2021vs Right .747 283 42 6 41 3 .260 .343 .404
2020vs Left .347 9 0 0 1 0 .125 .222 .125
2020vs Right .655 58 8 3 7 1 .189 .259 .396
2019vs Left .417 12 4 1 1 0 .083 .083 .333
2019vs Right .756 70 8 1 8 2 .270 .343 .413
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+15%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+3%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+63%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+54%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .633 249 34 5 29 3 .208 .309 .324
Since 2019Away .725 282 35 7 34 4 .254 .319 .406
2021Home .682 181 24 5 27 1 .222 .315 .367
2021Away .702 200 25 2 19 3 .260 .340 .362
2020Home .433 27 3 0 0 1 .130 .259 .174
2020Away .705 41 5 3 8 0 .205 .244 .462
2019Home .546 41 7 0 2 1 .200 .317 .229
2019Away .843 41 5 2 7 1 .275 .293 .550
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Stat Review
How does Gavin Lux compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.49
 
BB Rate
10.8%
 
K Rate
21.8%
 
BABIP
.300
 
ISO
.122
 
AVG
.242
 
OBP
.328
 
SLG
.364
 
OPS
.692
 
wOBA
.308
 
Exit Velocity
82.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
30.3%
 
Barrels/PA
3.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Gavin Lux
MLB Betting: Sunday Best Bets
2 days ago
Michael Rathburn picks Game 2 of the NLCS with bets on Max Scherzer and the total.
DraftKings MLB: Thursday Breakdown
6 days ago
Mike Barner breaks down Thursday's Game 5 between the Giants and Dodgers, recommending veteran Evan Longoria for your DraftKings entry.
MLB Betting: Tuesday Division Series Best Bets
7 days ago
Michael Rathburn lines up Tuesday's three-game slate with each matchup setting up as a potential series clincher. Can Kris Bryant and the Giants slam the door on the Dodgers in Los Angeles?
Playoff Primer: The Rankings
14 days ago
Todd Zola ranks players by position for fantasy playoff leagues. Chicago's Jose Abreu is tough to beat at first base.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
23 days ago
Jan Levine concludes his column for the season with a look at some late contributors and a few to keep in mind for 2022.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2017
In 2018, Lux proved to have one of the best hit tools in the minors, and in 2019 he grew into plus power and made his big-league debut in September. He logged a 31.5 Hard% in the minors (good for a 21-year-old middle infielder) and 52.9 Hard% in the majors (elite) while spraying line drives to all fields. An above-average runner, Lux played through a hamstring injury, which limited him to 16 stolen-base attempts after attempting 21 in 2018. He could pilfer 15 bases with good health as a rookie. Lux can handle shortstop but is a better fit at second base. While his strikeout rate spiked from 19.5% at Double-A and Triple-A to 29.3% in his MLB debut, his 20.9 O-Swing% would have been the fourth-best mark among qualified hitters, so strikeouts shouldn't be a major issue over his first full season. He is good at everything that matters in fantasy and could become one of the game's top hitters in short order.
Lux cut his groundball rate from 52.7% at Low-A to 41.7% across stops at High-A and Double-A, and in the process emerged as a potential five-category middle infielder. Save for an eight-game run in the Pioneer League in 2016, his walk rates have always been north of 10% with strikeout rates below 20%, so the plate skills have always been there, and his 2018 swing change unlocked a potentially plus hit tool with at least average power. He is a good athlete with above-average speed, and while he attempted 15 fewer steals last year (22) than he did in 2017 (37), Lux should still be able to swipe double-digit bases annually early on in his big-league career. His defense at shortstop is lacking, and his arm isn’t accurate enough for third base, so a move to the keystone seems likely in the coming years. If Lux's revamped swing continues to produce results in the upper levels, he would project to take over as the Dodgers' everyday second baseman in 2020.
The Dodgers made Lux their first selection of the 2016 Draft, selecting him out of Indian Trail High School in Wisconsin, a state not typically known for producing MLB talent. He is also one of just three position players taken by the Dodgers in the first round since 2004. Initially committed to play for Arizona State, the left-handed hitting shortstop decided to sign with the Dodgers for $2.3 million and displayed his talents well enough in rookie ball, hitting .296/.375/.399 between the Arizona and Pioneer leagues. The Dodgers are obviously well set at shortstop for the future with Corey Seager, but the 19-year-old Lux is far enough away from the majors that Seager really shouldn't be the biggest concern for his prospective dynasty league owners. Lux will likely begin 2017 at Low-A Great Lakes and work his way up from there, with High-A Rancho Cucamonga a possibility if his bat looks advanced enough. The key to his future fantasy value will be the development of at least fringe average power to go with what appears to be a strong hit tool.
More Fantasy News
Returns to action Sunday
2BLos Angeles Dodgers
October 4, 2021
Lux (neck) went 0-for-1 with a walk and played right field during Sunday's win over Milwaukee.
ANALYSIS
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Still not starting
2BLos Angeles Dodgers
Neck
October 2, 2021
Lux (neck) isn't in the lineup for Friday's game against Milwaukee, J.P. Hoornstra of the Los Angeles Daily News reports.
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Remains out of lineup
2BLos Angeles Dodgers
Neck
October 1, 2021
Lux (neck) isn't starting Friday's game against the Brewers, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
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Could come off bench
2BLos Angeles Dodgers
Neck
September 30, 2021
Lux (neck) may be available off the bench Thursday against the Padres, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Thursday
2BLos Angeles Dodgers
Neck
September 30, 2021
Lux (neck) isn't in the lineup for Thursday's game against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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