Austin Hays

Austin Hays

27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Baltimore Orioles
2022 Fantasy Outlook
On June 22, Hays was slashing .219/.286/.394. His season had been interrupted by two IL stints for a sore hamstring, costing a month. From that point, Hays slashed .274/.319/.494. His plate skills and batted ball profile were similar the whole time, but his BABIP went from .250 to .303 as he was mainly victimized by an unlucky hit rate. For the season, Hays posted a 106 wRC+, but his K% rose while his BB% dipped. Hays was a highly regraded prospect and teased his potential with a 146 wRC+ in 2019, albeit in just 75 plate appearances. Now, he appears to be more of a compiler, with above average but not elite skills. That said, collecting at bats in the middle of an improving lineup, with half his games at Camden Yards has fantasy allure. We likely haven't seen Hays' best season, but we're also probably not going to see a major breakout. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#245
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Orioles in March of 2021.
Knocks homer in win
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 27, 2022
Hays went 2-for-5 with a solo home run and an additional run scored in Monday's 14-8 win over the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
Hays contributed the final run of the game with an eighth-inning solo shot. He snapped a 22-game homer drought after hitting a paltry .222 with just two RBI in that span. The outfielder has ended the year on the cold side, and he's now slashing .253/.310/.415 with 16 homers, 56 RBI, 65 runs scored, two stolen bases and 32 doubles through 137 contests.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
8
2
28
12
18
13
6
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
9
5
4
10
7
8
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+5%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+31%
OPS vs LHP
2020
Even Split
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .809 397 56 16 38 2 .279 .330 .479
Since 2020vs Right .715 817 102 26 98 6 .246 .302 .412
2022vs Left .702 153 18 4 6 1 .245 .314 .388
2022vs Right .735 403 48 12 51 1 .255 .308 .427
2021vs Left .896 214 32 11 30 0 .308 .346 .551
2021vs Right .683 315 41 11 41 4 .221 .283 .400
2020vs Left .729 30 6 1 2 1 .250 .300 .429
2020vs Right .732 99 13 3 6 1 .289 .343 .389
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+7%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+23%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+43%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .778 599 81 20 65 4 .265 .330 .448
Since 2020Away .714 615 77 22 71 4 .250 .293 .421
2022Home .751 278 36 6 23 1 .267 .342 .409
2022Away .701 278 30 10 34 1 .239 .277 .424
2021Home .852 255 37 13 40 1 .270 .324 .528
2021Away .693 274 36 9 31 3 .243 .293 .400
2020Home .603 66 8 1 2 2 .233 .303 .300
2020Away .865 63 11 3 6 0 .328 .365 .500
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Austin Hays compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.31
 
BB Rate
5.9%
 
K Rate
19.4%
 
BABIP
.290
 
ISO
.164
 
AVG
.252
 
OBP
.309
 
SLG
.417
 
OPS
.726
 
wOBA
.320
 
Exit Velocity
87.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
31.1%
 
Barrels/PA
4.0%
 
Expected BA
.243
 
Expected SLG
.379
 
Sprint Speed
24.2 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
43.4%
 
Line Drive %
18.9%
 
Fly Ball %
37.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Hays was an interesting option last season after posting a .309/.373/.574 slash line in 75 plate appearances in 2019. Unfortunately, his 2020 campaign was largely disappointing. He missed nearly half of the short season with a fractured rib, appearing in just 33 games. His performance took a step back across the board, as he hit just four homers and stole just two bases while slashing .279/.328/.393. He at least provided fantasy players with a solid batting average, though even that may be a mirage, as Statcast pegged his xBA at just .246, with his hard-hit rate falling to 31.3%. Hays is still just 25 years old and has less than half a season (74 games) under his belt at the highest level, but his overall .272/.320/.424 slash line doesn't suggest stardom. The fact that he plays a decent center field means his 97 wRC+ is enough to keep him in the lineup, but there aren't many reasons to get too excited here.
Hays' value has peaked twice as a pro, first after a monster 2017 when he laid waste to High-A and Double-A pitching, and most recently after logging a 146 wRC+, .265 ISO and career-high 9.3 BB% in 75 MLB plate appearances to close the 2019 season. Sandwiched in between those high points were two injury-riddled seasons in the upper levels of the minors, during which he often performed as a below-league-average hitter. His MLB performance was deserved based on how he hit the ball (.303 xBA), but his 22.2 LD%, 30.9 Hard% and 40.0 Pull% were all better marks than he posted recently in the minors, so those levels may not be sustainable. Given the lack of talent around him in Baltimore, Hays will get everyday playing time for the foreseeable future as long as he keeps his head above water. If the 24-year-old can be drafted as an OF5 in mixed leagues, the risk/reward will be properly factored in.
Hays reached the majors in 2017, and seemed likely to spend a good chunk of last season back with the big club. However, he dealt with shoulder soreness in spring training and struggled to get going back at Double-A, hitting .224/.259/.374 in 43 games before suffering a stress fracture in his ankle that sidelined him for over two months. Hays returned to Double-A in early August and hit .273/.291/.535 with six home runs in 23 games before eventually undergoing surgery to repair the stress fracture. He needs to recapture his line-drive-oriented approach from 2017, as he could naturally hit 25-plus home runs by taking what pitchers give him -- he seemed to be selling out for power last season. Hays makes for a nice post-hype sleeper in 2019. He will likely return to the minors for a month or two, but will be up once he looks ready.
How many hitting prospects can say they skipped Low-A and Triple-A in the same season? Hays did just that in 2017, beginning the year in the Carolina League and finishing the campaign as the Orioles’ leadoff hitter. His muscular forearms produce high-end bat speed, which results in plus right-handed power. He currently operates with a see ball, hit ball approach, but there has been no reason for him to utilize patience, as he never faced adversity in the minors. His eye-popping production in 64 games at High-A (167 wRC+, .263 ISO, 16 HR) and 64 games at Double-A (161 wRC+, .264 ISO, 16 HR) was eerily consistent. He runs well enough to handle center field, but has not yet learned how to utilize his above-average speed on the bases, limiting him to four-category production for now. Unless he appears overmatched in spring training, Hays should open the year as the Orioles’ everyday right fielder. His future is very bright, but there could be more growing pains in his first full season in the majors.
The Orioles are not known for making quality draft picks outside of the first round, but they certainly appear to have done so when they popped Hays with the 91st pick in last year's draft. An impressive physical specimen at 6-foot-1, 210 pounds, Hays was given the slot value out of Jacksonville University, so this looks like a pure scouting find. He boasts at least average offensive tools across the board, and his strength and aggressive style of play allow those tools to play up. His all-fields approach is impressive considering how much he impacts the baseball, which speaks to the strength in his wrists and forearms. With a chance to handle all three outfield spots, his glove won't hinder his ability to make the big leagues, so it will simply come down to how well he can handle upper-level offspeed stuff. Given where he was drafted, Hays has a chance to be one of the best bargains in dynasty league drafts this spring.
More Fantasy News
Sitting Sunday
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 25, 2022
Hays is not in Sunday's lineup against the Astros, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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On bench Thursday
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 22, 2022
Hays isn't starting Thursday against Houston, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
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Riding pine Saturday
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 17, 2022
Hays isn't in the lineup Saturday against the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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On base three times in loss
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 11, 2022
Hays went 2-for-3 with a walk in Sunday's 1-0 loss to the Red Sox.
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Takes seat Wednesday
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 7, 2022
Hays isn't in the lineup Wednesday against Toronto, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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