Bobby Dalbec
25-Year-Old First Baseman1B
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Dalbec either struck out, walked or homered in 62 percent of his first 92 plate appearances in the majors. If he had enough PA to qualify, he would have ranked second in the majors behind Miguel Sano in Barrel% (22.0) and K% (42.4). Sano rode that profile to a .204 batting average, which is around where Dalbec would have ended up if he had played enough for his numbers to stabilize. He is a couple years younger than Sano, so we shouldn't think of him as a finished product, but he clearly needs to cut down on the strikeouts to avoid being a net negative in fantasy. The 25-year-old is a natural third baseman, but he is blocked by Rafael Devers and he will soon be blocked at first base by top prospect Triston Casas. Even so, Boston will find a spot for him if he makes the necessary adjustments and gets to his massive all-fields pop without striking out over 35 percent of the time. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#307
ADP
$Signed a $650,000 contract with the Red Sox in July of 2016.
Launches two more homers
1BBoston Red Sox
March 4, 2021
Dalbec went 2-for-3 with two home runs and three RBI in Wednesday's spring game against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
Dalbec's power potential has been on display early in camp. The 25-year-old slugger has three homers in six at-bats over four games. Dalbec will be Boston's primary starter at first base in 2021.
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Batting Stats
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2020
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
4
4
4
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
5
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2019
No Stats
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left 1.062 28 4 3 7 0 .296 .321 .741
Since 2018vs Right .933 59 8 5 9 0 .260 .373 .560
2020vs Left 1.062 28 4 3 7 0 .296 .321 .741
2020vs Right .933 59 8 5 9 0 .260 .373 .560
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2019
No Stats
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home 1.017 40 7 4 7 0 .278 .350 .667
Since 2018Away 1.032 40 4 4 9 0 .286 .375 .657
2020Home 1.017 40 7 4 7 0 .278 .350 .667
2020Away 1.032 40 4 4 9 0 .286 .375 .657
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Bobby Dalbec compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.26
 
BB Rate
10.9%
 
K Rate
42.4%
 
BABIP
.394
 
ISO
.338
 
AVG
.263
 
OBP
.359
 
SLG
.600
 
OPS
.959
 
wOBA
.419
 
Exit Velocity
83.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
41.5%
 
Barrels/PA
14.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bobby Dalbec
Beat Jeff Erickson Draft
8 days ago
See the results from the "Beat Jeff Erickson" draft, including an observation about what happens when you take an early closer like Liam Hendriks.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
10 days ago
Jesse Siegel makes his season debut with the Minor League Barometer where he profiles, among others, Ke'Bryan Hayes, who should get plenty of at-bats in Pittsburgh this season.
Farm Futures: 178 AL East Prospects You Need To Know
10 days ago
James Anderson ranks the fantasy-relevant prospects in each AL East farm system including phenom Jasson Dominguez, who is the top Yankees prospect.
Bernie on the Scene: AL Rookies of Consequence
18 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff analyzes American League rookies with fantasy relevance, including the Rays' Randy Arozarena, who should offer plenty of power this season.
Baseball Draft Kit: Player Values by Position
22 days ago
Jeff Erickson ranks the players at each position for the 2021 RotoWire Fantasy Baseball Guide.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2017
A good prospect, yet a flawed one, Dalbec could be a plus defender at third base who hits for plus power, but he may not hit enough for those strengths to matter. He mastered Double-A (143 wRC+) in a return trip, but his version of mastering a level is a .234/.371/.454 line. His 15.5 BB% at Double-A is exactly what his OBP/points-league managers had in mind, but that mark shriveled to 4.1% in 30 games at Triple-A while his AVG jumped closer to his career .261 mark. A three-true-outcomes profile will work fine in real life, given his power and defense, but if his walk rate doesn't bounce back to at least 10%, there is little evidence he will be able to provide enough offensive value to occupy a corner-infield spot on a contending team. He is a better defender than Rafael Devers, but Devers may be so entrenched that Dalbec moves to first base (where his 70-grade arm would be wasted) or the outfield.
Position players get graded on five tools, but those tools do not count the same. Take Dalbec, whose power, arm and glove are at least 60-grade, and possibly 70-grade tools. But if he ends up with a 30-grade hit tool, those sixes and sevens may not matter. He has never been young for his level, yet his strikeout rate has never been below 31% in full-season ball, and was above 37% at Low-A and Double-A. He also led the Arizona Fall League with 32 strikeouts in 20 games. Prior to his promotion to Double-A, he at least paired those whiffs with a ton of walks, but his BB% fell from 14.3% at High-A to 4.8% at Double-A. Dalbec's swing is geared for the type of contact we want -- line drives and flyballs -- but he needs to make contact at an acceptable clip. One comp comes to mind, if we want to take a glass-half-full outlook: Matt Chapman. However, Chapman's contact rates were always slightly better, and his walk rate never plummeted like Dalbec's did in 2018.
Dalbec was a fourth-round draft pick out of the University of Arizona, where he played third base and pitched. On a positional track in the Red Sox's organization, Dalbec was Babe Ruth reincarnated last summer, bashing seven homers while hitting .386 with a 1.101 OPS in 34 games for short-season Lowell. So, how was it that a player with this much power potential, an anticipated first-rounder after mashing in the Cape Cod League during the summer of 2015, slipped to the fourth round? Dalbec slugged just .429 with seven homers while striking out 36.7 percent of the time in 68 games during his junior year at Arizona. The knock that he was an all-or-nothing hitter with a high K-rate. But something changed between the end of his junior year and his summer in Lowell. Dalbec went back to an open stance -- the same one used during the previous summer. His strikeout rate dropped to a manageable 25 percent, but the question remains if Dalbec can hit enough to overcome the strikeouts.
More Fantasy News
Homers Sunday
1BBoston Red Sox
March 1, 2021
Dalbec started at first base and went 1-for-2 with a solo home run in Sunday's spring game against Minnesota.
ANALYSIS
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Goes yard Saturday
1BBoston Red Sox
September 26, 2020
Dalbec went 1-for-4 with a two-run homer in Saturday's 8-2 win over Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Starts at third base
1BBoston Red Sox
September 26, 2020
Dalbec started at third base and went 1-for-3 with two walks and an RBI in Friday's 8-7 extra-innings loss to the Braves.
ANALYSIS
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Doubles, drives in two
1BBoston Red Sox
September 23, 2020
Dalbec went 2-for-3 with a walk, a double, two RBI and a run scored in Tuesday's 8-3 win over the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Returns to lineup
1BBoston Red Sox
September 20, 2020
Dalbec returned to the starting lineup Saturday and went 1-for-3 in an 8-0 loss to the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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