Bobby Dalbec

Bobby Dalbec

26-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Boston Red Sox
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Dalbec either struck out, walked or homered in 62 percent of his first 92 plate appearances in the majors. If he had enough PA to qualify, he would have ranked second in the majors behind Miguel Sano in Barrel% (22.0) and K% (42.4). Sano rode that profile to a .204 batting average, which is around where Dalbec would have ended up if he had played enough for his numbers to stabilize. He is a couple years younger than Sano, so we shouldn't think of him as a finished product, but he clearly needs to cut down on the strikeouts to avoid being a net negative in fantasy. The 25-year-old is a natural third baseman, but he is blocked by Rafael Devers and he will soon be blocked at first base by top prospect Triston Casas. Even so, Boston will find a spot for him if he makes the necessary adjustments and gets to his massive all-fields pop without striking out over 35 percent of the time. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#244
ADP
$Signed a $650,000 contract with the Red Sox in July of 2016.
On bench for Game 3
1BBoston Red Sox
October 18, 2021
Dalbec isn't starting Game 3 of the ALCS against the Astros on Monday, Steve Hewitt of the Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
Dalbec started Game 1 of the ALDS against Tampa Bay, but Kyle Schwarber has taken over as the favorite for playing time at first base. Schwarber will lead off while serving as the first baseman, and Christian Arroyo will start at the keystone.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2021 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
11
8
29
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
10
13
23
15
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+18%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+20%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2019
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .902 218 21 14 46 0 .281 .326 .576
Since 2019vs Right .766 322 41 19 48 2 .220 .295 .471
2021vs Left .877 190 17 11 39 0 .278 .326 .551
2021vs Right .730 263 33 14 39 2 .212 .278 .452
2020vs Left 1.062 28 4 3 7 0 .296 .321 .741
2020vs Right .933 59 8 5 9 0 .260 .373 .560
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+24%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+30%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2019
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .917 264 34 18 52 1 .271 .333 .583
Since 2019Away .738 269 27 15 42 1 .222 .283 .456
2021Home .899 224 27 14 45 1 .270 .330 .569
2021Away .689 229 23 11 33 1 .211 .266 .423
2020Home 1.017 40 7 4 7 0 .278 .350 .667
2020Away 1.032 40 4 4 9 0 .286 .375 .657
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Bobby Dalbec compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.18
 
BB Rate
6.2%
 
K Rate
34.4%
 
BABIP
.316
 
ISO
.254
 
AVG
.240
 
OBP
.298
 
SLG
.494
 
OPS
.792
 
wOBA
.342
 
Exit Velocity
81.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.4%
 
Barrels/PA
13.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bobby Dalbec
FanDuel MLB: Monday Targets
46 days ago
Chris Morgan offers up his picks for Game 3 of the ALCS, and he’s picking Carlos Correa as his “Star,” who gets 1.5 times the points in single-game FanDuel DFS.
DraftKings MLB: Friday Breakdown
49 days ago
Mike Barner likes J.D. Martinez as the Captain’s Pick against Astros pitcher Framber Valdez.
FanDuel MLB: Friday ALCS Targets
49 days ago
Chris Bennett gets into Friday’s ALCS Game 1, providing some insight toward building a winning FanDuel lineup.
Playoff Primer: The Rankings
59 days ago
Todd Zola ranks players by position for fantasy playoff leagues. Chicago's Jose Abreu is tough to beat at first base.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday AL Wild Card Targets
59 days ago
Chris Bennett looks over Tuesday's AL Wild Card Game slate as Aaron Judge and the Yankees look to tee off against Nathan Eovaldi in Fenway Park.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2017
A good prospect, yet a flawed one, Dalbec could be a plus defender at third base who hits for plus power, but he may not hit enough for those strengths to matter. He mastered Double-A (143 wRC+) in a return trip, but his version of mastering a level is a .234/.371/.454 line. His 15.5 BB% at Double-A is exactly what his OBP/points-league managers had in mind, but that mark shriveled to 4.1% in 30 games at Triple-A while his AVG jumped closer to his career .261 mark. A three-true-outcomes profile will work fine in real life, given his power and defense, but if his walk rate doesn't bounce back to at least 10%, there is little evidence he will be able to provide enough offensive value to occupy a corner-infield spot on a contending team. He is a better defender than Rafael Devers, but Devers may be so entrenched that Dalbec moves to first base (where his 70-grade arm would be wasted) or the outfield.
Position players get graded on five tools, but those tools do not count the same. Take Dalbec, whose power, arm and glove are at least 60-grade, and possibly 70-grade tools. But if he ends up with a 30-grade hit tool, those sixes and sevens may not matter. He has never been young for his level, yet his strikeout rate has never been below 31% in full-season ball, and was above 37% at Low-A and Double-A. He also led the Arizona Fall League with 32 strikeouts in 20 games. Prior to his promotion to Double-A, he at least paired those whiffs with a ton of walks, but his BB% fell from 14.3% at High-A to 4.8% at Double-A. Dalbec's swing is geared for the type of contact we want -- line drives and flyballs -- but he needs to make contact at an acceptable clip. One comp comes to mind, if we want to take a glass-half-full outlook: Matt Chapman. However, Chapman's contact rates were always slightly better, and his walk rate never plummeted like Dalbec's did in 2018.
Dalbec was a fourth-round draft pick out of the University of Arizona, where he played third base and pitched. On a positional track in the Red Sox's organization, Dalbec was Babe Ruth reincarnated last summer, bashing seven homers while hitting .386 with a 1.101 OPS in 34 games for short-season Lowell. So, how was it that a player with this much power potential, an anticipated first-rounder after mashing in the Cape Cod League during the summer of 2015, slipped to the fourth round? Dalbec slugged just .429 with seven homers while striking out 36.7 percent of the time in 68 games during his junior year at Arizona. The knock that he was an all-or-nothing hitter with a high K-rate. But something changed between the end of his junior year and his summer in Lowell. Dalbec went back to an open stance -- the same one used during the previous summer. His strikeout rate dropped to a manageable 25 percent, but the question remains if Dalbec can hit enough to overcome the strikeouts.
More Fantasy News
Remains out of lineup
1BBoston Red Sox
October 16, 2021
Dalbec isn't starting Game 2 of the ALCS against the Astros on Saturday, Christopher Smith of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Game 1
1BBoston Red Sox
October 15, 2021
Dalbec is on the bench for Game 1 of the ALCS against the Astros on Friday, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
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On bench for Game 4
1BBoston Red Sox
October 11, 2021
Dalbec isn't starting Game 4 of the ALDS against the Rays on Monday, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Game 3
1BBoston Red Sox
October 10, 2021
Dalbec is out of the lineup for Game 3 of the ALDS against the Rays on Sunday, Rob Bradford of WEEI.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Retreats to bench
1BBoston Red Sox
October 8, 2021
Dalbec isn't starting Game 2 of the ALDS against the Rays on Friday, Christopher Smith of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
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