Austin Hays
Austin Hays
25-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Baltimore Orioles
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Hays was an interesting option last season after posting a .309/.373/.574 slash line in 75 plate appearances in 2019. Unfortunately, his 2020 campaign was largely disappointing. He missed nearly half of the short season with a fractured rib, appearing in just 33 games. His performance took a step back across the board, as he hit just four homers and stole just two bases while slashing .279/.328/.393. He at least provided fantasy players with a solid batting average, though even that may be a mirage, as Statcast pegged his xBA at just .246, with his hard-hit rate falling to 31.3%. Hays is still just 25 years old and has less than half a season (74 games) under his belt at the highest level, but his overall .272/.320/.424 slash line doesn't suggest stardom. The fact that he plays a decent center field means his 97 wRC+ is enough to keep him in the lineup, but there aren't many reasons to get too excited here. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#250
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Orioles in March of 2021.
Not in Wednesday's lineup
OFBaltimore Orioles
June 23, 2021
Hays isn't starting Wednesday's game against the Astros, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Hays had started each of the last three games, but he went 0-for-10 with a run and a strikeout. DJ Stewart will take over in left field and bat seventh.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
12
5
5
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
10
1
3
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+49%
OPS vs LHP
2020
Even Split
2019
 
 
+275%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .710 116 18 4 13 1 .243 .289 .421
Since 2019vs Right .767 265 40 10 26 4 .264 .332 .435
2021vs Left .870 59 10 3 9 0 .296 .333 .537
2021vs Right .583 118 17 3 9 1 .179 .263 .321
2020vs Left .729 30 6 1 2 1 .250 .300 .429
2020vs Right .732 99 13 3 6 1 .289 .343 .389
2019vs Left .345 27 2 0 2 0 .120 .185 .160
2019vs Right 1.293 48 10 4 11 2 .419 .479 .814
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+26%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+43%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+1%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .742 192 28 6 18 3 .247 .330 .412
Since 2019Away .757 189 30 8 21 2 .267 .309 .449
2021Home .758 89 14 3 10 1 .234 .330 .429
2021Away .603 88 13 3 8 0 .205 .241 .361
2020Home .603 66 8 1 2 2 .233 .303 .300
2020Away .865 63 11 3 6 0 .328 .365 .500
2019Home .954 37 6 2 6 0 .303 .378 .576
2019Away .940 38 6 2 7 2 .314 .368 .571
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Austin Hays compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.32
 
BB Rate
6.8%
 
K Rate
21.5%
 
BABIP
.250
 
ISO
.175
 
AVG
.219
 
OBP
.286
 
SLG
.394
 
OPS
.679
 
wOBA
.301
 
Exit Velocity
81.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
27.4%
 
Barrels/PA
8.1%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Austin Hays
The Z Files: Early Season Power Targets
46 days ago
Todd Zola takes a look at early-season data on average flyball exit velocity and distance and thinks there is a power surge in C.J. Cron's future.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Targets
57 days ago
Chris Bennett checks out Tuesday's slate and isn't deterred by Fernando Tatis' high salary in a plus matchup against the Diamondbacks.
Bernie on the Scene: Corner Infield Trade Targets
65 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff analyzes some trade targets at the corners who could help fantasy teams, including the Royals' Hunter Dozier.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
66 days ago
Erik Siegrist takes a look at the AL free-agent pool and sees a clear path to value for Willie Calhoun if he can get into a groove at the plate.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
73 days ago
Erik Siegrist checks out the AL free-agent pool and thinks that while Akil Baddoo's name might be fun to say, he could be even more fun to have on your roster.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
Hays' value has peaked twice as a pro, first after a monster 2017 when he laid waste to High-A and Double-A pitching, and most recently after logging a 146 wRC+, .265 ISO and career-high 9.3 BB% in 75 MLB plate appearances to close the 2019 season. Sandwiched in between those high points were two injury-riddled seasons in the upper levels of the minors, during which he often performed as a below-league-average hitter. His MLB performance was deserved based on how he hit the ball (.303 xBA), but his 22.2 LD%, 30.9 Hard% and 40.0 Pull% were all better marks than he posted recently in the minors, so those levels may not be sustainable. Given the lack of talent around him in Baltimore, Hays will get everyday playing time for the foreseeable future as long as he keeps his head above water. If the 24-year-old can be drafted as an OF5 in mixed leagues, the risk/reward will be properly factored in.
Hays reached the majors in 2017, and seemed likely to spend a good chunk of last season back with the big club. However, he dealt with shoulder soreness in spring training and struggled to get going back at Double-A, hitting .224/.259/.374 in 43 games before suffering a stress fracture in his ankle that sidelined him for over two months. Hays returned to Double-A in early August and hit .273/.291/.535 with six home runs in 23 games before eventually undergoing surgery to repair the stress fracture. He needs to recapture his line-drive-oriented approach from 2017, as he could naturally hit 25-plus home runs by taking what pitchers give him -- he seemed to be selling out for power last season. Hays makes for a nice post-hype sleeper in 2019. He will likely return to the minors for a month or two, but will be up once he looks ready.
How many hitting prospects can say they skipped Low-A and Triple-A in the same season? Hays did just that in 2017, beginning the year in the Carolina League and finishing the campaign as the Orioles’ leadoff hitter. His muscular forearms produce high-end bat speed, which results in plus right-handed power. He currently operates with a see ball, hit ball approach, but there has been no reason for him to utilize patience, as he never faced adversity in the minors. His eye-popping production in 64 games at High-A (167 wRC+, .263 ISO, 16 HR) and 64 games at Double-A (161 wRC+, .264 ISO, 16 HR) was eerily consistent. He runs well enough to handle center field, but has not yet learned how to utilize his above-average speed on the bases, limiting him to four-category production for now. Unless he appears overmatched in spring training, Hays should open the year as the Orioles’ everyday right fielder. His future is very bright, but there could be more growing pains in his first full season in the majors.
The Orioles are not known for making quality draft picks outside of the first round, but they certainly appear to have done so when they popped Hays with the 91st pick in last year's draft. An impressive physical specimen at 6-foot-1, 210 pounds, Hays was given the slot value out of Jacksonville University, so this looks like a pure scouting find. He boasts at least average offensive tools across the board, and his strength and aggressive style of play allow those tools to play up. His all-fields approach is impressive considering how much he impacts the baseball, which speaks to the strength in his wrists and forearms. With a chance to handle all three outfield spots, his glove won't hinder his ability to make the big leagues, so it will simply come down to how well he can handle upper-level offspeed stuff. Given where he was drafted, Hays has a chance to be one of the best bargains in dynasty league drafts this spring.
More Fantasy News
Not starting Saturday
OFBaltimore Orioles
June 19, 2021
Hays isn't in the lineup Saturday against the Blue Jays, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Registers first steal
OFBaltimore Orioles
June 18, 2021
Hays went 2-for-4 with an RBI single, a walk and a stolen base in Friday's 7-1 win over Toronto.
ANALYSIS
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Goes yard Thursday
OFBaltimore Orioles
June 17, 2021
Hays went 1-for-4 with a solo home run Thursday against Cleveland.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Monday
OFBaltimore Orioles
June 14, 2021
Hays isn't in the lineup for Monday's game against Cleveland, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Good to go Sunday
OFBaltimore Orioles
June 13, 2021
Hays (undisclosed) is starting in center field and batting fifth Sunday against the Rays, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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