Nate Pearson
24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Toronto Blue Jays AAA
7-Day IL
Injury Groin
Est. Return 8/10/2021
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Pearson has long stood out as an injury risk due to his age, profession (pitcher) and superfluous fastball velocity, and indeed, he suffered a flexor strain in his elbow after four starts in the majors. Fortunately, he did return, making one regular-season relief appearance before striking out five of six batters in his lone postseason appearance. He still carries a high risk of re-injury, but we can at least expect him to open the year in the MLB rotation. If there were no health concerns, he would be a nice buy-low option after a miserable statistical debut. His fastball velocity and wipeout slider are major strengths, while his changeup, curveball and command/control were major weaknesses against MLB hitters. Even the best pitching prospects can take a couple years to figure it out in the majors, so health/durability, not performance, remains the biggest long-term concern with Toronto's 6-foot-6 righty. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a contract with the Blue Jays in June of 2017.
Building up as reliever
PToronto Blue Jays  AAA
Groin
July 20, 2021
Pearson (groin) has begun to build back up after being diagnosed with a sports hernia but will do so as a reliever, Mitch Bannon of SI.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Pearson received plenty of hype heading into last season but has thus far failed to establish himself thanks to a long list of injuries. He appears to be finally turning a corner with his last issue, however, with the Blue Jays expressing relief that he wasn't diagnosed with anything worse. He's on track to throw live batting practice next week. Pearson won't have time to build up to a starter's workload by the end of the year, but he certainly has the stuff to help the team in a relief role. Of course, that'll limit his fantasy utility outside of leagues that count holds.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2021 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
64
Last 10 Games
64
Last 5 Games
64
How many pitches does Nate Pearson generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Nate Pearson generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-67%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-81%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-64%
BAA vs RHP
2019
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .361 47 5 11 13 1 1 4
Since 2019vs Right .119 50 11 7 5 0 0 1
2021vs Left .750 8 0 4 3 0 1 0
2021vs Right .143 8 0 1 1 0 0 0
2020vs Left .313 39 5 7 10 1 0 4
2020vs Right .114 42 11 6 4 0 0 1
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-61%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-67%
ERA on Road
2019
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 15.43 3.86 2.1 0 0 0 3.9 15.4 3.9
Since 2019Away 6.06 1.53 16.1 0 1 0 7.2 7.2 2.2
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 11.57 3.86 2.1 0 1 0 0.0 19.3 0.0
2020Home 15.43 3.86 2.1 0 0 0 3.9 15.4 3.9
2020Away 5.14 1.14 14.0 0 0 0 8.4 5.1 2.6
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nate Pearson compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
0.00
 
K/9
0.0
 
BB/9
19.3
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
95.7 mph
 
ERA
11.57
 
WHIP
3.86
 
BABIP
.378
 
GB/FB
0.57
 
Left On Base
66.7%
 
Exit Velocity
89.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
0.0%
 
Spin Rate
2164 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
30.8%
 
Swinging Strike
1.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nate Pearson
Mound Musings: Help Is on the Way?
5 days ago
Brad Johnson writes about the Futures Game, where promising young pitchers like the Rays’ Shane Baz were showcased, and Johnson provides a brief update on a handful injured pitchers.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
21 days ago
Jesse Siegel profiles a number of prospects, with some performing well and others suffering significant injuries.
Mound Musings: Time to Pull the Chute?
54 days ago
Brad Johnson examines underperforming pitchers to determine whether they’re worth keeping, starting with Luis Castillo who has been subpar in his last nine starts.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
56 days ago
Jesse Siegel discusses a few notable prospects, including a Orioles' pitcher set to climb the ranks.
Farm Futures: Dynasty Rankings Update/Top 100 Prospects
59 days ago
James Anderson explains his updated dynasty rankings, in which Vlad Jr. has ascended to the top five, while also previewing his updated prospect rankings.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
The crucial part of Pearson's season was an eight-start run to close the year split between Double-A and Triple-A, during which he had a 2.14 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and 47:14 K:BB in 46.1 IP. Prior to this, he had been facing overmatched competition (six starts at High-A) or not working as a true starter -- he averaged 3.1 innings per outing in his first 11 starts at Double-A. In short, he passed the final exam and is one of the game's best pitching prospects. Pearson can touch triple digits with his fastball and has a plus slider, but his changeup needs some work. Injuries limited the 6-foot-6, 245-pound righty to just 42 pro innings prior to 2019, so crossing the 100-inning mark was a significant achievement. Keeping his weight in check will be important, and Pearson's velocity makes him a prime Tommy John surgery candidate, but all arrows are pointing up for now. He should spend most of 2020 in the MLB rotation.
Sometimes the mysterious carries more value in dynasty leagues than established commodities. For example, Pearson has thrown just 42 innings including the Arizona Fall League, yet looks the part of a frontline horse (6-foot-6, 245 pounds) and touched 104 mph in a one-inning outing with dozens of scouts watching at the 2018 Fall Stars game. The 28th overall pick in 2017, Pearson was seen as a lottery ticket, as he had not faced quality competition in junior college but had touched triple digits with his fastball. The selection looked brilliant when he dominated in short-season ball, but he missed the first month of 2018 with an oblique injury and missed the rest of the season after exiting his first start when a comebacker broke his ulna. Pearson's slider and changeup should be at least average offerings but his eventual command is unknown. His upside and flaws should come into focus if he stays healthy in his age-22 season.
The Blue Jays nabbed Pearson with the 28th overall pick in the 2017 draft, but if the draft were held again this offseason, he would go in the top 15. He was seen as a lottery ticket. Scouts liked his stuff, but coming out of a Central Florida junior college, he had not faced any high-end competition. Pearson threw one inning in the Gulf Coast League and was quickly promoted to the Northwest League where he displayed an elite fastball that can touch 100 mph and a potentially plus changeup. Never going more than four innings, he was able to carve up short-season hitters with ease on the strength of his fastball and changeup. He didn't give up a run over his first seven appearances and fanned 10 over four innings in his penultimate start of the year. The next step will be gaining more consistency with his slider -- his clear third pitch. If that comes along, he has the size (6-foot-6, 245 pounds) and potentially above-average command to anchor a big-league rotation.
More Fantasy News
Heading for another medical opinion
PToronto Blue Jays  AAA
Groin
June 30, 2021
GM Ross Atkins said Wednesday that Pearson is away from the team this week to receive another medical opinion in his injured right groin, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Getting multiple opinions on injury
PToronto Blue Jays  AAA
Groin
June 24, 2021
Blue Jays team president Mark Shapiro said Thursday that Pearson will soon receive a fourth medical opinion on his strained right groin, Arash Mardani of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Heads to injured list
PToronto Blue Jays  AAA
Groin
June 22, 2021
Pearson has been placed on the 7-day injured list with a right groin strain, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Cleared for next Triple-A start
PToronto Blue Jays  AAA
May 18, 2021
Pearson (shoulder) is listed as Triple-A Buffalo's scheduled starting pitcher for Friday's game against Worcester.
ANALYSIS
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Working through shoulder issue
PToronto Blue Jays  AAA
Shoulder
May 14, 2021
Pearson will miss his next Triple-A start due to a mild right shoulder impingement, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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