Nate Pearson
24-Year-Old PitcherSP
2020 Fantasy Outlook
The crucial part of Pearson's season was an eight-start run to close the year split between Double-A and Triple-A, during which he had a 2.14 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and 47:14 K:BB in 46.1 IP. Prior to this, he had been facing overmatched competition (six starts at High-A) or not working as a true starter -- he averaged 3.1 innings per outing in his first 11 starts at Double-A. In short, he passed the final exam and is one of the game's best pitching prospects. Pearson can touch triple digits with his fastball and has a plus slider, but his changeup needs some work. Injuries limited the 6-foot-6, 245-pound righty to just 42 pro innings prior to 2019, so crossing the 100-inning mark was a significant achievement. Keeping his weight in check will be important, and Pearson's velocity makes him a prime Tommy John surgery candidate, but all arrows are pointing up for now. He should spend most of 2020 in the MLB rotation. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a contract with the Blue Jays in June of 2017.
Grabs first career win in return
PToronto Blue Jays
September 25, 2020
Pearson (1-0) picked up the win in Friday's 10-5 victory over the Orioles, allowing one hit and one walk over 1.2 scoreless innings of relief. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
Entering the game after Taijuan Walker tossed three perfect innings in an abbreviated outing, Pearson quickly demonstrated that his arm was healthy again by striking out the first batter he faced, Austin Hays, on three pitches -- a 100.1 mph fastball, an 86.3 mph slider, and then a 101.5 mph fastball. He was rewarded with his first career win. Pearson threw 24 pitches (17 strikes) during his first appearance since Aug. 18, and while the 24-year-old won't have time to get stretched out and join the rotation before the regular season ends, he could be a devastating option out of the bullpen for the Jays in the playoffs.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
59
Last 10 Games
59
Last 5 Games
55
How many pitches does Nate Pearson generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Nate Pearson generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-64%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-64%
BAA vs RHP
2019
No Stats
2018
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .313 39 5 7 10 1 0 4
Since 2018vs Right .114 42 11 6 4 0 0 1
2020vs Left .313 39 5 7 10 1 0 4
2020vs Right .114 42 11 6 4 0 0 1
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-67%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-67%
ERA on Road
2019
No Stats
2018
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 15.43 3.86 2.1 0 0 0 3.9 15.4 3.9
Since 2018Away 5.14 1.14 14.0 0 0 0 8.4 5.1 2.6
2020Home 15.43 3.86 2.1 0 0 0 3.9 15.4 3.9
2020Away 5.14 1.14 14.0 0 0 0 8.4 5.1 2.6
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nate Pearson compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.23
 
K/9
8.0
 
BB/9
6.5
 
HR/9
2.5
 
Fastball
96.4 mph
 
ERA
6.00
 
WHIP
1.50
 
BABIP
.206
 
GB/FB
0.91
 
Left On Base
60.0%
 
Exit Velocity
83.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.4%
 
Spin Rate
2368 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.1%
 
Swinging Strike
11.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nate Pearson
Super Early Top 400 for 2021
13 days ago
James Anderson releases his super early top 400 redraft rankings, which features a trio of Atlanta hitters in the top 20.
Mound Musings: The “Kids on Parade” Watch List for 2021
32 days ago
Brad Johnson marks the end of the unusual season with his annual prospects column, which includes the Dodgers’ Tony Gonsolin whose future role is up in the air.
Mound Musings: What a Long, Strange Trip It’s Been
46 days ago
Brad Johnson reflects on the season so far and the impact it could have on future seasons, including the impact of up and coming potential aces like Toronto’s Nate Pearson.
Farm Futures: Top 400 Update
52 days ago
James Anderson explains the movement on his latest update to the Top 400 Prospect Rankings, and he is buying what Padres second baseman Jake Cronenworth is selling.
Mound Musings: Trading Places at the Deadline
53 days ago
Brad Johnson analyses the aftermath of the trade deadline to see how the changes in latitudes might affect pitchers like Robbie Ray who’s moving to Toronto.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
Sometimes the mysterious carries more value in dynasty leagues than established commodities. For example, Pearson has thrown just 42 innings including the Arizona Fall League, yet looks the part of a frontline horse (6-foot-6, 245 pounds) and touched 104 mph in a one-inning outing with dozens of scouts watching at the 2018 Fall Stars game. The 28th overall pick in 2017, Pearson was seen as a lottery ticket, as he had not faced quality competition in junior college but had touched triple digits with his fastball. The selection looked brilliant when he dominated in short-season ball, but he missed the first month of 2018 with an oblique injury and missed the rest of the season after exiting his first start when a comebacker broke his ulna. Pearson's slider and changeup should be at least average offerings but his eventual command is unknown. His upside and flaws should come into focus if he stays healthy in his age-22 season.
The Blue Jays nabbed Pearson with the 28th overall pick in the 2017 draft, but if the draft were held again this offseason, he would go in the top 15. He was seen as a lottery ticket. Scouts liked his stuff, but coming out of a Central Florida junior college, he had not faced any high-end competition. Pearson threw one inning in the Gulf Coast League and was quickly promoted to the Northwest League where he displayed an elite fastball that can touch 100 mph and a potentially plus changeup. Never going more than four innings, he was able to carve up short-season hitters with ease on the strength of his fastball and changeup. He didn't give up a run over his first seven appearances and fanned 10 over four innings in his penultimate start of the year. The next step will be gaining more consistency with his slider -- his clear third pitch. If that comes along, he has the size (6-foot-6, 245 pounds) and potentially above-average command to anchor a big-league rotation.
More Fantasy News
Activated Thursday
PToronto Blue Jays
September 24, 2020
Pearson (elbow) is being activated prior to Thursday's game against the Yankees, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expected back soon
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
September 23, 2020
Pearson (elbow) feels good and is expected to return from the injured list soon, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throws live batting practice
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
September 21, 2020
Pearson (elbow) threw 25 pitches in a live batting practice session Monday, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Another live BP on tap
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
September 20, 2020
Pearson (elbow) is scheduled for a live batting practice session Monday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
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Completes live BP
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
September 17, 2020
Pearson (elbow) threw a successful live batting practice session Wednesday but will remain at the alternate training site for now, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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