Daniel Lynch
24-Year-Old PitcherSP
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Kansas City's host of prized young pitchers started to debut last season, but Lynch, who entered the year as the team's top pitching prospect remained at the alternate training site. The 6-foot-6 southpaw has more electric stuff than Brady Singer or Kris Bubic, but harnessing that stuff and developing his changeup required more time than the condensed season provided. He sits in the mid-90s with his fastball (touches 99) and already boasts a wipeout slider, so Lynch may have been called upon to debut out of the bullpen had the Royals factored into the postseason picture. He made strides with his changeup all summer and is now comfortable throwing it to same-handed hitters. The 24-year-old also throws an average curveball. If Lynch's command and changeup look ready, he should join the big-league rotation in the first half of this season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#592
ADP
$Signed a contract with the Royals in June of 2018.
Sent to Triple-A
PKansas City Royals
May 14, 2021
Lynch was optioned to Triple-A Omaha on Friday.
ANALYSIS
The 24-year-old was crushed for 14 runs in eight innings across his first three starts in the majors, so he'll make his way back to Triple-A. Lynch will attempt to get back on track at Omaha after an ugly start to his major-league career.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
58
Last 10 Games
58
Last 5 Games
58
How many pitches does Daniel Lynch generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Daniel Lynch generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-31%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-31%
BAA vs LHP
2020
No Stats
2019
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .333 5 1 0 1 1 0 0
Since 2019vs Right .486 41 6 5 17 5 1 1
2021vs Left .333 5 1 0 1 1 0 0
2021vs Right .486 41 6 5 17 5 1 1
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-45%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-45%
ERA on Road
2020
No Stats
2019
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 18.56 3.00 5.1 0 1 0 5.1 8.4 1.7
Since 2019Away 10.13 2.63 2.2 0 1 0 13.5 0.0 0.0
2021Home 18.56 3.00 5.1 0 1 0 5.1 8.4 1.7
2021Away 10.13 2.63 2.2 0 1 0 13.5 0.0 0.0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Daniel Lynch compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.40
 
K/9
7.9
 
BB/9
5.6
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
94.9 mph
 
ERA
15.75
 
WHIP
2.88
 
BABIP
.522
 
GB/FB
1.38
 
Left On Base
37.0%
 
Exit Velocity
86.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
13.1%
 
Spin Rate
2198 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
36.1%
 
Swinging Strike
12.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
Lynch, the 34th-overall pick in 2018, missed almost two months in the middle of the year with arm soreness, but he was very effective when healthy and finished the year strong in the Arizona Fall League. He is pretty advanced in that he throws four usable pitches (fastball and slider are plus, fringe-average changeup is his fourth-best offering) and has good command/control (7.0 BB% at High-A). However, at 6-foot-6, 190 pounds he is also very projectable with a chance to add velocity (fastball already sits 94-95 mph) and develop even better command. The wiry southpaw was one of the best pitchers in the AFL, logging a 19:4 K:BB in 14 innings while setting the stage for an assignment to Double-A for his age-23 season. As things stand, he projects to be a solid No. 3 starter, but if his curveball and changeup improve, he could be better than that. His future home park and division add to the appeal.
Royals GM Dayton Moore embraced his Atlanta Braves roots in the first draft of his full-on rebuild, selecting five pitchers in the first 58 picks. Lynch, who received an under-slot $1.6975 million bonus after getting popped with the 34th overall pick, had the best debut of those five hurlers. He was absolutely dominant over 51.1 innings in the Appy League and Sally League, with more strikeouts (61) than baserunners (53) and a 26.8 K-BB% that would have led all Low-A and High-A pitchers had he thrown enough innings to qualify. He also posted a groundball rate over 50% across both stops. A 6-foot-6, 190-pound southpaw out of Virginia, Lynch commands a plus 93-95 mph fastball, which allows him to get into favorable counts. From there, he is able to sit hitters down with a plethora of quality offspeed pitches -- his plus mid-80s slider is his best secondary offering. He should move quickly in his age-22 season, likely finishing the year at Double-A or Triple-A.
More Fantasy News
Another shaky outing
PKansas City Royals
May 13, 2021
Lynch (0-2) allowed four runs (three earned) on seven hits and no walks while striking out four across 2.2 innings to take the loss Thursday against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Clobbered in loss
PKansas City Royals
May 8, 2021
Lynch (0-1) allowed eight runs on seven hits and walked one over two-thirds of an inning in Saturday's loss to the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Shaky big-league debut
PKansas City Royals
May 3, 2021
Lynch didn't factor into the decision in Monday's 8-6 loss to Cleveland, giving up three runs on four hits and four walks over 4.2 innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Contract officially selected
PKansas City Royals
May 3, 2021
Lynch's contract was selected by the Royals on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Major-league debut on tap
PKansas City Royals
May 2, 2021
Lynch will be called up to start Monday's game against Cleveland, Lynn Worthy of The Kansas City Star reports.
ANALYSIS
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