Bobby Dalbec

Bobby Dalbec

27-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Boston Red Sox
2023 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Bobby Dalbec in 2023. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a $650,000 contract with the Red Sox in July of 2016.
Recalled from Triple-A
1BBoston Red Sox
September 22, 2022
Dalbec was recalled from Triple-A Worcester on Thursday, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
He is not in the lineup against the Yankees but should be available off the bench. Dalbec should occupy the short side of a platoon at first base while also seeing time at designated hitter and as a pinch hitter. He hit .250 with five home runs and 14 strikeouts in 13 games at Triple-A this month.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
26
17
6
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
3
9
8
5
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+23%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+24%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+20%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .855 330 35 19 59 0 .268 .333 .522
Since 2020vs Right .697 563 67 26 74 5 .213 .277 .420
2022vs Left .754 112 14 5 13 0 .240 .348 .406
2022vs Right .606 241 26 7 26 3 .204 .253 .353
2021vs Left .877 190 17 11 39 0 .278 .326 .551
2021vs Right .730 263 33 14 39 2 .212 .278 .452
2020vs Left 1.062 28 4 3 7 0 .296 .321 .741
2020vs Right .933 59 8 5 9 0 .260 .373 .560
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+30%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .811 436 55 24 71 2 .251 .317 .495
Since 2020Away .706 450 46 21 62 3 .217 .280 .426
2022Home .648 172 21 6 19 1 .221 .291 .357
2022Away .657 181 19 6 20 2 .209 .276 .380
2021Home .899 224 27 14 45 1 .270 .330 .569
2021Away .689 229 23 11 33 1 .211 .266 .423
2020Home 1.017 40 7 4 7 0 .278 .350 .667
2020Away 1.032 40 4 4 9 0 .286 .375 .657
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Stat Review
How does Bobby Dalbec compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.25
 
BB Rate
8.2%
 
K Rate
33.4%
 
BABIP
.293
 
ISO
.155
 
AVG
.215
 
OBP
.283
 
SLG
.369
 
OPS
.652
 
wOBA
.289
 
Exit Velocity
90.3 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
28.1%
 
Barrels/PA
6.8%
 
Expected BA
.216
 
Expected SLG
.379
 
Sprint Speed
24.3 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
38.9%
 
Line Drive %
20.2%
 
Fly Ball %
40.9%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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116 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2017
On Aug. 7, Dalbec was slashing a season-low .214/.261/.390, with a 38.1 K% and 4.8 BB%. After, he posted a .299/.378/.732 line with a 26.6 K% and 9.1 BB%. While the change was obviously gradual, the difference before and after the nadir was pitch recognition. Dalbec's numbers against fastballs were consistent all season, but he markedly improved against breaking balls and offspeed stuff. His contact rate on curves and sliders increased to go along with a 5.6-mph bump in average exit velocity while his avgEV on changeups spiked 7.6 mph. Clearly, Dalbec can't maintain the power level exhibited in his final 42 games, but handling curves, sliders and changeups better is a great sign. Playing time, however, is unclear as Dalbec's defense at first base is a work in progress. Buy into Dalbec taking the next step but be leery of regular playing time.
Dalbec either struck out, walked or homered in 62 percent of his first 92 plate appearances in the majors. If he had enough PA to qualify, he would have ranked second in the majors behind Miguel Sano in Barrel% (22.0) and K% (42.4). Sano rode that profile to a .204 batting average, which is around where Dalbec would have ended up if he had played enough for his numbers to stabilize. He is a couple years younger than Sano, so we shouldn't think of him as a finished product, but he clearly needs to cut down on the strikeouts to avoid being a net negative in fantasy. The 25-year-old is a natural third baseman, but he is blocked by Rafael Devers and he will soon be blocked at first base by top prospect Triston Casas. Even so, Boston will find a spot for him if he makes the necessary adjustments and gets to his massive all-fields pop without striking out over 35 percent of the time.
A good prospect, yet a flawed one, Dalbec could be a plus defender at third base who hits for plus power, but he may not hit enough for those strengths to matter. He mastered Double-A (143 wRC+) in a return trip, but his version of mastering a level is a .234/.371/.454 line. His 15.5 BB% at Double-A is exactly what his OBP/points-league managers had in mind, but that mark shriveled to 4.1% in 30 games at Triple-A while his AVG jumped closer to his career .261 mark. A three-true-outcomes profile will work fine in real life, given his power and defense, but if his walk rate doesn't bounce back to at least 10%, there is little evidence he will be able to provide enough offensive value to occupy a corner-infield spot on a contending team. He is a better defender than Rafael Devers, but Devers may be so entrenched that Dalbec moves to first base (where his 70-grade arm would be wasted) or the outfield.
Position players get graded on five tools, but those tools do not count the same. Take Dalbec, whose power, arm and glove are at least 60-grade, and possibly 70-grade tools. But if he ends up with a 30-grade hit tool, those sixes and sevens may not matter. He has never been young for his level, yet his strikeout rate has never been below 31% in full-season ball, and was above 37% at Low-A and Double-A. He also led the Arizona Fall League with 32 strikeouts in 20 games. Prior to his promotion to Double-A, he at least paired those whiffs with a ton of walks, but his BB% fell from 14.3% at High-A to 4.8% at Double-A. Dalbec's swing is geared for the type of contact we want -- line drives and flyballs -- but he needs to make contact at an acceptable clip. One comp comes to mind, if we want to take a glass-half-full outlook: Matt Chapman. However, Chapman's contact rates were always slightly better, and his walk rate never plummeted like Dalbec's did in 2018.
Dalbec was a fourth-round draft pick out of the University of Arizona, where he played third base and pitched. On a positional track in the Red Sox's organization, Dalbec was Babe Ruth reincarnated last summer, bashing seven homers while hitting .386 with a 1.101 OPS in 34 games for short-season Lowell. So, how was it that a player with this much power potential, an anticipated first-rounder after mashing in the Cape Cod League during the summer of 2015, slipped to the fourth round? Dalbec slugged just .429 with seven homers while striking out 36.7 percent of the time in 68 games during his junior year at Arizona. The knock that he was an all-or-nothing hitter with a high K-rate. But something changed between the end of his junior year and his summer in Lowell. Dalbec went back to an open stance -- the same one used during the previous summer. His strikeout rate dropped to a manageable 25 percent, but the question remains if Dalbec can hit enough to overcome the strikeouts.
More Fantasy News
Demoted to Triple-A
1BBoston Red Sox
September 4, 2022
Dalbec was optioned to Triple-A Worcester on Sunday.
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Heading down to minors
1BBoston Red Sox
September 3, 2022
Dalbec will be optioned to Triple-A Worcester on Sunday, Julian McWilliams of The Boston Globe reports.
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Starts Wednesday
1BBoston Red Sox
September 1, 2022
Dalbec started at first base and went 0-for-4 with four strikeouts in Wednesday's 6-5 win over Minnesota.
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Two RBI in loss
1BBoston Red Sox
August 26, 2022
Dalbec went 1-for-4 with two RBI, one run scored and one steal in Thursday's extra-inning loss to the Blue Jays.
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Makes first career start at SS
1BBoston Red Sox
August 25, 2022
Dalbec started at shortstop and went 0-for-3 with a walk in Wednesday's 3-2 extra-inning loss to the Blue Jays.
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