Bobby Dalbec

Bobby Dalbec

28-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Boston Red Sox
2024 Fantasy Outlook
The Red Sox appeared to have moved on from Dalbec, a one-time top prospect that failed to deliver in more than 900 at-bats in the majors, as they handed first base to Triston Casas. There was a late-season uprising in 2021, but Dalbec took a step back in 2022 - his inability to consistently hit right-handers made it impossible for the club to consider him as a full-time starter. Deeming Casas ready, the organization placed Dalbec at Triple-A Worcester, where he spent most of the 2023 season. For the WooSox, he made everyone ignore an habitually high strikeout rate; the power-hitting corner infielder mashed with a .938 OPS and 33 home runs over 114 games. In three separate stints in the majors, however, Dalbec reverted to MLB-version of himself. Surprisingly, the Red Sox haven't traded him yet, despite interest from other teams during the winter meetings. With Justin Turner in free agency, Boston needs a right-handed hitting backup, and Dalbec received a vote of confidence from manager Alex Cora and new chief baseball officer Craig Breslow during the offseason. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#582
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $720,000 contract with the Red Sox in March of 2023.
Receiving outfield reps
1BBoston Red Sox
February 16, 2024
Dalbec is taking reps in the outfield Friday, Julian McWilliams of The Boston Globe reports.
ANALYSIS
Defense has never been a strength for Dalbec, but becoming a viable option in the corner outfield would increase his value as a utility player. The 28-year-old tallied just 53 plate appearances with the Red Sox last season, seeing most of his action at first base, but he was a force offensively at Triple-A Worcester with 33 home runs, 17 steals and a .938 OPS.
Read More News
Batting Stats
Loading Batting Stats...
2023
2022
2021
2020
2023 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Batting Game Log...
2022 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Batting Game Log...
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Batting Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Batting Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Batting Game Log...
Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
4
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
1
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+28%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+133%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+24%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+20%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021vs Left .836 324 33 16 52 1 .271 .340 .497
Since 2021vs Right .653 535 63 22 66 5 .202 .260 .393
2023vs Left .859 22 2 0 0 1 .350 .409 .450
2023vs Right .368 31 4 1 1 0 .103 .161 .207
2022vs Left .754 112 14 5 13 0 .240 .348 .406
2022vs Right .606 241 26 7 26 3 .204 .253 .353
2021vs Left .877 190 17 11 39 0 .278 .326 .551
2021vs Right .730 263 33 14 39 2 .212 .278 .452
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+75%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+30%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021Home .776 410 50 20 64 2 .245 .310 .466
Since 2021Away .672 449 46 18 54 4 .211 .272 .400
2023Home .368 14 2 0 0 0 .154 .214 .154
2023Away .643 39 4 1 1 1 .222 .282 .361
2022Home .648 172 21 6 19 1 .221 .291 .357
2022Away .657 181 19 6 20 2 .209 .276 .380
2021Home .899 224 27 14 45 1 .270 .330 .569
2021Away .689 229 23 11 33 1 .211 .266 .423
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Bobby Dalbec compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.14
 
BB Rate
7.5%
 
K Rate
52.8%
 
BABIP
.450
 
ISO
.102
 
AVG
.204
 
OBP
.264
 
SLG
.306
 
OPS
.570
 
wOBA
.257
 
Exit Velocity
92.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
47.6%
 
Barrels/PA
9.4%
 
Expected BA
.198
 
Expected SLG
.377
 
Sprint Speed
25.2 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
33.3%
 
Line Drive %
38.1%
 
Fly Ball %
28.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
Loading Advanced Batting Stats...
Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
Loading Games Played by Position...
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Batted Ball Stats
Loading Batted Ball Stats...
Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bobby Dalbec See More
Collette Calls: Value in the Scrap Heap for 2024
90 days ago
Jason Collette highlights 10 hitters and 10 pitchers who have been nearly forgotten about in the first handful of 2024 drafts, including shortstop Tim Anderson.
Lineup Lowdown: American League
155 days ago
Ryan Boyer has the American League Lineup Lowdown for the final week of the 2023 MLB season, with the Houston Astros and Yordan Alvarez in a tough battle for the AL West crown.
Collette Calls: AL Hitting Bold Predictions Review
156 days ago
Jason Collette begins his review of his preseason Bold Predictions series, starting with American League hitters.
DraftKings MLB: Saturday Breakdown
158 days ago
Dan Marcus has selected some Cubs bats at home versus Chris Flexen and the Rockies.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
164 days ago
Erik Siegrist looks over the waiver options in the AL as the Orioles bring up one more top prospect for their playoff push in Heston Kjerstad.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2017
Dalbec closed 2021 on such a high note that many thought he was on his way to a big 2022. Alas, that never materialized as Dalbec once again struggled to make contact and struggled mightily against righties leading to a demotion to Triple-A and the short side of platoons until injuries forced him into more playing time. Dalbec can still sting a baseball with the best of them, but his infrequent contact with the baseball limit the moments his bat can make a fantasy impact and he instead serves as a drag on your batting average. Doubling down on the issues is he hits down in the lineup which limits his overall run production. You do not give up on power like his in fantasy, but Boston is rumored to be looking to move on from him and that change of scenery may be just what he needs to push up the run production. Of course, excessive playing time could turn his numbers into another Joey Gallo situation.
On Aug. 7, Dalbec was slashing a season-low .214/.261/.390, with a 38.1 K% and 4.8 BB%. After, he posted a .299/.378/.732 line with a 26.6 K% and 9.1 BB%. While the change was obviously gradual, the difference before and after the nadir was pitch recognition. Dalbec's numbers against fastballs were consistent all season, but he markedly improved against breaking balls and offspeed stuff. His contact rate on curves and sliders increased to go along with a 5.6-mph bump in average exit velocity while his avgEV on changeups spiked 7.6 mph. Clearly, Dalbec can't maintain the power level exhibited in his final 42 games, but handling curves, sliders and changeups better is a great sign. Playing time, however, is unclear as Dalbec's defense at first base is a work in progress. Buy into Dalbec taking the next step but be leery of regular playing time.
Dalbec either struck out, walked or homered in 62 percent of his first 92 plate appearances in the majors. If he had enough PA to qualify, he would have ranked second in the majors behind Miguel Sano in Barrel% (22.0) and K% (42.4). Sano rode that profile to a .204 batting average, which is around where Dalbec would have ended up if he had played enough for his numbers to stabilize. He is a couple years younger than Sano, so we shouldn't think of him as a finished product, but he clearly needs to cut down on the strikeouts to avoid being a net negative in fantasy. The 25-year-old is a natural third baseman, but he is blocked by Rafael Devers and he will soon be blocked at first base by top prospect Triston Casas. Even so, Boston will find a spot for him if he makes the necessary adjustments and gets to his massive all-fields pop without striking out over 35 percent of the time.
A good prospect, yet a flawed one, Dalbec could be a plus defender at third base who hits for plus power, but he may not hit enough for those strengths to matter. He mastered Double-A (143 wRC+) in a return trip, but his version of mastering a level is a .234/.371/.454 line. His 15.5 BB% at Double-A is exactly what his OBP/points-league managers had in mind, but that mark shriveled to 4.1% in 30 games at Triple-A while his AVG jumped closer to his career .261 mark. A three-true-outcomes profile will work fine in real life, given his power and defense, but if his walk rate doesn't bounce back to at least 10%, there is little evidence he will be able to provide enough offensive value to occupy a corner-infield spot on a contending team. He is a better defender than Rafael Devers, but Devers may be so entrenched that Dalbec moves to first base (where his 70-grade arm would be wasted) or the outfield.
Position players get graded on five tools, but those tools do not count the same. Take Dalbec, whose power, arm and glove are at least 60-grade, and possibly 70-grade tools. But if he ends up with a 30-grade hit tool, those sixes and sevens may not matter. He has never been young for his level, yet his strikeout rate has never been below 31% in full-season ball, and was above 37% at Low-A and Double-A. He also led the Arizona Fall League with 32 strikeouts in 20 games. Prior to his promotion to Double-A, he at least paired those whiffs with a ton of walks, but his BB% fell from 14.3% at High-A to 4.8% at Double-A. Dalbec's swing is geared for the type of contact we want -- line drives and flyballs -- but he needs to make contact at an acceptable clip. One comp comes to mind, if we want to take a glass-half-full outlook: Matt Chapman. However, Chapman's contact rates were always slightly better, and his walk rate never plummeted like Dalbec's did in 2018.
Dalbec was a fourth-round draft pick out of the University of Arizona, where he played third base and pitched. On a positional track in the Red Sox's organization, Dalbec was Babe Ruth reincarnated last summer, bashing seven homers while hitting .386 with a 1.101 OPS in 34 games for short-season Lowell. So, how was it that a player with this much power potential, an anticipated first-rounder after mashing in the Cape Cod League during the summer of 2015, slipped to the fourth round? Dalbec slugged just .429 with seven homers while striking out 36.7 percent of the time in 68 games during his junior year at Arizona. The knock that he was an all-or-nothing hitter with a high K-rate. But something changed between the end of his junior year and his summer in Lowell. Dalbec went back to an open stance -- the same one used during the previous summer. His strikeout rate dropped to a manageable 25 percent, but the question remains if Dalbec can hit enough to overcome the strikeouts.
More Fantasy News
Strikeouts piling up
1BBoston Red Sox
September 30, 2023
Dalbec went 0-for-3 with two strikeouts in Friday's 3-0 win over Baltimore.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Cranks first homer of campaign
1BBoston Red Sox
September 20, 2023
Dalbec went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in Wednesday's loss to the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Makes second straight start
1BBoston Red Sox
September 19, 2023
Dalbec started at first base and went 2-for-4 with a double and a run scored in Monday's 4-2 win over Texas.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Starts at first base
1BBoston Red Sox
September 18, 2023
Dalbec started at first base and went 1-for-3 in Sunday's 3-2 loss to Toronto.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Back in big leagues
1BBoston Red Sox
September 16, 2023
Dalbec was recalled from Triple-A Worcester by the Red Sox on Saturday, Mac Cerullo of the Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.