Hunter Greene

24-Year-Old PitcherSP

Cincinnati Reds

2023 Stats

W-L

4-6

ERA

4.71

WHIP

1.39

146

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

Unlock Our Projections

2023 Fantasy Outlook

Greene comes with a once-in-a-lifetime fastball, a ton of hype and a lot of promise. As a rookie in 2022, Greene threw 337 pitches at 100-plus mph, the most ever for a starting pitcher in a single season, shattering Noah Syndergaard's previous record of 199 pitches at that velocity. It wasn't all sunshine and roses, however. Greene endured a couple blowups and admitted to bagging his changeup on occasion. As tremendous as the fastball velo is, he will likely need more than the fastball and slider to enjoy sustained success in the rotation at the big-league level. He needs to keep hitters honest and prevent them from sitting dead red on the heater (17 homers against the four-seamer last season). The Reds will give the righty a long leash to make it as a starting pitcher. Expect high highs but also additional growing pains in 2023. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#110

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'4"

Weight 213

DOB 8/6/1999

Born Stevenson Ranch, CA

College None

Drafted 1st Rd 2017 CIN

Hammered by Guardians

PCincinnati Reds

September 27, 2023

Greene escaped with a no-decision Tuesday in the Reds' 11-7 win over the Guardians, surrendering seven runs on eight hits -- including three home runs -- and a walk over three-plus innings. He struck out three.

ANALYSIS
After a scoreless first frame, the wheels came off for Greene as he served up a three-run blast to Bo Naylor in the second inning before Kole Calhoun and Andres Gimenez took him deep in the third. After the right-hander put the first two batters he faced in the fourth inning aboard, he left the mound having tossed 70 pitches (47 strikes), but Cincinnati got Greene off the hook for his seventh loss of the season by taking the lead in the top of the fifth. The awful outing snapped a string of three impressive starts for the 24-year-old, who now has a 4.57 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 32:7 K:BB through 21.2 innings in September. If he stays on turn, Greene lines up to start the Reds' final game of the regular season Oct. 1 in St. Louis, with a potential wild-card spot on the line -- the team heads into play Wednesday 1.5 games back of the Cubs for the final playoff berth in the NL.

Read More News

Pitching Stats

Loading Pitching Stats...

2023

2022

2023 MLB Game Log

Calculate Stats Over Time

Just click on any two dates.

Scoring

FanDuel

DraftKings

Yahoo DFS

Loading Pitching Game Log...

2022 MLB Game Log

Calculate Stats Over Time

Just click on any two dates.

Scoring

FanDuel

DraftKings

Yahoo DFS

Loading Pitching Game Log...

Minor League Game Log

Calculate Stats Over Time

Just click on any two dates.

Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...

Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Hunter Greene generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Hunter Greene generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2021

-19%

BAA vs LHP

2023

-23%

BAA vs LHP

2022

-14%

BAA vs LHP

2021

No Stats

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2021vs Left	.208	506	177	55	91	21	2	20
Since 2021vs Right	.257	496	133	39	115	30	2	23
2023vs Left	.211	232	81	28	42	10	2	9
2023vs Right	.275	239	65	18	60	20	2	10
2022vs Left	.205	274	96	27	49	11	0	11
2022vs Right	.239	257	68	21	55	10	0	13
2021vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2021

-11%

ERA on Road

2023

-13%

ERA on Road

2022

-10%

ERA on Road

2021

No Stats

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2021Home	4.88	1.34	99.2	4	10	0	11.3	3.9	2.2
Since 2021Away	4.33	1.26	133.0	5	9	0	12.5	3.5	1.3
2023Home	5.13	1.44	40.1	1	4	0	12.7	4.2	2.7
2023Away	4.46	1.37	66.2	3	2	0	12.0	3.8	0.9
2022Home	4.70	1.28	59.1	3	6	0	10.3	3.6	1.8
2022Away	4.21	1.15	66.1	2	7	0	13.0	3.3	1.6
2021Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Hunter Greene compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

3.11

K/9

12.3

BB/9

4.0

HR/9

1.6

Fastball

98.4 mph

ERA

4.71

WHIP

1.39

BABIP

.348

GB/FB

0.82

Left On Base

71.9%

Exit Velocity

82.6 mph

Barrels/BBE

4.7%

Spin Rate

2326 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

23.3%

Swinging Strike

14.3%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Hunter Greene Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Pitching Stats

Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...

Defensive Stats

Loading MLB Defensive Stats...

Stats Vs Today's Lineup

Want more matchup stats?

View Hunter Greene vs. Batter Stats

Loading Matchup Stats...

Reds Depth Chart

Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.

Subscribe Now

Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Hunter Greene See More

The Z Files: Underdog Fantasy Playoff Best Ball Rankings Refresh

2 days ago

Todd Zola offers an update on the Underdog best-ball playoff contest and explains why he has so much exposure to Julio Rodriguez and the Mariners.

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Yeah, But

8 days ago

Todd Zola has Weekly Pitcher Rankings for the final week of the 2023 season, with plenty of scenarios in play for pitchers who could get pulled from starts based on their teams' playoff status.

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Start Me Up

15 days ago

Todd Zola rocks and fires with his Weekly Pitcher Rankings, including a two-start week for Milwaukee's Freddy Peralta.

MLB DFS Picks: Yahoo Plays and Strategy for Sunday, September 10

21 days ago

Chris Morgan shares his top plays for Yahoo's Sunday MLB slate, where Jose Berrios looks like an affordable option against the Royals.

MLB DFS Picks: FanDuel Plays and Strategy for Sunday, September 10

21 days ago

Chris Morgan has found a few decent hitters in favorable situations.

Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

It was a lock that Cincinnati would add Greene to the 40-man roster this offseason, and we even got a report in November that he will be competing for a rotation spot in spring training. With Luis Castillo, Sonny Gray and even Tyler Mahle on the trade block, Greene could realistically break camp in the big-league rotation, and at the very least, the bulk of his 2022 innings will come in the majors. Things couldn't have gone any better for Greene in 2021, and his 2019 Tommy John surgery now seems like a distant memory. He logged a 3.30 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and a 139:39 K:BB in 106.1 IP across Double-A and Triple-A. Greene's fastball can sit at 100 mph when he's humming, and his hard slider gives him a second plus pitch. Even though his fastball has elite velocity, it doesn't have elite movement, so he still gives up homers off it in the top half of the zone. However, his fastball's velocity allows for his slider and third-pitch changeup to play up, so it's a valuable pitch on the whole. Greene isn't a perfect pitching prospect, but he has big stuff and is very close to debuting in the majors.

Greene will be a full two years removed from his Tommy John surgery at the projected start of the 2021 regular season. Still, the chances of him pitching in the major leagues in 2021 are incredibly slim given everything that stacks up against him. He is 21 years old with 72.2 innings of professional baseball under his belt. He has a fastball for days which we know can touch 103 mph, but the other pitches need time to develop and he simply needs time to hone his craft after missing the past two seasons of competitive baseball. Even if everything goes smoothly in his return to game action, Greene is unlikely to debut until 2023. The potential for stardom is still there for the 2017 first-round pick, but the opportunity is far off on the horizon and there will likely be more bumps along the way.

Greene and the Reds decided to take the rest-and-rehab route with his torn UCL, and to the surprise of very few, it did not work out. What was lost was essentially eight months of would-be recovery time; Greene was first diagnosed with a sprained UCL in his right elbow in early August of 2018 and did not undergo Tommy John surgery until April 9. The second overall pick in 2017 after landing a Sports Illustrated cover with the caption "The Star Baseball Needs," Greene was always seen as a Tommy John risk given his upper-90s velocity out of high school. The procedure obviously slows his development timeline, but Greene is only 20 years old and his future remains bright. Expect the 6-foot-4 righty to push closer to the long end of the typical 12-18 month recovery window from TJS. He should pitch 50 or so innings at the low levels late in the season before building back up in earnest in 2021.

Greene showed flashes of his immense upside last season, but his career is in a bit of a holding pattern due to an elbow injury. After some initial bumps in the road with Low-A Dayton, Greene, the second overall pick in the 2017 first-year player draft, went on to post ace-like numbers over a 10-start stretch (2.39 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 59:9 K:BB in 49 innings). The good fortune ran out -- Greene turned in a few abbreviated outings in July before being diagnosed with a sprained UCL in his right elbow. Usually, the course of action with that diagnosis is Tommy John surgery, but Greene opted against surgery. It's risky to pass on the procedure. For many players, the alternative routes still end up leading to the same destination and they simply delay the inevitable. Greene started throwing off a mound in December and should be a full participant in spring training if he avoids setbacks, but the potential for TJS before he reaches MLB is still an elephant in the room.

Greene only logged 4.1 innings (three starts) on the mound after receiving the largest bonus ($7.23 million) of any player in the 2017 draft. The Reds deployed him as a designated hitter initially, in part to see how he stacked up against pro pitching and also to get him acclimated while limiting his innings. He was then transitioned to the hill, where he figures to spend the rest of his career. He sat at 99-to-100 mph with his fastball in each of his outings, never throwing more than 35 pitches. At 6-foot-4, 197 pounds, he has a prototypical starter’s frame. Some evaluators believe he is the most athletic prep righty to come along in 20 years. This athleticism leads to plus projections on his command. Until his secondary pitches can be thrown with confidence, he will be prone to some ugly stat lines, but it’s important not to focus on that right now. He’s throwing gas, he’s healthy, all is good. Look for him to be held back in extended spring training, before eventually finishing the year with Low-A Dayton.

More Fantasy News

Racks up career-high 14 strikeouts

PCincinnati Reds

September 21, 2023

Greene did not factor into the decision Wednesday against Minnesota, allowing one run on three hits and one walk over seven innings while striking out 14.

ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

One out shy of quality start

PCincinnati Reds

September 15, 2023

Greene did not factor into the decision Friday, allowing three runs on four hits and one walk over 5.2 innings against the Mets. He struck out six.

ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Dominates Cardinals for win

PCincinnati Reds

September 11, 2023

Greene (4-6) had his way with the Cardinals on Sunday, earning the win while allowing an unearned run on one hit and four walks in six innings. He struck out nine.

ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Activated for Sunday's start

PCincinnati Reds

September 10, 2023

Green (illness) was reinstated from the COVID-19 injured list and is starting Sunday against the Cardinals, Gordon Wittenmyer of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.

ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

In line to start Sunday

PCincinnati Reds

Illness

September 7, 2023

The Reds list Greene (illness) as their probable starting pitcher for Sunday's game against the Cardinals.

ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.