Justin Steele

Justin Steele

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
15-Day IL
Injury Back
Est. Return 2/1/2023
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Steele and Brad Wieck are projected as the lefties in the Cubs' bullpen, and the former finally made his major-league debut in 2021 with some bumps and bruises. The 23.8 K% was promising for a rookie, but the 10.9 BB% along with a 1.9 HR/9 offset the gains from his strikeouts. He somehow managed a respectable ERA given the recipe for disaster with the walks and allowing a homer for every four flyballs allowed. Steele can work as a swingman as he has the repertoire of a starting pitcher and worked almost exclusively as a starter throughout his minor-league career. What he lacks in velocity he makes up for with movement, and should he find better command as a sophomore, he could take a step forward and gain relevance in NL-only formats. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#595
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Cubs in March of 2022.
Not expected to return this season
PChicago Cubs
Back
September 28, 2022
Manager David Ross said Wednesday that Steele (back) isn't expected to be reinstated from the injured list prior to the end of the regular season, Meghan Montemurro of the Chicago Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
Steele threw a successful bullpen session Tuesday and is expected to throw another high-intensity session soon. While the left-hander might have been in the mix for a late-season return if the Cubs were in playoff contention, the team will elect not to rush him back for a short appearance prior to the end of the regular season. Steele had a career-best season in 2022, posting a 3.18 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 119 innings over 24 starts, and he should be able to have a fairly normal offseason program now that he's ramping up his workload.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
85
Last 10 Games
91
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Justin Steele generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Justin Steele generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-24%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-63%
BAA vs LHP
2020
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .193 166 52 24 27 3 0 2
Since 2020vs Right .253 594 133 53 134 22 1 18
2022vs Left .232 115 34 14 23 2 0 1
2022vs Right .248 397 92 36 88 15 1 7
2021vs Left .098 51 18 10 4 1 0 1
2021vs Right .264 197 41 17 46 7 0 11
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-13%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-62%
ERA on Road
2020
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.74 1.32 101.0 5 7 0 8.6 3.6 0.9
Since 2020Away 3.24 1.40 75.0 3 4 0 10.6 4.4 1.2
2022Home 2.78 1.26 71.1 3 4 0 8.8 3.5 0.4
2022Away 3.78 1.49 47.2 1 3 0 10.6 4.2 0.9
2021Home 6.07 1.45 29.2 2 3 0 8.2 3.6 2.1
2021Away 2.30 1.24 27.1 2 1 0 10.5 4.9 1.6
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Justin Steele compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.52
 
K/9
9.5
 
BB/9
3.8
 
HR/9
0.6
 
Fastball
92.2 mph
 
ERA
3.18
 
WHIP
1.35
 
BABIP
.330
 
GB/FB
1.99
 
Left On Base
72.1%
 
Exit Velocity
79.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.4%
 
Spin Rate
2534 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
18.7%
 
Swinging Strike
10.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Justin Steele
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
17 days ago
Jan Levine details a few NLers riding late-season surges, including a starter in Philly who's making the most of his opportunities.
MLB FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
20 days ago
Jason Shebilske's weekly waiver column is headlined by Jose Suarez, who's pitched quite well since the All-Star break.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Back to Nola
25 days ago
Todd Zola ranks this week's starting pitchers, with Aaron Nola taking the top spot thanks to a pair of easy divisional matchups.
Todd's Takes: Arsenals and Angles
27 days ago
Todd Zola analyzes pitchers with limited arsenals before tackling the most interesting fantasy fall-out from Wednesday's schedule.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Twice Fried for Extra Crispiness
32 days ago
Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings are topped by Max Fried, who's set to face a pair of light-hitting lineups.
2016 Fantasy Outlook
Steele, a fifth-round draft pick out of high school in 2014, was limited to just 40.2 innings for short-season Eugene, partially because of a minor "tweak" in his arm. Issues in the arm of young pitchers are always a concern, but the Cubs can afford to be cautious with Steele, as there is no hurry to advance him to the big-league level. Steele has a 2.73 ERA in his first two professional seasons, and they haven't been flukes, as his FIPs have been even better. The skinny 20-year-old southpaw has a decent future if he can stay healthy, but his ceiling is probably as a mid-rotation starter.
More Fantasy News
Throwing bullpen Saturday
PChicago Cubs
Back
September 24, 2022
Steele (back) will throw a bullpen session Saturday, Taylor McGregor of Marquee Sports Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Starts up throwing program
PChicago Cubs
Back
September 13, 2022
Steele (back) threw a bullpen session Monday without issue, Taylor McGregor of Marquee Sports Network reports.
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Moved to IL
PChicago Cubs
Back
September 6, 2022
The Cubs placed Steele (back) on the 15-day injured list Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Needs more time for back to heal
PChicago Cubs
Back
September 4, 2022
Steele (back) won't make a start during the Cubs' three-game home series with the Reds that begins Tuesday, Steve Greenberg of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
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Comes off restricted list
PChicago Cubs
Back
September 1, 2022
The Cubs reinstated Steele (back) from the restricted list Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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