Matt Manning

Matt Manning

24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
2023 Fantasy Outlook
It took a while, but Manning finally started to tap into his potential at the MLB level a bit in 2022. The righty started the year in the big-league rotation but only made two appearances before shoulder and biceps injuries put him on the shelf until August. By the end of the year, he logged only 63 innings across 12 starts, though he did manage a solid 3.43 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. It's hard to draw too many conclusions from the smaller sample size, but it was a step forward after Manning posted a 5.80 ERA and 1.51 WHIP across 85.1 innings as a rookie in 2021. He's not really missing bats so far, with a career 6.37 K/9, so it remains to be seen just how successful Manning can be in the majors. For now, just staying healthy should be his top goal after dealing with injuries the past few years. Manning will only be 25 when the 2023 season begins, so there is room for some growth if he can stay on the field. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a $3.51 million contract with the Tigers in June of 2016.
Clear of injury
PDetroit Tigers
November 8, 2022
The Tigers announced Tuesday that Manning (forearm) is healthy and participating fully in his normal offseason program, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Manning missed the final week of the season with a strained forearm, but it doesn't appear to have been a serious injury. He also missed nearly four months earlier in the season due to a shoulder injury. The right-hander was effective when healthy with a 3.43 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 48:19 K:BB over 63 innings, and he should have the chance to earn a rotation spot during spring training.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2022 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
88
Last 5 Games
88
How many pitches does Matt Manning generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Matt Manning generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-4%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
2020
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .242 308 45 29 66 13 2 9
Since 2020vs Right .275 340 60 23 85 17 0 7
2022vs Left .226 130 21 12 26 3 0 4
2022vs Right .236 133 27 7 29 4 0 2
2021vs Left .253 178 24 17 40 10 2 5
2021vs Right .301 207 33 16 56 13 0 5
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-49%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-22%
ERA at Home
2020
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.99 1.30 88.0 4 5 0 6.2 3.5 0.9
Since 2020Away 5.97 1.48 60.1 2 5 0 6.6 2.7 1.0
2022Home 2.52 0.92 39.1 1 2 0 7.3 1.8 0.9
2022Away 4.94 1.61 23.2 1 1 0 6.1 4.2 0.8
2021Home 5.18 1.60 48.2 3 3 0 5.4 4.8 0.9
2021Away 6.63 1.39 36.2 1 4 0 6.9 1.7 1.2
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Matt Manning compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.53
 
K/9
6.9
 
BB/9
2.7
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
93.2 mph
 
ERA
3.43
 
WHIP
1.17
 
BABIP
.274
 
GB/FB
1.14
 
Left On Base
71.6%
 
Exit Velocity
83.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.1%
 
Spin Rate
2063 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.3%
 
Swinging Strike
10.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Matt Manning
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65 days ago
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72 days ago
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MLB: One Man's Trash... (Week 23)
73 days ago
Jeff Zimmerman examines the week's most frequently dropped players in search anyone worth giving a second chance to. Should you be rushing to pick up Matt Manning?
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
As one of the Tigers' top pitching prospects, Matt Manning debuted in 2021 with a 5.80 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 14.8% K%, and 8.6% BB% in 85.1 innings. The .305 BABIP looks reasonable, but the 61.9% LOB% should regress over time. It's safe to expect the K-BB% to improve since Manning posted a 29.8% K% and 8.7% BB% in 364 innings throughout the minor leagues. Manning used five different pitches over 11% of the time with a heavy emphasis on the four-seamer (41.4%) and sinker (19.4%). The slider remained the only pitch that elicited a double-digit SwStr% at 10.2%, yet a .379 wOBA. That's not great. Manning dealt with a knee injury in 2021, plus a forearm strain towards the end of the 2020 season. None of Manning's pitches stand out movement-wise, but it's a small sample. Opportunity is available in the Tigers rotation. If Manning improves the LOB% and K-BB%, he'll provide value as a streaming pitcher.
It was odd when Casey Mize and Tarik Skubal got the call last summer without Manning, as he is the team's best pitching prospect and was no less advanced. It quickly became clear why Manning was passed over: he suffered a mild forearm strain at the alternate site. By November, the 6-foot-6 righty claimed to be 100 percent healthy, but not in time to pitch in games during fall instructs. He was still able to work on his mechanics during instructs and has made strides with his diet and workout regimen. One of the most athletic pitching prospects in the minors, Manning's fastball and curveball have been plus offerings dating back to his prep days, and he has made major strides with a changeup that can now flash plus. He is a strike thrower, but with his long levers, command is something he can still improve on. If the forearm injury doesn't resurface (a big if), Manning could spend most of 2021 in the majors.
Manning was so consistently dominant at Double-A that his season lacked the severe peaks that typically fuel prospect hype. A 21-year-old with great size (6-foot-6) and athleticism, Manning has three plus or better pitches (fastball, curveball, changeup) and excellent command for his age and size. His 7.2 BB% was his best mark above rookie ball and he held hitters to a .192 average. He logged a 3.71 ERA in June, but his ERA was below 3.00 in every other month and he finished strong with a 2.28 ERA and 33:3 K:BB in 27.2 August innings. Manning has the stuff, he has the command and he seemingly has the size and durability to handle a MLB starter's workload. Aces who throw 200-plus innings are a dying breed, but Manning has a chance to be one. The Tigers won't be competitive anytime soon, so his team context isn't great, but he should reach the majors sometime this summer.
Manning had a plus fastball and hammer curveball even as an amateur, but in the middle of last season his stock took off when he started showing a plus changeup. His 2018 was similar in a lot of ways to Forrest Whitley's 2017 -- pitching at three levels of the minors while continuing to put up monster numbers against more advanced competition. Unlike Whitley, Manning didn't get notably better as he climbed the ladder, but he was consistently dominant as he went from Low-A (3.07 FIP, 20.3 K-BB%) to High-A (3.13 FIP, 22.4 K-BB%) to Double-A (2.30 FIP, 19.6 K-BB%). With two borderline 70-grade offerings and a 60-grade changeup, he won't need pinpoint command to carve up big-league hitters. The 6-foot-6 righty's control improved, logging an 11.8 BB% at Low-A, a 9.3 BB% at High-A and an 8.7 BB% in two starts at Double-A. Top-of-the-rotation upside is apparent, and he should make his MLB debut in late 2019 or early 2020.
Reports on Manning were incredibly inconsistent in 2017. Everyone agrees that there is a plus fastball and plus curveball in there somewhere, but he doesn't always have them from start to start or even inning to inning. If it weren't for his final three starts for the Whitecaps when he gave up one run with a 25:6 K:BB in 16 innings, he would have been an easy fade this offseason. It's possible he unlocked something down the stretch. A top-10 pick in 2016 with excellent size (6-foot-6, 190 pounds) and athleticism, Manning will understandably be given the benefit of the doubt by many prospect ranking services for a couple more years. However, for dynasty-league purposes, there is a different calculus for these types of pitching prospects. There is a never-ending stream of high-risk/high-reward pitchers in the lower levels, so it's worth exploring if Manning can be dealt for something more tangible. He will likely return to Low-A at the start of his age-20 season, where improving his command, changeup and overall consistency will be big points of emphasis.
The son of a former NBA player, Manning was a two-sport star in high school. Not surprisingly, he was among the most athletic pitchers taken in the 2016 draft. That helps him on the mound, as he shows better control and a more repeatable delivery than the typical 6-foot-6 teenager. He did not start pitching until his junior year, but his repertoire, headlined by a double-plus fastball, shows a lot of promise. His spike curveball is already a weapon that can serve as an out pitch inside and outside of the zone, while his changeup lags behind as a potential average offering. After giving up seven runs in his first 5.1 innings in the Gulf Coast League, Manning posted a 2.25 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 36:6 K:BB across eight three-inning starts to close out his season. He is a tier below Jason Groome and Riley Pint in terms of pure stuff, but a case could be made that he has the third-highest ceiling among the prep pitchers taken in last year's draft.
More Fantasy News
Placed on injured list
PDetroit Tigers
Arm
September 29, 2022
Manning was placed on the 60-day injured list Thursday with a right forearm strain.
ANALYSIS
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Likely out for season
PDetroit Tigers
Arm
September 28, 2022
Recent tests showed Manning to be dealing with fatigue and tendinitis in his arm, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with arm fatigue
PDetroit Tigers
Arm
September 28, 2022
Manning experienced some fatigue in his arm while warming up for his scheduled start Wednesday against Kansas City.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting as scheduled
PDetroit Tigers
Undisclosed
September 28, 2022
Manning didn't start as expected Wednesday against the Royals, as Will Vest instead took the mound for the Tigers, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Uncharacteristically wild Wednesday
PDetroit Tigers
September 21, 2022
Manning (2-3) took the loss Wednesday, allowing five runs (three earned) on four hits and five walks over 5.1 innings against the Orioles. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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