Matt Manning

Matt Manning

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Manning only appeared in 15 games for the Tigers in 2023, though he displayed some positive signs. The former first-round pick posted a strong 3.58 ERA and 1.04 WHIP across 78 innings. That came on the heels of his 3.43 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 2022. Injuries have cut into the righty's overall production, however, as he missed significant time each of the last two seasons due to a handful of issues, including a foot fracture that ended his 2023 campaign. Manning should have a rotation spot heading into 2024, though Detroit's offseason signing of Kenta Maeda adds more competition. For Manning, the biggest key is staying healthy, as he's yet to reach 100 innings at the MLB level. The Tigers will likely limit his workload to a degree, though surpassing last year's innings total should be within reach. If Manning can do that, he figures to be a decent fantasy option. However, the 25-year-old's ceiling will be capped unless he can miss some more bats. Manning posted a 5.77 K/9 last season and has yet to reach even a middling 7.0 K/9 across three seasons in the majors. As a pitch-to-contact player, he may be best deployed in certain matchups rather than as a fantasy regular. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#414
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Tigers in March of 2023.
Should be ready for spring training
PDetroit Tigers
Foot
February 4, 2024
Manning (foot) has had a normal offseason throwing routine and is expected to be ready for the start of spring training, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Manning sustained a fractured foot after being struck by a line drive off the bat of Giancarlo Stanton in September. The injury ended his 2023 season, though it doesn't seem like it should impact the righty in 2024. Manning finished last year with a solid 3.58 ERA and 1.04 WHIP across 78 innings (15 starts), though he struck out only 50 batters.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2023
2022
2021
2023 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2022 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
79
Last 10 Games
74
Last 5 Games
72
How many pitches does Matt Manning generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Matt Manning generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-4%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .235 457 62 40 96 17 4 16
Since 2021vs Right .252 507 93 33 115 22 0 11
2023vs Left .221 149 17 11 30 4 2 7
2023vs Right .204 167 33 10 30 5 0 4
2022vs Left .226 130 21 12 26 3 0 4
2022vs Right .236 133 27 7 29 4 0 2
2021vs Left .253 178 24 17 40 10 2 5
2021vs Right .301 207 33 16 56 13 0 5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-20%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-5%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-49%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-22%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 3.91 1.19 119.2 5 7 0 6.2 3.2 1.1
Since 2021Away 4.89 1.32 106.2 6 7 0 6.1 2.5 1.1
2023Home 3.69 0.92 31.2 1 2 0 6.3 2.6 1.4
2023Away 3.50 1.12 46.1 4 2 0 5.4 2.3 1.2
2022Home 2.52 0.92 39.1 1 2 0 7.3 1.8 0.9
2022Away 4.94 1.61 23.2 1 1 0 6.1 4.2 0.8
2021Home 5.18 1.60 48.2 3 3 0 5.4 4.8 0.9
2021Away 6.63 1.39 36.2 1 4 0 6.9 1.7 1.2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Matt Manning compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.38
 
K/9
5.8
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
93.4 mph
 
ERA
3.58
 
WHIP
1.04
 
BABIP
.224
 
GB/FB
0.94
 
Left On Base
67.1%
 
Exit Velocity
83.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.7%
 
Spin Rate
2186 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
27.4%
 
Swinging Strike
8.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Matt Manning See More
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the AL Central
3 days ago
Brad Johnson looks at the American League Central, and in Cleveland, he's been won over by Shane Bieber, whose once rather-average stuff has improved significantly.
Spring Training Job Battles: AL Central
5 days ago
The weak AL Central is full of spots still up for grabs as camp begins, though the most interesting contest is probably the battle for the Twins' fifth starter job.
Farm Futures: Rookie Pitcher Rankings 2.0
18 days ago
James Anderson updates his Rookie Pitcher Rankings for 2024 value only, in which Giants southpaw Kyle Harrison remains in a tier by himself.
The Z Files: Projecting Pitcher's BABIP
50 days ago
Todd Zola considers a new approach to regressing a pitcher's BABIP, which suggests better days should be ahead for Hunter Greene.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Wednesday Plays and Strategy
179 days ago
Mike Barner’s Wednesday picks include a rare stack of Royals bats against the White Sox.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
It took a while, but Manning finally started to tap into his potential at the MLB level a bit in 2022. The righty started the year in the big-league rotation but only made two appearances before shoulder and biceps injuries put him on the shelf until August. By the end of the year, he logged only 63 innings across 12 starts, though he did manage a solid 3.43 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. It's hard to draw too many conclusions from the smaller sample size, but it was a step forward after Manning posted a 5.80 ERA and 1.51 WHIP across 85.1 innings as a rookie in 2021. He's not really missing bats so far, with a career 6.37 K/9, so it remains to be seen just how successful Manning can be in the majors. For now, just staying healthy should be his top goal after dealing with injuries the past few years. Manning will only be 25 when the 2023 season begins, so there is room for some growth if he can stay on the field.
As one of the Tigers' top pitching prospects, Matt Manning debuted in 2021 with a 5.80 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 14.8% K%, and 8.6% BB% in 85.1 innings. The .305 BABIP looks reasonable, but the 61.9% LOB% should regress over time. It's safe to expect the K-BB% to improve since Manning posted a 29.8% K% and 8.7% BB% in 364 innings throughout the minor leagues. Manning used five different pitches over 11% of the time with a heavy emphasis on the four-seamer (41.4%) and sinker (19.4%). The slider remained the only pitch that elicited a double-digit SwStr% at 10.2%, yet a .379 wOBA. That's not great. Manning dealt with a knee injury in 2021, plus a forearm strain towards the end of the 2020 season. None of Manning's pitches stand out movement-wise, but it's a small sample. Opportunity is available in the Tigers rotation. If Manning improves the LOB% and K-BB%, he'll provide value as a streaming pitcher.
It was odd when Casey Mize and Tarik Skubal got the call last summer without Manning, as he is the team's best pitching prospect and was no less advanced. It quickly became clear why Manning was passed over: he suffered a mild forearm strain at the alternate site. By November, the 6-foot-6 righty claimed to be 100 percent healthy, but not in time to pitch in games during fall instructs. He was still able to work on his mechanics during instructs and has made strides with his diet and workout regimen. One of the most athletic pitching prospects in the minors, Manning's fastball and curveball have been plus offerings dating back to his prep days, and he has made major strides with a changeup that can now flash plus. He is a strike thrower, but with his long levers, command is something he can still improve on. If the forearm injury doesn't resurface (a big if), Manning could spend most of 2021 in the majors.
Manning was so consistently dominant at Double-A that his season lacked the severe peaks that typically fuel prospect hype. A 21-year-old with great size (6-foot-6) and athleticism, Manning has three plus or better pitches (fastball, curveball, changeup) and excellent command for his age and size. His 7.2 BB% was his best mark above rookie ball and he held hitters to a .192 average. He logged a 3.71 ERA in June, but his ERA was below 3.00 in every other month and he finished strong with a 2.28 ERA and 33:3 K:BB in 27.2 August innings. Manning has the stuff, he has the command and he seemingly has the size and durability to handle a MLB starter's workload. Aces who throw 200-plus innings are a dying breed, but Manning has a chance to be one. The Tigers won't be competitive anytime soon, so his team context isn't great, but he should reach the majors sometime this summer.
Manning had a plus fastball and hammer curveball even as an amateur, but in the middle of last season his stock took off when he started showing a plus changeup. His 2018 was similar in a lot of ways to Forrest Whitley's 2017 -- pitching at three levels of the minors while continuing to put up monster numbers against more advanced competition. Unlike Whitley, Manning didn't get notably better as he climbed the ladder, but he was consistently dominant as he went from Low-A (3.07 FIP, 20.3 K-BB%) to High-A (3.13 FIP, 22.4 K-BB%) to Double-A (2.30 FIP, 19.6 K-BB%). With two borderline 70-grade offerings and a 60-grade changeup, he won't need pinpoint command to carve up big-league hitters. The 6-foot-6 righty's control improved, logging an 11.8 BB% at Low-A, a 9.3 BB% at High-A and an 8.7 BB% in two starts at Double-A. Top-of-the-rotation upside is apparent, and he should make his MLB debut in late 2019 or early 2020.
Reports on Manning were incredibly inconsistent in 2017. Everyone agrees that there is a plus fastball and plus curveball in there somewhere, but he doesn't always have them from start to start or even inning to inning. If it weren't for his final three starts for the Whitecaps when he gave up one run with a 25:6 K:BB in 16 innings, he would have been an easy fade this offseason. It's possible he unlocked something down the stretch. A top-10 pick in 2016 with excellent size (6-foot-6, 190 pounds) and athleticism, Manning will understandably be given the benefit of the doubt by many prospect ranking services for a couple more years. However, for dynasty-league purposes, there is a different calculus for these types of pitching prospects. There is a never-ending stream of high-risk/high-reward pitchers in the lower levels, so it's worth exploring if Manning can be dealt for something more tangible. He will likely return to Low-A at the start of his age-20 season, where improving his command, changeup and overall consistency will be big points of emphasis.
The son of a former NBA player, Manning was a two-sport star in high school. Not surprisingly, he was among the most athletic pitchers taken in the 2016 draft. That helps him on the mound, as he shows better control and a more repeatable delivery than the typical 6-foot-6 teenager. He did not start pitching until his junior year, but his repertoire, headlined by a double-plus fastball, shows a lot of promise. His spike curveball is already a weapon that can serve as an out pitch inside and outside of the zone, while his changeup lags behind as a potential average offering. After giving up seven runs in his first 5.1 innings in the Gulf Coast League, Manning posted a 2.25 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 36:6 K:BB across eight three-inning starts to close out his season. He is a tier below Jason Groome and Riley Pint in terms of pure stuff, but a case could be made that he has the third-highest ceiling among the prep pitchers taken in last year's draft.
More Fantasy News
Placed on IL
PDetroit Tigers
Foot
September 7, 2023
The Tigers placed Manning on the 15-day injured list Thursday with a right foot fracture.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Done for season
PDetroit Tigers
Foot
September 6, 2023
Manning suffered a fractured right foot during Wednesday's game against the Yankees, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Exits with injury
PDetroit Tigers
Foot
September 6, 2023
Manning was removed from Wednesday's game against the Yankees after getting hit in the right foot by a comebacker, Erik Boland of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Quiets Yankees in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
August 31, 2023
Manning pitched six scoreless innings in a no-decision against the Yankees on Thursday, allowing two hits and two walks while striking out four batters.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Set to start Thursday
PDetroit Tigers
August 29, 2023
Manning (back) is scheduled to start Thursday's game against the Yankees, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.