Nate Pearson

Nate Pearson

27-Year-Old PitcherRP
Toronto Blue Jays
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Pearson saw his most work in a major league season in 2023, throwing 42.2 innings and compiling a 4.85 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and striking out 43 batters. A one time top prospect, Pearson had better success at Triple-A Buffalo pitching 20.2 innings with a 1.74 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 15.15 K/9. Pearson hasn't been able to transition into a high leverage reliever with Toronto just yet, but he did remain healthy for the first time in 2023 throwing a career high in innings. The 27-year-old should break camp as part of the bullpen mix, likely being used in middle relief. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#590
ADP
$Agreed to a one-year, $800,000 contract with the Blue Jays in January of 2024.
Working on splitter
PToronto Blue Jays
February 19, 2024
Pearson is attempting to add a split-finger fastball to his arsenal, Kaitlyn McGrath of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
"We're still working on it, but he threw some really good ones today that could be really effective at the major-league level," pitching coach Pete Walker said Sunday. Injuries and control issues have prevented Pearson from reaching his ceiling, but the 27-year-old right-hander still features premium fastball velocity (96th percentile last season) and is trying to find himself as a high-leverage reliever. Toronto's bullpen picture is crowded and Pearson still has a minor-league option left, however, so he might need to dominate this spring to make the Opening Day roster.
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Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
21
Last 10 Games
22
Last 5 Games
27
How many pitches does Nate Pearson generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Nate Pearson generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-21%
BAA vs LHP
2022
No Stats
2021
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .214 102 31 17 18 5 1 2
Since 2021vs Right .239 151 32 13 32 4 0 7
2023vs Left .194 74 21 11 12 4 0 2
2023vs Right .247 108 22 7 24 4 0 5
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Left .273 28 10 6 6 1 1 0
2021vs Right .216 43 10 6 8 0 0 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-66%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-62%
ERA at Home
2022
No Stats
2021
 
 
-81%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 2.53 1.00 32.0 2 0 0 11.0 3.9 1.1
Since 2021Away 7.36 1.87 25.2 4 3 1 8.4 5.6 1.8
2023Home 2.88 0.96 25.0 2 0 0 9.4 4.0 1.4
2023Away 7.64 1.70 17.2 3 2 1 8.7 3.6 1.5
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Home 1.29 1.14 7.0 0 0 0 16.7 3.9 0.0
2021Away 6.75 2.25 8.0 1 1 0 7.9 10.1 2.3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nate Pearson compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.39
 
K/9
9.1
 
BB/9
3.8
 
HR/9
1.5
 
Fastball
97.9 mph
 
ERA
4.85
 
WHIP
1.27
 
BABIP
.273
 
GB/FB
0.71
 
Left On Base
65.6%
 
Exit Velocity
85.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.8%
 
Spin Rate
2365 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
29.0%
 
Swinging Strike
10.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Pearson didn't pitch in the majors last season and was limited to just 15.1 innings in the minors thanks to a lengthy illness and lat strain. The former top prospect was slated to build up as a starter, but his delayed start due to mononucleosis shifted his focus to a bulk relief instead. Once healthy, Pearson was impressive during his rehab assignment, reaching 98-99 mph on the radar gun with 19 strikeouts. Unfortunately, he suffered the lat strain after just 13 appearances and the season was wrapping up by the time the right-hander was healthy enough to return. Pearson recently flashed his upside in the Dominican Winter League, posting 12 scoreless innings with a 16:4 K:BB and 0.75 WHIP. However, he's a perennial health risk and has yet to pitch more than 101.2 innings during any season, so temper your expectations for 2023.
After a flexor strain sidelined him in 2020, a core-muscle injury cost Pearson significant time in 2021, with the hard-throwing righty first experiencing the issue last spring before landing on the injured list again in June. Because of how the injury disrupted his buildup program, Pearson worked almost exclusively as a reliever, coming out of Toronto's bullpen in 11 of his 12 appearances while submitting a 4.20 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in 15 innings. He recently underwent surgery to address the sports hernia, but Blue Jays general manager Ross Atkins said he should be fine for spring training without any disruptions. Toronto plans to have Pearson stretch back out for a starting role, but he'll still be forced to compete for a spot in the club's Opening Day rotation. He'll have a better shot if he refines his command (6.8 BB/9 for his career) and avoids the injuries that have plagued him the past two seasons.
Pearson has long stood out as an injury risk due to his age, profession (pitcher) and superfluous fastball velocity, and indeed, he suffered a flexor strain in his elbow after four starts in the majors. Fortunately, he did return, making one regular-season relief appearance before striking out five of six batters in his lone postseason appearance. He still carries a high risk of re-injury, but we can at least expect him to open the year in the MLB rotation. If there were no health concerns, he would be a nice buy-low option after a miserable statistical debut. His fastball velocity and wipeout slider are major strengths, while his changeup, curveball and command/control were major weaknesses against MLB hitters. Even the best pitching prospects can take a couple years to figure it out in the majors, so health/durability, not performance, remains the biggest long-term concern with Toronto's 6-foot-6 righty.
The crucial part of Pearson's season was an eight-start run to close the year split between Double-A and Triple-A, during which he had a 2.14 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and 47:14 K:BB in 46.1 IP. Prior to this, he had been facing overmatched competition (six starts at High-A) or not working as a true starter -- he averaged 3.1 innings per outing in his first 11 starts at Double-A. In short, he passed the final exam and is one of the game's best pitching prospects. Pearson can touch triple digits with his fastball and has a plus slider, but his changeup needs some work. Injuries limited the 6-foot-6, 245-pound righty to just 42 pro innings prior to 2019, so crossing the 100-inning mark was a significant achievement. Keeping his weight in check will be important, and Pearson's velocity makes him a prime Tommy John surgery candidate, but all arrows are pointing up for now. He should spend most of 2020 in the MLB rotation.
Sometimes the mysterious carries more value in dynasty leagues than established commodities. For example, Pearson has thrown just 42 innings including the Arizona Fall League, yet looks the part of a frontline horse (6-foot-6, 245 pounds) and touched 104 mph in a one-inning outing with dozens of scouts watching at the 2018 Fall Stars game. The 28th overall pick in 2017, Pearson was seen as a lottery ticket, as he had not faced quality competition in junior college but had touched triple digits with his fastball. The selection looked brilliant when he dominated in short-season ball, but he missed the first month of 2018 with an oblique injury and missed the rest of the season after exiting his first start when a comebacker broke his ulna. Pearson's slider and changeup should be at least average offerings but his eventual command is unknown. His upside and flaws should come into focus if he stays healthy in his age-22 season.
The Blue Jays nabbed Pearson with the 28th overall pick in the 2017 draft, but if the draft were held again this offseason, he would go in the top 15. He was seen as a lottery ticket. Scouts liked his stuff, but coming out of a Central Florida junior college, he had not faced any high-end competition. Pearson threw one inning in the Gulf Coast League and was quickly promoted to the Northwest League where he displayed an elite fastball that can touch 100 mph and a potentially plus changeup. Never going more than four innings, he was able to carve up short-season hitters with ease on the strength of his fastball and changeup. He didn't give up a run over his first seven appearances and fanned 10 over four innings in his penultimate start of the year. The next step will be gaining more consistency with his slider -- his clear third pitch. If that comes along, he has the size (6-foot-6, 245 pounds) and potentially above-average command to anchor a big-league rotation.
More Fantasy News
Avoids arbitration
PToronto Blue Jays
January 11, 2024
Pearson agreed to a one-year, $800K deal with the Blue Jays on Thursday, avoiding arbitration, Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sent back to minors
PToronto Blue Jays
September 26, 2023
Pearson was optioned to the Blue Jays' Florida Complex League affiliate Tuesday, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Summoned to majors
PToronto Blue Jays
September 15, 2023
Pearson was recalled from Triple-A Buffalo on Friday, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sent back to Triple-A
PToronto Blue Jays
August 15, 2023
Pearson was optioned to Triple-A Buffalo on Tuesday, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Back in big leagues
PToronto Blue Jays
August 12, 2023
Pearson was recalled by the Blue Jays on Saturday, Kaitlyn McGrath of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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