Nick Nastrini

Nick Nastrini

24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago White Sox
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Nastrini didn't have the control to project as a long-term starter with the Dodgers, but after he was moved to the White Sox as part of the return for Lance Lynn and Joe Kelly, he should get plenty of opportunities to stick as a starter in the coming years. A 6-foot-3 righty with a true four-pitch mix headed by a mid-90s fastball, Nastrini has had a walk rate over 10 percent at every full-season stop except his four-start run with Chicago's Double-A affiliate after the trade (7.4 percent). His 12.7 percent walk rate in four starts at Triple-A isn't as bad as it looks, when factoring in the automated balls and strikes system. Nastrini has struck out 308 batters in 231.2 innings over the past two seasons, and he only needs to develop fringe-average command to make it as a high-strikeout, high-WHIP starter who is useful in most formats but never coveted due to his volatile ratios and presumably poor team context with the White Sox. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#379
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the White Sox in April of 2024.
Sent to Triple-A
PChicago White Sox  AAA
June 9, 2024
Nastrini was optioned to Triple-A Charlotte on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
Nastrini has struggled in his six starts in the majors this season, posting an 0-5 record with an 8.39 ERA, 1.99 WHIP and 19:25 K:BB over 24.2 innings. The White Sox called up lefty reliever Sammy Peralta from Charlotte in a corresponding move, but it's not immediately clear whom the big club may turn to as a replacement in the rotation for Nastrini.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
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Scoring
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
82
Last 10 Games
82
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Nick Nastrini generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Nick Nastrini generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
Even Split
2024
Even Split
2023
No Stats
2022
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .250 49 4 17 8 1 1 1
Since 2022vs Right .250 73 15 8 16 1 0 5
2024vs Left .250 49 4 17 8 1 1 1
2024vs Right .250 73 15 8 16 1 0 5
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-75%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-75%
ERA at Home
2023
No Stats
2022
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.77 1.33 14.1 0 2 0 9.4 6.9 2.5
Since 2022Away 14.81 2.90 10.1 0 3 0 3.5 12.2 1.7
2024Home 3.77 1.33 14.1 0 2 0 9.4 6.9 2.5
2024Away 14.81 2.90 10.1 0 3 0 3.5 12.2 1.7
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nick Nastrini compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
0.76
 
K/9
6.9
 
BB/9
9.1
 
HR/9
2.2
 
Fastball
93.7 mph
 
ERA
8.39
 
WHIP
1.99
 
BABIP
.263
 
GB/FB
0.82
 
Left On Base
59.1%
 
Exit Velocity
84.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
9.8%
 
Spin Rate
2267 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.0%
 
Swinging Strike
10.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
When rotation depth is never a major issue, as is seemingly the case with the Dodgers, it makes sense to acquire guys with excellent stuff and questionable command and hope that they improve their strike-throwing enough to start. Nastrini is such a pitcher, as he had a 32:7 K:BB in 14 innings after getting drafted in 2021 and a 169:55 K:BB in 116.2 innings this past season. A 6-foot-3, 215-pound righty who turns 23 in February, Nastrini has never had a strikeout rate below 34.9% or a walk rate below 10.7%. His mid-90s fastball is a plus pitch, and his secondaries all get plenty of whiffs, the issue is just landing them for strikes enough to keep hitters honest. Opposing batters have hit .176 against Nastrini in the pros, so he doesn't need to have an excellent walk rate, he just needs to be in the 9-to-10 percent range. Given the Dodgers' depth and the fact that he doesn't need to be added to the 40-man roster until after the 2024 season, Nastrini should get another full year in the minors to work on his command and control.
More Fantasy News
Falls short of first win
PChicago White Sox  AAA
June 8, 2024
Nastrini came away with a no-decision in Saturday's 6-1 win over the Red Sox, allowing one run on two hits and five walks over 4.1 innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Falls to 0-5
PChicago White Sox  AAA
June 2, 2024
Nastrini (0-5) allowed four runs on three hits and three walks over four innings Sunday, striking out one and taking a loss against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Walks four more batters
PChicago White Sox  AAA
May 27, 2024
Nastrini (0-4) took the loss Monday against Toronto, allowing three earned runs on three hits and four walks over five innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Sticking around in rotation
PChicago White Sox  AAA
May 26, 2024
Nastrini is scheduled to start Monday's game against the Blue Jays in Chicago, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles versus Blue Jays
PChicago White Sox  AAA
May 22, 2024
Nastrini (0-3) allowed nine runs (eight earned) on seven hits and six walks while failing to record a strikeout over 3.1 innings, taking the loss Wednesday versus the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could debut in 2024
PChicago White Sox  AAA
October 11, 2023
Nastrini could make his MLB debut with the White Sox in 2024, James Fegan of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
The 23-year-old was acquired from the Dodgers at the trade deadline in the Lance Lynn trade, and the organization change could fast track his path to the majors. Nastrini spent most of the campaign at the Double-A level but finished the year at Triple-A, and he posted a 4.08 ERA and 10.9 K/9 in 25 starts between the two levels. He seems likely to open 2024 back at Triple-A since he's appeared in just five games there, but a strong showing in spring training could give him a chance of making the Opening Day rotation.
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