Trevor Richards

Trevor Richards

31-Year-Old PitcherRP
Toronto Blue Jays
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Richards is the reliever equivalent of the innings eating starter. Last season, he appeared 56 times and amassed 72.2 innings, and it would have been more, but Richards needed the minimum 15-day IL visit for a neck issue in August. To be fair, Richards collected 11 holds, so some of his efforts were in higher leverage scenarios. Richards continues to throw one of the nastiest changeups in the league, but hitters can sit on his less effective four-seam fastball since he throws each about half the time. Richards was mixing in a slider in previous seasons, but he stopped using it. Richards has fanned over 30 percent of the hitters he's faced over the past three seasons, but he's walked 10 percent of them while recording a 1.52 HR/9. It's always intriguing to take a chance on Richards after sorting by strikeouts but following that with a sort on homers should help resist the temptation. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#363
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2.15 million contract with the Blue Jays in January of 2024.
Returns to bullpen
PToronto Blue Jays
June 18, 2024
Richards struck out one over two scoreless innings of relief in Monday's 7-3 loss to the Red Sox. He gave up no hits and one walk in the 33-pitch appearance.
ANALYSIS
He had served as an opening pitcher in front of Bowden Francis in two of his previous five appearances, but Richards looks set to occupy a full-time role in the bullpen moving forward. The Blue Jays are expected to bring back Yariel Rodriguez (back) from the 15-day injured list this weekend in Cleveland, and he'll presumably step into the No. 5 spot in the rotation that had previously been covered by Richards-Francis tandem.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
20
Last 10 Games
20
Last 5 Games
22
How many pitches does Trevor Richards generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Trevor Richards generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-23%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2022
Even Split
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .214 359 101 43 66 13 1 10
Since 2022vs Right .216 432 134 46 82 15 1 18
2024vs Left .187 83 19 6 14 3 0 1
2024vs Right .144 112 29 13 14 3 0 5
2023vs Left .207 138 42 20 24 5 0 6
2023vs Right .244 177 63 15 39 8 1 7
2022vs Left .237 138 40 17 28 5 1 3
2022vs Right .238 143 42 18 29 4 0 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-2%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-34%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-43%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.72 1.21 95.1 3 0 0 11.8 3.9 1.7
Since 2022Away 4.80 1.36 90.0 3 4 0 11.0 4.8 1.0
2024Home 3.09 0.69 23.1 0 0 0 9.6 1.5 1.5
2024Away 4.26 1.22 25.1 1 1 0 8.2 5.3 0.7
2023Home 4.02 1.24 40.1 1 0 0 13.4 3.8 1.6
2023Away 6.12 1.48 32.1 1 1 0 12.5 5.0 1.7
2022Home 6.82 1.55 31.2 2 0 0 11.4 5.7 2.0
2022Away 3.90 1.33 32.1 1 2 0 11.7 4.2 0.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Trevor Richards compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.53
 
K/9
8.9
 
BB/9
3.5
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
92.1 mph
 
ERA
3.70
 
WHIP
0.97
 
BABIP
.198
 
GB/FB
0.81
 
Left On Base
62.2%
 
Exit Velocity
81.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.4%
 
Spin Rate
2421 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.4%
 
Swinging Strike
10.2%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Richards was well-traveled in 2021, spending time with the Rays, Brewers and Blue Jays. He was unable to crack Tampa Bay's Opening Day roster after a rough spring, but made his season debut for the Rays in mid-April in a multi-inning relief role. He was sent back down two weeks later, then subsequently traded to Milwaukee who deployed him similarly out of their bullpen. Desperate for relief help, Toronto acquired Richards via trade in early July. The 28-year-old found success with the Blue Jays, posting a 3.31 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 37:10 K:BB over 32.2 innings with the club. Overall, he tallied seven wins, six holds and one save with serviceable ratios. The big blemishes on Richards' 2021 profile were his 46.4% hard hit rate (bottom 4% of the league) and 1.7 HR/9, which ranked eighth-worst among qualified relievers. He projects to serve a similar multi-inning swingman role in 2022.
Richards' 5.91 ERA and 1.72 WHIP from the 2020 season were a disaster, due in large part to a 1.7 HR/9 rate. His changeup, which is regarded as his best pitch, was the primary culprit for his struggles, accounting for four of the six long balls he allowed. However, results serve as a reminder to discount 2020 surface stats. First, he managed only a 66.5% strand rate and surrendered a .358 BABIP. His changeup also remained a strong pitch despite poor results, limiting batters to a .370 xSLG, with an actual slugging percentage of .519. The pitch also generated a 37.1% whiff rate. Finally, despite posting a career-best 12.2% overall swinging strike rate, Richards managed only an 18.0 K%. Heading into 2021, he could fight for a primary pitcher spot after Blake Snell was dealt away. If he follows an opener, Richards could be a sneaky waiver wire add in deeper leagues.
Richards earned a spot in Miami's Opening Day rotation but was shifted to the bullpen and then sent to Tampa Bay at the trade deadline. He ended his time in a Marlins uniform with a 4.50 ERA and 1.38 WHIP, but he found significantly more success after joining the Rays with a 1.93 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Richards cut his walk rate in half (5.2%) and increased his strikeout rate over three percentage points (24.7%) after changing teams. He has a low-90s fastball and relies heavily on his changeup (38.4% usage) to keep batters honest. Richards is unlikely to have a real chance to crack the Rays' starting rotation in 2020 with Ryan Yarbrough, Brendan McKay and Yonny Chirinos all vying for back-end spots. However, if his success as a multi-inning reliever after the trade is any indication, he could provide fantasy managers with good ratios, plenty of strikeouts and the occassional win.
Richards rose from obscurity to become a capable major leaguer in 2018. An undrafted Division II product whose journey to affiliated baseball included two years in the independent Frontier League, Richards made 25 turns in the Marlins' rotation, posting a 4.42 ERA. Despite a near complete lack of prospect pedigree, his peripherals support his performance and suggest he should be able to stick in the rotation. He managed to mostly offset a mediocre 35.8% groundball rate and 9.9% walk rate with a 23.8% strikeout rate. His changeup in particular looked quite good, being worth 14.8 runs according to FanGraphs' Pitch Values, a total which ranked second behind only Kyle Hendricks. It would be surprising to see him as anything better than a back-end starter, and his team context limits his ability to pick up wins, but the fact that he looks like a starter at all is quite the achievement given his background.
The Marlins' dramatic teardown gives opportunities to players like Richards who might not otherwise receive them. The 24-year-old's journey to the big leagues is a remarkable one. Undrafted out of Division II Drury University in 2015, Richards pitched for the Gateway Grizzlies of the Frontier League for parts of two seasons before joining the Marlins' organization in July 2016. He shot from short-season to Double-A ball in just two seasons, posting a 2.52 ERA in 200.1 minor-league innings during that span while posting 9.5 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 rates. Despite his minor-league success and inspiring story, he isn't considered much more than a fringe prospect whose long-term future will likely be in relief. That would be an impressive result for an undrafted player, no doubt, though not enough to make him much of a fantasy asset.
More Fantasy News
Set to start Saturday
PToronto Blue Jays
June 15, 2024
Richards will serve as the Blue Jays' opening pitcher for Saturday's matchup with the Guardians, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com repports.
ANALYSIS
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Serving as opener Tuesday
PToronto Blue Jays
June 4, 2024
Richards will serve as the Blue Jays' opening pitcher Tuesday against the Orioles, Mike Wilner of The Toronto Star reports.
ANALYSIS
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Steps up, earns win Wednesday
PToronto Blue Jays
May 29, 2024
Richards (1-0) allowed a hit and a walk over 3.1 scoreless innings to earn the win Wednesday versus the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Impressive start to season
PToronto Blue Jays
April 8, 2024
Richards walked two and struck out two in a scoreless inning of relief during Sunday's loss to the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Still sharpening command
PToronto Blue Jays
March 14, 2024
Richards allowed one run on two hits and a walk over 1.2 innings of relief during Wednesday's Grapefruit League game against the Pirates. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Getting some trade attention
PMiami Marlins
July 31, 2019
Richards is the subject of trade interest, Jon Heyman of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
The righty was recently bumped from the rotation and could be either considered as a closing option or swapped to another club. Richards' changeup carries his game, but he's run into difficulty trying to become a pitcher around that singular offering. Perhaps another organization could unlock a higher ceiling for the 26-year-old.
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