GUARDS
Jaylen Brown, BOS at CLE ($24): I drop down to Brown due to the fact Steph Curry is definitely showing some rust with his shot and Chris Paul is battling soreness in his knee. While they aren't fades, their conditions certainly make Brown an excellent value at this price. His return is a big reason why the Celtics are sitting in the catbird seat. The team has never lost a series with a 2-0 lead, and they won't be squandering this advantage if Brown continues his tear.
Eric Gordon, HOU at GS ($22): This is not the position to go too low on, so I'll stick around the median price and go with Sixth Man of the Year candidate Eric Gordon, who drilled six threes in Game 2. If the Rockets know what's good for them, they'll continue to ride this wave and give Gordon all the minutes he can handle, especially if Chris Paul continues to have knee trouble.
Other guard to consider: Marcus Smart, BOS at CLE ($21)[Join the free NBA Yahoo Cup. $25K in total prizes with weekly winners]
GUARD TO AVOID
Shaun Livingston, GS vs. HOU ($10): Rather than saying 'every guard in Cleveland' (which I still endorse), I'll make a case for fading Livingston at home. It appears the Warriors prefer giving Nick Young more looks against the Rockets. Livingston is a great defensive player but his lack of usage doesn't give him enough pop as a fantasy option.
FORWARDS
Al Horford, BOS at CLE ($31): Horford is a no-brainer at this price. While many will pivot to sexier names on the Celtics, Horford has been a pillar of consistency in the postseason and has a rock-solid floor in the 30 YFP range. He's been a nightly contender in my cash lineups and should put up another big stat line on Saturday.
Trevor Ariza, HOU at GS ($13): Much like Gordon, Ariza proved to be the offensive sparkplug the Rockets needed to unseat the Warriors in Game 2. While I doubt Golden State will be caught off-guard by Ariza again, the tandem of Ariza and P.J. Tucker will still play a big role if Houston hopes to win. I think it will be a game-by-game toss-up between Ariza and Tucker as to who will post the bigger line, but I'll go with the hot hand. He's also the best singer in that insurance ad.
Other forward to consider: Kevon Looney, GS vs. HOU ($10)FORWARD TO AVOID
Luc Mbah a Moute, HOU at GS ($10): I will again avoid saying 'every Cleveland forward' because it's simply too easy. Mbah a Moute is shooting horribly – he's even missing layups. His shoulder issue continues to saddle him inside, and the Cameroonian just doesn't look confident on the floor at all. I expect his numbers to stay low for the duration of the series.
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CENTERS
In my opinion, you won't see a winning lineup that goes cheap at center. You should start constructing your lineup at this position as you'll sacrifice huge value by jamming in a placeholder here.That being said, I like Kevin Love ($30) on Saturday because, let's be honest, LeBron can't be the only source of production in Game 3. The offense has to flow somewhere else, and I think he will be the lesser-owned player, with many opting for Clint Capela ($35) and Draymond Green ($31) instead. I like both of them without question, but I favor Love in terms of ownership. If you just simply HAVE to go low, I'd play Aron Baynes for $10. I'm no fan of him, but he's seeing enough minutes to be relevant.CENTER TO AVOID
Tristan Thompson, CLE vs. BOS ($10): You're pretty much setting money on fire if you go anywhere else at center, so I'm just using Thompson as the most popular mistake that will be made at this spot. Fielding Thompson is on par with praying for a miracle. And while I've been wrong about him before, anchoring your lineups with a solid center is the sensible play.
