Stuart Fairchild

27-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Cincinnati Reds AAA

2022 Stats

AVG

.247

RBI

2023 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Fairchild is back with the team that drafted him in the second round in 2017. His prospect stock took a tumble as Cincinnati traded him to Arizona, and the Diamondbacks cut bait before ill-fated stints with the Mariners and Giants. The Reds brought Fairchild in on a waiver claim in June but didn't give him much playing time until the final month of the season. At 26 years old, Fairchild enjoyed his first real taste of big-league success, slashing .302/.393/.472 in his final 61 plate appearances of 2022. It's probably not enough to land him a starting job entering 2023, though he's firmly in the mix for a bench spot and Nick Senzel is just one of several health question marks for the club. Fairchild's production last season was propped up by his home park, but he's always displayed strong on-base skills and there is still speed here even if he hasn't shown it in the majors. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#601

ADP

League AAA

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 5'11"

Weight 180

DOB 3/17/1996

Drafted 2nd Rd 2017

Sent to Triple-A

OFCincinnati Reds AAA

March 20, 2023

The Reds optioned Fairchild to Triple-A Louisville on Monday.

ANALYSIS
Fairchild hit well in a 38-game sample for the Reds last season and also had a solid spring at the plate, but he won't be part of the Opening Day roster. The 27-year-old should factor into Cincinnati's outfield mix at some point this season.

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Batting Stats

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2022

2021

2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2020

+10%

OPS vs LHP

2022

+6%

OPS vs LHP

2021

-100%

OPS vs LHP

2020

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020vs Left	.790	59	5	3	6	0	.235	.339	.451
Since 2020vs Right	.719	68	12	2	2	0	.230	.309	.410
2022vs Left	.828	47	5	3	4	0	.244	.340	.488
2022vs Right	.780	63	9	2	2	0	.250	.333	.446
2021vs Left	.633	12	0	0	2	0	.200	.333	.300
2021vs Right	.000	5	3	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000
2020vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2020

+22%

OPS at Home

2022

+28%

OPS at Home

2021

+92%

OPS at Home

2020

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020Home	.816	71	11	1	3	0	.290	.380	.435
Since 2020Away	.670	56	6	4	5	0	.160	.250	.420
2022Home	.894	58	8	1	1	0	.320	.414	.480
2022Away	.697	52	6	4	5	0	.170	.250	.447
2021Home	.481	13	3	0	2	0	.167	.231	.250
2021Away	.250	4	0	0	0	0	.000	.250	.000
2020Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Stat Review

How does Stuart Fairchild compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.24

BB Rate

7.3%

K Rate

30.9%

BABIP

.328

ISO

.216

AVG

.247

OBP

.336

SLG

.464

OPS

.800

wOBA

.353

Exit Velocity

88.9 mph

Hard Hit Rate

34.9%

Barrels/PA

5.5%

Expected BA

.221

Expected SLG

.396

Sprint Speed

26.2 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

42.6%

Line Drive %

18.0%

Fly Ball %

39.3%

Prospect Rankings History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2021

2020

Fairchild, the 38th overall pick by the Reds in the 2017 first-year player draft, has displayed strong on-base skills during his time in the minor leagues. At age 23, Fairchild drew 44 walks in 460 PA between High-A and Double-A, leading to a .353 combined OBP in 2019. Those skills along with decent speed, average-to-plus defense in center field and a plus arm point to a future in the major leagues. However, the fact the Reds traded Fairchild last summer along with Josh VanMeter in exchange for a month of Archie Bradley's services tells you all you really need to know. He does not profile as a long-term, big-league regular. Fairchild was added to the Diamondbacks' 40-man roster in November and figures to debut at some point in 2021.

Fairchild hit .360 during his final season at Wake Forest but faced questions about his hit tool entering the 2017 first-year player draft. The Reds grabbed Fairchild in the second round, and while he did little to alleviate concerns about his hitting in his first year with a full-season affiliate, he did finally answer some questions in 2019. Fairchild trimmed his strikeout rate with High-A Daytona from 26% to 21.4%, and that number fell all the way to 12.4% after his move up to Double-A Chattanooga in June (179 plate appearances). He also lifted his walk rate and cracked double-digit homers for the first time as a pro. It seems Fairchild can handle himself just fine with a wood bat, though whether he will hit enough to be a major-league starter in left field remains in question. As a righty, his power should play up in Great American Ball Park. He will likely split 2020 between Double-A and Triple-A.

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