ADP Trends: Tight End

Today we look at how tight ends are trending entering the final week of preseason games. You can find wide receivers and running backs from last week’s ADP blog posts.

Things have stayed status quo among the top tight end tiers since the beginning of training camp, but there is plenty of movement among TE2’s on down to the deep sleepers. To make sure we get a good look at those sleepers, the ADP data comes from NFFC drafts, which are super deep PPR leagues.

Player Team July ADP Current ADP +/-
Tyler Higbee LA 400.0 337.1 62.9
Stephen Anderson Hou 400.0 343.1 56.9
Jesse James Pit 361.7 333.7 27.9
Jared Cook GB 211.9 187.6 24.3
Jacob Tamme Atl 290.6 271.6 19.1
Virgil Green Den 330.3 311.5 18.8
Clive Walford Oak 187.0 177.2 9.8
Austin Hooper Atl 329.1 319.8 9.3
Martellus Bennett NE 142.1 133.8 8.4
Richard Rodgers GB 242.4 234.7 7.7
Antonio Gates SD 127.0 120.7 6.4
Larry Donnell NYG 309.4 303.6 5.8
Tyler Eifert Cin 93.6 88.1 5.5
Gary Barnidge Cle 105.5 100.0 5.5
Jimmy Graham Sea 134.6 129.4 5.2
Austin Seferian-Jenkins TB 182.4 177.7 4.7
Jace Amaro NYJ 309.5 305.8 3.7
Cameron Brate TB 305.9 302.4 3.5
Zach Ertz Phi 96.4 93.9 2.5
Travis Kelce KC 69.9 67.8 2.1
Delanie Walker Ten 78.4 77.1 1.3
Rob Gronkowski NE 14.6 13.5 1.1
Crockett Gillmore Bal 341.1 340.7 0.5
Greg Olsen Car 52.6 52.4 0.2
Will Tye NYG 209.8 209.5 0.2
Dwayne Allen Ind 130.1 131.2 -1.1
Charles Clay Buf 169.4 170.7 -1.3
Coby Fleener NO 74.4 75.9 -1.5
Jason Witten Dal 137.3 139.2 -1.9
Zach Miller Chi 148.9 150.9 -2.0
Hunter Henry SD 271.6 274.1 -2.5
Jordan Reed Was 34.3 38.0 -3.7
Julius Thomas Jax 100.5 104.3 -3.8
Jeff Heuerman Den 291.3 295.1 -3.8
Kyle Rudolph Min 170.6 177.1 -6.5
Jordan Cameron Mia 161.4 171.6 -10.3
Eric Ebron Det 117.6 127.9 -10.3
Vance McDonald SF 202.6 213.6 -11.0
Maxx Williams Bal 307.9 319.4 -11.5
Lance Kendricks LA 286.1 301.9 -15.7
Tyler Kroft Cin 318.9 336.9 -18.0
Benjamin Watson Bal 222.9 242.3 -19.5
Ladarius Green Pit 103.5 123.2 -19.7

Risers

Tyler Higbee (+62.9)
Higbee has actually climbed further than the 62.9 spots shown on the table above, as his 400 ADP from July is just an estimate. Even in the deepest of redraft leagues, the 6-6, 250-pounder wasn’t getting his name called before displaying eye-opening chemistry with QB Jared Goff in early preseason games. Higbee is a former WR with prototype NFL traits and elite collegiate production at Western Kentucky. He should be on everyone’s redraft radar and already rostered in most dynasty leagues.

Stephen Anderson (+56.9)
Like fellow rookie Higbee, Anderson was nowhere to be found in spring and early summer drafts. Unlike Higbee, though, the former Cal Bear isn’t built like a traditional tight end (6-2, 230), which may keep him from gaining traction as an every down player. Size aside, Anderson does have that TE eligibility in most leagues, so he should be monitored as a potential pass-catching weapon in Houston along with first-year receivers Will Fuller and Braxton Miller. It’s anybody’s guess how targets will be handed out after star wide out DeAndre Hopkins gets his substantial portion.

Jared Cook (+24.3)
Cook never enjoyed the success many predicted while playing in St. Louis, but here we are again, on the cusp of another potential breakout. Richard Rodgers remains penciled in starter for Green Bay, but Cook has outplayed the incumbent in exhibition games.

Tyler Eifert (+5.5)
This one doesn’t make a ton of sense, but if I had to guess, Eifert’s ADP hasn’t settled at the low end of his most recent tumble. Many fantasy owners, myself included, weren’t scared off by the news of his ankle surgery in the spring and his stock was rebounding. He only played 13 games in 2015, en route to a 13 touchdown season, so missing a game or two wasn’t a big deal. Unfortunately his prognosis has changed for the worse. Eifert is no longer a bargain with news that he won’t make his 2016 debut until week 4 at the earliest.

Fallers

Vance McDonald (-11.0)
After rising most of the off-season following the hire of Chip Kelly in San Francisco, McDonald’s ADP has cooled. Both Blaine Gabbert and Colin Kaepernick have underwhelmed under center in August, but the volume will be high no matter who wins the starting QB job in San Francisco. It looks like Gabbert will be the guy and he has formed a better rapport with McDonald than Kap ever had. Best of all, McDonald is now running with the ones and the 49ers have a void in the middle of the field with news that slot WR Bruce Ellington is done for the year. Feel confident with a discount TE2 here.

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Ladarius Green (-19.7)
Like Jared Cook, Green has been a perennial breakout candidate with tantalizing athleticism, but disappointing results. Now, it looks like Green’s ascension to fantasy relevance will be put on hold once again due to a an ankle injury that has resulted in a place on the PUP list, sidelining the him for 6 games. As a result, Steelers TE Jesse James (+27.9) is on the rise.