Philosophically, how would you approach being up 18 units with about 35|PERCENT| of the season remaining? Would you look to build a bigger profit, assuming more risk along the way? Would you take the "it's all one long season" approach and not change a thing? (Jeff is under some delusion he's getting me to do this for my other two best sports.) Is there some range of profit where it won't feel "worth it," or does making even a buck make a difference?

These are the questions I'm working on right now. This is just an exercise, of course, betting only ego points, but I'm interested in how you would play from this position if the money mattered, whether as extra or your actual business. I don't think Alan Boston or "Rick Matthews," the alias of Michael Konik's pro in The Smart Money, thinks in terms of seasons. Maybe that's the best approach.

I can turn this Mac onto the Jersey Turnpike and be at the Taj in two hours.

Atlanta +121, two units. The fade-Strasburg project is 3-6. (Actually, that's probably not true; that's just the record of teams facing him.) However, this is really just about getting the better team at plus-money with a good starter on the mound.

New York (NL) +132, one unit. Niese has used the big ballpark to good effect, with a 3.23 ERA at CitiField. The Cardinals' huge lineup holes get me to fade them even with Wainwright pitching.

Pittsburgh/Colorado over 9 (-125), one unit. Kind of a low number for the altitude and the starting pitchers. Maybe de la Rosa builds off the last four innings of his last start.

San Francisco +103, one unit. Better team at home, taking a small hit with the starter. Johnson tends to not finish games, which is where the value in this bet lies. The Marlins' bullpen tried to lose last night. Basically fading that group again.