FanDuel College Football: Week 12 Plays

FanDuel College Football: Week 12 Plays

This article is part of our FanDuel College Football series.

I'll be taking over the reins for FanDuel's main slate this week, which has 14 games for us to work through.  Let's get right to it!

SLATE OVERVIEW

Indiana at Ohio State (-20.5) O/U: 66.5

LSU at Arkansas (+1.5) O/U: 62.5

Clemson at Florida State (+35.5) O/U: 62.5

Florida at Vanderbilt (+31.5) O/U: 67.5

Wisconsin at Northwestern (+8.5) O/U: 43.5

Cincinnati at Central Florida (+4.5) O/U: 63.5

Iowa at Penn State (+2.5) O/U: 47.5

UCLA at Oregon (-17.5) O/U:  64.5

Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh (+3.5) O/U: 54.5

Kentucky at Alabama (-29.5) O/U:  57,5

Tennessee at  Auburn (-11.5) O/U: 50.5

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (-7.5) O/U: 58.5

Mississippi State at Georgia (-24.5) O/U: 47.5

Arizona at Washington (-11.5) O/U 53.5

As per usual, we want to give special attention to games that possess narrow spreads and high totals, but those contests are in short supply on this slate. LSU/Arkansas and Cincinnati/UCF are the only games to fit those requirements, so we'll have to dig a little deeper to find value. The intrastate OU/OKST rivalry is one target worth a look, and UCLA/Oregon should also yield some interesting targets, but the most interesting spot is the Indiana/Ohio State game, which has one of the slate's highest totals. Due to the scoring estimates for Wisconsin, Penn State, Northwestern and Iowa, my exposure to players on these teams will be low relative to the field.  I'll also set stack limits as per usual with college builds, with all QBs stacking with a minimum-one, maximum-two correlation to wide receivers on the same team. No expert needs to tell you about elites like Justin Fields or Travis Etienne, so when possible I'll be identifying less popular targets, although obvious elites that merit special mention will appear.

WEATHER CONDITIONS

It's a great forecast at all sites for Saturday afternoon, so no games on the slate are affected by weather at this juncture.

KEY INJURIES

QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson, UCLA (undisclosed) QUESTIONABLE

There's no further news on the nature of DTR's ailment. His absence is a big hit to QB availability in what should be a high-scoring affair. Untested freshman Chase Griffin ($6,500) is the leading candidate to take the snaps if Thompson-Robinson is unavailable.

TE Kyle Pitts, Florida (nose) OUT

Kyle Trask will once again be without Pitts, who is recovering from nasal surgery.  Kadarius Toney ($9,000) figures to be the top pass-catcher in the offense, but TE Keon Zipperer( $5,400) scored twice against Arkansas and should be considered as a sleeper tight end Saturday.

RB Chuba Hubbard, Oklahoma State (leg/ankle) QUESTIONABLE

We probably won't get word on Hubbard's condition until closer to kickoff, although there's optimism that he'll play against Oklahoma.  LD Brown (undisclosed) also left the game with an injury against Kansas State after rushing for over 100 yards. Both Hubbard and Brown have had a bye week to recover.

WR Ty Fryfogle, Indiana (undisclosed) QUESTIONABLE

This would be a huge hit for upset-minded Indiana if Fryfogle doesn't suit up, as he's easily the linchpin of the passing offense in recent weeks. If he doesn't play, the Hoosiers will lean on Whop Philyor ($6,600) with assistance from Miles Marshall ($5,800).

QB Stetson Bennett, Georgia (shoulder) OUT

Could this be the signal for the JT Daniels ($7,500) era in Athens? It certainly seems like Daniels will get his first start as a Bulldog on Saturday. Daniels was Clay Helton's first choice at quarterback for USC but an ACL tear ended his run in Los Angeles. When it appeared Kedon Slovis' upstart performances had won the hearts of Trojans fans, he saw the writing on the wall and made his move. Thanks to Jamie Newman's opt-out, we'll get a chance to see if Daniels is worth the hype.

QUARTERBACK

Tyler Shough, Oregon ($11,000) vs. UCLA

The condition of Dorian Thompson-Robinson will have a huge effect on this game's outcome, especially from a DFS perspective. The Ducks move their offense through the air, so my exposure to Slough won't be much of a downgrade if the Bruins can't get their standout signal-caller on the field. Oregon put up 43 points against Washington State last week, with Shough throwing for 312 yards and four touchdowns. He's also made things happen on the ground, with 176 yards and a touchdown through two games. While he's not much of a downgrade from the likes of Kyle Trask ($11,500) or Justin Fields ($11,200), he offers a contrarian choice that should serve you well in GPPs. I am certain both Trask and Fields will field excellent numbers, but their overall popularity makes them more favorable in cash formats.

Trevor Lawrence, Clemson ($10,500) @ Florida State

Lawrence returns to the Tigers after a two-week COVID break, and all reports suggest he is 100 percent heading into Tallahassee. Although the Tigers have enjoyed recent success against the Seminoles, this rivalry is always circled on the calendar for both teams. The huge 35-point spread signals a blowout, and although I think Clemson will win handily, the Tigers defense may yield more yards than desired, especially with Jordan Travis' return to the lineup.  Snap count is always a concern for Lawrence in a blowout, but he'll continue his TD streak and produce a great number, regardless of playing time.

Dillon Gabriel, Central Florida ($9,600) vs. Cincinnati

Gabriel didn't need to do much in the team's Week 11 win against Tennessee, but I'm looking at Gabriel's 601-yard explosion against Memphis as a good benchmark of how Gabriel can pop in a close matchup. The Bearcats have separated themselves from other high-scoring teams with an excellent defense, and their 12 interceptions this season are worth noting, but Gabriel has all the tools to fend off Cincy's secondary and should be also to at least meet most projections.

Feleipe Franks, Arkansas ($8,700) vs. LSU

Although LSU has corrected many of the defensive deficiencies that plagued them early in the season, they're still vulnerable. The Razorbacks are licking their wounds after a beatdown by Florida last week, but with Franks under center, the team is certainly better than their 4-4 record might indicate. Although the offensive line hasn't protected Franks particularly well, the QB is currently on a three-game streak without a pick and is a good budget choice to plug in at QB or the S-Flex spot.

Also consider: Desmond Ridder, Cincinnati ($10,700) @ Central Florida

RUNNING BACK

Najee Harris, Alabama ($10,800) vs. Kentucky

As per usual, Harris is a safe play at running back whenever Alabama is on the docket. He should enjoy a decent day, despite a Kentucky defense that might prove to be the Crimson Tide's toughest test yet. The offense simply has too many weapons, however.  While the Wildcats might keep this somewhat close in the first half, Alabama should pull away in the second half behind Harris and the running game.

CJ Verdell, Oregon ($9,600) vs. UCLA

Verdell should have a good game regardless, but he'll get a big boost in my projections if Dorian Thompson-Robinson doesn't suit up for the Bruins. His absence would result in a tough uphill climb for UCLA, and the Ducks would likely lean more on their running game as a result. Verdell has surpassed the century mark and scored a touchdown in both games this season, and he's a good candidate to keep the steak going.

Gerrid Doaks, Cincinnati ($9,100) @ Central Florida

Luckily for the Bearcats, they've been involved in quite a few lopsided wins, so you have to consider that when analyzing, Doaks' numbers. Still, they'll need to mix it up to open up the passing game for Desmond Ridder, so I expect Doaks to get his standard 15-17 carries. I also think he'll rebound from a mediocre game in Week 11 against ECU and get back up to the 100-yard mark, a milestone he's surpassed three times in six games.

Master Teague, Ohio State ($8,500) vs. Indiana

Teague possesses an incredibly high floor at this price point. Sitting right at the FanDuel median salary average, it's hard to get away from Teague as you try to stuff elites in as many builds as possible.  Although most college football builds trend towards budget options at wideout, finding a starting running back on a Top 5 team at this salary is a +EV call. He's scored a touchdown in every game and surpassed the century mark once in three games.

WIDE RECEIVER

Marlon Williams, Central Florida ($8,900) @ Cincinnati

I'll continue to load up on this game with Williams, who should be Dillon Gabriel's number-one target Saturday. Williams YAC numbers are what separates him from the pack, and is a sure-fire bet to break free with at least one play on a weekly basis. He's swift, dangerous, and has dipped below the 100-yard receiving mark only twice this season. You can't say that about many wideouts available on this slate.

Amari Rodgers, Clemson ($8,800) @ Florida State

The good thing about Rodgers is that he'll stay on the field a bit longer if Lawrence heads to the bench in a blowout. Although the Tigers have a plethora of wideouts at their disposal, Lawrence will get back to his winning ways by targeting his most reliable target, which has been Ridgers by a mile.  Lawrence has also favored TE Braden Galloway ($5,400) in recent weeks, so I would give him a look as well.

Mike Woods, Arkansas  ($7,200) @ LSU

Over the past two games, Woods has emerged as a deep threat for the Razorbacks with 193 yards and three touchdowns over that span.  Granted, he's done that with only five receptions, so opportunity is a prime concern when rostering Woods, but the upward trend can't be ignored, especially as you try to make room for more expensive targets.

Also consider: Garrett Wilson, Ohio State ($9,100) vs. Indiana

With so many games on the slate, I like to identify a few lower-cost players for each position that should also be on your radar. They are:

QB Michael Penix, Indiana ($8,200)

RB Jerome Ford, Cincinnati ($6,200)

RB Greg McCrae, Central Florida ($6,800)

WR Jaylon Redd, Oregon ($6,900)

WR John Metchie, Alabama ($7,800)

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jeff Edgerton
Jeff has provided sports content for numerous sports outlets and has played fantasy sports since scores had to be tabulated via newspaper. He started working with RotoWire in 2017. Originally from South Carolina, he's a lifelong Clemson fan now enjoying the sun in Los Angeles.
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