Oklahoma vs Auburn Odds and Expert Picks
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Auburn and Oklahoma face off for just the fourth time ever, and the first time at Memorial Stadium in Norman, OK. Most recently, Oklahoma beat Auburn in Jordan-Hare by six points a year ago when they came in as a two-point underdog. This year's matchup brings a top-25 showdown with Auburn sitting at number 22 in the nation and Oklahoma at number 11.
A big storyline in this one is the return of transfer quarterback Jackson Arnold to Oklahoma after spending last year as the team's starting quarterback before transferring to Auburn in the offseason. Both teams come in 3-0 and read for their first conference game of the season. Auburn opened up the season with a nice win over Baylor and then back-to-back wins against Ball State and South Alabama in which they failed to cover the spread in both. Oklahoma has had a fairly similar start to the season playing one game against a formidable opponent in which they beat Michigan 24-13 in week two. The Sooners also took down Illinois St. and Temple while covering the spread in two of their first three games.
Auburn vs Oklahoma Betting Odds for Week 4
Spread: Auburn +7 (DraftKings Sportsbook); Oklahoma -7 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
Moneyline: Auburn +220 (BetMGM); Oklahoma -250 (ESPNBet)
Total: Over 46.5 (FanDuel Sportsbook); Under 47.5 (ESPNBet)
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Auburn vs Oklahoma Betting Picks for Week 4
Oklahoma and star quarterback John Mateer have impressed out of the gates. Through three games, Mateer has thrown for 944 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions while completing 67.6 percent of his passes and tacking on 161 rushing yards with four rushing touchdowns. On the other side of the ball, the Sooners defense has allowed just 19 points through three games. Despite the successes of the Oklahoma offense, they have been a bit one-dimensional as the running game has been a struggle. The Oklahoma running backs have totaled just 271 yards through the first three games, including a total of just 57 yards from the bunch against Michigan. Mateer however has helped make up for some of the running back struggles as he is second on the team in rushing, sitting just five yards behind Tory Blaylock who has 166.
Auburn's undefeated start to the season can be very much attributed to their ground attack. The Tigers offense is averaging 242 yards per game on the ground. Much like the Sooners, Auburn's quarterback, Arnold, has been a big factor in the ground game as he is second on the team in rushing with 192 yards. Unlike Oklahoma, however, running back Jeremiah Cobb has been off to a great start for the Tigers, racking up 314 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for an average of 6.8 yards per carry. Auburn's defense has also been great in the running game as they sit at second in the SEC allowing just 67 yards per game. However, the pass defense has been a much different story as they are the third worst in the SEC, allowing an average of 220 yards per game, including a lofty 419 yards allowed through the air against Baylor.
Auburn vs Oklahoma Expert Pick: Auburn +7 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
Auburn vs Oklahoma Predictions for Week 4
This is quite an interesting matchup, both defenses have performed well to this point, as have both offenses despite having limitations in certain aspects of their attack. I think this matchup definitely favors the Sooners but I am not sure it will be enough to allow them to cover as Auburn is a very formidable opponent.
Auburn's defense has struggled against the pass as previously noted, while the passing game is a major strength for the Sooners. However, the defensive line has also been a major strength for the Tigers as they are second in the SEC in sacks with 11, averaging nearly four a game. Auburn's propensity to get after the quarterback, coupled with Mateer's susceptibility to turn the ball over (Mateer has thrown an INT in every game so far this season) will likely help the Auburn defense get off the field a few extra times, helping to keep them in the game.
On the other side of the ball Auburn has been extremely dominant in their rushing attack but the passing attack has lacked some pop. Oklahoma has done a very good job against the run so far this season allowing just 96.3 yards per game on the ground; another facet which should bode well for the Sooners. Though the passing game for the Tigers hasn't been firing on all cylinders, the wide receiver room is very good. Cam Coleman and Eric Singleton are two of the most talented receivers in the nation and bring a lot to the table for the Auburn offense. With Arnold's ability to extend plays with his legs and the extreme talent of the Auburn wide receivers I would expect the Tigers to be able to hit a few big plays through the air to do just enough with the passing game to keep them in this game.
If everything falls into place I think there is a world where Auburn could win this game. But, with the game being played in Norman and with the manner in which these two teams stack up against each other, this matchup looks much more favorable for Oklahoma. Auburn does enough to keep it close but ultimately Oklahoma comes out on top.
Prediction: 28-24 Oklahoma
