Dynasty Watch: Overpriced Prospects
Dynasty Watch: Overpriced Prospects

This article is part of our Dynasty Watch series.

It's time to hate. Some of the most hyped prospects will always turn out to be duds – remember when Laquon Treadwell and Equanimeous St. Brown were both consensus No. 1 dynasty prospects at separate points? – and I'm gonna try to identify the next disappointments. This series will run on some indefinite basis within the Dynasty Watch format.

But because I'm constructive and so very helpful each hate entry will come with a suggested cheaper alternative of a similar genre.

To be serious, these guys are still good prospects or better – I'm quibbling over their rankings relative to other players.

A.J. Brown, WR, Mississippi (6-foot-1, 225 pounds), Junior

Brown is a consensus top-three draft-eligible wideout, which makes him potentially the top overall dynasty prospect to many observers. I don't see it. The production is nice, but we can recall from the Treadwell case that production isn't the only thing that matters.

I do care quite a lot about production, so a Brown advocate could fairly accuse me of some hypocrisy as I try to diminish the importance of his objectively great numbers. Brown offered not just volume with 75 receptions for 1,252 yards and 11 touchdowns in 11 games last year, but extreme efficiency with a catch rate of 77.3 percent and a YPT average of 12.9. Those are elite numbers, open and shut.

I think those numbers are largely manufactured, though. I've never seen Brown line up anywhere but the slot, where it's easier to cover up

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Mario Puig
Mario is a Senior Writer at RotoWire who primarily writes and projects for the NFL and college football sections.
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