Nelson Agholor
Nelson Agholor
28-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
New England Patriots
2021 Fantasy Outlook
The 20th overall pick in 2015, Agholor had an unlikely career resurgence in Las Vegas last year, emerging midseason as the Raiders' top wideout. Agholor finished with eight TDs on only 82 targets, five catches of 40-plus yards, 18.7 YPC (1st among the league’s 80-target WR) and 10.9 YPT (2nd.) At 6-0, 198, Agholor has only average size, and good speed (4.42 40.) But he’s made plays downfield throughout his erratic career, and 2020 was the second time he scored eight touchdowns on fewer than 100 targets. Agholor’s performance was apparently enough for Bill Belichick, who signed the 28-year-old to a two-year, $26 million deal, and he should be Cam Newton’s (or Mac Jones’) top target, now that Julian Edelman has retired. But the team also signed wideout Kendrick Bourne as well as tight ends Jonnu Smith and Hunter Henry, and the Patriots don’t figure to be a high-volume passing team. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#210.58
ADP
$Signed a two-year, $22 million contract with the Patriots in March of 2021.
Projects as No. 1 WR
WRNew England Patriots
April 13, 2021
Agholor, who signed a two-year, $22 million deal with the Patriots in free agency, "projects as the (team's) No. 1 receiver," per NESN.com's Zack Cox.
ANALYSIS
Given the terms of his deal, that's hardly a surprise, but news of Julian Edelman's retirement only underscores that Agholor is in store for a key role in New England's offense this coming season. The 2015 first-rounder will look to build off a solid 2020 campaign in which he recorded 48 catches for 896 yards and eight TDs for the Raiders. In the process, Agholor displayed utility as a deep threat, en route to averaging 18.7 yards per catch. Ultimately, the 27-year-old's fantasy upside hinges on his how well he clicks with QB Cam Newton, but unless the Patriots select a wideout early in the upcoming NFL Draft, it's safe to assume that Agholor will be a good position to earn steady snaps and targets in 2021.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Nelson Agholor's 2020 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Air Yards Per Game
78.4
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.72
 
% Team Air Yards
28.9%
 
% Team Targets
15.7%
 
Avg Depth of Target
15.3 Yds
 
Catch Rate
58.5%
 
Drop Rate
9.8%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
5.1
 
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2020
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2016
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2018 NFL Game Log
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2017 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
New England PatriotsPatriots 2020 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Nelson Agholor lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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2020 Nelson Agholor Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Nelson Agholor's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 0"
 
Weight
198 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.42 sec
 
Bench Press
12 reps
 
Hand Length
9.25 in
 
Arm Length
32.25 in
 
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90 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Agholor caught less than 40 passes in three of five seasons with the Eagles, who made him the 20th overall pick in the 2015 NFL Draft before the USC product became the subject of internet memes due to his drop issues. A one-year, $1.05M contract from the Raiders this offseason proves just how far Agholor has fallen in the eyes of roster builders around the league. He's now slated to face off against rookie Bryan Edwards for the No. 4 spot at receiver behind Tyrell Williams, Henry Ruggs and Hunter Renfrow, though Agholor also has a shot at earning the punt-return role.
The 2015 first-rounder has carved out a bigger role the last two seasons with an average of 96 targets, most from the slot. At 6-0, 198, and with a 4.42 40 time, Agholor has average size and good speed and quickness, but his role limits his upside. While he did have five catches of 40-plus yards despite modest volume, his average depth of target (10.3) makes a repeat of the downfield success unlikely. Moreover, despite the big plays, Agholor managed only 7.6 YPT and 11.5 YPC. He also sees some work in the red zone (seven looks inside the 10), but he converted only two of those for scores, and he'll take a back seat to Zach Ertz and Alshon Jeffery in that department. Finally, the Eagles brought in veteran speedster DeSean Jackson this offseason, and while Jackson and Agholor run different routes, it's roughly another 100 of Carson Wentz's targets that won't be going to Agholor.
A 2015 first-rounder left for dead, Agholor kick-started his career in 2017 as a key cog in the Eagles' multifaceted attack. Playing opposite Alshon Jeffery and sharing the field with end-zone target Zach Ertz, Agholor still managed to score eight times on only 95 targets, thanks in part to nine looks inside the 10 (T-9th). At 6-0, 198, Agholor has only average size, but he's fast (4.42 40), quick and agile, capable of making highlight-reel spins out of tackles for big plays. And while Agholor is still the team's third option, the difference between his role and Jeffery's is maybe 25 targets, i.e., he's more like option 1C on a wide tree. Still only 25, Agholor could improve coming off his first season with significant production. Carson Wentz should eventually be healthy, Torrey Smith is gone and Jeffery hasn't been a paragon of durability during his career. But we get the feeling that no matter the roster composition, coach Doug Pederson will continue to be creative and spread the ball around, and the Eagles added speedster Mike Wallace to replace Smith. Any expansion of Agholor's role likely will be minor.
A first-round pick out of USC in 2015, Agholor has failed to live up to his potential thus far in his NFL career, hauling in just 36 receptions for 365 yards and two touchdowns a season ago. However, he's drawn impressive reviews in training camp and could turn a new leaf in the wake of Jordan Matthews' relocation to Buffalo. As it stands, Agholor's now the favorite to open the 2017 season as the starting slot receiver, though he'll need to continue to fend off rookie Mack Hollins for reps.
Injuries, lack of opportunity and poor quarterback play derailed Agholor's rookie year, but he should get more chances in 2016. At 6-0, 198, Agholor has only average size, but he ran a 4.42 40, and is quicker than he is fast. He's a precise route runner with good hands and a knack for getting open when the play breaks down. He'll still be handicapped by average-at-best quarterback play from Sam Bradford and rookie Carson Wentz, and there's more competition for looks (Rueben Randle was added to Jordan Matthews, Brent Celek and Zach Ertz.) But there's no dominant established No. 1 receiver, and we have to believe the Eagles will want to see what they have in last year's first-round pick.
Among the six receivers taken in the first-round of this year's draft, Agholor might have found the best landing spot. While Jordan Matthews is likely to be the team's top target, Agholor only needs to beat out the uninspiring Riley Cooper, injury-plagued 31-year-old Miles Austin and last year's third-rounder, Josh Huff, to be the team's second option. At 6-0, 198, Agholor has only average size, but he ran a 4.42 40, and is quicker than he is fast. He's a precise route runner with good hands and a knack for getting open when the play breaks down. While the combination of Sam Bradford and Mark Sanchez isn't ideal, playing in Chip Kelly's up-tempo offense should ensure a good baseline of passing attempts and scoring opportunities.
More Fantasy News
Heading to New England
WRNew England Patriots
March 15, 2021
The Patriots and Agholor agreed to terms of a contract Monday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Career resurgence in Vegas
WRLas Vegas Raiders
January 7, 2021
Agholor, who caught one pass for 57 yards on four targets in Sunday's 32-31 win over the Broncos, finished the 2020 season with 48 catches for 896 yards and eight touchdowns on 82 targets in 16 games.
ANALYSIS
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Tears off 85-yard fourth-quarter TD
WRLas Vegas Raiders
December 26, 2020
Agholor reeled in five of six targets for 155 yards and a touchdown during Saturday's 26-25 loss to the Dolphins.
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Four-catch night in defeat
WRLas Vegas Raiders
December 17, 2020
Agholor brought in four of eight targets for 49 yards in the Raiders' 30-27 overtime loss to the Chargers on Thursday night.
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Scores seventh touchdown
WRLas Vegas Raiders
December 13, 2020
Agholor caught five of nine targets for 100 yards and a touchdown during Sunday's 44-27 loss to the Colts.
ANALYSIS
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