Patrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes
23-Year-Old QuarterbackQB
Kansas City Chiefs
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Entering last season, the question in Kansas City was less about Mahomes' NFL aptitude than whether coach Andy Reid would truly open the offense or play it cautious with his first-year starter. Well, Reid went for broke, and the cannon-armed Mahomes made it pay off. He threw a league-high 80 passes longer than 20 yards, accounting for 13.8 percent of his attempts (most among QBs with at least 450 passes), and led the league with 10 TDs on those throws. Mahomes also ranked second in YPA (8.8) and sixth in average target depth (9.2). Easily the MVP, he became the second QB in NFL history after Peyton Manning (2013) to pass for 5,000-plus yards and 50 touchdowns, his 8.6 TD percentage the highest since Aaron Rodgers in 2011 (9.0). Losing Kareem Hunt the last five games didn't hurt the offense much, but it could be a different story if Tyreek Hill - who at press time is banned indefinitely from team activities - doesn't return. Hill was Mahomes' favorite deep target last season, catching a league-high eight passes of 40-plus yards. Next up are the oft-injured Sammy Watkins and second-round pick Mecole Hardman. Both have questions, but both are fast enough (4.33 40 for Hardman) to stretch the field. The almost-uncoverable Travis Kelce is a constant, and the backfield is led by Damien Williams, who shined after Hunt exited, and free-agent addition Carlos Hyde. Regression is inevitable - Mahomes is not likely to outpace the No. 2 QB by four fantasy points per game again - but in Reid's offense it shouldn't be crippling, even with the likely loss of Hill. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a four-year, $16.43 million contract with the Chiefs in July of 2017.
Working on footwork
QBKansas City Chiefs
June 19, 2019
Mahomes has been working to improve his footwork in the pocket this offseason, Dianna Russini of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
Mahomes has a big enough arm to help mask any footwork issues he experiences, but growth in that area could help him raise an already impressive 66 completion percentage in his first year under center. He may have to adjust to life without one of his biggest weapons from 2018, however, as Tyreek Hill remains suspended indefinitely from the team. Perhaps in preparation for Hill's suspension carrying over into the regular season, Mahomes has been developing more chemistry with Sammy Watkins in the early stages of the offseason.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Patrick Mahomes' 2018 advanced stats compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Bad Pass %
    The percentage of passes that were considered to be poorly thrown.
  • Avg Target Depth
    The average number of yards thrown per pass by the quarterback – including incomplete passes.
  • Sack Rate
    The percentage of dropbacks where the quartback was sacked. The longer the bar below, the more often they are sacked relative to other QBs.
  • Avg Receiver YAC
    The average number of yards after the catch that receivers gained on passes thrown by this quarterback.
  • Receiver Drop %
    The percentage of passes dropped by receivers on passes thrown by this quarterback. The longer the bar, the more sure-handed his receivers have been.
Bad Pass %
20.0%
 
Avg Target Depth
9.2 Yds
 
Sack Rate
4.3%
 
Avg Receiver YAC
7.0 Yds
 
Receiver Drop %
6.2%
 
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Scoring
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Kansas City ChiefsChiefs 2018 QB Snap Distribution See more data like this
P.Patrick Mahomes
% of Team Snaps

1173
0
13
0
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2018 Patrick Mahomes Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Patrick Mahomes' measurables compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 3"
 
Weight
230 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.80 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.08 sec
 
Cone Drill
6.88 sec
 
Vertical Jump
30.0 in
 
Broad Jump
114 in
 
Hand Length
9.25 in
 
Arm Length
33.25 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Patrick Mahomes
2019 Football Draft Kit: Sleepers & Busts
Yesterday
We asked our football writers for their favorite undervalued and overvalued players for this season. Should fantasy owners be targeting Allen Robinson?
Best Ball Journal: Initial Share Analysis
10 days ago
Rashaad Penny's ADP rose throughout the spring, but he's still an excellent pick in the sixth or seventh round. Per usual, best ball provides some lessons that can be applied to any fantasy format.
SXM Highlights: Is Mahomes Top QB If Hill Is Suspended?
19 days ago
Liss and Jeff debate whether or not Mahomes is the top QB In fantasy If Hill Is suspended.
NFL Draft: The Leftovers
51 days ago
Jerry Donabedian takes a look at undrafted players from the 2019 rookie class, hoping to find the next Phillip Lindsay, Gus Edwards or Robert Foster.
Dynasty Watch: Post-Draft Rankings
57 days ago
It's rare to find a rookie class where a quarterback warrants the top overall spot, but Kyler Murray offers stability in a class otherwise lacking it.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
The Patrick Mahomes era begins this year in Kansas City after the team traded Alex Smith to the Redskins in the offseason. Mahomes was decent in his lone start Week 17 last season, but the bigger question this year is what the Chiefs offense will look like. Coach Andy Reid took the cautious approach with Smith his first four years in Kansas City, averaging a mere 32 passes per season more than 20 yards downfield. Last year, though, Smith was unleashed, attempting 53 such passes in an explosive offense. (Ironically, he had fewer interceptions (5) than he averaged over the "cautious" period (7).) Offensive coordinator Matt Nagy is gone, replaced by Eric Bieniemy, but either way, it's still Reid's show. The 6-2, 225-pound Mahomes certainly has the arm for a vertical game. And he has plenty of weapons, starting with Tyreek Hill, who might be the league's fastest man. On the other side is new arrival Sammy Watkins, who can also stretch the field and has a bit more bulk than Hill. Then there's Travis Kelce, one of the best tight ends in football, and Kareem Hunt, who led the league in rushing as a rookie last year. All that talent might encourage Reid to be more aggressive, rather than content to ask little of Mahomes besides taking care of the ball. If Mahomes' inner gunslinger is allowed to emerge, drafting the unproven quarterback will pay off for fantasy owners.
The Chiefs traded up 17 spots to 10th overall to draft Mahomes, whose cannon arm, occasional recklessness and gunslinger mentality evoked comparisons on draft day to head coach Andy Reid's former student, Brett Favre. Mahomes, of course, is a long way from Favre, so Reid and the Chiefs view him as a project -- Alex Smith will start for at least another year. At 6-2, 225, with 4.8 speed, Mahomes probably won't be a huge rushing threat but should be fast enough to escape pressure and make occasional plays with his feet. The biggest knock on him is the Texas Tech system, which continually fails to produce quality NFL quarterbacks. But Mahomes has the size, athleticism and physical skills to not only buck the trend but end up as the best quarterback from this year's draft class.
More Fantasy News
Throws three touchdown passes
QBKansas City Chiefs
January 20, 2019
Mahomes completed 16 of 31 pass attempts for 295 yards and three touchdowns Sunday against the Patriots. He also carried two times for 11 yards in the 37-31 AFC Championship Game overtime loss.
ANALYSIS
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Uses his wheels to score
QBKansas City Chiefs
January 12, 2019
Mahomes connected on 27 or 41 passes for 278 yards during Saturday's 31-13 win over the Colts. He added eight yards and a touchdown on three carries.
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Joins elite company
QBKansas City Chiefs
December 30, 2018
Mahomes completed 14 of 24 pass attempts for 281 yards, two touchdowns and an interception in Sunday's 35-3 win over Oakland.
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Tosses three scores
QBKansas City Chiefs
December 23, 2018
Mahomes completed 23 of his 40 pass attempts for 273 yards and three touchdowns in Sunday's 38-31 loss to the Seahawks. He also added three carries for 33 yards.
ANALYSIS
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Solid but unspectacular in loss
QBKansas City Chiefs
December 13, 2018
Mahomes completed 24 of 34 passes for 243 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions in the Chiefs' 29-28 loss to the Chargers on Thursday. He also rushed twice for three yards and fumbled once, but it was recovered by the offense.
ANALYSIS
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