Mike Evans
Mike Evans
28-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Like Chris Godwin, Evans is a No. 1-quality wide receiver getting No. 2 volume, thanks to all the mouths to feed in the Buccaneers offense. Despite seeing only 109 targets (T-25th), Evans scored 13 touchdowns (4th), averaged 9.2 YPT (10th) and caught 20 passes of 20 or more yards (T-5th). At 6-5, 231, Evans is too big for most cornerbacks, and his 4.53 speed is enough for him to create the moderate amount of separation he needs. Quarterback Tom Brady also took advantage of his size in the red zone — Evans’ 14 targets from inside the 10 and eight targets from inside the five were second only to Davante Adams’ totals. But Evans will again perform on a crowded stage, with the Bucs using their franchise tag on Godwin, re-signing Rob Gronkowski and Antonio Brown and even bringing back O.J. Howard and Scotty Miller off the bench. Tampa Bay will be a fun team to watch, but it’s unlikely any receiver gets his desired target share. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a five-year, $82.5 million contract with the Buccaneers in March of 2018.
Tops 100 receiving yards
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
September 26, 2021
Evans recorded eight receptions on 10 targets for 106 yards in Sunday's Week 3 loss to the Rams.
ANALYSIS
Evans paced the team in receiving yards and was tied with Giovani Bernard as the only other pass catcher to command double-digit targets. Evans provided a number of explosive gains, including a reception of 20 yards and two catches that went for 17 yards. After managing only 24 yards Week 1, Evans has since managed 13 receptions, 181 yards and two touchdowns across his last two games combined. Next, he and the Buccaneers will travel to New England for a Week 4 matchup against the Patriots.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Mike Evans' 2021 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Air Yards Per Game
100.5
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.93
 
% Team Air Yards
27.2%
 
% Team Targets
18.5%
 
Avg Depth of Target
13.4 Yds
 
Catch Rate
32.0%
 
Drop Rate
4.0%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
2.4
 
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Tampa Bay BuccaneersBuccaneers 2021 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

1179%
1048%
695%
201%
201%
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Mike Evans lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Rams pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
LAR
@ Rams
Sunday, Sep 26th at 4:25PM
Overall QB Rating Against
69.5
 
Cornerbacks
59.3
 
Safeties
118.8
 
Linebackers
41.3
 
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2021 Mike Evans Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Mike Evans' measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 5"
 
Weight
231 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.53 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.26 sec
 
Cone Drill
7.08 sec
 
Vertical Jump
37.0 in
 
Bench Press
12 reps
 
Hand Length
9.63 in
 
Arm Length
35.13 in
 
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Juan Carlos Blanco surveys the busy Week 3 injury landscape that has several big names on it heading into Sunday morning.
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5 days ago
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6 days ago
Kyler Murray is the new No. 1 atop the QB rankings this week.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Evans has been monstrously efficient the last two years with a league-leading 11.0 YPT in 2018 and 9.8 (4th) last year, thanks in large part to his big-play ability - 17.3 YPC (2nd) and seven catches of 40-plus (4th) on only 118 targets (T-19th). At 6-5, 231, Evans is massive for a receiver, and he has enough speed (4.53 40) to create the moderate amount of separation he needs. Evans also got his share of red-zone work - 17 looks in only 13 games, including nine targets from inside the 10 (T-10th) and seven from inside the 5 (T-2nd). The big question for 2020 is how Tom Brady's presence will affect Evans and teammate Chris Godwin. While Jameis Winston was a mediocre real-life quarterback, he was great for the fantasy prospects of his top receivers, especially a deep threat like Evans. Brady rarely threw the deep ball the last few years in New England, and at age 43, he has below-average arm strength. That said, Brady hasn't had a receiver like Evans since Randy Moss, and Brady had no problem getting Moss the ball downfield 10 years ago. The other question is how the team integrates newly acquired, newly unretired tight end Rob Gronkowski, who at press time is expected to share the position with O.J. Howard and Cameron Brate. If Gronkowski stays healthy, he should cut into Evans' red-zone work at the very least. But No. 3 WR Breshad Perriman left for the Jets, so there should be some extra targets freed up there, and the Bucs should have a pass-heavy offense in any event. Evans missed the last three games of 2019 with a hamstring injury, but he's expected to be 100 percent healthy for training camp.
Evans had one of the quieter 1,500-yard seasons in recent memory. Perhaps playing on a bad team for a rotating tandem of quarterbacks had something to do with it, or maybe it was the relatively modest 86 catches and eight TDs. Either way, the 25-year old Evans was amazingly efficient with 11.0 YPT (1st), 17.7 YPC (1st), 26 catches of 20-plus yards (2nd) and six catches of 40-plus (T-3rd) on only 138 targets (11th). Contrast Evans' season (138 targets for 1,524 yards) with Antonio Brown's (168 targets for 1,297 yards) for example - the efficiency discrepancy is stark. At 6-5, 231, and with 4.53 speed, Evans isn't quite on the Julio Jones level of freakishness, but few players that big are also that fast. At 26, Evans is still squarely in the prime of his career, and he could receive a boost with downfield-focused coach Bruce Arians replacing the departed Dirk Koetter, though offensive coordinator Todd Monken, who helped power Evans' efficient season, is now in Cleveland. Deep threat DeSean Jackson and possession man Adam Humphries are both gone now, leaving Chris Godwin and rising-star tight end O.J. Howard as Evans' only major competition for Jameis Winston's passes. Evans could also see an uptick in TD scoring. Despite his massive frame, he saw only 14 red-zone targets last year (the same number as Humphries), six targets from inside the 10 and two from inside the five - all four-year lows. With a coaching upgrade, fewer mouths to feed in the passing game and more stability under center, Evans has the best environment of his career.
What an odd career Evans has had so far. His touchdown totals beginning with his rookie year are 12, 3, 12 and 5. He seems to toggle between rising star or pedestrian talent depending on whether the year is odd or even. Dig a little deeper, however, and Evans' 2017 wasn't that different from his 2016, as his poor YPT and average YPC barely changed. It was his volume - 173 targets two years ago and only 136 in 15 games last year - that fell off most. At 6-5, 231, Evans is a monster physically, and his 4.53 40, while below average for a 185-pound wideout, is blazing for someone built like a tight end. One would think Evans would be among the top leaders in red-zone looks, but that's not the case. His 18 targets from that area ranked only ninth, and his nine targets inside the 10 were tied for ninth too. Evans can make plays down the field - he had four catches of 40-plus yards his rookie year, but he's had only five in the three years since, spanning 457 targets. Evans should reprise his role as the team's No. 1 wideout in 2018, and in fact the Bucs extended his contract another five years in March with a whopping $55 million guaranteed. But DeSean Jackson is still around to stretch the field, second-year man Chris Godwin could have a bigger role, and tight ends O.J. Howard and Cameron Brate should also remained involved. In short, while last year's 136 targets are Evans' healthy floor, don't expect his 2016 volume to return any time soon. And don't be surprised if Evans gets off to a slow start, as quarterback Jameis Winston will be suspended for the first three weeks, leaving Ryan Fitzpatrick to fill in.
Very often, volume is king. It was the case for DeAndre Hopkins in 2015, Pierre Garcon in 2013 and Evans last year. Despite a pedestrian 13.8 YPC and 7.6 YPT (28th among the league's 41 100-target WR), Evans finished fifth in catches (96), fourth in yards (1,321) and tied for second in TDs (12) en route to the No. 1 non-PPR season among all WR. That's what happens when you lead the league in targets (173). At 6-5, 231 pounds and with 4.53 speed, Evans is a freak, not quite in the Julio Jones/Calvin Johnson mode, but more peak Brandon Marshall. Evans didn't make many downfield catches last year (15 for 20-plus yards, only one of 40 or more), and despite his size was only tied for 11th with 19 red-zone looks. But he converted seven of those for scores, something about which we shouldn't be surprised given the physical mismatch he presents. The Bucs added plenty of talent to the receiving corps for 2017 with deep threat DeSean Jackson, third-rounder Chris Godwin and first-round pick tight end O.J. Howard to pair with the already competent Cameron Brate. Moreover, tailback Charles Sims should be ready for the start of training camp, siphoning off a few more targets per game. This is likely to cost Evans opportunities, but also upgrade his efficiency now that the defense has to pay attention to other players.
On the surface, other than a dramatic drop in TDs, it looks like Evans largely duplicated his stellar rookie season. He actually averaged more YPC (16.3, 3rd) and nearly as many YPT (8.1, down from 8.5). Evans saw more red-zone looks in 2015, more targets inside the 10 and inside the five. Moreover, he played with Jameis Winston (7.6 YPA), a decided upgrade over the Josh McCown/Mike Glennon combo. So why did Evans catch only three TD passes on 148 targets after scoring 12 on 123 as a rookie? For starters, he led the league with 10 penalties and 11 drops, though six drops came in one game. Second, Winston scored six rushing TDs, depriving his receivers of some easy end-zone targets (TB's 22 pass TDs ranked 22nd). Third, as Evans admitted, his chemistry with Winston was "a little bit off", a problem the two sought to rectify this offseason. At 6-5, 231, with good speed (4.53 40) for his size, Evans is too big for opposing defensive backs and too fast for linebackers. Even in a down year, he still managed 21 catches of 20-plus yards (4th), two more than Odell Beckham and DeAndre Hopkins. Vincent Jackson is still around, but at 33 he's a complementary option. While Austin Seferian-Jenkins could steal some RZ targets, Evans should reprise his role as No. 1 WR on a team with little depth at the position.
While Sammy Watkins had more buzz heading into the draft, and Odell Beckham Jr. stole the show during the regular season, Evans' rookie year was remarkable in its own right. For starters, he became only the eighth rookie wideout to eclipse 1,000 yards since the start of the millennium (though he was one of three to do it last year) and scored 12 TDs despite missing a game. And Evans accomplished these feats, along with a robust 8.5 YPT (14th), as a 20-year old while playing for the league's sixth-worst passing offense (6.8 YPA). At 6-5, 231, Evans is an enormous target, and he has enough speed (4.53 40) to get deep, especially given how little separation he needs to make plays over smaller defensive backs. While 32-year-old Vincent Jackson is still around, Jackson's at best option 1B, and more likely the clear second fiddle as Evans grows into a bigger role with new offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter and new quarterback Jameis Winston on board. Koetter's hire is especially encouraging, as he presided over one of the NFL's most pass-happy attacks the last three years in Atlanta, and Winston is widely considered the most NFL-ready QB prospect in this year's draft.
While Sammy Watkins has the flash, it’s Evans who fits the profile of the modern No. 1 receiver in today’s NFL. He might have to wait a year or two with Vincent Jackson around, but there’s little doubt about his physical skills. At 6-5, 231, and running a 4.53 40 at the NFL Combine, Evans is enormous and fast enough to do damage down the field given his size. (His best unofficial time was actually 4.48). Think a younger Brandon Marshall with a little more height. He’ll make an ideal red-zone target, so even as second fiddle to Jackson, he should be a source of touchdowns from the outset. The quality of the offense remains to be seen, but it’s likely to improve over last year’s with new offensive coordinator Mike Tedford brought in from Cal and new quarterback Josh McCown.
More Fantasy News
Pair of scoring grabs in win
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
September 19, 2021
Evans secured five of nine targets for 75 yards and two touchdowns in the Buccaneers' 48-25 win over the Falcons on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Quiet in Week 1 win
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
September 9, 2021
Evans secured three of six targets for 24 yards in the Buccaneers' 31-29 win over the Cowboys on Thursday night.
ANALYSIS
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Restructures contract for cap space
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
September 2, 2021
Evans has agreed to restructure his contract with the Buccaneers, creating $8.9 million in salary cap space, Dan Duggan of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Tallies two receptions
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
August 28, 2021
Evans recorded two receptions on three targets for 20 yards in Saturday's preseason game against the Texans.
ANALYSIS
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Not in line to play Saturday
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
August 16, 2021
Evan is unlikely to play in Saturday's preseason game versus the Titans, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
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