Derek Carr
Derek Carr
29-Year-Old QuarterbackQB
Las Vegas Raiders
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Carr set career highs in passing yards (4,054), completion percentage (70.4) and YPA (7.9) for the second year in a row last season. And like the year before, Carr ran up his numbers thanks to a dink-and-dunk passing game that rarely tried to stretch the field. A league-high 61.4 percent of Carr's attempts were within five yards of the line of scrimmage, with just 7.2 percent going beyond 20 yards. No surprise, his 6.6-yard average depth of target was the lowest in the NFL. In Carr's defense, the Raiders intended for Antonio Brown to be their deep threat, but that plan blew up in training camp. And Tyrell Williams, who has a career 16.1 YPC, dealt with plantar fasciitis for much of the year. The big winner was TE Darren Waller with a team-high 117 targets. He'll be back for more this season, as will the promising Hunter Renfrow. And with a healthy Williams on the outside opposite 12th overall pick Henry Ruggs, who runs a 4.27 40, Carr theoretically has the weapons to exploit defenses. But on a team that ranked eighth in rushing percentage (44.2) — and with an RB in Josh Jacobs who will see north of 250 carries — Carr's volume isn't likely to increase much (513 last year). With no scrambling threat, his upside is limited, especially if he reverts to checkdowns again. The Raiders also made Marcus Mariota the highest-paid backup in the league, so the leash on Carr appears shorter than ever. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#195.35
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $125 million contract with the Raiders in June of 2017.
Supported by Mariota
QBLas Vegas Raiders
March 25, 2020
New teammate Marcus Mariota said Tuesday that Carr will remain the Raiders' starting quarterback, Scott Bair of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
ANALYSIS
Mariota became the NFL's highest-paid backup quarterback after inking a two-year, $17.6 million contract with $7.5 million guaranteed in free agency, a deal that sparked rumors about a potential job battle. It's worth noting that Carr has a much larger contract, one that would allow the Raiders to clear out as much as $16.1 million in cap space if he's traded or released this offseason, per OverTheCap.com. The 28-year-old may find himself looking over his shoulder if he struggles early in the season, but it doesn't sound like this will be a competition for the Week 1 starting job.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Derek Carr's 2019 advanced stats compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Bad Pass %
    The percentage of passes that were considered to be poorly thrown.
  • Avg Target Depth
    The average number of yards thrown per pass by the quarterback – including incomplete passes.
  • Sack Rate
    The percentage of dropbacks where the quartback was sacked. The longer the bar below, the more often they are sacked relative to other QBs.
  • Avg Receiver YAC
    The average number of yards after the catch that receivers gained on passes thrown by this quarterback.
  • Receiver Drop %
    The percentage of passes dropped by receivers on passes thrown by this quarterback. The longer the bar, the more sure-handed his receivers have been.
Bad Pass %
14.6%
 
Avg Target Depth
6.6 Yds
 
Sack Rate
5.3%
 
Avg Receiver YAC
6.1 Yds
 
Receiver Drop %
5.4%
 
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2019
2018
2017
2016
2019 NFL Game Log
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2018 NFL Game Log
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2017 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Las Vegas RaidersRaiders 2019 QB Snap Distribution See more data like this
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2019 Derek Carr Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Derek Carr's measurables compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 3"
 
Weight
210 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.69 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.20 sec
 
Vertical Jump
34.5 in
 
Broad Jump
110 in
 
Hand Length
9.13 in
 
Arm Length
31.50 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Derek Carr
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5 days ago
With the move to Las Vegas, the Raiders are seeking to take the next step in Year 3 of Jon Gruden's second stint with the team.
Job Battles: Jones vs. Vaughn in TB
27 days ago
Mario Puig analyzes job battles in Tampa Bay, New England and Las Vegas. For the Bucs, it's a complicated backfield battle.
2020 NFL Team Previews: Las Vegas Raiders
65 days ago
The Raiders are on the move again, this time to Las Vegas. However, the odds are against them overtaking Kansas City in the AFC West.
2020 NFL Team Previews: Tennessee Titans
75 days ago
While it remains to be seen if the commitment to Ryan Tannehill pays dividends, Derrick Henry will surely power Tennessee’s ground game.
Dynasty Watch: Rookie Fade List
83 days ago
Henry Ruggs is a good prospect, but his decoy functions do nothing for fantasy owners and wideouts like Jalen Reagor, Tee Higgins, and Laviska Shenault pose more fantasy upside.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Carr finished 2018 with career highs in completion percentage (68.9), passing yards (4,049) and yards per attempt (7.3), but he left fantasy owners hanging with a career-low 19 touchdown passes. Carr was effective throwing downfield last season, as his completion percentage (44.9) on passes longer than 20 yards ranked fourth and his 14.5 YPA ranked ninth. The problem was he didn't go deep often, ranking 19th in the league with 49 downfield attempts. His average depth of target was 7.3 yards, tied with Cam Newton for second lowest in the league, largely because of the team's utter lack of playmaking wideouts, especially after Amari Cooper was traded to Dallas midseason. That should change this year with the additions of Antonio Brown and Tyrell Williams, who could help take Carr to the next level as a downfield passer. Meanwhile, first-round draft pick Josh Jacobs figures to give the Raiders a running game that will actually contribute after ranking 25th in 2018. The Raiders also made over an offensive line that gave up 52 sacks last season, most notably signing tackle Trent Brown, a mountain of a man at 6-8, 380. Carr did enough in Jon Gruden's first year as head coach to buy himself another season as the starter, but if the 28-year-old can't produce now, it likely will be his last in Oakland.
After a promising 2016 season, Carr watched most of his numbers go in the wrong direction last year. Perhaps the most disappointing was his regression on downfield passing, as his quarterback rating on attempts longer than 20 yards dipped steeply from 111.5 (8th, min. 20 attempts) to 78.0 (20th). A Week 4 back injury that cost him a game was blamed for his troubles, but he wasn't that good in the first three weeks, either. And truthfully, the previous season that got many excited over his prospects had red flags - his YPA and third-down completion rate to name two. The hope is new coach Jon Gruden can get Carr to live up to his billing, but Gruden's history with quarterbacks is not as impressive as his reputation suggests. The Raiders overhauled a receiving unit that had the fourth most dropped passes last year (28), signing Jordy Nelson and trading for Martavis Bryant. But the former, at 33, is past his difference-making prime, and while the latter has size and skills, he's a bit of a head case, to say the least. Amari Cooper is supposed to be the playmaker, but he only had two big games last year and disappeared for weeks at a time. Carr gets rid of the ball quickly, which is necessary in a West Coast offense, and he reunites with his rookie-year offensive coordinator, Greg Olson, but how Gruden's playbook unfolds and what it means for Carr is a wild card.
Carr had the Raiders humming last year, averaging 27.3 points per game while sitting atop the AFC West, and then he broke his right fibula in Week 16 and the team's Super Bowl hopes broke with it. A loss in Week 17 cost Oakland the division title, and a wild-card loss the next week ended the season, with the team totaling 21 points in those games. A second-round pick in 2014, Carr took another step in his development last year, posting a 1.1 percent interception rate (4th) and a career-high 111.5 passer rating on attempts over 20 yards (8th). He showed his maturation in leading seven late-game comebacks. His 18th-ranked YPA needs work, as does his 56.8 third-down completion rate (25th), but the Raiders are confident he can take another step this season under new offensive coordinator Todd Downing, the former quarterbacks coach who replaced Bill Musgrave. Downing plans to give Carr more autonomy in the offense and to use more no-huddle behind one of the league's best offensive lines. The Raiders added another receiving weapon at tight end in Jared Cook, and they believe Marshawn Lynch can come out of retirement to help provide a viable running game that keeps defenses honest. Carr, who participated in offseason workouts and is expected to be ready for training camp, appears poised for his best season yet.
Carr took a big step forward in his second season in the NFL as the additions of receivers Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree allowed the Raiders' passing game to blossom. An athletic pocket passer, Carr doesn't have ideal size and possesses just OK arm strength, but he's done a good job of limiting mistakes and making smart decisions, despite coming out of Fresno State with a reputation for being something of a gunslinger. He also showed huge improvement on deep passes in 2015, as his QB rating rose from 59.3 to 107.9 (third in the league behind Russell Wilson and Andy Dalton) on passes longer than 15 yards. His 7.0 YPA was mediocre, however, putting him in thecompany of quarterbacks like Ryan Fitzpatrick and Sam Bradford. He also had seven of his 13 INTs in the final five weeks of the season, as well as his only two games with a sub-50 percent completion rate — a sign that perhaps the league was catching on to offensive coordinator Bill Musgrave's scheme. There's still a lot to like with Carr, especially as Cooper continues hisown development, but despite his big TD total in 2015 he still has a ways to go before joining the upper tier of NFL quarterbacks.
Carr earned the starting job in training camp last year and battled through an at times frustrating, though promising, rookie season. His counting stats were decent enough for a first-year quarterback, but he was incredibly inefficient, finishing 30th in completion percentage and last in YPA among 33 qualified passers. Carr was often too quick to check down — he ranked third in attempts of 10 yards or less (and the two quarterbacks with more, Drew Brees and Matt Ryan, were first and second in total attempts) — but that was partly because he lacked downfield playmakers. Carr attempted 55 passes of 21-plus yards (7th) but completed just 14 (25.5 percent). The running game was of little use as the Raiders were on pace to break the NFL record for fewest rushing yards in a 16-game season until Latavius Murray saved them from embarrassment late in the year. With Darren McFadden out of the way, Murray, who averaged 5.2 YPC, should make defenses respect the running game this season. And Carr should have more weapons after the Raiders rebuilt their receiving corps, notably nabbing the draft's top wideout in Amari Cooper. The team also signed veteran receiver Michael Crabtree, giving Carr starting wideouts who are much better than the complementary pieces he threw to last season. What's more, new offensive coordinator Bill Musgrave plans to run an up-tempo offense similar to what he used last season as quarterbacks coach for Chip Kelly's Eagles.
Although the Raiders selected Carr 36th overall in the draft, it doesn't appear that they have any intention of playing him as a rookie. General manager Reggie McKenzie traded for former Houston starter Matt Schaub in the offseason and gave him a two-year, $13.5 million deal with $8 million guaranteed, so Carr won't have a real chance to compete for a starting role. If Schaub gets hurt or the Raiders give up on their meager playoff hopes, however, Carr might be worth a glance as a QB2. He has a very powerful arm and underrated running ability with 4.69 speed.
More Fantasy News
Comes up short in heartbreaker
QBOakland Raiders
December 29, 2019
Carr completed 29 of 46 passes for 391 yards and a touchdown during Sunday's 16-15 loss to the Broncos.
ANALYSIS
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Leads Raiders to win
QBOakland Raiders
December 22, 2019
Carr completed 26 of 30 passes for 291 yards and a touchdown in the team's Week 16 win over the Chargers. He added three yards and a score on the ground.
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Goes cold in second half
QBOakland Raiders
December 15, 2019
Carr completed 22 of 36 passes for 267 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 20-16 loss to the Jaguars.
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Throws two TD passes
QBOakland Raiders
December 8, 2019
Carr completed 25 of 34 pass attempts for 263 yards and two touchdowns Sunday against the Titans. He also carried twice for 17 yards in the 42-21 loss.
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Falls flat against Chiefs
QBOakland Raiders
December 1, 2019
Carr completed 20 of 30 passes for 222 yards and a touchdown with two interceptions in Sunday's 40-9 loss to the Chiefs.
ANALYSIS
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