Christian Kirk

Kirk's second season in Jacksonville wasn't as successful as his first, even though his catch rate rose by 4.1 percentage points (67.1) and his YPT by a full yard (9.3) between 2022 and 2023. His per-game production was nearly identical (4.8 catches for 65.6) apart from dropping from eight touchdowns in 17 games to three TDs in 12. Kirk was actually on pace to top his 2022 numbers for catches and yards until a hernia/groin injury on the first snap of a Week 13 loss to Cincinnati ended his season prematurely. Apart from the decrease in TDs, he wasn't really impacted by Calvin Ridley's presence, with Kirk's target rise going from 22.0 percent in 2022 to 22.5 percent in 2023 and his YPRR rising even more (1.83 to 2.08). While those numbers aren't quite at the level of a true No. 1 receiver, Kirk should remain productive in his age-27 season ahead, possibly even getting a boost from the Jags swapping out Ridley for Gabe Davis and first-round pick Brian Thomas. The rookie and the former Bill still give defenses something to think about -- especially downfield -- but neither is as much of a threat as Ridley to handle a large target share. In any case, Kirk had 10 more catches and 124 more yards than Ridley at the time of his season-ending injury last year. Kirk might have made it back on the field if Jacksonville had gone on a playoff run, and there's been no indication the groin/hernia surgery will impact his preparation this offseason. Read Past Outlooks