McDonagh's 12 points in 50 games last year represented his worst scoring output since 2010-11, when he was a rookie with the Rangers. A lower-body injury cost him time near the end of the regular season, and he also lost time to an upper-body injury early in the year. McDonagh probably isn't going to bounce back much offensively in 2020-21 -- fantasy managers shouldn't expect more than 25 points from the veteran defenseman. He's slowly evolving into a pure shutdown defenseman, which should see him contribute plenty of hits and blocked shots, but could also take a toll on his plus-minus rating. Given his history, he's worth a look with a late-round pick, but don't reach for him in shallow formats.
McDonagh is defensive rock with Norris-caliber skills -- he actually finished eighth in voting for that hardware last season -- but that doesn't make him a fantasy stud. The former Ranger did deliver a career high 46 points last season, but 40 of them came at even strength, and half of his special-teams points came while shorthanded. McDonagh should deliver another 40 points in 2019-20, and he'll help in some leagues, but don't overdraft him. The lack of power-play time means there are other 40-point defenders whose fantasy value is far greater.
McDonagh is an elite two-way defender, but he's never put up more than 42 points in a season, and it won't happen now. McDonagh will get some power-play time in Tampa, albeit not as the top dog, or even the No. 2 guy for that matter. He'll munch minutes, shut down opponents and goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy will love him. Fantasy-wise, he's in that big bunch of 38-42 point defenders. Don't over reach for him on draft day. If you miss him, there will be others just like him from a fantasy perspective.
McDonagh saw his offensive production rebound in 2016-17, finishing at 42 points (with a career-high 15 of those on the power play) after a pair of seasons in the 30s, but he also finished with a four-year low in goals (six). His fantasy value would certainly rise if he could capitalize on the presence of a stud scorer on his club’s forward lines, as McDonagh wouldn't need to force shots in the offensive zone as he sometimes does in an effort to make up for his teammates’ lack of firepower. Of course, the Rangers' captain provides a lot of value that doesn't show up in the box score with his leadership and ever-steady defense; he sets a positive example with his willingness to block shots and his always-impressive rating, which has never been worse than plus-11 (a figure he somewhat ironically posted in his finest offensive campaign, 2013-14). Henrik Lundqvist’s statistical decline in net last season didn't harm McDonagh’s numbers, and at age 28, he’s still right in the prime of his career. At some point, the bounces may go his way often enough for him to hit 50 points, but it’s likelier that he'll settle in around 40 most seasons, especially with new acquisition Kevin Shattenkirk bound to assume the top-unit power-play duties that used to fall on McDonagh’s shoulders.
After exciting Rangers fans and fantasy owners with a 14-goal, 43-point breakout in 2013-14, McDonagh hasn’t looked nearly as electric on offense since, posting much lower and nearly identical point totals (33 and 34) over the last two seasons. On the bright side, he’s coming off a career-best plus-26 rating, but the Rangers need their captain to help drive the offense from the back end. As McDonagh enters his age-27 campaign, expectations for a return to form may be high, but there’s cause for concern thanks to last year’s sharp drop in shots on goal (35 fewer despite playing two more games) and declining power-play minutes. The Minnesotan does have 50-point upside as the head of the Rangers’ blue-line corps, but you can’t factor expectations that high into his draft-day price.
McDonagh's first season as captain of the Rangers came with its share of disappointments -- 11 games missed to injury, a 10-point decline in scoring, and a second consecutive deep playoff run falling short. But with the offseason to return to full health, the Blueshirts' top blueliner should be back and raring to go in 2015-16. He'll have help on the back end of the power play this year, with Keith Yandle in the fold for a full season, while ever-reliable defense parter Dan Girardi will (as usual) hang back at even strength to let McDonagh encroach into the offensive zone. All that points to a likely rebound for McDonagh, who's always been considered to have 50-point upside. At times, he's been one of the most dominant defensemen in hockey on both sides of the puck, so McDonagh should return to form as a top-10 blueliner this year.
By far the Rangers’ most reliable blue line scorer last season (43 points in 77 games), McDonagh will reportedly take the reigns as the captain of this team in 2014-15, with veterans Ryan Callahan and Brad Richards no longer in the fold. Having already topped 30 points in a season twice in the last three campaigns (save for lockout season), the 25-year-old is seemingly just entering the prime of his career. Most importantly to fantasy owners, McDonagh has been very reliable, having missed just 10 regular-season tilts in his last three seasons combined, despite playing north of 27 minutes per game on a consistent basis. Be prepared, however -- for the first time in his career, McDonagh's expectations are at their highest, and in accordance, he’ll very likely to be selected highly among the elite fantasy defensemen come draft day.
Over the last two seasons, McDonagh has not only provided the Rangers with glimpses of his exciting offensive potential, but he has also established himself as one of the league's top shutdown defensemen. The 24-year-old held down a plus-13 rating while averaging just over 24 minutes of ice time per game this past season. Now armed with a fresh, long-term (six years, $28.2 million) contract, the former first-round pick (2007) figures to only increase his offensive production (four goals, 15 assists) from the brief lockout shorted season. As McDonagh heads into the 2013-14 campaign, his offensive upside and the expectations that come with his new contract should make him a popular late-round pick.
As one-half of the Rangers' top defensive pairing, McDonagh put together a very solid 2011-12 season in posting 32 points with seven goals, 25 assists, a 25 plus-minus rating. His breakout season was more of a matter of time than a surprise after coming to New York in the deal that rid the Blueshirts' of Scott Gomez. The 23-year-old McDonagh is yet another young Rangers blueliner to keep an eye on in fantasy drafts in 2012-13 and is a great sleeper pick to target as he gets more experience under his belt.
McDonagh was acquired by the Rangers as part of the Scott Gomez blockbuster deal with Montreal in late June of 2009. The quick blueliner arrived halfway through last season and played strong defensive hockey en route to an impressive plus-16 as a rookie. Early signs point to McDonagh being a defense first, Marc Staal type of player with a good first pass. He's meshed with Mike Sauer, so expect that pair to increase their responsibilities this coming year.
The former Wisconsin Badger forwent his final year of college eligibilty and signed a three-year, entry-level deal with the Blueshirts in July of 2010. As one of the top prospects in the Rangers' organization, McDonagh should enjoy a bright future in the Big Apple sooner than later, but there are plenty other talented blueliners in the organization fighting for minutes with the parent club. At the very least, McDonagh is on the brink of an NHL gig.
McDonagh was taken with the 12th overall pick by the Rangers in the 2007 draft and is yet to play within the organization. He's only 20 years old and has massive upside, but he's a number of years away from breaking onto Broadway.
Drafted 12th overall by Montreal in 2007, McDonagh will begin his second season at the University of Wisconsin in 2008-09.
McDonagh entered the 2007 draft as Mr. Hockey, the title given the best high school player in the state of Minnesota. He's a prototypical jack-of-all-trades -- he does everything reasonably well. And that bodes well for a long, minute-munching NHL career. He'll probably be a consistent 40-point player in the NHL and play much like Sami Salo. Yes, there's fantasy value in that, folks. Stash him away.
