Clay Guida
The Carpenter

USA

Falls to 1-3 in past four bouts
LightweightUFC
June 20, 2020
Guida lost to Bobby Green via unanimous decision (28-29, 28-29, 27-30) at UFC Fight Night on Saturday in Las Vegas.
ANALYSIS
The gap in striking ability between the two men was simply too much for Guida to overcome. Clay is an excellent wrestler and one of the best-conditioned athletes in the history of the sport, but he's going to have a difficult time winning fights at age 38 if he isn't racking up a ton of takedowns and plenty of control time. He was credited with a pair of successful tries against Green but did nothing with his positional advantage. At the very least, Guida needs to stay attached to his opposition so they can't return fire, and he didn't do a good enough job of that in this one. Clay's gas tank isn't completely empty, but the UFC needs to be careful regarding who they match him up against moving forward. Clay is 1-3 in his past four bouts dating back to June 2018.
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Back in action June 20
LightweightUFC
June 9, 2020
Guida announced via his personal Instagram that he would be taking on Bobby Green on June 20 in Las Vegas.
ANALYSIS
Guida defeated UFC legend BJ Penn in May of 2019, but lost quickly in his most recent trip to the Octagon against Jim Miller last August. "The Carpenter" is at the tail end of his career at the age of 38, but the UFC will give him a reasonable opportunity against a fighter who has just one win in the last five-plus years. Guida will be giving up height and reach to Green, who also has superior striking volume numbers. While Guida has just one takedown in his last four fights, his wrestling could potentially be one area where he could gain an edge against Green.
Lasts 58 seconds against Jim Miller
LightweightUFC
August 3, 2019
Guida lost to Jim Miller via submission (guillotine choke) at 0:58 of Round 1 at UFC on ESPN 5 on Saturday in Newark, New Jersey.
ANALYSIS
It was another dangerous, late stoppage on a choke from referee Herb Dean. Guida smashed Miller with a big shot that sent him stumbling backwards shortly after the opening bell rang, but he ate a shot of his own just seconds later and he found himself in the guillotine just moments after that. Guida is 37 years old, been a pro for more than 16 years, and has built a career around being one of the most aggressive fighters in the sport, but charging in on Miller there was not the best of decisions. Guida sure looks like he's nearing the end of the line, but he is somehow 3-2 in his last five fights dating back to June 2017. "The Carpenter" isn't going anywhere.
Confirmed for UFC Newark
LightweightUFC
June 25, 2019
Guida will take on Jim Miller in a lightweight matchup at UFC Newark on Aug. 3.
ANALYSIS
Guida is 37 years old, but is now 3-1 in his last four fights. He handily defeated BJ Penn in his last trip to the Octagon, but that means an entirely different thing than it did 10 years ago. "The Carpenter" will now turn his focus to Miller, another long-time veteran that is set to turn 36 in August. Miller most recently picked up a win against Jason Gonzalez, giving him his second victory in his last three chances. Miller has now participated in four consecutive fights that haven't gotten out of the first round. Guida will be at a slight disadvantage in terms of height and reach, but sports superior grappling statistics (Miller has just a 47 percent takedown defense). Both men have negative striking differentials, meaning they have gotten hit by a higher quantity of strikes than they have landed over their long UFC tenures.
Adds to B.J. Penn's struggles
LightweightUFC
May 11, 2019
Guida defeated B.J. Penn via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-27) at UFC 237 on Saturday in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
ANALYSIS
The fact Guida couldn't finish the washed up Penn is highly concerning, but he was never in danger of legitimately losing the fight. Guida has cardio for days, and Penn was running on fumes over the course of the final ten minutes of the bout. A wrestler by trade, Guida attempted just two takedowns on Saturday, instead preferring to hammer an overmatched Penn on the feet. A win over B.J. means literally less than nothing in 2019, but "The Carpenter" improves to 3-1 in his last four bouts.
Added to UFC 237
LightweightUFC
March 6, 2019
Guida will take on BJ Penn at UFC 237 in Brazil on May 11, Brett Okamoto of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
Guida had a tough task in his last fight during UFC 225 when he got a new opponent with short notice and then lost via submission in Round 1 to Charles Oliveira. The veteran Guida, who carries a career record of 34-18, will go to Brazil to fight Penn, who is also coming off a loss via submission, but his is much more recent in December.