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Draft Kit: Rookie Report

Fred Katz

Fred Katz

Fred Katz averaged almost one point per game in 5th grade, but he maintains that his per 36 minutes numbers were astonishing. Find more of his work at ProBasketballDraft.com or on ESPN's TrueHoop Network. Follow him on Twitter at @FredKatz.

We tend to see at least one stellar rookie emerge each year.

Last year, we had Damian Lillard and Anthony Davis. In 2011-12 Kyrie Irving and Kawhi Leonard burst onto the scene. Three years ago, John Wall and DeMarcus Cousins made a splash.

The list keeps going. There's at least one quality rookie every year, someone that can be a legitimate fantasy starter.

Is this the year that trend finally breaks?

This year's draft class was overly criticized. In 10 years, we probably won't look back on this year's draft and say, "Man, there weren't any good players in that draft." Actually, it's quite the opposite. There could be a bunch of quality NBA players out of this year's crop of rookies. We're just not sure which ones will stand out.

A player like Shabazz Muhammad could become a decent role player, but is Shabazz going to provide fantasy value as a rookie? Probably not. Is Trey Burke going to pull a Lillard, or is Zeller going to pul

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