Top MLB Player Prop Bets to Watch for September 19: Expert Picks & Insights
Friday brings a bevy of important games across baseball as teams battle for playoff spots. The AL West will be front and center when the Astros host the Mariners. Let's look at the betting side of things and highlight three player props to consider.
Mike Barner's season record: 81-49 (+13.34 units)
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Best MLB Player Prop Bets September 19
Chicago Cubs 
at Cincinnati Reds 
Betting Picks
- Shota Imanaga over 4.5 strikeouts (-146) at FanDuel Sportsbook for 1 Unit
Imanaga allowed three runs over five innings against the Rays in his last start, striking out nine batters along the way. His overall strikeout rate of 21.1% isn't great, but he has logged at least six innings in seven of his last eight starts. That helped him record at least five strikeouts in six of those outings.
The last time Imanaga faced the Reds, he recorded seven strikeouts across 6.1 innings. The Reds have contact issues as they have struck out the ninth-most times in baseball. They also struggle against left-handed pitchers, posting a .646 OPS against them. Imanaga is in a favorable spot to pitch deep into this game, making the over on his strikeout prop appealing.
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Baltimore Orioles 
vs. New York Yankees 
Betting Picks
- Gunnar Henderson over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-148) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
After slugging 37 home runs last season, Henderson has just 16 homers this year. He is still batting .273, recording at least two hits in three of his last six games. Helping his cause in this game is that the Orioles will be at home, where he has a .835 OPS this season. On the road, he has just a .738 OPS.
Henderson will take his hacks against righty Will Warren, who has a 4.20 xFIP and a 1.61 WHIP on the road. Warren has limited right-handed hitters to a .286 wOBA, but lefties have a .348 wOBA against him. Another stat working in favor of this over is that Henderson has hit 13 of his 16 home runs against righties. He also has a .880 OPS against them, which isn't far off from his .919 OPS versus righties from last season.
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Arizona Diamondbacks 
vs. Philadelphia Phillies 
Betting Picks
- Corbin Carroll over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-160) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
Despite being sellers at the trade deadline, the Diamondbacks are still alive for a Wild Card spot in the National League. Carroll has stepped up down the stretch, hitting 33-for-111 (.297) with a .402 OBP, 15 RBI and 23 runs scored over his last 30 games. He has been an extra-base machine during that span, posting four home runs, eight doubles and three triples. His .286 ISO for the season is on pace to be the highest mark of his career.
Taijuan Walker will start this game for the Phillies. He has given up at least four runs in each of his last four outings. Expected to follow him will be Walker Buehler, who has a 5.53 xERA and has allowed 1.7 HR/9. This wager comes with plenty of juice, but in what could be a high-scoring game for the Diamondbacks, the over is still the way to go.
MLB Player Prop Picks Recap
- Shota Imanaga over 4.5 strikeouts (-146) at FanDuel Sportsbook for 1 Unit
- Gunnar Henderson over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-148) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
- Corbin Carroll over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-160) at DraftKings Sportsbook for 1 Unit
