Jazz Chisholm

26-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Miami Marlins

2024 Stats

AVG

.231

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2024 Fantasy Outlook

Chisholm Jr. first got us excited for his fantasy future after a solid rookie campaign, but his follow-up efforts have been marred with injury. 2023 saw him miss time with turf toe, an oblique strain, and a hamstring strain. The turf toe required offseason surgery to fix, but the demands of the centerfield position are not likely to reduce Chisholm Jr's. injury risk any time soon. The injury risk also comes along with a batting average risk as Chisholm Jr. continues to take an aggressive approach at the plate, but around all that risk is an above average offensive player with surprising pop and speed to burn when his lower half is healthy. His dual eligibility is gone for now, but the upside risk/reward upside remains as he is quite capable of a 30-30 season if his body holds up to the demands of his position. Every season, there are a handful of players who are early market values; this will be one of those players. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#59

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 5'11"

Weight 184

DOB 2/1/1998

Born Nassau, Bahamas

College None

Drafted 2015 ARI

Steals fourth bag

OFMiami Marlins

April 16, 2024

Chisholm went 2-for-4 with a stolen base in Monday's loss to the Giants.

ANALYSIS
The 26-year-old has heated up quickly. Chisholm began the season with a 3-for-23 stretch, but over nine games since he's batting .324 (11-for-34) with a homer, four RBI, four runs and four steals in four attempts. Chisholm is also showing a lot more patience, drawing nine walks already this year for a 13.6 percent walk rate -- double his 6.8 percent mark from 2023. If that improved plate discipline holds up, it could signal a breakout campaign is coming.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+72%

OPS vs RHP

2024

+36%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+78%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+79%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.509	165	10	4	13	6	.171	.226	.283
Since 2022vs Right	.877	533	88	31	92	32	.274	.341	.536
2024vs Left	.583	32	1	1	4	1	.200	.250	.333
2024vs Right	.795	43	8	1	5	3	.257	.395	.400
2023vs Left	.479	94	5	2	4	4	.172	.226	.253
2023vs Right	.853	289	45	17	47	18	.275	.329	.525
2022vs Left	.519	39	4	1	5	1	.143	.205	.314
2022vs Right	.927	201	35	13	40	11	.275	.348	.579
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+6%

OPS at Home

2024

+57%

OPS on Road

2023

+12%

OPS at Home

2022

+13%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.813	353	53	16	55	18	.256	.329	.484
Since 2022Away	.764	345	45	19	50	20	.242	.299	.465
2024Home	.607	55	7	1	6	1	.191	.309	.298
2024Away	.956	20	2	1	3	3	.333	.400	.556
2023Home	.806	179	25	10	26	12	.256	.318	.488
2023Away	.721	204	25	9	25	10	.245	.291	.431
2022Home	.915	119	21	5	23	5	.286	.353	.562
2022Away	.807	121	18	9	22	7	.222	.298	.509
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Stat Review

How does Jazz Chisholm compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.48

BB Rate

13.3%

K Rate

28.0%

BABIP

.310

ISO

.138

AVG

.231

OBP

.333

SLG

.369

OPS

.703

wOBA

.312

Exit Velocity

89.8 mph

Hard Hit Rate

31.8%

Barrels/PA

8.0%

Expected BA

.221

Expected SLG

.400

Sprint Speed

Ground Ball %

47.6%

Line Drive %

16.7%

Fly Ball %

35.7%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Jazz Chisholm Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

Games By Position

Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Strikeout woes

OFMiami Marlins

April 26, 2023

Chisholm leads MLB with a 38.3 percent strikeout rate. The 25-year-old is striking out once in every 2.6 plate appearances.

ANALYSIS
Chisholm's youth, solid power, and base-stealing prowess are redeeming qualities, but his sky-high strikeout rate is slightly alarming. He's striking out in 29.4 percent of all plate appearances for his career -- well above the average MLB clip of 22.1 percent. He's been hapless against breaking balls, hitting just .115 with a 56.3 percent whiff rate.

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2017

What could have been. Chisholm Jr was on pace for a monster fantasy season in Miami after a winter where many debated his fantasy merits but the dream lasted just 60 games as a stress fracture in his back and a torn meniscus ended his season in late June. Preseason projections had him in the 20-20 aea with a low batting average, but Chisholm Jr was on pace to toy with a 30-30 season and finished 11 points above the league-wide batting average thanks to his willingness to accept a few more walks and chasing fewer pitches out of the zone. He has had a full-time role for two seasons in Miami, but we have yet to see a full-season of play from him and he has now lost his dual-eligibility as he is exclusively a second baseman. The 30-30 potential is still there for Chisholm Jr if the body is healthy and the next manager allows the team to run as Mattingly did this past season. The health risk should give you pause if you are considering reaching for the upside here.

Chisholm has channeled his athleticism to become one of the league's best power-speed combos. The power and speed weren't in doubt as he progressed through the minors. The question was whether he had enough plate discipline and contact skills to get on base. Those doubts were front and center in 2020 when his strikeout rate was over 30% and he posted a .242 OBP. While he barely lowered his strikeouts, his .319 BABIP helped push his OBP over .300. He didn't end the season on a high note with a .278 OBP in the second half (.258 OBP in September). Pitchers started adjusting to him by throwing him fewer fastballs (48% to 45%) and fewer pitches in the strike zone. While he has problems getting on base, his power and speed stayed elite with his avgEV up from 87.1 mph in 2020 to 90.2 mph and his sprint speed ranking in the 94th percentile.

Chisholm making his debut in the shortened season was unexpected, so the fact that he struggled in that tiny sample is close to irrelevant when assessing his long-term outlook. Miami traded Zac Gallen to Arizona for Chisholm because they were flush with good young pitching and extremely light on up-the-middle position players with high ceilings, and Chisholm's upside remains quite high. He has plus raw power, but his approach still needs a lot of work. His sprint speed was in the 81st percentile, so he is not a true burner, but is fast enough to steal 15-plus bases. Chisholm is an aggressive hitter who is overly pull happy. He typically gets to a level, struggles, and then makes the necessary adjustments. It is a testament to his hard work at the alternate site that he debuted at all despite never playing above Double-A. He will compete for time at second base and shortstop in the coming years.

Every non-prospector who has seen Zac Gallen and only seen Chisholm's stat line thinks that 1-for-1 was a bad trade for Miami. It certainly will look that way in the short term, but the Marlins had a lot of pitching being wasted on a non-contender and severely lacked star power on the position player side. Chisholm gives them a shot at that. An above-average runner with elite bat speed who will stick at shortstop, Chisholm has physical gifts that can't be taught. He rediscovered his linedrive stroke (28.6 LD%) and cut his strikeout rate from 33.8% to 25.5% after the trade, but had already started improving before the deal -- he just had an abysmal first seven weeks at Double-A. In a down year, he hit 21 home runs and stole 16 bases as a 21-year-old playing a premium position. There may be another adjustment period at Triple-A, but Chisholm has Trevor Story-esque tools, so patience is recommended.

Bursting with tools, most notably 60-grade power, Chisholm emerged as one of the game's top shortstop prospects. A torn meniscus limited him to 29 games in 2017, but he still reached High-A before most of his peers -- only 21 of his 501 PA in 2018 came against pitchers who were younger than him. Aspects of his profile are worrisome -- he struck out a lot (29.7 K%), struggled against lefties (.218/.258/.412) and the one time he hit over .300 as a pro (at High-A), his BABIP was .443. However, he logged a 33.3 GB% while using the whole field (41.8 Pull%) with Visalia. That batted-ball profile suggests his batting average gains may be legitimate. Good instincts and quick-twitch athleticism led to a 17-for-21 stolen-base success rate. He capped his breakout campaign by hitting .442 with three homers, seven steals and eight strikeouts in 10 AFL games. Chisholm could begin his age-21 season at Double-A and has significant upward mobility.

Heading into 2017, Chisholm (who will turn 19 in February) is considered the top prospect in a depleted Arizona farm system. The lanky shortstop from the Bahamas spent last season playing at the rookie level for the Missoula Osprey. He recorded 249 at-bats in 62 games, posting a solid .281/.333/.446 slash line in the process. Chisholm showed a good mix of power (nine home runs) and speed (13 steals in 17 attempts), which was especially impressive considering he was one of the younger players in the Pioneer League. Scouts say Chisholm could stick at shortstop, but he also could add some bulk to his 165-pound frame and move off the position. As with any teenage prospect, it's hard to really say what the future holds for Chisholm. Across baseball, he's not considered an elite prospect at this point, but given the lack of depth in Arizona's system, Chisholm could be a name to watch if he continues to perform at a high level.

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