Daniel Norris
Daniel Norris
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Last season didn’t go as planned for Norris, who missed nearly four months with a groin injury and finished the campaign with a 5.68 ERA and 1.45 WHIP across 44.1 innings (eight starts, three relief appearances). His career-worst ERA was driven by a below-average walk rate (3.9 BB/9) coupled with a spike in his home-run rate. The southpaw also saw a slight dip in his velocity, with his fastball averaging 90.2 mph after sitting at 93.2 mph in 2017, though that could have been related to his injury. It wasn’t all bad for Norris, however, as the 25-year-old managed to post a career-best 10.4 K/9 despite the drop in velocity, offering a reminder of his upside. Norris might once again slot into Detroit’s starting rotation to begin the 2019 season and could be worth a late-round flier, though his inconsistency and recent injury issues make him tough to trust. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $1.28 million contract with the Tigers in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Ambushed by A's
PDetroit Tigers
May 17, 2019
Norris (2-2) took the loss Friday as the Tigers fell 7-2 to the A's, coughing up six runs on seven hits and a walk over 5.1 innings while striking out two.
Two of Oakland's hits left the yard, including a two-run shot by Chad Pinder in the sixth inning that chased Norris from the game. The southpaw will take a 4.50 ERA and 28:11 K:BB through 40 innings into his next start Thursday, at home against the Marlins.
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Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
Even Split
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .286 182 37 17 46 8 1 10
Since 2017vs Right .286 648 128 57 166 35 4 17
2019vs Left .222 30 5 3 6 1 0 2
2019vs Right .305 140 23 8 40 5 0 5
2018vs Left .325 43 11 3 13 1 0 2
2018vs Right .243 157 40 16 33 9 0 6
2017vs Left .287 109 21 11 27 6 1 6
2017vs Right .297 351 65 33 93 21 4 6
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
ERA on Road
ERA on Road
ERA at Home
ERA on Road
Since 2017Home 6.04 1.65 92.1 3 10 0 7.8 3.9 1.6
Since 2017Away 4.42 1.43 93.2 4 5 0 8.2 3.3 1.1
2019Home 5.89 1.20 18.1 1 2 0 5.9 2.5 2.0
2019Away 3.32 1.62 21.2 1 0 0 6.6 2.5 1.2
2018Home 4.38 1.46 24.2 0 2 0 8.4 3.6 1.5
2018Away 7.32 1.47 19.2 0 3 0 12.8 4.1 1.8
2017Home 6.93 1.91 49.1 2 6 0 8.2 4.6 1.5
2017Away 3.78 1.34 52.1 3 2 0 7.1 3.3 0.7
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Stat Review
How does Daniel Norris compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 40 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
90.3 mph
Left On Base
Exit Velocity
91.2 mph
Spin Rate
2324 rpm
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Expectations were high for Norris after he notched a 4-2 record with a 3.38 ERA over 13 starts in 2016. Unfortunately for the Tigers and fantasy owners, Norris struggled out of the gates this past season and failed to recreate the success he found in his first full year in the Tigers' organization. The 24-year-old was sidelined for nearly two months with a groin strain and finished the season with a disappointing 5.31 ERA over 101.2 innings. He still has some heat on his fastball, with an average velocity over 93 mph, and three quality offerings (slider, curveball, changeup) to complement his primary pitch. However, his strikeout and walk rates both went in the wrong direction last season, with his K-BB percentage falling from 16.2 percent in 2016 to 9.1 percent in 2017. Norris has now battled injuries in two consecutive seasons and thus shouldn't be counted on as more than a sixth or seventh starter on a fantasy staff.
Part of the haul from the trade that sent David Price to Toronto, who brought back both Matt Boyd and Norris (plus a lefty relief prospect). Norris enjoyed a nice 69-inning sample, but back and oblique injuries kept him from a larger inning count. Thankfully, he did log another 86 innings in the minors, so if performance and health allow it, he'll be ready for a full season in 2017. His 93 mph fastball was eighth-best among lefties who threw at least 60 innings as a starter ahead of luminaries like Clayton Kershaw, David Price, and Chris Sale. Of course, pitching is more than velocity, but it's a good start. The fastball needs to improve versus righties (too many homers) if he wants to cut into the 152-point OPS platoon split, but he showed enough with the slider, changeup, and curve to justify the No. 2/No. 3 starter upside he was tabbed with as a prospect. Buy.
Norris had a crazy season: a 25-man roster spot out of camp, a demotion, a trade, a FIFTY-FOUR pitch inning and then a cancer diagnosis at season’s end. By late-October, his thyroid surgery was declared successful and he was deemed cancer free. Obviously continued health will be the primary focus ahead of baseball, though an idea of his 2016 plan should be known by draft season. On the field he showed flashes of his top-notch upside, but also plenty of evidence that he’s far from a finished product. He tightened up the walk rate with Detroit, going from 4.6 to 1.7 BB/9, but the trade-off was more hittable pitches and a surge in homers allowed, suggesting he was exhibiting more control than command. Control is simply hitting the zone; command is placing it in the zone. This is the profile type to bet on because it could all come together in a big way, but do so with a late-round pick because it’s unlikely and if it goes south then you move on.
The Blue Jays were incredibly aggressive with Norris in 2014, as the 21-year-old southpaw climbed three full levels, finishing the season with a cup of coffee in Toronto. His strikeout rate in the minor leagues kept getting better as he faced more advanced hitting. Norris posted strikeout rates of 29 percent (66.1 innings), 31.6% (35.2 innings) and 44.7% (22.2 innings) at High-A, Double-A and Triple-A, respectively, and in turn, his prospect stock exploded. The curveball and slider will both work as finishing pitches against big league hitters (as long as he can locate his mid-90s fastball early in the count) and minor league hitters simply did not have a chance against his advance repertoire. Norris posted a 2.53 ERA and 1.15 WHIP, allowing just 96 hits in 124.2 innings across three levels. That said, he still profiles as more of a mid-rotation starter in the big leagues, with perhaps better-than-average strikeout totals. Norris has a chance to start the season at the back of the Blue Jays’ rotation.
Norris struggled in his first full professional season in 2012 going 2-4 with an 8.44 ERA in 42.2 innings (12 starts). The lefty spent most of his time in the Appalachian League and had a brief stint with short-season Vancouver (Northwest League). He did, however, post a strong 9.1 K/9 thanks to an electric fastball that occasionally reaches 96 mph. Norris' secondary pitches are still developing, but after a full offseason of work, the 20-year-old should see the opportunity to step up in 2013 with a full-season assignment to Low-A Lansing.
The Jays landed Norris in the 2nd round due to some contract demands but he rewarded the Jays nicely. A low-to-mid 90s fastball is complemented with a nice breaking ball and changeup and he could move quickly. He'll make his pro debut this season.
More Fantasy News
Solid in win
PDetroit Tigers
May 12, 2019
Norris (2-1) gave up two runs on six hits and one walk while striking out five through 6.1 innings earning the win over the Twins on Sunday.
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Takes first loss
PDetroit Tigers
May 7, 2019
Norris (1-1) took the loss Tuesday against the Angels, allowing three earned runs on five hits over five innings. He walked two and struck out two.
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Pitches well in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
May 1, 2019
Norris allowed just a single run over five innings but did not factor into the decision in Wednesday's 7-3 loss to the Phillies. He gave up five hits and a walk while striking out four.
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Moves up in pitching schedule
PDetroit Tigers
April 30, 2019
Norris is slated to make his next start Wednesday against the Phillies in Philadelphia.
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Shelled for 10 hits
PDetroit Tigers
April 26, 2019
Norris surrendered four runs on 10 hits and two walks while striking out five over five innings Friday against the White Sox. He didn't factor into the decision.
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