Daniel Norris
Daniel Norris
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
2020 Fantasy Outlook
The numbers down the stretch look pretty good and that's because Norris moved away from a traditional starting role; Detroit limited Norris to exactly three innings in each of his final nine outings. The lefty took well to the new gig, posting a 3.33 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 27:7 K:BB in those 27 innings, compared to a 4.76 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 98:31 K:BB in his first 20 starts (117.1 IP). It made perfect sense to shorten him up, as Norris for the season saw his ERA go from 2.84 the first time through the order to 4.41 the second time through, and from 4.41 to 9.26 the third time through. Without the worry of having to turn a lineup over multiple times, Norris could max out, lean mostly on his fastball and change and save his slider for more favorable counts. The Tigers will have to turn to Norris often again in 2020, but in this role Norris' upside is limited since it seems he will rarely factor into decisions. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#585
ADP
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$Signed a one-year, $2.96 million contract with the Tigers in January of 2020, avoiding arbitration.
Will work as primary pitcher Monday
PDetroit Tigers
August 9, 2020
Norris is slated to work as the primary pitcher following opener Michael Fulmer in Monday's game against the White Sox, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Norris was recently bumped from the rotation in favor of Tyler Alexander, and now the former will have to settle for this piggyback arrangement with Fulmer. Manager Ron Gardenhire said he'd like to get about three innings out of each pitcher Monday. Norris had a delayed start to his season due to coronavirus testing protocols and he's made just one appearance so far, allowing two earned runs in 1.2 innings of work last Sunday against the Reds.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
54
Last 10 Games
54
Last 5 Games
54
How many pitches does Daniel Norris generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Daniel Norris generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-25%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .278 157 36 10 40 5 2 7
Since 2018vs Right .273 664 140 49 164 35 2 26
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right .444 11 0 2 4 2 0 0
2019vs Left .260 114 25 7 27 4 2 5
2019vs Right .279 496 100 31 127 24 2 20
2018vs Left .325 43 11 3 13 1 0 2
2018vs Right .243 157 40 16 33 9 0 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-6%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-4%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-40%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 4.66 1.39 83.0 1 10 0 7.7 2.7 1.8
Since 2018Away 4.95 1.38 107.1 2 9 0 8.8 2.9 1.3
2020Home 10.80 3.60 1.2 0 1 0 0.0 10.8 0.0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home 4.61 1.29 56.2 1 7 0 7.6 2.1 2.1
2019Away 4.41 1.36 87.2 2 6 0 7.9 2.6 1.2
2018Home 4.38 1.46 24.2 0 2 0 8.4 3.6 1.5
2018Away 7.32 1.47 19.2 0 3 0 12.8 4.1 1.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Daniel Norris compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
0.00
 
K/9
0.0
 
BB/9
10.8
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
91.3 mph
 
ERA
10.80
 
WHIP
3.60
 
BABIP
.460
 
GB/FB
1.00
 
Left On Base
66.7%
 
Exit Velocity
82.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.3%
 
Spin Rate
2172 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
15.8%
 
Swinging Strike
5.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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18 days ago
Todd Zola ranks starting pitching for the opening weekend of baseball's new season and includes a look ahead to next week.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2013
2012
Last season didn’t go as planned for Norris, who missed nearly four months with a groin injury and finished the campaign with a 5.68 ERA and 1.45 WHIP across 44.1 innings (eight starts, three relief appearances). His career-worst ERA was driven by a below-average walk rate (3.9 BB/9) coupled with a spike in his home-run rate. The southpaw also saw a slight dip in his velocity, with his fastball averaging 90.2 mph after sitting at 93.2 mph in 2017, though that could have been related to his injury. It wasn’t all bad for Norris, however, as the 25-year-old managed to post a career-best 10.4 K/9 despite the drop in velocity, offering a reminder of his upside. Norris might once again slot into Detroit’s starting rotation to begin the 2019 season and could be worth a late-round flier, though his inconsistency and recent injury issues make him tough to trust.
Expectations were high for Norris after he notched a 4-2 record with a 3.38 ERA over 13 starts in 2016. Unfortunately for the Tigers and fantasy owners, Norris struggled out of the gates this past season and failed to recreate the success he found in his first full year in the Tigers' organization. The 24-year-old was sidelined for nearly two months with a groin strain and finished the season with a disappointing 5.31 ERA over 101.2 innings. He still has some heat on his fastball, with an average velocity over 93 mph, and three quality offerings (slider, curveball, changeup) to complement his primary pitch. However, his strikeout and walk rates both went in the wrong direction last season, with his K-BB percentage falling from 16.2 percent in 2016 to 9.1 percent in 2017. Norris has now battled injuries in two consecutive seasons and thus shouldn't be counted on as more than a sixth or seventh starter on a fantasy staff.
Part of the haul from the trade that sent David Price to Toronto, who brought back both Matt Boyd and Norris (plus a lefty relief prospect). Norris enjoyed a nice 69-inning sample, but back and oblique injuries kept him from a larger inning count. Thankfully, he did log another 86 innings in the minors, so if performance and health allow it, he'll be ready for a full season in 2017. His 93 mph fastball was eighth-best among lefties who threw at least 60 innings as a starter ahead of luminaries like Clayton Kershaw, David Price, and Chris Sale. Of course, pitching is more than velocity, but it's a good start. The fastball needs to improve versus righties (too many homers) if he wants to cut into the 152-point OPS platoon split, but he showed enough with the slider, changeup, and curve to justify the No. 2/No. 3 starter upside he was tabbed with as a prospect. Buy.
Norris had a crazy season: a 25-man roster spot out of camp, a demotion, a trade, a FIFTY-FOUR pitch inning and then a cancer diagnosis at season’s end. By late-October, his thyroid surgery was declared successful and he was deemed cancer free. Obviously continued health will be the primary focus ahead of baseball, though an idea of his 2016 plan should be known by draft season. On the field he showed flashes of his top-notch upside, but also plenty of evidence that he’s far from a finished product. He tightened up the walk rate with Detroit, going from 4.6 to 1.7 BB/9, but the trade-off was more hittable pitches and a surge in homers allowed, suggesting he was exhibiting more control than command. Control is simply hitting the zone; command is placing it in the zone. This is the profile type to bet on because it could all come together in a big way, but do so with a late-round pick because it’s unlikely and if it goes south then you move on.
The Blue Jays were incredibly aggressive with Norris in 2014, as the 21-year-old southpaw climbed three full levels, finishing the season with a cup of coffee in Toronto. His strikeout rate in the minor leagues kept getting better as he faced more advanced hitting. Norris posted strikeout rates of 29 percent (66.1 innings), 31.6% (35.2 innings) and 44.7% (22.2 innings) at High-A, Double-A and Triple-A, respectively, and in turn, his prospect stock exploded. The curveball and slider will both work as finishing pitches against big league hitters (as long as he can locate his mid-90s fastball early in the count) and minor league hitters simply did not have a chance against his advance repertoire. Norris posted a 2.53 ERA and 1.15 WHIP, allowing just 96 hits in 124.2 innings across three levels. That said, he still profiles as more of a mid-rotation starter in the big leagues, with perhaps better-than-average strikeout totals. Norris has a chance to start the season at the back of the Blue Jays’ rotation.
Norris struggled in his first full professional season in 2012 going 2-4 with an 8.44 ERA in 42.2 innings (12 starts). The lefty spent most of his time in the Appalachian League and had a brief stint with short-season Vancouver (Northwest League). He did, however, post a strong 9.1 K/9 thanks to an electric fastball that occasionally reaches 96 mph. Norris' secondary pitches are still developing, but after a full offseason of work, the 20-year-old should see the opportunity to step up in 2013 with a full-season assignment to Low-A Lansing.
The Jays landed Norris in the 2nd round due to some contract demands but he rewarded the Jays nicely. A low-to-mid 90s fastball is complemented with a nice breaking ball and changeup and he could move quickly. He'll make his pro debut this season.
More Fantasy News
Loses rotation spot
PDetroit Tigers
August 7, 2020
Norris will pitch out of the bullpen going forward, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Coughs up two runs
PDetroit Tigers
August 2, 2020
Norris (0-1) yielded two runs on four hits and two walks in 1.2 innings Sunday, taking the loss in the second game of the doubleheader against the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Activated ahead of start
PDetroit Tigers
August 2, 2020
Norris was activated off the injured list ahead of his start in Game 2 of Sunday's doubleheader against the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Slated to return Sunday
PDetroit Tigers
Not Injury Related
August 1, 2020
Norris will start Game 2 of Sunday's doubleheader against the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Continues to throw
PDetroit Tigers
Not Injury Related
July 28, 2020
Norris (not injury related) threw 50-60 pitches at the Tigers' secondary training site in Toledo on Tuesday, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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