Jose Quintana Fantasy News & Stats

Jose Quintana

30-Year-Old PitcherSP

Chicago Cubs

2018 Stats

W-L

13-11

ERA

4.03

WHIP

1.32

158

2019 Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2019 Fantasy Outlook

Quintana's strikeout, walk and home-run rates worsened in 2018, yet his ERA came in a few points better thanks to him stranding more runners. The numbers could have been better had Joe Maddon exercised a quicker hook, as Quintana struggled mightily after two times through the lineup. Quintana's ERA went from 2.97 to 3.59 to 7.15 with each trip through a lineup. His home/road splits were rather neutral, but there does appear to be some gains to be made if Maddon goes to the bullpen a batter early rather than one too late in 2019. The Cubs exercised their contract option on Quintana to bring him back, so they too see something better here. If Quintana can cut the walks down and get the homers back in line, there will be some profit to be made. He has been a model of health and has not missed a start in seven seasons, but he is not throwing 200 innings any longer and his 174.1 innings could be cut down to 160 with better utilization. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#188

ADP

Overall

Starting Pitcher

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League Majors

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'1"

Weight 220

DOB 1/24/1989

Born Arjona, Colombia

College None

Drafted 2006 NYM

Club option picked up

PChicago Cubs

October 31, 2018

The Cubs exercised their $10.5 million team option on Quintana for 2019 on Wednesday.

ANALYSIS
Quintana provided stability for the Cubs during the 2018 season, finishing with a 4.03 ERA and 1.32 WHIP with 158 strikeouts across 174.1 innings (32 starts). This shouldn't come as a surprise since Quintana's contract is a bargain for a durable left-hander that has remained successful since coming over from the White Sox last summer.

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Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2016

-2%

BAA vs LHP

2018

-1%

BAA vs RHP

2017

-8%

BAA vs LHP

2016

Even Split

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2016vs Left	.239	506	121	25	112	24	3	9
Since 2016vs Right	.245	1860	425	154	412	90	5	61
2018vs Left	.248	162	38	12	36	5	0	5
2018vs Right	.246	577	120	56	126	27	3	20
2017vs Left	.222	163	44	5	34	9	2	1
2017vs Right	.242	627	163	56	136	27	2	22
2016vs Left	.246	181	39	8	42	10	1	3
2016vs Right	.247	656	142	42	150	36	0	19
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Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2016

-7%

ERA on Road

2018

-5%

ERA on Road

2017

-30%

ERA on Road

2016

-23%

ERA at Home

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2016Home	3.91	1.17	267.1	20	13	0	9.0	2.5	1.5
Since 2016Away	3.65	1.29	303.2	17	21	0	8.3	3.1	0.7
2018Home	4.13	1.31	80.2	7	4	0	8.9	3.3	1.7
2018Away	3.94	1.32	93.2	6	7	0	7.5	3.7	1.0
2017Home	4.94	1.28	89.1	6	4	0	10.0	3.0	1.7
2017Away	3.44	1.18	99.1	5	7	0	9.8	2.8	0.5
2016Home	2.77	0.95	97.1	7	5	0	8.1	1.3	1.2
2016Away	3.58	1.36	110.2	6	7	0	7.6	2.9	0.7
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Jose Quintana compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

K/BB

2.32

K/9

8.2

BB/9

3.5

HR/9

1.3

Fastball

91.6 mph

ERA

4.03

WHIP

1.32

BABIP

.291

GB/FB

1.34

Strand %

74.1%

Advanced Pitching Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

Quintana has mostly been a prognosticator's dream. If you pencil him in for nine wins, a mid-3.00s ERA, 175 strikeouts and zero missed starts, you would be 90 percent of the way there. It was not until 2016 that Quintana finally broke the nine-win barrier, but 2017 was weird for him. Despite a career-best 26.2 percent strikeout rate, he posted a career-worst 4.15 ERA. He allowed one more home run than he had in 2016, but he worked 20 fewer innings thanks in part to a jump over to National League rules over the All-Star break. He threw seven shutout innings in his NL debut, but allowed three or more earned runs in seven of his other 13 outings with the Cubs. He will still enjoy good team defense and run support with Chicago, so keep the initial base projections but bump up the wins as 12 wins should be his realistic floor in 2018.

Quintana delivered another strong season of 200-plus innings, his fourth in a row. This time it finally resulted in more than nine wins -- a mark he'd been stuck on for three years running. He saw his home run rate inch upward, but maintained his solid strikeout and walk rates over a career-high 208 innings. He probably deserved even more than 13 wins, but he suffered an 0-7 record in a nine-start run from mid-May through June, during which he had five quality starts and only two real blowups. The only major change in approach from previous seasons was that he leaned on his fastball a career-high 66.5 percent of the time. Despite career bests in ERA and WHIP, there weren't enough gains from Quintana to believe it's some new level. He is a mid-3.00s ERA, 1.20s-WHIP pitcher, who is about as bankable of a 200-inning arm as is available.

Quintana is one of the more underrated pitchers in the American League. For the third consecutive season, he made more than 30 starts, threw more than 200 innings, and posted an ERA in the mid-3.00s. Most importantly for his home park, he keeps the ball out of the bleachers. Unfortunately for fantasy owners, he failed to reach double-digit wins, and he failed to strike out a batter per inning. He should serve as the rotation’s No. 2 starter (behind Chris Sale) to open the season. And at age 27, his best years may lie ahead.

Quintana had the best season of his three-year career in 2014 even though he failed to get to a double-digit win total. He served as a capable No. 2 in the rotation behind Chris Sale for the entire season, and was the only member of the staff to go over 200 innings. One point of concern; his 5.1% HR/FB rate was about half of his 10.3% mark from the previous two seasons, so his ERA could be on the move in 2015 if the rate reverts. He should serve as the team's No. 3 starter in the upcoming year, with Jeff Samardzija coming aboard in the offseason.

One season removed from signing with the White Sox as a minor league free agent, Quintana became a 200-inning horse in 2013. His 33 starts ranked fourth in the American League, but a lousy White Sox offense supported him to all of nine wins even though he struck out nearly three times as many batters as he walked. His repertoire primarily consists of a fastball, curveball, cutter and changeup, and he can throw those pitches equally effectively against right- and left-handed batters. None of his pitches are dominant offerings, but he was able to keep his ERA below 4.00 from his second start until the end of the season, and that is good enough to place him as the White Sox's No. 2 or 3 starter as 2014 opens.

The White Sox quietly stole Quintana away from the Yankees' organization in November, and he was in the White Sox's rotation by late May. He posted a 2.04 ERA over his first 10 appearances, but a failure to miss bats resulted in a .317 BAA and 5.32 ERA over his final 66 frames. He should have the inside track for a spot toward the back of the White Sox's rotation to open 2013, although his job security may lessen if John Danks returns healthy and Gavin Floyd remains in the organization.

The White Sox added Quintana to their 40-man roster in November after he had spent five seasons in the Mets and Yankees organizations. He has a career 1.166 WHIP in 251.1 career minor league innings, which is more impressive when you consider he posted a 4.11 BB/9IP over that stretch. He possesses some deceptive secondary pitches, which could make him effective as a starter or left-handed specialist in the majors. He should start 2012 at Double-A Birmingham, with the potential to make the 25-man roster in 2013.

More Fantasy News

Pitches five innings in no-decision

PChicago Cubs

October 1, 2018

Quintana (13-11) took the hill in Monday's loss to the Brewers and wound up with a no-decision. He went five innings and gave up one run on six hits while striking out six.