Jose Quintana
Jose Quintana
30-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Quintana's strikeout, walk and home-run rates worsened in 2018, yet his ERA came in a few points better thanks to him stranding more runners. The numbers could have been better had Joe Maddon exercised a quicker hook, as Quintana struggled mightily after two times through the lineup. Quintana's ERA went from 2.97 to 3.59 to 7.15 with each trip through a lineup. His home/road splits were rather neutral, but there does appear to be some gains to be made if Maddon goes to the bullpen a batter early rather than one too late in 2019. The Cubs exercised their contract option on Quintana to bring him back, so they too see something better here. If Quintana can cut the walks down and get the homers back in line, there will be some profit to be made. He has been a model of health and has not missed a start in seven seasons, but he is not throwing 200 innings any longer and his 174.1 innings could be cut down to 160 with better utilization. Read Past Outlooks
$Agreed to a five-year, $26.5 million extension with the White Sox in March of 2014. The Cubs exercised their 2019 club option in October of 2018.
Club option picked up
PChicago Cubs
October 31, 2018
The Cubs exercised their $10.5 million team option on Quintana for 2019 on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Quintana provided stability for the Cubs during the 2018 season, finishing with a 4.03 ERA and 1.32 WHIP with 158 strikeouts across 174.1 innings (32 starts). This shouldn't come as a surprise since Quintana's contract is a bargain for a durable left-hander that has remained successful since coming over from the White Sox last summer.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2016
Even Split
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .239 506 121 25 112 24 3 9
Since 2016vs Right .245 1860 425 154 412 90 5 61
2018vs Left .248 162 38 12 36 5 0 5
2018vs Right .246 577 120 56 126 27 3 20
2017vs Left .222 163 44 5 34 9 2 1
2017vs Right .242 627 163 56 136 27 2 22
2016vs Left .246 181 39 8 42 10 1 3
2016vs Right .247 656 142 42 150 36 0 19
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-7%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-5%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-30%
ERA on Road
2016
 
 
-23%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.91 1.17 267.1 20 13 0 9.0 2.5 1.5
Since 2016Away 3.65 1.29 303.2 17 21 0 8.3 3.1 0.7
2018Home 4.13 1.31 80.2 7 4 0 8.9 3.3 1.7
2018Away 3.94 1.32 93.2 6 7 0 7.5 3.7 1.0
2017Home 4.94 1.28 89.1 6 4 0 10.0 3.0 1.7
2017Away 3.44 1.18 99.1 5 7 0 9.8 2.8 0.5
2016Home 2.77 0.95 97.1 7 5 0 8.1 1.3 1.2
2016Away 3.58 1.36 110.2 6 7 0 7.6 2.9 0.7
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Stat Review
How does Jose Quintana compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
2.32
 
K/9
8.2
 
BB/9
3.5
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
91.6 mph
 
ERA
4.03
 
WHIP
1.32
 
BABIP
.291
 
GB/FB
1.34
 
Strand %
74.1%
 
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Quintana has mostly been a prognosticator's dream. If you pencil him in for nine wins, a mid-3.00s ERA, 175 strikeouts and zero missed starts, you would be 90 percent of the way there. It was not until 2016 that Quintana finally broke the nine-win barrier, but 2017 was weird for him. Despite a career-best 26.2 percent strikeout rate, he posted a career-worst 4.15 ERA. He allowed one more home run than he had in 2016, but he worked 20 fewer innings thanks in part to a jump over to National League rules over the All-Star break. He threw seven shutout innings in his NL debut, but allowed three or more earned runs in seven of his other 13 outings with the Cubs. He will still enjoy good team defense and run support with Chicago, so keep the initial base projections but bump up the wins as 12 wins should be his realistic floor in 2018.
Quintana delivered another strong season of 200-plus innings, his fourth in a row. This time it finally resulted in more than nine wins -- a mark he'd been stuck on for three years running. He saw his home run rate inch upward, but maintained his solid strikeout and walk rates over a career-high 208 innings. He probably deserved even more than 13 wins, but he suffered an 0-7 record in a nine-start run from mid-May through June, during which he had five quality starts and only two real blowups. The only major change in approach from previous seasons was that he leaned on his fastball a career-high 66.5 percent of the time. Despite career bests in ERA and WHIP, there weren't enough gains from Quintana to believe it's some new level. He is a mid-3.00s ERA, 1.20s-WHIP pitcher, who is about as bankable of a 200-inning arm as is available.
Quintana is one of the more underrated pitchers in the American League. For the third consecutive season, he made more than 30 starts, threw more than 200 innings, and posted an ERA in the mid-3.00s. Most importantly for his home park, he keeps the ball out of the bleachers. Unfortunately for fantasy owners, he failed to reach double-digit wins, and he failed to strike out a batter per inning. He should serve as the rotation’s No. 2 starter (behind Chris Sale) to open the season. And at age 27, his best years may lie ahead.
Quintana had the best season of his three-year career in 2014 even though he failed to get to a double-digit win total. He served as a capable No. 2 in the rotation behind Chris Sale for the entire season, and was the only member of the staff to go over 200 innings. One point of concern; his 5.1% HR/FB rate was about half of his 10.3% mark from the previous two seasons, so his ERA could be on the move in 2015 if the rate reverts. He should serve as the team's No. 3 starter in the upcoming year, with Jeff Samardzija coming aboard in the offseason.
One season removed from signing with the White Sox as a minor league free agent, Quintana became a 200-inning horse in 2013. His 33 starts ranked fourth in the American League, but a lousy White Sox offense supported him to all of nine wins even though he struck out nearly three times as many batters as he walked. His repertoire primarily consists of a fastball, curveball, cutter and changeup, and he can throw those pitches equally effectively against right- and left-handed batters. None of his pitches are dominant offerings, but he was able to keep his ERA below 4.00 from his second start until the end of the season, and that is good enough to place him as the White Sox's No. 2 or 3 starter as 2014 opens.
The White Sox quietly stole Quintana away from the Yankees' organization in November, and he was in the White Sox's rotation by late May. He posted a 2.04 ERA over his first 10 appearances, but a failure to miss bats resulted in a .317 BAA and 5.32 ERA over his final 66 frames. He should have the inside track for a spot toward the back of the White Sox's rotation to open 2013, although his job security may lessen if John Danks returns healthy and Gavin Floyd remains in the organization.
The White Sox added Quintana to their 40-man roster in November after he had spent five seasons in the Mets and Yankees organizations. He has a career 1.166 WHIP in 251.1 career minor league innings, which is more impressive when you consider he posted a 4.11 BB/9IP over that stretch. He possesses some deceptive secondary pitches, which could make him effective as a starter or left-handed specialist in the majors. He should start 2012 at Double-A Birmingham, with the potential to make the 25-man roster in 2013.
More Fantasy News
Pitches five innings in no-decision
PChicago Cubs
October 1, 2018
Quintana (13-11) took the hill in Monday's loss to the Brewers and wound up with a no-decision. He went five innings and gave up one run on six hits while striking out six.
ANALYSIS
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Will start Monday's tiebreaker
PChicago Cubs
September 30, 2018
Quintana will start the tie-breaking Game 163 on Monday against the Brewers, Carrie Muskat of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Solid effort in no-decision
PChicago Cubs
September 27, 2018
Quintana didn't factor into the decision in Wednesday's 7-6 extra-inning win over the Pirates, allowing two runs on four hits over five innings while striking out four.
ANALYSIS
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Lit up by White Sox
PChicago Cubs
September 21, 2018
Quintana (13-11) allowed five runs on nine hits while striking out eight over five innings Friday, taking the loss against the White Sox.
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Falls to 13-10
PChicago Cubs
September 16, 2018
Quintana (13-10) took the loss against the Reds on Sunday, giving up two earned runs on five hits, striking out seven and walking three over five innings in the Cubs' 2-1 defeat.
ANALYSIS
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