David Dahl
David Dahl
24-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Colorado Rockies
2019 Fantasy Outlook
A stomach virus put Dahl on the shelf at Triple-A early on. After he turned the page on that issue, Dahl got the call up to Colorado, but he was only given part-time opportunities before a broken foot sidelined him for two months. He was a bit slow to get going following his return in August, but over the final week of the season, Dahl exploded for six homers and 15 RBI. With Gerardo Parra out of the way, there is finally what looks like a clear path to regular playing time for Dahl. In what amounts to close to a full season in the majors so far in his career (508 PA), Dahl has hit .293/.341/.518 with 23 homers and 10 stolen bases. It's easy to dream on what he could do in Colorado in 2019, if he can stay healthy. That's a fairly big "if," however; Dahl has also dealt with rib, back and hamstring issues as a pro, and he had his spleen removed after an outfield collision, totaling 400 PA only twice in the last six seasons. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a contract with the Rockies in June of 2012.
Cranks first spring homer
OFColorado Rockies
March 7, 2019
Dahl went 3-for-3 with a two-run home run Thursday against the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
Dahl clubbed a two-run homer in the third inning to tie the game, 3-3. He's now batting .318 with three RBI and four runs scored in spring training and the expectation is that he'll be the everyday starter in left field for the Rockies when the regular season commences.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+27%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+32%
OPS vs RHP
2017
No Stats
2016
 
 
+23%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .710 117 11 4 14 2 .268 .299 .411
Since 2016vs Right .904 391 62 19 58 8 .301 .353 .552
2018vs Left .695 66 6 4 11 1 .234 .258 .438
2018vs Right .914 205 25 12 37 4 .286 .346 .568
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Left .728 51 5 0 3 1 .313 .353 .375
2016vs Right .895 186 37 7 21 4 .316 .360 .534
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+36%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+76%
OPS at Home
2017
No Stats
2016
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .978 274 43 16 54 4 .332 .372 .605
Since 2016Away .717 234 30 7 18 6 .247 .303 .414
2018Home 1.051 154 22 13 39 1 .326 .364 .688
2018Away .597 117 9 3 9 4 .200 .274 .324
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Home .883 120 21 3 15 3 .339 .383 .500
2016Away .833 117 21 4 9 2 .291 .333 .500
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Stat Review
How does David Dahl compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.28
 
BB Rate
7.0%
 
K Rate
25.1%
 
BABIP
.311
 
ISO
.261
 
AVG
.273
 
OBP
.325
 
SLG
.534
 
OPS
.859
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Dahl burst onto the scene in 2016, slashing .315/.359/.500 with seven home runs and five stolen bases in 237 plate appearances following his promotion in late July. The toolsy outfielder was expected to be an impactful fantasy asset in his sophomore season, but those plans were derailed when Dahl suffered a stress reaction to his rib during spring training, causing him to miss a majority of the 2017 season. The 23-year-old was able to play in a handful of minor-league games later in the season but never made it back to the big leagues, as he was shut down with back spasms in early August. It was a frustrating, lost year for Dahl, but if he's able to enter the 2018 season at full health, he'll have the opportunity to work his way back into the Rockies' everyday lineup. There's undoubtedly risk involved with drafting Dahl, but he's shown that he can be a real fantasy difference maker when healthy.
After somewhat of a lost season in 2015, Dahl proved why he's so highly regarded with a strong 2016 campaign. He put on a show at Triple-A, earning a quick promotion to Colorado. Dahl held a full-time role as the Rockies' left fielder throughout the second half. Although he struck out in a quarter of his plate appearances, he easily hit enough to make up for the swing and miss, flashing impressive power as well as an ability to use all fields. Dahl could stand to improve his plate discipline -- he posted poor BB:K ratios in the minors -- but his home/road splits were marginal and thus highly encouraging. Further, while he didn't hit hit for much power against lefties (.375 SLG), Dahl managed a .313 average against southpaws, and the Coors Field factor would seem to give him a high floor as he enters his age-23 season. The added bonus here is the speed, but unfortunately, Dahl is expected to miss the start of the season after being diagnosed with a stress reaction in his ribs.
Injuries, particularly a lacerated spleen suffered during an outfield collision in late-May, limited what Dahl could accomplish in 2015. Excluding a brief rehab assignment, Dahl played just 73 games, all at Double-A and often at less than 100 percent health. His numbers (.278/.304/.417 with six homers and 22 steals) may look underwhelming, given his status as a top-50 prospect, but this can be seen as something of a throwaway season from an evaluation standpoint. His tools still resemble those of a true five-tool player, but his experience does not mirror that of his contemporaries from the 2012 draft, as injuries have sidelined him for almost half of his professional career. If he can stay relatively healthy in 2016, the rest of the ingredients are in place for him to prove himself to be a top-10 prospect for dynasty leagues by the end of the year.
Dahl seemed to get his development back on track last season after a hamstring injury limited him to just 10 games in 2013. He batted .309 with 10 homers and 18 stolen bases in 422 plate appearances at Low-A Asheville before earning a promotion to the California League in July. He wasn’t quite able to keep pace with those numbers at High-A Modesto, noticing a drop in his walk rate and an increased strikeout rate, but Dahl’s unique blend of speed, contact-hitting skills, defensive ranginess and improving power make him a prized commodity within the organization. And unlike many youthful lefty hitters, Dahl hasn’t shown any weakness against same-handed pitching, an attribute that when combined with his other tools, should put him on the trajectory for landing a regular role with the Rockies once he hits the big leagues. That likely won’t come until at least 2016, as Dahl will have to first master Modesto and the upper levels of the minors before the Rockies break him into their deep mix of outfielders.
A team-mandated suspension for an apparent lack of maturity and a hamstring injury suffered shortly thereafter amounted to a lost season for Dahl, who appeared in just 10 games for Low-A Asheville in 2013. Neither issue is expected to be a concern for Dahl entering the spring, but he’ll need to perform well at Asheville right away to validate the impressive marks he received from talent evaluators following his outstanding professional debut with rookie-level Grand Junction in 2012. Still just 19 years old, Dahl already possesses natural hitting skills and a keen understanding of the strike zone, with more power likely to come as he develops. Health permitting, expect Dahl to establish himself as one of the better lower-level outfield prospects in the minors.
Dahl, the 10th overall selection in the draft last June, had a smashing debut with rookie-level Grand Junction last season, producing a .379/.423/.625 line while displaying a potent combination of power and speed. While one should avoid reading too much into any player's rookie-level performance, Dahl's skill set has nonetheless yielded comparisons to Johnny Damon, with his future likely in center field. Dahl should begin the season at Low-A and could climb up top prospect lists if he continues to find the lower minors unchallenging.
More Fantasy News
Expected to start in left field
OFColorado Rockies
February 18, 2019
Dahl will be the Rockies' primary left fielder this season, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Projected starter for 2019
OFColorado Rockies
October 30, 2018
With the Rockies turning down their club option on Gerardo Parra, which was expected, right now they only have Dahl and Charlie Blackmon as primary outfielders returning for 2019, Patrick Saunders of the Denver Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Held out Sunday
OFColorado Rockies
October 7, 2018
Dahl is not in the lineup for Game 3 of the NLDS against the Brewers, Kyle Newman of The Denver Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Absent from Friday's lineup
OFColorado Rockies
October 5, 2018
Dahl is not in the starting nine for Game 2 of the NLDS against Milwaukee on Friday, Jenny Cavnar of AT&T SportsNet reports.
ANALYSIS
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Homers, triples in Thursday's win
OFColorado Rockies
September 27, 2018
Dahl went 2-for-4 with a triple, a home run and two RBI in Thursday's victory over the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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