David Dahl
David Dahl
26-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Colorado Rockies
60-Day IL
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 2/1/2021
2020 Fantasy Outlook
The oft-injured Dahl began 2019 as Colorado's starting left fielder but made it through only 10 games before landing on the injured list with an abdominal issue. He returned after a minimum stay and put up solid production until a right ankle sprain in early August wiped out the final two months of his season. When healthy, Dahl posted a solid .364 wOBA in 413 plate appearances and, on the surface, looked like a complete hitter. However, a deeper dive into his numbers raises some red flags as his .386 BABIP is likely unsustainable and his 26.6 K% was the fourth-highest among batters who hit over .300 (minimum 300 plate appearances). Dahl's home/road splits also suggest an extreme Coors Field advantage; he slashed .349/.402/.598 at home and a pedestrian .254/.302/.449 on the road. Dahl is clearly a capable hitter, but it is sensible to temper expectations and expect some regression next season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#148
ADP
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$Agreed to a one-year, $2.475 million deal with the Rockies in January of 2020.
Placed on 45-day injured list
OFColorado Rockies
Shoulder
September 23, 2020
Dahl was placed on the 45-day injured list with a right shoulder strain Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Dahl wasn't in the lineup over the past two games, and he'll be sidelined for the remainder of the regular season due to his shoulder injury. The 26-year-old only appeared in 24 games during the abbreviated 2020 season while battling injuries, and he struggled while slashing .183/.222/.247 with four extra-base hits and nine RBI. He'll now shift his focus toward preparing for spring training in 2021, while Kevin Pillar and Sam Hilliard could take over in center field over the final several games of the regular season.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
9
1
1
3
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
1
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+59%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+4%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+32%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .755 225 31 7 27 1 .269 .302 .453
Since 2018vs Right .844 558 76 24 91 9 .280 .336 .508
2020vs Left .338 33 5 0 1 0 .156 .182 .156
2020vs Right .538 66 4 0 8 1 .197 .242 .295
2019vs Left .900 126 20 3 15 0 .319 .357 .543
2019vs Right .866 287 47 12 46 4 .295 .351 .516
2018vs Left .695 66 6 4 11 1 .234 .258 .438
2018vs Right .914 205 25 12 37 4 .286 .346 .568
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+36%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+42%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+33%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+76%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .927 429 72 22 75 4 .311 .355 .572
Since 2018Away .684 354 35 9 43 6 .234 .292 .393
2020Home .410 65 7 0 5 0 .161 .185 .226
2020Away .584 34 2 0 4 1 .226 .294 .290
2019Home 1.000 210 43 9 31 3 .349 .402 .598
2019Away .751 203 24 6 30 1 .254 .302 .449
2018Home 1.051 154 22 13 39 1 .326 .364 .688
2018Away .597 117 9 3 9 4 .200 .274 .324
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Stat Review
How does David Dahl compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.14
 
BB Rate
4.0%
 
K Rate
28.3%
 
BABIP
.258
 
ISO
.065
 
AVG
.183
 
OBP
.222
 
SLG
.247
 
OPS
.470
 
wOBA
.210
 
Exit Velocity
81.3 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
28.8%
 
Barrels/PA
2.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
A stomach virus put Dahl on the shelf at Triple-A early on. After he turned the page on that issue, Dahl got the call up to Colorado, but he was only given part-time opportunities before a broken foot sidelined him for two months. He was a bit slow to get going following his return in August, but over the final week of the season, Dahl exploded for six homers and 15 RBI. With Gerardo Parra out of the way, there is finally what looks like a clear path to regular playing time for Dahl. In what amounts to close to a full season in the majors so far in his career (508 PA), Dahl has hit .293/.341/.518 with 23 homers and 10 stolen bases. It's easy to dream on what he could do in Colorado in 2019, if he can stay healthy. That's a fairly big "if," however; Dahl has also dealt with rib, back and hamstring issues as a pro, and he had his spleen removed after an outfield collision, totaling 400 PA only twice in the last six seasons.
Dahl burst onto the scene in 2016, slashing .315/.359/.500 with seven home runs and five stolen bases in 237 plate appearances following his promotion in late July. The toolsy outfielder was expected to be an impactful fantasy asset in his sophomore season, but those plans were derailed when Dahl suffered a stress reaction to his rib during spring training, causing him to miss a majority of the 2017 season. The 23-year-old was able to play in a handful of minor-league games later in the season but never made it back to the big leagues, as he was shut down with back spasms in early August. It was a frustrating, lost year for Dahl, but if he's able to enter the 2018 season at full health, he'll have the opportunity to work his way back into the Rockies' everyday lineup. There's undoubtedly risk involved with drafting Dahl, but he's shown that he can be a real fantasy difference maker when healthy.
After somewhat of a lost season in 2015, Dahl proved why he's so highly regarded with a strong 2016 campaign. He put on a show at Triple-A, earning a quick promotion to Colorado. Dahl held a full-time role as the Rockies' left fielder throughout the second half. Although he struck out in a quarter of his plate appearances, he easily hit enough to make up for the swing and miss, flashing impressive power as well as an ability to use all fields. Dahl could stand to improve his plate discipline -- he posted poor BB:K ratios in the minors -- but his home/road splits were marginal and thus highly encouraging. Further, while he didn't hit hit for much power against lefties (.375 SLG), Dahl managed a .313 average against southpaws, and the Coors Field factor would seem to give him a high floor as he enters his age-23 season. The added bonus here is the speed, but unfortunately, Dahl is expected to miss the start of the season after being diagnosed with a stress reaction in his ribs.
Injuries, particularly a lacerated spleen suffered during an outfield collision in late-May, limited what Dahl could accomplish in 2015. Excluding a brief rehab assignment, Dahl played just 73 games, all at Double-A and often at less than 100 percent health. His numbers (.278/.304/.417 with six homers and 22 steals) may look underwhelming, given his status as a top-50 prospect, but this can be seen as something of a throwaway season from an evaluation standpoint. His tools still resemble those of a true five-tool player, but his experience does not mirror that of his contemporaries from the 2012 draft, as injuries have sidelined him for almost half of his professional career. If he can stay relatively healthy in 2016, the rest of the ingredients are in place for him to prove himself to be a top-10 prospect for dynasty leagues by the end of the year.
Dahl seemed to get his development back on track last season after a hamstring injury limited him to just 10 games in 2013. He batted .309 with 10 homers and 18 stolen bases in 422 plate appearances at Low-A Asheville before earning a promotion to the California League in July. He wasn’t quite able to keep pace with those numbers at High-A Modesto, noticing a drop in his walk rate and an increased strikeout rate, but Dahl’s unique blend of speed, contact-hitting skills, defensive ranginess and improving power make him a prized commodity within the organization. And unlike many youthful lefty hitters, Dahl hasn’t shown any weakness against same-handed pitching, an attribute that when combined with his other tools, should put him on the trajectory for landing a regular role with the Rockies once he hits the big leagues. That likely won’t come until at least 2016, as Dahl will have to first master Modesto and the upper levels of the minors before the Rockies break him into their deep mix of outfielders.
A team-mandated suspension for an apparent lack of maturity and a hamstring injury suffered shortly thereafter amounted to a lost season for Dahl, who appeared in just 10 games for Low-A Asheville in 2013. Neither issue is expected to be a concern for Dahl entering the spring, but he’ll need to perform well at Asheville right away to validate the impressive marks he received from talent evaluators following his outstanding professional debut with rookie-level Grand Junction in 2012. Still just 19 years old, Dahl already possesses natural hitting skills and a keen understanding of the strike zone, with more power likely to come as he develops. Health permitting, expect Dahl to establish himself as one of the better lower-level outfield prospects in the minors.
Dahl, the 10th overall selection in the draft last June, had a smashing debut with rookie-level Grand Junction last season, producing a .379/.423/.625 line while displaying a potent combination of power and speed. While one should avoid reading too much into any player's rookie-level performance, Dahl's skill set has nonetheless yielded comparisons to Johnny Damon, with his future likely in center field. Dahl should begin the season at Low-A and could climb up top prospect lists if he continues to find the lower minors unchallenging.
More Fantasy News
Sitting again Tuesday
OFColorado Rockies
September 22, 2020
Dahl is not in the lineup Tuesday against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Takes seat Monday
OFColorado Rockies
September 21, 2020
Dahl isn't in Monday's lineup against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Remains on bench
OFColorado Rockies
September 11, 2020
Dahl sits for the second straight game Friday against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Reinstated from injured list
OFColorado Rockies
September 9, 2020
Dahl (back) was reinstated from the 10-day injured list Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Nearing return
OFColorado Rockies
Back
August 26, 2020
Manager Bud Black said Dahl (back) is close to returning, Patrick Saunders of The Denver Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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