David Dahl
David Dahl
27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Texas Rangers
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Dahl got off to a poor start to begin the 2020 season, and the injury bug bit him once again, as he dealt with back and shoulder injuries over the second half of the year. He's expected to be ready for spring training after undergoing shoulder surgery in late September, but durability has been a major concern for Dahl in recent years. While he tempered his availability issues with solid play in the past, he struggled in 2020. He failed to hit any home runs while slashing .183/.222/.247 over 24 games, and he had a 28.8% hard-hit rate, the first time the mark fell below 30% in his career. He also plummeted to a .210 wOBA and .064 ISO during the abbreviated season. Dahl will no longer have the advantage of playing his home games at Coors Field after being non-tendered by the Rockies. The 26-year-old did land a one-year deal with the Rangers, but even if he's healthy he isn't guaranteed a starting role. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#341
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2.7 million contract with the Rangers in December of 2020.
Has RBI, outfield assist in loss
OFTexas Rangers
July 22, 2021
Dahl started in left field and went 1-for-3 with a double and an RBI in Wednesday's 4-2 loss to Detroit.
ANALYSIS
Per usual, Dahl was in the lineup against a right-hander. In addition to the RBI, he also threw a runner out at home trying to score from second base on a single. Dahl is caught up in the outfield/DH shuffle and isn't playing every day.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
7
3
22
7
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
5
1
6
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+19%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+131%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+59%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+4%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .650 220 27 3 17 0 .235 .277 .373
Since 2019vs Right .776 501 68 16 70 7 .273 .319 .456
2021vs Left .307 61 2 0 1 0 .107 .164 .143
2021vs Right .710 148 17 4 16 2 .266 .293 .417
2020vs Left .338 33 5 0 1 0 .156 .182 .156
2020vs Right .538 66 4 0 8 1 .197 .242 .295
2019vs Left .900 126 20 3 15 0 .319 .357 .543
2019vs Right .866 287 47 12 46 4 .295 .351 .516
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+19%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+42%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+33%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .775 367 57 10 43 3 .280 .321 .454
Since 2019Away .697 354 38 9 44 4 .241 .292 .406
2021Home .538 92 7 1 7 0 .216 .231 .307
2021Away .638 117 12 3 10 2 .224 .274 .364
2020Home .410 65 7 0 5 0 .161 .185 .226
2020Away .584 34 2 0 4 1 .226 .294 .290
2019Home 1.000 210 43 9 31 3 .349 .402 .598
2019Away .751 203 24 6 30 1 .254 .302 .449
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Stat Review
How does David Dahl compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.16
 
BB Rate
4.3%
 
K Rate
27.3%
 
BABIP
.285
 
ISO
.118
 
AVG
.221
 
OBP
.255
 
SLG
.338
 
OPS
.593
 
wOBA
.261
 
Exit Velocity
81.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
32.4%
 
Barrels/PA
6.2%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
The oft-injured Dahl began 2019 as Colorado's starting left fielder but made it through only 10 games before landing on the injured list with an abdominal issue. He returned after a minimum stay and put up solid production until a right ankle sprain in early August wiped out the final two months of his season. When healthy, Dahl posted a solid .364 wOBA in 413 plate appearances and, on the surface, looked like a complete hitter. However, a deeper dive into his numbers raises some red flags as his .386 BABIP is likely unsustainable and his 26.6 K% was the fourth-highest among batters who hit over .300 (minimum 300 plate appearances). Dahl's home/road splits also suggest an extreme Coors Field advantage; he slashed .349/.402/.598 at home and a pedestrian .254/.302/.449 on the road. Dahl is clearly a capable hitter, but it is sensible to temper expectations and expect some regression next season.
A stomach virus put Dahl on the shelf at Triple-A early on. After he turned the page on that issue, Dahl got the call up to Colorado, but he was only given part-time opportunities before a broken foot sidelined him for two months. He was a bit slow to get going following his return in August, but over the final week of the season, Dahl exploded for six homers and 15 RBI. With Gerardo Parra out of the way, there is finally what looks like a clear path to regular playing time for Dahl. In what amounts to close to a full season in the majors so far in his career (508 PA), Dahl has hit .293/.341/.518 with 23 homers and 10 stolen bases. It's easy to dream on what he could do in Colorado in 2019, if he can stay healthy. That's a fairly big "if," however; Dahl has also dealt with rib, back and hamstring issues as a pro, and he had his spleen removed after an outfield collision, totaling 400 PA only twice in the last six seasons.
Dahl burst onto the scene in 2016, slashing .315/.359/.500 with seven home runs and five stolen bases in 237 plate appearances following his promotion in late July. The toolsy outfielder was expected to be an impactful fantasy asset in his sophomore season, but those plans were derailed when Dahl suffered a stress reaction to his rib during spring training, causing him to miss a majority of the 2017 season. The 23-year-old was able to play in a handful of minor-league games later in the season but never made it back to the big leagues, as he was shut down with back spasms in early August. It was a frustrating, lost year for Dahl, but if he's able to enter the 2018 season at full health, he'll have the opportunity to work his way back into the Rockies' everyday lineup. There's undoubtedly risk involved with drafting Dahl, but he's shown that he can be a real fantasy difference maker when healthy.
After somewhat of a lost season in 2015, Dahl proved why he's so highly regarded with a strong 2016 campaign. He put on a show at Triple-A, earning a quick promotion to Colorado. Dahl held a full-time role as the Rockies' left fielder throughout the second half. Although he struck out in a quarter of his plate appearances, he easily hit enough to make up for the swing and miss, flashing impressive power as well as an ability to use all fields. Dahl could stand to improve his plate discipline -- he posted poor BB:K ratios in the minors -- but his home/road splits were marginal and thus highly encouraging. Further, while he didn't hit hit for much power against lefties (.375 SLG), Dahl managed a .313 average against southpaws, and the Coors Field factor would seem to give him a high floor as he enters his age-23 season. The added bonus here is the speed, but unfortunately, Dahl is expected to miss the start of the season after being diagnosed with a stress reaction in his ribs.
Injuries, particularly a lacerated spleen suffered during an outfield collision in late-May, limited what Dahl could accomplish in 2015. Excluding a brief rehab assignment, Dahl played just 73 games, all at Double-A and often at less than 100 percent health. His numbers (.278/.304/.417 with six homers and 22 steals) may look underwhelming, given his status as a top-50 prospect, but this can be seen as something of a throwaway season from an evaluation standpoint. His tools still resemble those of a true five-tool player, but his experience does not mirror that of his contemporaries from the 2012 draft, as injuries have sidelined him for almost half of his professional career. If he can stay relatively healthy in 2016, the rest of the ingredients are in place for him to prove himself to be a top-10 prospect for dynasty leagues by the end of the year.
Dahl seemed to get his development back on track last season after a hamstring injury limited him to just 10 games in 2013. He batted .309 with 10 homers and 18 stolen bases in 422 plate appearances at Low-A Asheville before earning a promotion to the California League in July. He wasn’t quite able to keep pace with those numbers at High-A Modesto, noticing a drop in his walk rate and an increased strikeout rate, but Dahl’s unique blend of speed, contact-hitting skills, defensive ranginess and improving power make him a prized commodity within the organization. And unlike many youthful lefty hitters, Dahl hasn’t shown any weakness against same-handed pitching, an attribute that when combined with his other tools, should put him on the trajectory for landing a regular role with the Rockies once he hits the big leagues. That likely won’t come until at least 2016, as Dahl will have to first master Modesto and the upper levels of the minors before the Rockies break him into their deep mix of outfielders.
A team-mandated suspension for an apparent lack of maturity and a hamstring injury suffered shortly thereafter amounted to a lost season for Dahl, who appeared in just 10 games for Low-A Asheville in 2013. Neither issue is expected to be a concern for Dahl entering the spring, but he’ll need to perform well at Asheville right away to validate the impressive marks he received from talent evaluators following his outstanding professional debut with rookie-level Grand Junction in 2012. Still just 19 years old, Dahl already possesses natural hitting skills and a keen understanding of the strike zone, with more power likely to come as he develops. Health permitting, expect Dahl to establish himself as one of the better lower-level outfield prospects in the minors.
Dahl, the 10th overall selection in the draft last June, had a smashing debut with rookie-level Grand Junction last season, producing a .379/.423/.625 line while displaying a potent combination of power and speed. While one should avoid reading too much into any player's rookie-level performance, Dahl's skill set has nonetheless yielded comparisons to Johnny Damon, with his future likely in center field. Dahl should begin the season at Low-A and could climb up top prospect lists if he continues to find the lower minors unchallenging.
More Fantasy News
Absent from Tuesday's lineup
OFTexas Rangers
July 20, 2021
Dahl is not in the starting lineup for Tuesday's game against the Tigers, Levi Weaver of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out for second half of doubleheader
OFTexas Rangers
July 18, 2021
Dahl is out of the lineup for the second half of Sunday's doubleheader with the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting against lefty
OFTexas Rangers
July 16, 2021
Dahl is not starting Friday against the Blue Jays and left-hander Robbie Ray.
ANALYSIS
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Three-hit day
OFTexas Rangers
July 12, 2021
Dahl went 3-for-4 with a run scored in Sunday's 4-1 loss to the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting against lefty
OFTexas Rangers
July 9, 2021
Dahl is not in the starting lineup Friday against the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
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