Hunter Renfroe
Hunter Renfroe
29-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Boston Red Sox
2021 Fantasy Outlook
The Rays going 0-for-the-World Series around the Randy Arozarena homers put the spotlight on the terrible early returns on their deal for Renfroe. Rather than pay Tommy Pham what he had coming in arbitration or give Jake Cronenworth a chance in Tampa Bay, both were sent packing for Renfroe and prospect Xavier Edwards. Renfroe was horrendous in Tampa Bay outside of the occasional massive homer off a lefty pitcher. The club used him in a platoon capacity, but as Eastern Division foes lost lefties to injuries, Renfroe's playing time declined. The swing is long, and when it rests, it has a tough time waking up. Boston is hoping that changes in 2021 after signing him to provide help against lefties. Renfroe's flyball-plus-pull-heavy approach in Fenway may entice you to reach, but a few dominoes need to fall for him to play every day. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#436
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $3.1 million contract with the Red Sox in December of 2020.
Signs with Boston
OFBoston Red Sox
December 14, 2020
Renfroe signed a one-year, $3.1 million contract with the Red Sox on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Renfroe reached the World Series with the Rays last season but was designated for assignment in November after posting a disappointing .156/.252/.393 slash line. How exactly he fits into Boston's outfield plans won't become entirely clear until the conclusion of the offseason, but he should at least be able to carve out a role against lefties. He's a career .258/.339/.573 hitter against southpaws, but his .216/.268/.449 career line against righties makes it tough to rely on him as an everyday option.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
3
9
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
4
5
2
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+36%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+24%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .844 355 45 24 47 3 .234 .318 .526
Since 2018vs Right .744 708 89 43 106 6 .217 .277 .467
2020vs Left .806 51 8 5 8 0 .146 .294 .512
2020vs Right .591 77 9 3 13 2 .157 .234 .357
2019vs Left .906 133 20 11 19 1 .239 .331 .575
2019vs Right .733 361 44 22 45 4 .208 .274 .459
2018vs Left .809 171 17 8 20 2 .253 .316 .494
2018vs Right .803 270 36 18 48 0 .245 .293 .510
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .791 491 70 32 74 2 .210 .299 .492
Since 2018Away .755 579 65 35 79 7 .229 .280 .476
2020Home .679 67 11 5 10 1 .125 .269 .411
2020Away .592 68 7 3 11 1 .161 .221 .371
2019Home .750 214 28 14 29 1 .193 .285 .465
2019Away .799 280 36 19 35 4 .233 .293 .506
2018Home .867 210 31 13 35 0 .253 .324 .543
2018Away .751 231 22 13 33 2 .244 .281 .470
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Stat Review
How does Hunter Renfroe compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.38
 
BB Rate
10.1%
 
K Rate
26.6%
 
BABIP
.141
 
ISO
.238
 
AVG
.156
 
OBP
.252
 
SLG
.393
 
OPS
.645
 
wOBA
.280
 
Exit Velocity
84.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
34.9%
 
Barrels/PA
5.8%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Hunter Renfroe
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Renfroe's 2019 campaign was a drastic contrast between two halves. He cracked 27 home runs before the All-Star break, tied for fifth in the majors. The second half was a different story, however, as he hit a paltry .161 and swatted only six long balls. Injuries played a major part in his slide; he was dogged with various ailments throughout the latter part of the season. His 31.2 K% and 71.4% contact rate were both far below league average, yet he posted the highest walk rate (9.3%) and ISO (.273) of his career. This offseason, the Rays shipped Tommy Pham and a good prospect to San Diego for Renfroe and a great prospect. Part of the real-life appeal is that he was worth 22 defensive runs saved last year (elite) and can play all three outfield spots. His career splits (139 wRC+ against LHP, 90 wRC+ against RHP) could lead to the platoon-happy Rays handing Renfroe his fewest PA since his rookie season.
The 2018 version of Renfroe was, in many ways, much like the 2017 version. The home-run and run production look almost like mirror images, but there were some gains below the surface. Renfroe cut down on the swing and miss while increasing his Isolated Power and overall offensive production. Eighteen of his 26 home runs came against righties and he lifted his .202/.244/.393 slash line against righties from 2017 to .245/.293/.510 in 2018. Do not buy into the “age 27” theory talk you may hear elsewhere as much as the fact Renfroe is heading into his third full season and has thus far shown tangible progress with his offensive profile. Thirty homers in 2019 looks like a foregone conclusion based on the trends, and we cannot rule out a push for 40 with more playing time and some HR/FB variance.
In the era of the three true outcomes, Renfroe is more of an either/or: strikeout or homer. As a 25-year-old rookie, Renfroe walked just 5.6 percent of the time after posting a 3.9 percent walk rate at Triple-A El Paso in 2016 (22 walks in 563 plate appearances). The power is real, but it isn't quite elite -- Renfroe had a 7.1 Brls/PA, .467 xSLG and 24.2 xHR. Meanwhile, Renfroe chased roughly one-third of the pitches he saw out of the strike zone and fanned 29.2 percent of the time overall. He did most of his damage against lefties, struggling to an ugly .202/.244/.393 line against same-handed pitching. Making matters worse, Renfroe was also a net negative on defense. Players have to do more than one thing well to stick around at the big-league level, and right now, Renfroe is a one-dimensional player. He will have to compete for time in left field with Wil Myers moving to right.
Renfroe swatted a career-best 34 homers in 2016, with 30 of those long balls coming at Triple-A El Paso before a late-September call to San Diego. Considering the lack of power in the Padres' lineup throughout the season, it's somewhat surprising that he wasn't added to the mix sooner, but a second-half fade in the minors (.734 OPS) after a strong first half (.973) may have been the culprit. In addition to a drop-off in offensive production, Renfroe struck out at a much higher clip in the second half (20.4 strikeout percentage overall), and he failed to walk frequently throughout the season (3.9 walk percentage at Triple-A, 2.8 in 11 games with San Diego), raising questions about his eye and plate coverage. With plus power, Renfroe should have a place in the Padres' outfield to open 2017, but he possesses significant downside in the batting average department despite earning Pacific Coast League MVP honors at El Paso last season. In the late rounds of fantasy drafts, of course, reward outweighs risk when it comes to mashers of this potential caliber.
In two full seasons of professional baseball, Renfroe has two 20-homer seasons. After blasting 14 in the tough Double-A Texas League, Renfroe earned a late-season promotion to Triple-A El Paso, where he hit six home runs and posted a .333/.358/.633 line in 21 games. Renfroe’s raw power is his best tool, and it could get him to the majors early in 2016. The question will be if Renfroe can make enough contact to let his power sing. He has struck out 338 times in 1,421 professional plate appearances, a 23.8 percent strikeout rate. That has kept his minor league batting average down to .270 and will put an even lower ceiling on his major league batting average if he can’t improve. Renfroe hit just .250 in parts of two seasons at Double-A, a sign of the improvement he has to make before becoming a major leaguer.
Renfroe's 2014 campaign was split nearly evenly between High-A Lake Elsinore and Double-A San Antonio, but his numbers post promotion featured a .660 OPS after he punished Cal League pitching at a .935 clip. One particularly encouraging sign is that Renfroe showed improved plate discipline following the promotion, and it may not be long before he's ready to contribute in San Diego. Although he finished the season as RotoWire's 27th ranked prospect, Renfroe seems to get overlooked by some owners due to his future home park in San Diego. As a right-handed bat with pop to all fields, the cavernous nature of Petco Park won't be as damaging to his production as it is for left-handed hitters. Renfroe and Rymer Liriano appear to be the long-term future at the corner-outfield spots for the Padres, but the additions of Matt Kemp and Justin Upton in the offseason have clouded things a bit.
After leading Mississippi State to its first championship round at last year's College World Series, Renfroe immediately reported to short-season Eugene for a productive 25-game stay, before the Padres moved him to Low-A Fort Wayne to conclude the season. His batting line (.212/.268/.379) at the latter location left something to be desired, but in a small sample size, he still put up two home runs, five doubles, seven RBI, and six runs in 66 at-bats. Following spring training, the minor league ride of the 2013 first-round pick will likely start off in Fort Wayne.
More Fantasy News
Let go by Rays
OFFree Agent
November 25, 2020
Renfroe cleared waivers and became an unrestricted free agent Wednesday, John Romano of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Designated for assigment
OFTampa Bay Rays
November 20, 2020
Renfroe was designated for assignment Friday, Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hits grand slam in clincher
OFTampa Bay Rays
October 1, 2020
Renfroe launched a grand slam in Wednesday's Game 2 win over the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Launches eighth homer
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 17, 2020
Renfroe went 1-for-2 with a solo home run, a walk and another run scored in a win over the Orioles in the second game of Thursday's doubleheader.
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Cranks seventh homer
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 10, 2020
Renfroe went 1-for-3 with a solo home run Thursday against the Red Sox.
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