Hunter Renfroe
Hunter Renfroe
27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
San Diego Padres
2019 Fantasy Outlook
The 2018 version of Renfroe was, in many ways, much like the 2017 version. The home-run and run production look almost like mirror images, but there were some gains below the surface. Renfroe cut down on the swing and miss while increasing his Isolated Power and overall offensive production. Eighteen of his 26 home runs came against righties and he lifted his .202/.244/.393 slash line against righties from 2017 to .245/.293/.510 in 2018. Do not buy into the “age 27” theory talk you may hear elsewhere as much as the fact Renfroe is heading into his third full season and has thus far shown tangible progress with his offensive profile. Thirty homers in 2019 looks like a foregone conclusion based on the trends, and we cannot rule out a push for 40 with more playing time and some HR/FB variance. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $535,900 contract with the Padres in March of 2017.
Cranks three-run homer
OFSan Diego Padres
May 19, 2019
Renfroe went 2-for-4 with a three-run home run in the Padres' 6-4 loss to the Pirates on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
Renfroe has snapped an 0-for-13 skid with two straight multi-hit performances and was able to launch his 11th long ball of the season in this contest with a seventh-inning, three-run blast off Joe Musgrove. His .240 batting average is right about in line with his career mark of .243, but Renfroe is providing strong early returns in terms of power, as he's roped nine doubles and a triple in addition to the 11 homers, leaving with him with an excellent .581 slugging percentage.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
8
14
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
5
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+25%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+5%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+69%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .913 332 37 21 49 4 .276 .340 .572
Since 2017vs Right .729 728 83 42 100 3 .223 .266 .463
2019vs Left .810 31 4 2 3 0 .241 .258 .552
2019vs Right .848 109 12 9 20 2 .233 .275 .573
2018vs Left .809 171 17 8 20 2 .253 .316 .494
2018vs Right .803 270 36 18 48 0 .245 .293 .510
2017vs Left 1.077 130 16 11 26 2 .316 .392 .684
2017vs Right .636 349 35 15 32 1 .202 .244 .393
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .830 505 66 33 85 2 .243 .301 .529
Since 2017Away .746 555 54 30 64 5 .235 .279 .466
2019Home .900 64 9 6 13 1 .270 .281 .619
2019Away .785 76 7 5 10 1 .203 .263 .522
2018Home .867 210 31 13 35 0 .253 .324 .543
2018Away .751 231 22 13 33 2 .244 .281 .470
2017Home .776 231 26 14 37 1 .226 .286 .491
2017Away .729 248 25 12 21 2 .236 .282 .446
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Stat Review
How does Hunter Renfroe compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 100 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.18
 
BB Rate
4.9%
 
K Rate
26.6%
 
BABIP
.230
 
ISO
.326
 
AVG
.230
 
OBP
.266
 
SLG
.556
 
OPS
.821
 
wOBA
.356
 
Exit Velocity
91.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
49.0%
 
Barrels/PA
7.3%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Hunter Renfroe
FanDuel MLB: Saturday Breakdown
4 days ago
Chris Bennett recommends a Braves stack featuring Freddie Freeman, as he’s gone deep in consecutive games and also carries a stable .395 wOBA against righties.
The Z Files: Second Chances
12 days ago
Todd Zola looks at the pre and post-Memorial Day hitting leaderboards from 2018 to examine how much fortunes can change over the rest of the season, as they did last year for Max Muncy.
DraftKings MLB: Friday Picks
12 days ago
For Friday’s slate, Chris Bennett recommends a Phillies stack featuring a raking Rhys Hoskins against Royals pitcher Homer Bailey.
FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Breakdown
21 days ago
Kevin Payne checks out Wednesday's action and thinks Corey Kluber's matchup with Miami makes him the best of the three aces available on the slate.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
22 days ago
Jesse Siegel highlights the risers and fallers in the minors, and none has seen his stock rise as much as Grayson Rodriguez in the early part of the season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
In the era of the three true outcomes, Renfroe is more of an either/or: strikeout or homer. As a 25-year-old rookie, Renfroe walked just 5.6 percent of the time after posting a 3.9 percent walk rate at Triple-A El Paso in 2016 (22 walks in 563 plate appearances). The power is real, but it isn't quite elite -- Renfroe had a 7.1 Brls/PA, .467 xSLG and 24.2 xHR. Meanwhile, Renfroe chased roughly one-third of the pitches he saw out of the strike zone and fanned 29.2 percent of the time overall. He did most of his damage against lefties, struggling to an ugly .202/.244/.393 line against same-handed pitching. Making matters worse, Renfroe was also a net negative on defense. Players have to do more than one thing well to stick around at the big-league level, and right now, Renfroe is a one-dimensional player. He will have to compete for time in left field with Wil Myers moving to right.
Renfroe swatted a career-best 34 homers in 2016, with 30 of those long balls coming at Triple-A El Paso before a late-September call to San Diego. Considering the lack of power in the Padres' lineup throughout the season, it's somewhat surprising that he wasn't added to the mix sooner, but a second-half fade in the minors (.734 OPS) after a strong first half (.973) may have been the culprit. In addition to a drop-off in offensive production, Renfroe struck out at a much higher clip in the second half (20.4 strikeout percentage overall), and he failed to walk frequently throughout the season (3.9 walk percentage at Triple-A, 2.8 in 11 games with San Diego), raising questions about his eye and plate coverage. With plus power, Renfroe should have a place in the Padres' outfield to open 2017, but he possesses significant downside in the batting average department despite earning Pacific Coast League MVP honors at El Paso last season. In the late rounds of fantasy drafts, of course, reward outweighs risk when it comes to mashers of this potential caliber.
In two full seasons of professional baseball, Renfroe has two 20-homer seasons. After blasting 14 in the tough Double-A Texas League, Renfroe earned a late-season promotion to Triple-A El Paso, where he hit six home runs and posted a .333/.358/.633 line in 21 games. Renfroe’s raw power is his best tool, and it could get him to the majors early in 2016. The question will be if Renfroe can make enough contact to let his power sing. He has struck out 338 times in 1,421 professional plate appearances, a 23.8 percent strikeout rate. That has kept his minor league batting average down to .270 and will put an even lower ceiling on his major league batting average if he can’t improve. Renfroe hit just .250 in parts of two seasons at Double-A, a sign of the improvement he has to make before becoming a major leaguer.
Renfroe's 2014 campaign was split nearly evenly between High-A Lake Elsinore and Double-A San Antonio, but his numbers post promotion featured a .660 OPS after he punished Cal League pitching at a .935 clip. One particularly encouraging sign is that Renfroe showed improved plate discipline following the promotion, and it may not be long before he's ready to contribute in San Diego. Although he finished the season as RotoWire's 27th ranked prospect, Renfroe seems to get overlooked by some owners due to his future home park in San Diego. As a right-handed bat with pop to all fields, the cavernous nature of Petco Park won't be as damaging to his production as it is for left-handed hitters. Renfroe and Rymer Liriano appear to be the long-term future at the corner-outfield spots for the Padres, but the additions of Matt Kemp and Justin Upton in the offseason have clouded things a bit.
After leading Mississippi State to its first championship round at last year's College World Series, Renfroe immediately reported to short-season Eugene for a productive 25-game stay, before the Padres moved him to Low-A Fort Wayne to conclude the season. His batting line (.212/.268/.379) at the latter location left something to be desired, but in a small sample size, he still put up two home runs, five doubles, seven RBI, and six runs in 66 at-bats. Following spring training, the minor league ride of the 2013 first-round pick will likely start off in Fort Wayne.
More Fantasy News
Retreats to bench
OFSan Diego Padres
May 16, 2019
Renfroe is not in the lineup Thursday against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Power binge continues
OFSan Diego Padres
May 9, 2019
Renfroe went went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in Wednesday's 3-2 win over the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Swats eighth homer
OFSan Diego Padres
May 7, 2019
Renfroe went 2-for-4 with a double and a solo home run in Monday's 4-0 win over the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Drills walkoff grand slam
OFSan Diego Padres
May 5, 2019
Renfroe hit a pinch-hit grand slam in the ninth inning of Sunday's 8-5 win over the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting out Sunday
OFSan Diego Padres
May 5, 2019
Renfroe is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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