Hunter Renfroe
Hunter Renfroe
26-Year-Old OutfielderOF
San Diego Padres
2018 Fantasy Outlook
In the era of the three true outcomes, Renfroe is more of an either/or: strikeout or homer. As a 25-year-old rookie, Renfroe walked just 5.6 percent of the time after posting a 3.9 percent walk rate at Triple-A El Paso in 2016 (22 walks in 563 plate appearances). The power is real, but it isn't quite elite -- Renfroe had a 7.1 Brls/PA, .467 xSLG and 24.2 xHR. Meanwhile, Renfroe chased roughly one-third of the pitches he saw out of the strike zone and fanned 29.2 percent of the time overall. He did most of his damage against lefties, struggling to an ugly .202/.244/.393 line against same-handed pitching. Making matters worse, Renfroe was also a net negative on defense. Players have to do more than one thing well to stick around at the big-league level, and right now, Renfroe is a one-dimensional player. He will have to compete for time in left field with Wil Myers moving to right. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $535,900 contract with the Padres in March of 2017.
Thriving in everyday role
OFSan Diego Padres
September 17, 2018
Renfroe went 1-for-4 with his 23rd home run of the season in Sunday's win over Texas.
ANALYSIS
While Sunday's long ball came against a southpaw, Renfroe has developed fairly even splits against both righties (.252/.293/.523) and lefties (.254/.322/.485) this year. The 26-year-old has ditched his platoon label, and is looking like a true middle-of-the-order bat heading into the 2019 season.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+28%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+2%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+69%
OPS vs LHP
2016
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .934 297 34 19 45 3 .280 .350 .583
Since 2016vs Right .731 616 74 34 90 1 .231 .269 .461
2018vs Left .801 157 16 7 18 1 .248 .312 .489
2018vs Right .817 241 33 16 45 0 .254 .295 .522
2017vs Left 1.077 130 16 11 26 2 .316 .392 .684
2017vs Right .636 349 35 15 32 1 .202 .244 .393
2016vs Left 1.178 10 2 1 1 0 .333 .400 .778
2016vs Right 1.192 26 6 3 13 0 .385 .385 .808
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+14%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+10%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .842 453 62 30 83 1 .247 .305 .538
Since 2016Away .750 460 46 23 52 3 .245 .287 .463
2018Home .867 195 29 12 34 0 .257 .318 .549
2018Away .759 203 20 11 29 1 .247 .286 .474
2017Home .776 231 26 14 37 1 .226 .286 .491
2017Away .729 248 25 12 21 2 .236 .282 .446
2016Home 1.217 27 7 4 12 0 .346 .370 .846
2016Away 1.111 9 1 0 2 0 .444 .444 .667
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Stat Review
How does Hunter Renfroe compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.24
 
BB Rate
6.2%
 
K Rate
25.9%
 
BABIP
.279
 
ISO
.255
 
AVG
.249
 
OBP
.299
 
SLG
.504
 
OPS
.803
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
Renfroe swatted a career-best 34 homers in 2016, with 30 of those long balls coming at Triple-A El Paso before a late-September call to San Diego. Considering the lack of power in the Padres' lineup throughout the season, it's somewhat surprising that he wasn't added to the mix sooner, but a second-half fade in the minors (.734 OPS) after a strong first half (.973) may have been the culprit. In addition to a drop-off in offensive production, Renfroe struck out at a much higher clip in the second half (20.4 strikeout percentage overall), and he failed to walk frequently throughout the season (3.9 walk percentage at Triple-A, 2.8 in 11 games with San Diego), raising questions about his eye and plate coverage. With plus power, Renfroe should have a place in the Padres' outfield to open 2017, but he possesses significant downside in the batting average department despite earning Pacific Coast League MVP honors at El Paso last season. In the late rounds of fantasy drafts, of course, reward outweighs risk when it comes to mashers of this potential caliber.
In two full seasons of professional baseball, Renfroe has two 20-homer seasons. After blasting 14 in the tough Double-A Texas League, Renfroe earned a late-season promotion to Triple-A El Paso, where he hit six home runs and posted a .333/.358/.633 line in 21 games. Renfroe’s raw power is his best tool, and it could get him to the majors early in 2016. The question will be if Renfroe can make enough contact to let his power sing. He has struck out 338 times in 1,421 professional plate appearances, a 23.8 percent strikeout rate. That has kept his minor league batting average down to .270 and will put an even lower ceiling on his major league batting average if he can’t improve. Renfroe hit just .250 in parts of two seasons at Double-A, a sign of the improvement he has to make before becoming a major leaguer.
Renfroe's 2014 campaign was split nearly evenly between High-A Lake Elsinore and Double-A San Antonio, but his numbers post promotion featured a .660 OPS after he punished Cal League pitching at a .935 clip. One particularly encouraging sign is that Renfroe showed improved plate discipline following the promotion, and it may not be long before he's ready to contribute in San Diego. Although he finished the season as RotoWire's 27th ranked prospect, Renfroe seems to get overlooked by some owners due to his future home park in San Diego. As a right-handed bat with pop to all fields, the cavernous nature of Petco Park won't be as damaging to his production as it is for left-handed hitters. Renfroe and Rymer Liriano appear to be the long-term future at the corner-outfield spots for the Padres, but the additions of Matt Kemp and Justin Upton in the offseason have clouded things a bit.
After leading Mississippi State to its first championship round at last year's College World Series, Renfroe immediately reported to short-season Eugene for a productive 25-game stay, before the Padres moved him to Low-A Fort Wayne to conclude the season. His batting line (.212/.268/.379) at the latter location left something to be desired, but in a small sample size, he still put up two home runs, five doubles, seven RBI, and six runs in 66 at-bats. Following spring training, the minor league ride of the 2013 first-round pick will likely start off in Fort Wayne.
More Fantasy News
Hits 22nd homer
OFSan Diego Padres
September 12, 2018
Renfroe went 1-for-5 with a two-run homer to help the Padres to a 5-4 victory over the Mariners on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Pops 21st homer
OFSan Diego Padres
September 8, 2018
Renfroe went 2-for-4 with a home run and two runs scored in Friday's loss to the Reds.
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Connects on solo shot
OFSan Diego Padres
September 6, 2018
Renfroe went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in the Padres' 6-2 win over the Reds on Thursday.
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Goes deep twice
OFSan Diego Padres
September 2, 2018
Renfroe went 2-for-4 with two solo home runs Saturday against the Rockies.
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Drives in four vs. Mariners
OFSan Diego Padres
August 29, 2018
Renfroe went 1-for-4 with a homer and four RBI in Wednesday's win over the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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