Hunter Renfroe Fantasy News & Stats

Hunter Renfroe

26-Year-Old OutfielderOF

San Diego Padres

2018 Stats

AVG

.249

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2018 Fantasy Outlook

In the era of the three true outcomes, Renfroe is more of an either/or: strikeout or homer. As a 25-year-old rookie, Renfroe walked just 5.6 percent of the time after posting a 3.9 percent walk rate at Triple-A El Paso in 2016 (22 walks in 563 plate appearances). The power is real, but it isn't quite elite -- Renfroe had a 7.1 Brls/PA, .467 xSLG and 24.2 xHR. Meanwhile, Renfroe chased roughly one-third of the pitches he saw out of the strike zone and fanned 29.2 percent of the time overall. He did most of his damage against lefties, struggling to an ugly .202/.244/.393 line against same-handed pitching. Making matters worse, Renfroe was also a net negative on defense. Players have to do more than one thing well to stick around at the big-league level, and right now, Renfroe is a one-dimensional player. He will have to compete for time in left field with Wil Myers moving to right. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#334

ADP

Overall

Outfielder

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League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'1"

Weight 214

DOB 1/28/1992

Born Crystal Springs, MS

College Mississippi State

Drafted 1st Rd 2013 SD

Thriving in everyday role

OFSan Diego Padres

September 17, 2018

Renfroe went 1-for-4 with his 23rd home run of the season in Sunday's win over Texas.

ANALYSIS
While Sunday's long ball came against a southpaw, Renfroe has developed fairly even splits against both righties (.252/.293/.523) and lefties (.254/.322/.485) this year. The 26-year-old has ditched his platoon label, and is looking like a true middle-of-the-order bat heading into the 2019 season.

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Batting Stats

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Minor League Game Log

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Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2016

+28%

OPS vs LHP

2018

+2%

OPS vs RHP

2017

+69%

OPS vs LHP

2016

+1%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2016vs Left	.934	297	34	19	45	3	.280	.350	.583
Since 2016vs Right	.731	616	74	34	90	1	.231	.269	.461
2018vs Left	.801	157	16	7	18	1	.248	.312	.489
2018vs Right	.817	241	33	16	45	0	.254	.295	.522
2017vs Left	1.077	130	16	11	26	2	.316	.392	.684
2017vs Right	.636	349	35	15	32	1	.202	.244	.393
2016vs Left	1.178	10	2	1	1	0	.333	.400	.778
2016vs Right	1.192	26	6	3	13	0	.385	.385	.808
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2016

+12%

OPS at Home

2018

+14%

OPS at Home

2017

+6%

OPS at Home

2016

+10%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2016Home	.842	453	62	30	83	1	.247	.305	.538
Since 2016Away	.750	460	46	23	52	3	.245	.287	.463
2018Home	.867	195	29	12	34	0	.257	.318	.549
2018Away	.759	203	20	11	29	1	.247	.286	.474
2017Home	.776	231	26	14	37	1	.226	.286	.491
2017Away	.729	248	25	12	21	2	.236	.282	.446
2016Home	1.217	27	7	4	12	0	.346	.370	.846
2016Away	1.111	9	1	0	2	0	.444	.444	.667
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Stat Review

How does Hunter Renfroe compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

BB/K

0.24

BB Rate

6.2%

K Rate

25.9%

BABIP

.279

ISO

.255

AVG

.249

OBP

.299

SLG

.504

OPS

.803

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2017

2016

2015

2014

Renfroe swatted a career-best 34 homers in 2016, with 30 of those long balls coming at Triple-A El Paso before a late-September call to San Diego. Considering the lack of power in the Padres' lineup throughout the season, it's somewhat surprising that he wasn't added to the mix sooner, but a second-half fade in the minors (.734 OPS) after a strong first half (.973) may have been the culprit. In addition to a drop-off in offensive production, Renfroe struck out at a much higher clip in the second half (20.4 strikeout percentage overall), and he failed to walk frequently throughout the season (3.9 walk percentage at Triple-A, 2.8 in 11 games with San Diego), raising questions about his eye and plate coverage. With plus power, Renfroe should have a place in the Padres' outfield to open 2017, but he possesses significant downside in the batting average department despite earning Pacific Coast League MVP honors at El Paso last season. In the late rounds of fantasy drafts, of course, reward outweighs risk when it comes to mashers of this potential caliber.

In two full seasons of professional baseball, Renfroe has two 20-homer seasons. After blasting 14 in the tough Double-A Texas League, Renfroe earned a late-season promotion to Triple-A El Paso, where he hit six home runs and posted a .333/.358/.633 line in 21 games. Renfroe’s raw power is his best tool, and it could get him to the majors early in 2016. The question will be if Renfroe can make enough contact to let his power sing. He has struck out 338 times in 1,421 professional plate appearances, a 23.8 percent strikeout rate. That has kept his minor league batting average down to .270 and will put an even lower ceiling on his major league batting average if he can’t improve. Renfroe hit just .250 in parts of two seasons at Double-A, a sign of the improvement he has to make before becoming a major leaguer.

Renfroe's 2014 campaign was split nearly evenly between High-A Lake Elsinore and Double-A San Antonio, but his numbers post promotion featured a .660 OPS after he punished Cal League pitching at a .935 clip. One particularly encouraging sign is that Renfroe showed improved plate discipline following the promotion, and it may not be long before he's ready to contribute in San Diego. Although he finished the season as RotoWire's 27th ranked prospect, Renfroe seems to get overlooked by some owners due to his future home park in San Diego. As a right-handed bat with pop to all fields, the cavernous nature of Petco Park won't be as damaging to his production as it is for left-handed hitters. Renfroe and Rymer Liriano appear to be the long-term future at the corner-outfield spots for the Padres, but the additions of Matt Kemp and Justin Upton in the offseason have clouded things a bit.

After leading Mississippi State to its first championship round at last year's College World Series, Renfroe immediately reported to short-season Eugene for a productive 25-game stay, before the Padres moved him to Low-A Fort Wayne to conclude the season. His batting line (.212/.268/.379) at the latter location left something to be desired, but in a small sample size, he still put up two home runs, five doubles, seven RBI, and six runs in 66 at-bats. Following spring training, the minor league ride of the 2013 first-round pick will likely start off in Fort Wayne.

More Fantasy News

Hits 22nd homer

OFSan Diego Padres

September 12, 2018

Renfroe went 1-for-5 with a two-run homer to help the Padres to a 5-4 victory over the Mariners on Wednesday.