J.D. Davis
J.D. Davis
26-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
New York Mets
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Davis came to the plate 113 times in 2018 but didn't do much to justify the opportunities, hitting a miserable .175/.248/.223 with just a single home run. Those struggles were completely out of line with his performance in 85 games for Triple-A Fresno, where he hit an excellent .342/.406/.583. Those minor-league numbers could earn him more chances this season, but Davis will turn 26 in late April, so he's running out of time to show something at the big-league level. There are reasons to believe that he could hit better if given a chance this season, as his line was held down by a .233 BABIP, and Statcast's expected slugging percentage was a full 168 points better than his actual number. Still, that would leave him slugging a modest .391, not nearly good enough for a player limited to the corners defensively. A trade to the Mets gives him a slightly clearer path to playing time, but don't expect more than deep-league value. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a contract with the Astros in June of 2014. Traded to the Mets in January of 2019.
Only Met to solve Alcantara
3BNew York Mets
May 20, 2019
Davis went 2-for-3 in Sunday's loss to the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
The line doesn't seem like much, but Davis was all that was standing between the Mets and being no-hit, as he had the team's only two knocks of the afternoon against Sandy Alcantara. The 26-year-old is slashing a solid .287/.357/.455 through 37 games and remains the primary option for manager Mickey Callaway at third base, starting six of the last nine contests, but that's likely to change once Jed Lowrie (knee) finally gets healthy.
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Batting Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
6
2
6
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
5
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+22%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+8%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+38%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+48%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .760 102 16 5 8 0 .228 .304 .457
Since 2017vs Right .621 191 15 4 15 1 .230 .293 .328
2019vs Left .857 34 5 2 4 0 .233 .324 .533
2019vs Right .794 78 9 2 7 0 .310 .372 .423
2018vs Left .568 42 5 0 1 0 .231 .286 .282
2018vs Right .413 71 4 1 4 0 .141 .225 .188
2017vs Left .960 26 6 3 3 0 .217 .308 .652
2017vs Right .647 42 2 1 4 1 .231 .262 .385
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+17%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+59%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+56%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .734 112 14 4 6 1 .255 .313 .422
Since 2017Away .629 181 17 5 17 0 .213 .287 .341
2019Home 1.080 38 7 2 3 0 .394 .474 .606
2019Away .680 74 7 2 8 0 .235 .297 .382
2018Home .348 42 4 0 0 0 .105 .190 .158
2018Away .543 71 5 1 5 0 .215 .282 .262
2017Home .830 32 3 2 3 1 .290 .281 .548
2017Away .697 36 5 2 4 0 .161 .278 .419
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Stat Review
How does J.D. Davis compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.48
 
BB Rate
9.8%
 
K Rate
20.5%
 
BABIP
.338
 
ISO
.168
 
AVG
.287
 
OBP
.357
 
SLG
.455
 
OPS
.813
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Mets Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring J.D. Davis
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29 days ago
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41 days ago
Dave Regan analyzes 10 players off to slow starts, like A's infielder Jurickson Profar, to determine whether it's too early to get nervous.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
Davis hit just .226 and struck out 29.4 percent of the time in his big-league debut, but wielded so much power (four home runs, .258 ISO) that he was still a league-average hitter (100 wRC+) over 68 plate appearances. Of course, league average won't cut it at an infield corner or at DH for the loaded Astros, and they have superior options at every position he could conceivably handle. Five years ago a player with his power potential could bring back a quality arm in a trade, but now almost every team has a player of Davis' caliber either in their lineup, on their bench or at Triple-A. The Astros are so loaded that not only do they have similar or better options on their bench, but they may even have a better third-base prospect at Triple-A in Colin Moran. Davis slugged .652 with three home runs in 26 MLB plate appearances against southpaws, which is in line with the righty's minor-league production and points to his future role as a bench bat who destroys opposite-handed pitching.
The 75th overall pick in the 2014 draft has always hit in the minor leagues, but his fairly high strikeout rates, below-average defense and a host of superior players ahead of him on Houston's organizational depth chart has led to Davis flying somewhat under the radar. While he has played some outfield and first base in the upper levels of the minors, the bulk of his starts still come at third base, where he has a strong arm and little else. There is no denying he has plus raw power, as he has never posted an ISO lower than .213 as a pro, but the strikeouts and favorable minor-league hitting environments make it difficult to project a high batting average. He might be Mike Napoli at third base, or he might be a Quadruple-A hitter who gets a very brief chance to prove he can hit with the Astros before being relegated back to an organizational depth role.
Davis, the 75th overall pick in 2014, spent last season with High-A Lancaster hitting in the friendly confines of the California League. The 22-year-old third baseman finished the year sixth in the league in home runs (26) and second in RBI (101) while hitting .289 in 120 games with the JetHawks. It will be all about adjustments as he moves up the organizational ladder, as he can get away with a 28.4% strikeout rate in the lower levels of the minors, but that rate could spike once he starts facing Double-A pitchers who can command a breaking ball. Still, the case can be made that the Cal State Fullerton product has already established himself as a top-100 prospect for dynasty leagues.
More Fantasy News
Sitting Saturday
3BNew York Mets
May 18, 2019
Davis is not in the lineup Saturday against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Swats fourth homer
3BNew York Mets
May 18, 2019
Davis went 1-for-2 with a two-run homer in Friday's loss to the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Out of Friday's lineup
3BNew York Mets
May 17, 2019
Davis is not in the lineup for Friday's game against the Marlins, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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Receiving regular work
3BNew York Mets
May 16, 2019
Davis will start at third base and hit fifth Thursday against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Three hits in rout of Marlins
3BNew York Mets
May 11, 2019
Davis went 3-for-5 with a run scored in Friday's rout of the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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