Reynaldo Lopez
Reynaldo Lopez
25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago White Sox
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Lopez closed out the year with an outstanding run in September (1.09 ERA), bringing his ERA for the season under 4.00 after it got as high as 4.72 in mid-August. Was it mostly luck, or did Lopez actually figure something out down the stretch? He said last summer that he was focusing on the mental aspect of the game instead of just trying to blow by hitters, continuing lessons instilled by Max Scherzer about scouting hitters, locating and changing visual angles. An important aspect of Lopez's development has been the slider that White Sox pitching coach Don Cooper taught Lopez in 2017. It has since become Lopez's best pitch by Pitch Values. Lopez's strikeout rate soared to 27.6% over the final month, and while it may have been mostly fluky, part of it may have been his maturation as a pitcher and the more granular scouting of his opponents. Further refinement of the changeup is still needed, but there is plausible upside here. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $555,000 contract with the White Sox in February of 2018.
Suffers 11th loss
PChicago White Sox
August 20, 2019
Lopez (7-11) took the loss against the Twins on Tuesday, pitching six innings and giving up seven runs (three earned) on six hits. He struck out three and did not walk a batter.
ANALYSIS
Lopez served up homers in the third and fourth innings to surrender three runs, but it was a defensive lapse behind him in the fifth that opened the floodgates for Minnesota. After Lopez retired two of the first three batters in the inning, Jose Abreu dropped a sure out at first base to extend the frame. The following three hitters reached base, leading to four unearned runs and putting the game out of reach. Lopez now owns a 5.25 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 132:54 K:BB in 147.1 innings. He'll have a rematch at home against Minnesota on Tuesday in his next scheduled start.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
Even Split
2019
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .255 833 141 87 186 36 5 31
Since 2017vs Right .256 825 172 56 192 39 5 28
2019vs Left .295 318 56 36 82 14 3 12
2019vs Right .266 334 76 18 82 21 0 15
2018vs Left .220 413 74 44 79 19 2 13
2018vs Right .249 386 77 31 86 15 2 12
2017vs Left .269 102 11 7 25 3 0 6
2017vs Right .247 105 19 7 24 3 3 1
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-16%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-8%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-47%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 4.16 1.25 201.1 8 10 0 7.6 3.0 1.7
Since 2017Away 4.94 1.48 182.1 9 14 0 7.1 3.7 1.0
2019Home 5.05 1.46 76.2 4 5 0 8.3 3.8 1.8
2019Away 5.48 1.50 70.2 3 6 0 7.8 2.8 1.5
2018Home 3.63 1.08 94.1 3 3 0 7.3 2.7 1.8
2018Away 4.20 1.46 94.1 4 7 0 7.1 4.5 0.6
2017Home 3.56 1.22 30.1 1 2 0 6.5 2.4 1.5
2017Away 6.75 1.50 17.1 2 1 0 4.2 3.1 1.0
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Stat Review
How does Reynaldo Lopez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.44
 
K/9
8.1
 
BB/9
3.3
 
HR/9
1.6
 
Fastball
95.4 mph
 
ERA
5.25
 
WHIP
1.48
 
BABIP
.326
 
GB/FB
0.88
 
Left On Base
68.3%
 
Exit Velocity
89.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
8.0%
 
Spin Rate
2042 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
39.5%
 
Swinging Strike
11.1%
 
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Acquired from the Nationals last offseason in the Adam Eaton deal, Lopez is one of many power arms the club has stockpiled. After 22 starts for Triple-A Charlotte, registering a 3.79 ERA and 1.24 WHIP with 131 whiffs in 121 innings, Lopez got the call to the majors, making his Pale Hose debut on Aug. 11. Lopez started eight contests, working at least six stanzas in all but one, an impressive feat in today's five-and-fly climate. A 65 percent left-on-base rate didn't do his ERA any favors, though a weak 15 percent strikeout rate didn't help either. Lopez displayed an above-average strikeout clip everywhere else, including a short stint with the Nationals in 2015, so expect the righty and his 95-mph fastball to pick up the pace as he further acclimates to major-league hitters. Lopez has the stuff to be a difference-maker down the line. For now, there will still be growing pains, working half the time in one the American League's friendlier hitting venues.
After dominating Double-A to begin the season, Lopez spent the second half bouncing between Triple-A and the majors, posting solid ratios at Syracuse despite a decline in his strikeout rate but mostly struggling for Washington. He flashed his upside in August, though, posting a 1.29 ERA and 13:4 K:BB in 14 innings over back-to-back starts against the Braves. The 22-year-old right-hander's big weapon is a fastball that averaged 95.8 mph in the majors, but he also mixes in a plus curveball and work-in-progress changeup. There are concerns about his ability to hold up as a starter given his slight frame, but his arsenal should allow him to thrive in a late-inning role if he is eventually moved to the bullpen. Traded to the White Sox in the Adam Eaton deal, Chicago will give Lopez every chance to stick as a starter, and a strong spring could put him in the rotation to begin 2017.
A year after a breakout performance that landed him near the top of the Nationals' prospect list, Lopez is still more future projection that he is finished product. His 4.09 ERA and 8.5 K/9 in 99 innings at High-A Potomac weren't exactly dominant, but his 2.5 BB/9 and 0.5 HR/9 indicate an ability to keep the ball in the lower half of the strike zone that will serve him well as he advances through the system. The 22-year-old right-hander fires a heavy high-90s fastball from an easy, repeatable delivery, and his curveball and changeup both have the makings of above-average pitches. Six-foot pitchers with big velocity tend to get typecast as relievers, and that could well be Lopez's eventual fate, but his athleticism and secondary offerings are strong enough to give the Nats every reason to keep him in the rotation as he works his way up the ladder.
Signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2012 as an 18-year-old, Lopez raced up prospect lists after a breakout season in which he struck out 70 batters in 83.1 innings between the New York-Penn and South Atlantic leagues. The right-hander features a heavy mid-90s fastball that he can crank up to near triple digits when he feels the need, plus a work-in-progress breaking ball and changeup, and if everything comes together, he'll give the Nationals yet another future ace to slot in alongside Stephen Strasburg and Lucas Giolito. Lopez is a long way from being in their company, though, and even the Yordano Ventura comps getting bandied around are very premature. The kid has massive upside, and that fastball is as close to a guarantee of a big league job as you'll find, but you may want to wait and see if he can dominate over a full season before anointing him as the next big thing.
More Fantasy News
Hit hard in loss
PChicago White Sox
August 16, 2019
Lopez (7-10) was charged with the loss against the Angels on Thursday after surrendering five runs on nine hits and two walks with six strikeouts over 5.1 innings.
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Battles for sixth victory
PChicago White Sox
August 4, 2019
Lopez (6-9) picked up the win after giving up three runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out three over 5.1 innings Sunday against the Phillies.
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No chance against Syndergaard
PChicago White Sox
July 31, 2019
Lopez allowed two runs on six hits and four walks while striking out six over 5.1 innings in a no-decision against the Mets on Tuesday.
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Strikes out 10 in loss
PChicago White Sox
July 24, 2019
Lopez (5-9) recorded 10 strikeouts and gave up two runs on four hits and one walk through eight innings to take the loss against the Marlins on Wednesday.
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Cruises to fifth win
PChicago White Sox
July 19, 2019
Lopez (5-8) picked up the win after allowing two runs on six hits and a walk while striking out eight over seven innings Friday night against the Rays.
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