Juan Soto
Juan Soto
22-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Washington Nationals
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Already a fantasy first-rounder before his 22nd birthday, Soto's 2020 exploits cemented him as a top-five pick, just a handful of steals away from No. 1 overall consideration. His biggest fans will take him there regardless. Soto's .351/.490/.695 slash line is even more remarkable considering he had a positive COVID-19 test the last week of summer camp and missed the first eight games of the season, catching a break that some of the Nationals' schedule was postponed in early August. The scary thing is Soto's production is fully supported by most Statcast metrics falling 90th percentile and higher. The exception is sprint speed, but he's a heady runner so maintaining double-digit steals is plausible. With an advanced eye, Soto is even better for OBP and points leagues, though some of his walk rate emanated from the Barry Bonds treatment in September. Even with batted-ball regression, Soto is a Triple Crown candidate. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a one-year, $8.5 million contract with the Nationals in January of 2021.
On base six times Thursday
OFWashington Nationals
July 30, 2021
Soto went 4-for-6 with two walks and two runs scored across both games of Thursday's doubleheader against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
While he didn't show any power, the 22-year-old still put together a strong performance in the twin bill. Soto is the last star standing in Washington after a flurry of trades ahead of the deadline, which could affect his run production over the final two months of the season, but simply maintaining his .302/.427/.513 slash line would still provide plenty of fantasy value.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2018
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
22
42
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
7
21
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+6%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+18%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .902 422 70 20 72 4 .282 .377 .525
Since 2019vs Right 1.012 829 147 44 132 19 .305 .444 .568
2021vs Left .857 145 28 9 23 0 .246 .366 .492
2021vs Right .974 264 42 9 35 6 .330 .462 .512
2020vs Left 1.209 56 14 5 16 1 .360 .429 .780
2020vs Right 1.136 127 23 7 20 4 .337 .504 .632
2019vs Left .850 221 28 6 33 3 .285 .371 .478
2019vs Right 1.000 438 82 28 77 9 .281 .416 .584
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+1%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+17%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+5%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .984 633 96 28 101 19 .304 .428 .556
Since 2019Away .972 629 123 37 104 5 .290 .417 .556
2021Home .859 206 32 6 22 5 .285 .422 .436
2021Away 1.006 203 38 12 36 1 .313 .433 .572
2020Home 1.143 94 15 4 14 5 .324 .511 .632
2020Away 1.201 100 24 9 23 1 .365 .460 .741
2019Home 1.016 333 49 18 65 9 .311 .408 .607
2019Away .877 326 61 16 45 3 .252 .393 .485
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Stat Review
How does Juan Soto compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
1.21
 
BB Rate
18.6%
 
K Rate
15.4%
 
BABIP
.321
 
ISO
.205
 
AVG
.299
 
OBP
.428
 
SLG
.505
 
OPS
.932
 
wOBA
.403
 
Exit Velocity
86.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
38.9%
 
Barrels/PA
8.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Juan Soto
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Yesterday
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4 days ago
White Sox Pitcher Lance Lynn has allowed one or no runs in five straight starts, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see that streak continue Friday against the Indians.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
Given what we saw from Soto at ages 19 and 20, it seems reasonable to say a Hall of Fame foundation is being laid. Soto was a top-12 rate contributor in the game by wRC+ in 2019, and he continued to shine on the biggest stage with a .277/.373/.554 line and five homers in the postseason. His K% and BB% were nearly identical to his marks from 2018 at 20.0% and 16.4%, respectively, and his xSLG, xwOBA and xwOBA on contact all ranked within the top 5% of the league. Soto also chipped in 12 steals in just 13 attempts. With that, he finished as the No. 13 roto hitter despite making a trip to the IL in May with back spasms. This profile is truly special and there aren't really any holes in his game. Not having Anthony Rendon ahead of him to drive in may hurt Soto's RBI count and we should probably expect a return to single-digit steals, but regardless the bat is good enough to warrant a first-round pick.
Simply put, Soto had one of the best seasons for a teenager of all time. His talent has never been in question, but the fact he even made his debut in 2018 came as a huge surprise considering he opened the year at Low-A. Soto arrived in the majors May 20 and made an immediate impact, homering in his first career start. He never looked back after that, posting a stellar .923 OPS and missing out on the Rookie of the Year award only because of an equally impressive season from Ronald Acuna. Among MLB hitters with at least 450 PA, Soto ranked sixth in BB% (16.0), 10th in wRC+ (146) and 12th in BB/K (0.80). Again, he was 19 when he did this. He handled righties (152 wRC+) and lefties (128 wRC+) just fine, so don't worry about a platoon. The loss of Bryce Harper may cost him some RBI and runs, but it also likely locks him in as the cleanup hitter indefinitely.
A fractured right ankle, hamate bone surgery and hamstring strain combined to limit one of the game's most exciting young prospects to just 32 games in 2017. That didn't stop him from reminding dynasty-league owners of his extreme upside when he was on the field. Soto's 172 wRC+ ranked third among Sally League hitters with at least 80 plate appearances. He walked more than he struck out, despite being the third youngest hitter to spend the majority of his season in that league. In addition to an elite approach and hit tool, Soto projects to provide 30-plus homer power in his prime seasons, but he won't generate much value with his legs. Given how advanced his bat is, it would not be surprising if he were aggressively assigned to the Carolina League after just 23 games at Low-A. The ankle and hamate injuries seem flukey, so while it's obviously concerning that he couldn't stay healthy in his first full season, it would be a mistake to discount him too much. All the tools are here for Soto to finish the season as a top-five prospect.
While he has not yet played above short-season ball, Soto made too much noise with his bat last year to qualify as an under-the-radar target in dynasty league drafts. He was seen as an advanced hitter with above-average power potential when the Nationals signed him out of the Dominican Republic for $1.5 million in 2015. So far, Soto has delivered on that promise and then some. He slashed .368/.420/.553 with five home runs, five steals and a 29:17 K:BB in 51 games across stops in the Gulf Coast and New York-Penn leagues, all before turning 18. It is quite rare for a player with the potential for plus power to be showing off an excellent approach and a plus hit tool against professional pitching at an age when most players are between their junior and senior years of high school. Soto should be valued similarly to the top prospects from the 2016 draft class and could follow the same aggressive promotion pattern as organizational mate Victor Robles.
More Fantasy News
Mashes three-run shot
OFWashington Nationals
July 28, 2021
Soto went 2-for-4 with a three-run home run and an additional run scored during Tuesday's 6-4 win over the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Launches 17th homer
OFWashington Nationals
July 25, 2021
Soto went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Saturday's 5-3 loss to the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Homers twice
OFWashington Nationals
July 19, 2021
Soto went 3-for-4 with two home runs, a double, five RBI and a walk during Monday's 18-1 blowout win over the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Power surge continues
OFWashington Nationals
July 18, 2021
Soto went 3-for-4 with a two-run home run, a double, two runs and a walk in Sunday's 8-7 win over the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Mashes pair of homers
OFWashington Nationals
July 16, 2021
Soto went 4-for-5 with two home runs and four RBI in Friday's 24-8 loss to San Diego.
ANALYSIS
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