Cristian Pache
22-Year-Old OutfielderOF
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Pache has been an exciting, yet flawed prospect for five years now, and he finally reached the majors in 2020, getting four regular-season plate appearances and another 25 across 12 playoff games. The righty-hitting outfielder hit his first MLB home run in the NLCS off lefty Julio Urias. His hit tool has always been his worst tool, while his center field defense is a game-changing weapon that should keep him in the lineup for a few years no matter how much he struggles at the plate (within reason). His 70-grade speed will aid him in the outfield and on the sprint speed leaderboard, but he was 8-for-21 on SB attempts at Double-A (60.4% success rate for his career) and did not even attempt a steal in 26 games at Triple-A. Pache has enough pop to ambush mistakes, but his AVG and OBP will likely relegate him to the bottom third of the lineup. He should open the year as Atlanta's everyday center fielder. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#397
ADP
$Signed a $1.4 million contract with the Braves in July of 2015.
Favorite to win center field job
OFAtlanta Braves
February 20, 2021
Pache will be given every chance to win the starting center field spot this spring, Gabriel Burns of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports. "We're going to give him a lot of opportunity," Atlanta manager Brian Snitker said Friday. "The kid has to come to camp feeling really good about things, having a lot of confidence off his performance in the NLCS. This'll be his third or fourth camp, so he'll know what to expect and have a better idea about himself."
ANALYSIS
The 22-year-old is still working to turn his athletic prowess into consistent production at the plate, but Pache's defense has been big-league worthy for a couple years already, and his ability to excel with the glove becomes even more important with Marcell Ozuna headed for left field barring the last-minute return of the DH to the National League. If Pache experiences significant growing pains, Atlanta still has Ender Inciarte on hand, and Ronald Acuna could also slide over from right field.
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Batting Stats
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2020
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-100%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
-100%
OPS vs LHP
2019
No Stats
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left 2.000 1 0 0 0 0 1.000 1.000 1.000
Since 2018vs Right .000 3 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2020vs Left 2.000 1 0 0 0 0 1.000 1.000 1.000
2020vs Right .000 3 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-100%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
-100%
OPS at Home
2019
No Stats
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .500 4 0 0 0 0 .250 .250 .250
Since 2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home .500 4 0 0 0 0 .250 .250 .250
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Cristian Pache compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.00
 
BB Rate
0.0%
 
K Rate
50.0%
 
BABIP
.500
 
ISO
.000
 
AVG
.250
 
OBP
.250
 
SLG
.250
 
OPS
.500
 
wOBA
.223
 
Exit Velocity
80.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
0.0%
 
Barrels/PA
0.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Cristian Pache
Bernie on the Scene: NL Rookies of Consequence
4 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff analyzes National League rookies with fantasy relevance, including Dylan Carlson, who should get a full season of at-bats as the Cardinals right fielder.
Ranking the Rookies: 2021 Tiers Vol. 1.0
43 days ago
James Anderson unveils his rookie rankings for redraft leagues, with Marlins righty Sixto Sanchez leading of a two-player first tier.
The Z Files: Outfield Studs to Duds
50 days ago
Todd Zola wraps up his positional tiers with the outfield, and finds he can't quit Marcell Ozuna even without knowing what uniform he'll be wearing in 2021.
Fantasy Baseball Prospect Podcast: Now on YouTube!
107 days ago
Lead prospect writer James Anderson and Senior MLB Editor Clay Link return with a discussion on early prospect ADP.
FanDuel MLB: Saturday Championship Series Targets
132 days ago
Chris Bennet examines today’s two-game slate and likes George Springer with his five hits, two homers, five RBI and 11 total bases in the Astros’ three-game winning streak.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
This has always been the case with Pache, but as he nears his big-league debut, it is worth repeating: his hit tool is easily his worst tool. If he can't fix his extremely pull-heavy approach, he will be easily neutralized by shifts in the majors. This doesn't mean he is not an awesome real-life prospect. He could win multiple Gold Gloves in center field and could hit 25-plus home runs in his peak power seasons. There would not be a big gap between his real-life and fantasy value if his plus speed translated as well on the bases as it does in center field, but he was 8-for-21 on stolen-base attempts at Double-A (60.4% success rate for his career) and did not even attempt a steal in 26 games at Triple-A. So, for all the 60s and 70s on his scouting report, if he only hits .250 with 25 home runs and a handful of steals while batting at the bottom of the order, he will be a late-round pick in mixed leagues.
There may not be a more overrated position player for dynasty leagues than Pache. He does very well on real-life prospect rankings because he has a chance to be an 80-grade defender in center field, but there is a big gap between his projected defensive value and what he will likely contribute at the dish. Pache has been able to post decent batting averages, largely because his speed allows him to leg out groundballs against minor-league defenders. He is still learning to utilize his 70-grade wheels on the bases -- Pache was only 10-for-18 on stolen-base attempts last year, including the Arizona Fall League. The Braves are trying to coax more power out of him, which has resulted in elevated strikeout totals. He is being fast-tracked to the big leagues because of his glove, while his bat probably needs two more seasons in the minors. His defense will earn him an everyday job, which could lead to 20-plus steals, which is the main selling point for fantasy.
Pache has 200 hits in 176 games as a pro and zero of those have left the yard. Five or six years ago, he wouldn't have been very appealing in fantasy leagues, but as a 70-grade runner with solid bat-to-ball skills, he is intriguing in today's speed deprived landscape. His center field defense is elite, which means he doesn't have to do much damage with the bat to profile as a regular. If he gets everyday at-bats, Pache could offer 30-plus steals annually throughout his 20s. He was the youngest hitter in the Sally League and was still almost a league average hitter (98 wRC+) without hitting a home run. Some evaluators expect him to eventually offer double-digit homer pop as he continues to grow into his athletic 6-foot-2 frame. He has a pull-heavy approach (50.4 percent), which is a bit concerning, so it's not a lock that he will hit better than .260 or .270. Fortunately Pache's walk rate continues to trend up, and if that continues, his stolen-base upside will increase, as will his chances of hitting atop a big-league lineup.
The Braves' recent uptick in international activity is starting to bear fruit, with Pache being just the latest in a line of high-pedigree hitters to impress as a 17-year-old in his stateside debut. He fits the mold of a lanky, toolsy center field prospect. Pache hit .309/.349/.391 with four doubles, seven triples and zero homers across stops in the Gulf Coast and Appalachian leagues, but at 6-foot-2, 185 pounds, and with plus bat speed, it won't be long before he starts hitting balls over the fence in games. His plus-plus speed and knack for making good contact define his present offensive skill set, and for someone who could spend the bulk of his age-18 season at Low-A Rome, that should be enough to get the attention of prospect hounds. In leagues where owners need to be overhasty to land prospects like Victor Robles or Ronald Acuna, it's worth taking a flier on Pache this offseason in case he hits the ground running in the Sally League.
More Fantasy News
Earns Game 2 start
OFAtlanta Braves
October 13, 2020
Pache will bat ninth as the center fielder in Game 2 of the NLCS against the Dodgers on Tuesday, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Makes wild-card roster
OFAtlanta Braves
September 30, 2020
Pache made the roster for the NL Wild Card Series against the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Back to alternate site
OFAtlanta Braves
August 25, 2020
Pache was optioned to Atlanta's alternate training site Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Playing behind Inciarte
OFAtlanta Braves
August 23, 2020
Pache is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Making debut Friday
OFAtlanta Braves
August 21, 2020
Pache is starting in left field and batting ninth Friday against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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