Nick Senzel
23-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Cincinnati Reds AAA
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Senzel has hit at least .305, notched an ISO of at least .171 and a wRC+ of at least 147 in every full-season league he's played in while never striking out more than 20.2% of the time. He exhibits five-category potential, stealing eight bases on 10 attempts in 44 games last year and grading out as an above-average runner. Unfortunately, vertigo was an issue for the second straight season -- he missed the final week of 2017 with the condition and it cost him most of May last year. He also missed the final two months of 2018 with a broken right index finger. There is little precedent for the vertigo issue, and it adds a small layer of risk to what would otherwise seem like a risk-free profile. Defensively, Senzel can play second base and third base, but worked in left field during instructs and may eventually debut in center field, given the Reds' offseason moves. He could retain multi-position eligibility in a handful of his early big-league seasons. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a contract with the Reds in June of 2016 that includes a $6.2 million signing bonus.
Favorite to win CF job
3BCincinnati Reds  AAA
February 18, 2019
Reds manager David Bell suggested that Senzel is "the favorite" to win the starting center field job, John Fay of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
Bell also suggested that Jesse Winker is expected to get 500 at-bats, meaning that both Scott Schebler and Matt Kemp would thus lose playing time. Earlier, Reds President of Baseball Operations Dick Williams told Mark Sheldon of MLB.com that they would "... put the best team out there ..." for Opening Day when asked about Senzel's likely Opening Day status. Neither quote affirmatively says that Senzel will be with the team on Opening Day, but at least with their comments, the Reds are addressing Senzel differently than the Jays are with Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nick Senzel
Farm Futures: NL Central: 105 Prospects You Need To Know
2 days ago
James Anderson sifts through the increasingly thin organizations in the NL Central but notes that there are still some gems, such as the Reds' Nick Senzel.
MLB Barometer: Undervalued Hitters
18 days ago
Derek VanRiper compares two sets of projections to the NFBC's January ADP in hopes of finding undervalued bats.
The Z Files: Hacking the System
37 days ago
Todd Zola looks at a number of hitters who may be undervalued once you account for the stats accumulated by their temporary replacements on an active roster, such as the Rays' Tommy Pham.
Minor League Barometer: That's A Wrap
164 days ago
Jesse Siegel takes us through his Minor League Barometer one last time this season, highlighting the prospects that have improved or struggled the most in 2018.
The Z Files: Prepping For the Stretch Run, Part Four
176 days ago
Todd Zola completes his look at players and strategies that can move the needle over the final weeks of the season and wonders if Josh Donaldson will find himself in a new uniform.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
A five-tool third baseman, Senzel has separated himself from the rest of the hitting prospects who went in the first round of the 2016 draft. His above-average speed makes him unique among corner-infield prospects, and in the second half of last year he started to tap into his plus raw power. Senzel hit 11 professional home runs in 130 pro games before being promoted to the Southern League, where he hit 10 long balls in just 57 games and led the league with a 184 wRC+, despite playing his home games in the pitcher-friendly ballpark in Pensacola. His season came to an odd conclusion when he was shut down in late August with symptoms of vertigo -- a condition worth tracking as spring training begins. Assuming everything checks out OK on the health front, he should begin the year at Triple-A Louisville and enter the big-league lineup as soon as the Reds find a way to make room for him at third base, which may prove difficult, given how well their infielders performed in 2017.
Cincinnati continued the trend of teams taking advanced college hitters early in the draft over top arms, selecting Senzel with the second overall pick in June. He quickly established himself as the class of the farm system, posting a .982 OPS with Low-A Dayton. His excellent approach and plate skills were on full display, with Senzel managing a 12.9 percent walk rate and a sub-20 percent strikeout rate while hitting for notable power in a spacious home park. In fact, Senzel finished third on the team in home runs despite playing only 58 games. He also runs well for his size, and could offer 10-20 steals annually in his first couple years in the big leagues. With a well-rounded skill set, Senzel could rise quickly through the Reds' system, perhaps reaching the upper levels before the end of 2017. He's already a top-30 prospect for fantasy purposes and may be in the top-10 discussion by season's end.
More Fantasy News
Reds non-commital about Opening Day
3BCincinnati Reds  AAA
February 14, 2019
When asked about whether Senzel would start the year with the big club or in the minors (for arbitration purposes), Reds President of Baseball Operations Dick Williams said "I anticipate putting the best team out there that we can [for Opening Day]," Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expected to focus on center field
3BCincinnati Reds  AAA
February 1, 2019
Senzel "will be given every opportunity to focus on center field, play center field, learn center field [and] improve in center field to see where he stacks up against our other options," according to Reds President of Baseball Operations Dick Williams, John Fay of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Invited to big-league camp
3BCincinnati Reds  AAA
January 9, 2019
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Nearing return to full health
3BCincinnati Reds  AAA
Elbow
December 4, 2018
Senzel (elbow) said he will resume baseball activities "in the next week or so," Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Requires elbow surgery
3BCincinnati Reds  AAA
Elbow
October 11, 2018
Senzel (finger) will need to undergo surgery to remove bone spurs in his left elbow. He said that an expected timetable for his recovery is 4-to-6 weeks, Bobby Nightengale of the Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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